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Multinational Planning Augmentation TeamMultinational Planning Augmentation Team(MPAT)(MPAT)
Multinational Planning Augmentation TeamMultinational Planning Augmentation Team(MPAT)(MPAT)
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisPurposPurpos
eePurposPurpos
eeDiscuss techniques and procedures Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level for conducting an operational level mission analysis for multinational mission analysis for multinational operationsoperations
Discuss techniques and procedures Discuss techniques and procedures for conducting an operational level for conducting an operational level mission analysis for multinational mission analysis for multinational operationsoperations
ReferencesReferencesReferencesReferences Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations,
1 Feb 19951 Feb 1995
JP 3-07.6, Joint Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures
for Foreign Humanitarian Assistance, 12 Dec 2000
JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations, JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations,
5 April 20005 April 2000
JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and Procedures, 13 Jan 1999Procedures, 13 Jan 1999
Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF
Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997
US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing
Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998
Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations, Joint Publication 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations,
1 Feb 19951 Feb 1995
JP 3-07.6, Joint Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures
for Foreign Humanitarian Assistance, 12 Dec 2000
JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations, JP 3-16, Joint Doctrine for Multinational Operations,
5 April 20005 April 2000
JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and JP 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning Guidance and Procedures, 13 Jan 1999Procedures, 13 Jan 1999
Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Manual 3500.05, JTF
Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997Headquarters Master Training Guide, 15 Apr 1997
US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing US-Thailand HQ and Staff Planning Standing
Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998Operating Procedures (SOP), 17 February 1998
-First step of Commander’s Estimate -First step of Commander’s Estimate process process
-Operational level (includes -Operational level (includes strategic strategic military and politico- military and politico-military military objectives) objectives)
-First step of Commander’s Estimate -First step of Commander’s Estimate process process
-Operational level (includes -Operational level (includes strategic strategic military and politico- military and politico-military military objectives) objectives)
Crisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning Process
I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis
I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis
CCRRIISSIISS
CCRRIISSIISS
IISituationSituation
DevelopmentDevelopment
IISituationSituation
DevelopmentDevelopment
IIIICrisisCrisis
AssessmentAssessment
IIIICrisisCrisis
AssessmentAssessment
IVIVCourse of Course of
ActionActionSelectionSelection
IVIVCourse of Course of
ActionActionSelectionSelection
VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning
VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning
WarningWarningOrderOrder
WarningWarningOrderOrder
PlanningPlanningOrderOrder
PlanningPlanningOrderOrder
AlertAlertOrderOrderAlertAlertOrderOrder
ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder
ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder
OPORD OPORD & &
Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base
OPORD OPORD & &
Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base
VIVIExecutionExecution
VIVIExecutionExecution
And/orAnd/orAnd/orAnd/or
IIICourse of
ActionDevelopment
IIIICourse of ActionCourse of Action
DevelopmentDevelopmentIIIIII
Analysis of OpposingAnalysis of OpposingCourses of ActionCourses of Action
IIIIIIAnalysis of OpposingAnalysis of Opposing
Courses of ActionCourses of ActionIVIV
Comparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action
IVIVComparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action VV
Commander’sCommander’sDecisionDecision
VVCommander’sCommander’s
DecisionDecision
Commander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate Process
Mission Analysis ObjectivesMission Analysis ObjectivesMission Analysis ObjectivesMission Analysis Objectives
Common understanding of the problemCommon understanding of the problem
Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated
missionmission
Most probable & most challenging or Most probable & most challenging or
dangerous potential change in the situation / dangerous potential change in the situation /
Enemy COA (ECOA)Enemy COA (ECOA)
Commander’s intent and guidanceCommander’s intent and guidance
Common understanding of the problemCommon understanding of the problem
Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated Multinational force (MNF) or CTF restated
missionmission
Most probable & most challenging or Most probable & most challenging or
dangerous potential change in the situation / dangerous potential change in the situation /
Enemy COA (ECOA)Enemy COA (ECOA)
Commander’s intent and guidanceCommander’s intent and guidance
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisJoint Planning GroupJoint Planning GroupMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Joint Planning GroupJoint Planning Group
Core planningCore planninggroupgroup
Core planningCore planninggroupgroup
Joint Joint IntelligenceIntelligence
CenterCenter
Joint Joint IntelligenceIntelligence
CenterCenter
InformationInformationOperationsOperationsInformationInformationOperationsOperations
Special Special OperationsOperations
ForcesForces
Special Special OperationsOperations
ForcesForces
ComponentComponentLiaison Liaison OfficersOfficers
Air/Sea Air/Sea LiftLift
Air/Sea Air/Sea LiftLift
LogisticsLogistics
EngineerEngineer
FiresFires
CommsCommsCommsComms
PersonnelPersonnelPersonnelPersonnel
LegalLegalLegalLegal
PsychologicalPsychologicalOperationsOperations
PsychologicalPsychologicalOperationsOperations CivilCivil
AffairsAffairsCivilCivil
AffairsAffairsPublicPublicAffairsAffairs
TimeTimePhased ForcePhased ForceDeploymentDeployment
DataData
TimeTimePhased ForcePhased ForceDeploymentDeployment
DataData
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End State
Develop Mission Statement
Task StepsTask StepsTask StepsTask Steps Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers of Gravity
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis Mission Analysis Brief
Determine Known Facts, Current Status, Determine Known Facts, Current Status, or Conditionsor Conditions
Determine Known Facts, Current Status, Determine Known Facts, Current Status, or Conditionsor Conditions
Tasking from the national strategic Tasking from the national strategic command of the lead nation (HHQ) will command of the lead nation (HHQ) will normally include the following:normally include the following:
– Situation updateSituation update– Forces available for planningForces available for planning– Time constraints Time constraints – Command relationshipsCommand relationships
Can come in the form of a Can come in the form of a WARNING WARNING ORDER, ALERT ORDER, ORDER, ALERT ORDER, oror PLANNING PLANNING ORDERORDER
Tasking from the national strategic Tasking from the national strategic command of the lead nation (HHQ) will command of the lead nation (HHQ) will normally include the following:normally include the following:
– Situation updateSituation update– Forces available for planningForces available for planning– Time constraints Time constraints – Command relationshipsCommand relationships
Can come in the form of a Can come in the form of a WARNING WARNING ORDER, ALERT ORDER, ORDER, ALERT ORDER, oror PLANNING PLANNING ORDERORDER
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Initial Risk Assessment Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Determine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine Facts
Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of the environment and the situationthe environment and the situation
Staff sections determine:Staff sections determine:– Current status or condition Current status or condition – Other known factsOther known facts
Monitor joint planning group (CPG) outputsMonitor joint planning group (CPG) outputs
Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of Using all sources, identify significant and militarily relevant aspects of the environment and the situationthe environment and the situation
Staff sections determine:Staff sections determine:– Current status or condition Current status or condition – Other known factsOther known facts
Monitor joint planning group (CPG) outputsMonitor joint planning group (CPG) outputs
CTF StaffCTF Staff
Example: Known Facts, Status, ConditionsExample: Known Facts, Status, ConditionsExample: Known Facts, Status, ConditionsExample: Known Facts, Status, Conditions
Mt Canlaon Volcanic Activity–Last event 3 Nov
–3 plumes 15 km high; ash blowing west 300 km
–97,000 people evacuated from Canloan & La Carlota
–Safe haven camp vicinity San Carlos f/ 100,000
Super Typhoon Julie–Hit southern Philippines 10 Nov (Visayas, N. Mindanao)
–Negros - San Carlos camp (100K) loss of shelter
–454,499 homeless
–38 evacuation centers
Mt Canlaon Volcanic Activity–Last event 3 Nov
–3 plumes 15 km high; ash blowing west 300 km
–97,000 people evacuated from Canloan & La Carlota
–Safe haven camp vicinity San Carlos f/ 100,000
Super Typhoon Julie–Hit southern Philippines 10 Nov (Visayas, N. Mindanao)
–Negros - San Carlos camp (100K) loss of shelter
–454,499 homeless
–38 evacuation centers
Status as of 12 Nov 00–Dead 326
–Injured 464
–Missing 206
–Affected 3M
–Homeless 460K
Status as of 12 Nov 00–Dead 326
–Injured 464
–Missing 206
–Affected 3M
–Homeless 460K
Determine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine FactsDetermine Facts
HHQ mission, intent, concepts Forces available, readiness status
Review lift priority and allocation
Other organizations available
Host nation’s / coalition governments’ political situation
Host nation ability to respond
Time analysis
HHQ mission, intent, concepts Forces available, readiness status
Review lift priority and allocation
Other organizations available
Host nation’s / coalition governments’ political situation
Host nation ability to respond
Time analysis
CPGCPGCPGCPG Logistical readiness of the forceLogistical readiness of the force
Availability of support and infrastructure Availability of support and infrastructure in operations areain operations area
Deployment estimatesDeployment estimates
Host nation support (HNS)Host nation support (HNS)
Logistical readiness of the forceLogistical readiness of the force
Availability of support and infrastructure Availability of support and infrastructure in operations areain operations area
Deployment estimatesDeployment estimates
Host nation support (HNS)Host nation support (HNS)
C4-LogisticsC4-LogisticsC4-LogisticsC4-Logistics
Aerial Ports of Debarkation (APODs)
APOD Runway Maximum Fuel On-Site Capability on ground Storage Maintenance
Palawan C-141 a/c 2 a/c 30,000 gal. No
Cebu C-5 a/c 6 a/c 200,000 gal. Yes
City X
City Y
City Z
Over flight / basing rightsOver flight / basing rights Transient personnel stagingTransient personnel staging Logistics support (facilities and HNS)Logistics support (facilities and HNS) Agreements in force (status of forces, treaties, etc.)Agreements in force (status of forces, treaties, etc.)
Determine FactsDetermine Facts
C5-Plans and PolicyC5-Plans and Policy Political considerations:Political considerations:
C6-CommunicationsC6-CommunicationsC6-CommunicationsC6-Communications Available communications resourcesAvailable communications resources
Communications readiness of Communications readiness of available forcesavailable forces
Communications requirementsCommunications requirements
Available communications resourcesAvailable communications resources
Communications readiness of Communications readiness of available forcesavailable forces
Communications requirementsCommunications requirements
A supposition on the current situation, A supposition on the current situation, or a presupposition on the future course or a presupposition on the future course of events, either or both of events, either or both assumed to be assumed to be true in the absence of positive prooftrue in the absence of positive proof, , necessarynecessary to enable the commander, in to enable the commander, in the process of planning, to the process of planning, to complete an complete an estimateestimate of the situation and of the situation and make a make a decisiondecision on the course of action. on the course of action.
A supposition on the current situation, A supposition on the current situation, or a presupposition on the future course or a presupposition on the future course of events, either or both of events, either or both assumed to be assumed to be true in the absence of positive prooftrue in the absence of positive proof, , necessarynecessary to enable the commander, in to enable the commander, in the process of planning, to the process of planning, to complete an complete an estimateestimate of the situation and of the situation and make a make a decisiondecision on the course of action. on the course of action.
AssumptionAssumptionAssumptionAssumption
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Initial Risk Assessment Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Develop AssumptionsDevelop AssumptionsDevelop AssumptionsDevelop Assumptions Replace missing or unknown facts in planning May cover
– Belligerent Situation
– Friendly Situation
– Success of supporting operations
– Environment
Must be logical, realistic, and essential for planning to continue Never assume away belligerent capabilities
Replace missing or unknown facts in planning May cover
– Belligerent Situation
– Friendly Situation
– Success of supporting operations
– Environment
Must be logical, realistic, and essential for planning to continue Never assume away belligerent capabilities
Example: Planning AssumptionsExample: Planning Assumptions Host country will allow temporary basing of Troop Contributing Nations (TCNs)
APODs and sea ports of debarkation (SPODs) are operational
TCNs are self-sustaining for first 72 hours
Weather will remain favorable for duration of mission
No other contingencies for USPACOM for duration of mission
Host nation will be the CTF lead nation
Host country will allow temporary basing of Troop Contributing Nations (TCNs)
APODs and sea ports of debarkation (SPODs) are operational
TCNs are self-sustaining for first 72 hours
Weather will remain favorable for duration of mission
No other contingencies for USPACOM for duration of mission
Host nation will be the CTF lead nation
Analyze HHQ Mission and IntentAnalyze HHQ Mission and IntentAnalyze HHQ Mission and IntentAnalyze HHQ Mission and Intent Political end statePolitical end state HHQ mission, intent, and HHQ mission, intent, and strategicstrategic military military
end stateend state Define and analyze the operations areaDefine and analyze the operations area Identify tasks from outside the military Identify tasks from outside the military
– National public statements National public statements
– National political influence: are there any National political influence: are there any limitations?limitations?
– International organizations (IO), non-International organizations (IO), non-governmental organizations (NGO), & regional governmental organizations (NGO), & regional organizations involvedorganizations involved
– Contracts with private businessesContracts with private businesses
Political end statePolitical end state HHQ mission, intent, and HHQ mission, intent, and strategicstrategic military military
end stateend state Define and analyze the operations areaDefine and analyze the operations area Identify tasks from outside the military Identify tasks from outside the military
– National public statements National public statements
– National political influence: are there any National political influence: are there any limitations?limitations?
– International organizations (IO), non-International organizations (IO), non-governmental organizations (NGO), & regional governmental organizations (NGO), & regional organizations involvedorganizations involved
– Contracts with private businessesContracts with private businesses
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force StructureAnalysisInitial Force StructureAnalysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Determine LimitationsDetermine LimitationsDetermine LimitationsDetermine Limitations
Limitations placed on the CTFLimitations placed on the CTF
– Constraints: Things the CTF Constraints: Things the CTF
must domust do
– Restraints: Things the CTF Restraints: Things the CTF
cannot docannot do
Imposed by higher headquartersImposed by higher headquarters
Implied by conditions, Implied by conditions,
circumstancescircumstances
Limitations placed on the CTFLimitations placed on the CTF
– Constraints: Things the CTF Constraints: Things the CTF
must domust do
– Restraints: Things the CTF Restraints: Things the CTF
cannot docannot do
Imposed by higher headquartersImposed by higher headquarters
Implied by conditions, Implied by conditions,
circumstancescircumstances
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Definition: Those characteristics, capabilities, or localities from which a military force derives its freedom of action, physical strength or will to fight.
Analyze both threat and friendly centers of gravity – Used as a tool to help determine strengths and
weaknesses
Some examples of friendly centers of gravity for HA / DR include:
– Airlift, speed of response, coalition cohesion
Definition: Those characteristics, capabilities, or localities from which a military force derives its freedom of action, physical strength or will to fight.
Analyze both threat and friendly centers of gravity – Used as a tool to help determine strengths and
weaknesses
Some examples of friendly centers of gravity for HA / DR include:
– Airlift, speed of response, coalition cohesion
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers Of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be PerformedIdentify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Conduct Initial Risk AssessmentConduct Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Identify TasksIdentify TasksIdentify TasksIdentify Tasks
SpecifiedSpecified -- Stated in the HHQ -- Stated in the HHQ directivedirective
ImpliedImplied -- Not stated, but -- Not stated, but necessary to do the missionnecessary to do the mission
EssentialEssential -- Of the above, those -- Of the above, those which must be done to achieve which must be done to achieve successsuccess
SpecifiedSpecified -- Stated in the HHQ -- Stated in the HHQ directivedirective
ImpliedImplied -- Not stated, but -- Not stated, but necessary to do the missionnecessary to do the mission
EssentialEssential -- Of the above, those -- Of the above, those which must be done to achieve which must be done to achieve successsuccess
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Conduct Initial Risk AssessmentConduct Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Mission Analysis WorksheetMission Analysis Worksheet
TasksTasks
Specified
Implied
Essential
(1) Conduct needs assessment(2) Deploy forces(3) Provide HA/DR support to host nation
(1) Coordinate with NGOs & IOs(2) Provide force protection
(1) Deploy forces(2) Provide HA/DR support to host nation(3) Provide force protection
Specified & Implied TasksSpecified & Implied TasksSpecified & Implied TasksSpecified & Implied Tasks
x
x
x
xx
x
x
x
x
x
TASK Army Navy AF USMC SOF
1. Initial Assessment
2. Coordinate w/ NGOs
3. Port security
4. Provide security for camps5. Provide temporary shelter
6. Provide ground transport
7. Distribute food & water
8. Provide air traffic control
All specified and implied All specified and implied tasks should be assigned to tasks should be assigned to
a CTF componenta CTF component
All specified and implied All specified and implied tasks should be assigned to tasks should be assigned to
a CTF componenta CTF component
Initial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure AnalysisInitial Force Structure Analysis
Capabilities required to Capabilities required to accomplish tasks? accomplish tasks?
What non-traditional / non-What non-traditional / non-military tasks can be performed military tasks can be performed by military forces? by military forces?
What coalition forces do we What coalition forces do we already have?already have?
What are the shortfalls?What are the shortfalls?
Capabilities required to Capabilities required to accomplish tasks? accomplish tasks?
What non-traditional / non-What non-traditional / non-military tasks can be performed military tasks can be performed by military forces? by military forces?
What coalition forces do we What coalition forces do we already have?already have?
What are the shortfalls?What are the shortfalls?
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Conduct Initial Risk AssessmentConduct Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Initial Risk AssessmentInitial Risk AssessmentInitial Risk AssessmentInitial Risk Assessment
What are the risks associated with What are the risks associated with the mission assigned by HHQ the mission assigned by HHQ (looting, mission creep)?(looting, mission creep)?
Do limitations, assigned tasks or Do limitations, assigned tasks or assumptions create risk? assumptions create risk?
What degree of risk is HHQ willing What degree of risk is HHQ willing to accept?to accept?
What can we do to minimize risk?What can we do to minimize risk?
What are the risks associated with What are the risks associated with the mission assigned by HHQ the mission assigned by HHQ (looting, mission creep)?(looting, mission creep)?
Do limitations, assigned tasks or Do limitations, assigned tasks or assumptions create risk? assumptions create risk?
What degree of risk is HHQ willing What degree of risk is HHQ willing to accept?to accept?
What can we do to minimize risk?What can we do to minimize risk?
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Conduct Initial RiskAssessment
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Determine the End StateDetermine the End State
Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Operational End StateOperational End StateOperational End StateOperational End StateAchieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends Achieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends
international efforts to protect interests in a situation. international efforts to protect interests in a situation.
The term The term end state simply represents the set of end state simply represents the set of
conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition
from predominant use of the military instrument of from predominant use of the military instrument of
national power to other instruments.national power to other instruments.
Achieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends Achieving the desired end state seldom, if ever, ends
international efforts to protect interests in a situation. international efforts to protect interests in a situation.
The term The term end state simply represents the set of end state simply represents the set of
conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition conditions necessary to resolve a crisis and transition
from predominant use of the military instrument of from predominant use of the military instrument of
national power to other instruments.national power to other instruments.
Determine End StateDetermine End StateDetermine End StateDetermine End State Review HHQ guidanceReview HHQ guidance Consider conditions for transition of the mission to Consider conditions for transition of the mission to
nonmilitary organizationsnonmilitary organizations Consider conditions necessary to support the population Consider conditions necessary to support the population
once military operations terminateonce military operations terminate Specifically describe and record end state conditions Specifically describe and record end state conditions
– Example HA / DR end state conditions: food Example HA / DR end state conditions: food distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, basic infrastructure restoredbasic infrastructure restored
Review HHQ guidanceReview HHQ guidance Consider conditions for transition of the mission to Consider conditions for transition of the mission to
nonmilitary organizationsnonmilitary organizations Consider conditions necessary to support the population Consider conditions necessary to support the population
once military operations terminateonce military operations terminate Specifically describe and record end state conditions Specifically describe and record end state conditions
– Example HA / DR end state conditions: food Example HA / DR end state conditions: food distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, distribution reestablished, refugee camps established, basic infrastructure restoredbasic infrastructure restored
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Conduct Initial RiskAssessmentDetermining the EndState
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission StatementDevelop Mission Statement
Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Restated MissionRestated MissionRestated MissionRestated Mission Who: CTF BAYANIHANWho: CTF BAYANIHAN
What: Essential tasksWhat: Essential tasks
When: When directed by HHQWhen: When directed by HHQ
Where: Combined operations areaWhere: Combined operations area
Why: Operational end stateWhy: Operational end state
Who: CTF BAYANIHANWho: CTF BAYANIHAN
What: Essential tasksWhat: Essential tasks
When: When directed by HHQWhen: When directed by HHQ
Where: Combined operations areaWhere: Combined operations area
Why: Operational end stateWhy: Operational end state
When directedWhen directed, CTF BAYANIHAN, CTF BAYANIHAN conducts conducts humanitarian assistance operationshumanitarian assistance operations in support of in support of the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected areas of the central Philippines in order to areas of the central Philippines in order to alleviate alleviate human suffering human suffering andand restore critical infrastructure restore critical infrastructure..
When directedWhen directed, CTF BAYANIHAN, CTF BAYANIHAN conducts conducts humanitarian assistance operationshumanitarian assistance operations in support of in support of the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected the Armed Forces of the Philippines in the affected areas of the central Philippines in order to areas of the central Philippines in order to alleviate alleviate human suffering human suffering andand restore critical infrastructure restore critical infrastructure..
Example CTF Mission StatementExample CTF Mission StatementExample CTF Mission StatementExample CTF Mission Statement
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Conduct Initial RiskAssessmentDetermining the EndState
Develop Mission Statement
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Purpose and agendaPurpose and agenda Area of operations (Combined Area of operations (Combined
Operations Area)Operations Area)
C2C2 Initial intelligence estimate Initial intelligence estimate Most probable future situationMost probable future situation Most challenging / dangerous Most challenging / dangerous
future situationfuture situation Center of Gravity AnalysisCenter of Gravity Analysis
Purpose and agendaPurpose and agenda Area of operations (Combined Area of operations (Combined
Operations Area)Operations Area)
C2C2 Initial intelligence estimate Initial intelligence estimate Most probable future situationMost probable future situation Most challenging / dangerous Most challenging / dangerous
future situationfuture situation Center of Gravity AnalysisCenter of Gravity Analysis
Chief of Staff or C3 / C5Chief of Staff or C3 / C5Chief of Staff or C3 / C5Chief of Staff or C3 / C5
Determine Centers of GravityDetermine Centers of Gravity
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission AnalysisBrief
Conduct Initial RiskAssessmentDetermining the EndState
Develop Mission Statement
Determine Centers of Gravity Determine Centers of Gravity
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Initial RiskAssessment
Analysis
Determine Centers of Gravity
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Mission Analysis Brief
Develop Mission Statement
Determine the End State
COS / C3 / C5COS / C3 / C5COS / C3 / C5COS / C3 / C5
HHQ mission, intent & concept HHQ mission, intent & concept of operationsof operations
Forces currently available (from Forces currently available (from all troop contributing nations)all troop contributing nations)
AssumptionsAssumptions Limitations - must do & cannot Limitations - must do & cannot
dodo Centers of gravity / decisive Centers of gravity / decisive
points - belligerent and friendlypoints - belligerent and friendly
HHQ mission, intent & concept HHQ mission, intent & concept of operationsof operations
Forces currently available (from Forces currently available (from all troop contributing nations)all troop contributing nations)
AssumptionsAssumptions Limitations - must do & cannot Limitations - must do & cannot
dodo Centers of gravity / decisive Centers of gravity / decisive
points - belligerent and friendlypoints - belligerent and friendly
Mission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis BriefMission Analysis Brief
Tasks to be performed:Tasks to be performed:
–SpecifiedSpecified
–ImpliedImplied
–EssentialEssential
Initial CTF force structure analysisInitial CTF force structure analysis
Risk assessmentRisk assessment
End stateEnd state
Proposed mission statementProposed mission statement
Time analysis - including projected Time analysis - including projected planning milestonesplanning milestones
Tasks to be performed:Tasks to be performed:
–SpecifiedSpecified
–ImpliedImplied
–EssentialEssential
Initial CTF force structure analysisInitial CTF force structure analysis
Risk assessmentRisk assessment
End stateEnd state
Proposed mission statementProposed mission statement
Time analysis - including projected Time analysis - including projected planning milestonesplanning milestones
Mission Analysis BriefC1 C1
C4C4
OthersOthers
C1 C1
C4C4
OthersOthers
Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– Personnel actionsPersonnel actions– Personnel servicesPersonnel services– Other personnel related supportOther personnel related support
Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– SupplySupply– ServicesServices– Health servicesHealth services– TransportationTransportation– OtherOther
Others as appropriate to the Others as appropriate to the missionmission
Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– Personnel actionsPersonnel actions– Personnel servicesPersonnel services– Other personnel related supportOther personnel related support
Facts, assumptions, conclusionsFacts, assumptions, conclusions– SupplySupply– ServicesServices– Health servicesHealth services– TransportationTransportation– OtherOther
Others as appropriate to the Others as appropriate to the missionmission
Crisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning ProcessCrisis Action Planning Process
I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis
I I Mission AnalysisMission Analysis
CCRRIISSIISS
CCRRIISSIISS
IISituationSituation
DevelopmentDevelopment
IISituationSituation
DevelopmentDevelopment
IIIICrisisCrisis
AssessmentAssessment
IIIICrisisCrisis
AssessmentAssessment
IVIVCourse of Course of
ActionActionSelectionSelection
IVIVCourse of Course of
ActionActionSelectionSelection
VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning
VVExecutionExecutionPlanningPlanning
WarningWarningOrderOrder
WarningWarningOrderOrder
PlanningPlanningOrderOrder
PlanningPlanningOrderOrder
AlertAlertOrderOrderAlertAlertOrderOrder
ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder
ExecuteExecuteOrderOrder
OPORD OPORD & &
Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base
OPORD OPORD & &
Deployment Deployment Data BaseData Base
VIVIExecutionExecution
VIVIExecutionExecution
And/orAnd/orAnd/orAnd/or
IIICourse of
ActionDevelopment
IIIICourse of ActionCourse of Action
DevelopmentDevelopmentIIIIII
Analysis of OpposingAnalysis of OpposingCourses of ActionCourses of Action
IIIIIIAnalysis of OpposingAnalysis of Opposing
Courses of ActionCourses of ActionIVIV
Comparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action
IVIVComparison of OwnComparison of OwnCourses of ActionCourses of Action VV
Commander’sCommander’sDecisionDecision
VVCommander’sCommander’s
DecisionDecision
Commander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate ProcessCommander’s Estimate Process
Identify Tasks to be Performed
Initial Force Structure Analysis
Initial Risk Assessment
Determine the End State
Develop Mission Statement
Task StepsTask StepsTask StepsTask Steps Determine the Facts
Develop Assumptions
Analyze Mission & Intent
Determine Limitations
Determine Centers of Gravity
Mission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission AnalysisMission Analysis Mission Analysis Brief
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