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Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
1
NL-Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment
“New accents in the field of work and income”
and SZW Policy agenda 2005
26 November 2004
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
2 Content:
1. The short term
2. The longer term
3. 2004-2007 policies
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
3
The short term
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
4 Economic growth
Economische groei (% BBP)
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
19
80
19
82
19
84
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
Nederland EU
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
5
Development of Employment and Unemployment
Groei werkgelegenheid en werkloosheid (* dzd personen, jaar-op-jaar)
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
2501
98
2
19
84
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
Verandering werkgelegenheid Verandering werkloosheid
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
6
Necessity of wage moderation in order to remain competitive
•Wage costs per unit product
96
100
104
108
112
116
1201
994
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
Ind
exci
jfers
(1
99
4=
10
0)
Nederland
Euroconcurrenten
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
7 Short term:
•Economic situation: - Low growth- Hardly or no rise of employment- Rising unemployment (to 550 thsnd in
2005)- Deteriorated competitivenes
•Necessary measures:– Responsible wage development– More dynamic labour market – Reforming the entrepreneurial climate – Improving the climate for innovation
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
8
The longer term
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
9
The Dutch welfare state under pressure: from inside and from outside
Ageing
Individualisation
Internationalisation Technologicaldevelopments
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
10
Labour Force Participation 1992 and 2003: by age and sex
Arbeidsparticipatie naar leeftijd en geslacht
0102030405060708090
1001
5-1
9
20
-24
25
-29
30
-34
35
-39
40
-44
45
-49
50
-54
55
-59
60
-64
2003 totaal 2003 mannen2003 vrouwen 1992 totaal
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
11
Demographic change: Number 65+ per 10 workers
2004 2040
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
12 A more activating social security
Outflow into employment as a percentage of total outflow from Unemplmt Benefit (WW),
1960-2002 (source SZW)
40
50
60
70
80
90
1960 1968 1976 1984 1992 2000
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
13
BBP/ hoofd (index, 1969=100) en arbeidsparticipatie m/ v (20-64 jaar, % )
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
19
69
19
72
19
75
19
78
19
81
19
84
19
87
19
90
19
93
19
96
19
99
20
02
20
05
Part
icip
ati
eg
raad
(%
)
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
BB
P/
ho
ofd
(1
96
9=
10
0)
Participatie mannen Participatie vrouwenBBP (2000=100)
BBP
More individual responsibility
•Highereducated population
•More families with two income earners
•More propsperity
mannen
vrouwen
/hoofd
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
14 What to learn from others?
More labour market flexibility creates many job opportunities.
Adequate social security facilitates labour mobility and an optimal search period
ALMP’s with a lot of emphasis on knowledge limits unemployment to a short term period
The Danish “golden triangle”
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
15 The Policy Philosophy
INCENTIVES
TAIlLORMADE
SUPPORT
PREVENTION
Solidity and solidarity
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
16
New accents in the field of work and income means concretely...
Fundamentally recalibrating the social security and labour market, more focused on:
•Activation: Work should pay!, Improving combinations of work and care, Improving the balance of rights and obligations in social security, training.
•Individual responsibility: make the individual increasingly responsible for the risks he/she can influence (like unemployment, sickness etc.), through individual saving and or insurances.
•Meer dynamism: less employment protection.
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
17
2004-2007 policies• Wage moderation
• Labour market policies
• Disability legislation (WAO)
• Unemployment Insurance (WW)
• Pre- and Early retirement schemes (VUT and prepension),
• life course arrangement
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
18 Labour market policies
•From target groups to general policies
•Removing obstacles for participation, for example the ‘poverty trap’
•Additional policies where necessary
•Increasing the effectiveness of reintegration courses
•Employing more sheltered employment workers in normal companies
•More attention to the idea of life long learning
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
19 The headlines in summary:
•More people longer active in employment
•Faster switches from benefit into employment
•Speedier adjustments
•More individual responsibility
Ministerie van Sociale Zakenen Werkgelegenheid
20 Gouden tijden voor cartoonisten…
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