medical device supply chain: an analysis of the supply chain metrics that matter

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Embracing Supply Chain

Metrics That Matter

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 2

Disclaimer: I am a Skeptic

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 3

A Social Scientist

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 4

A Fortune-teller of Sorts….

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 5

I Write for the Supply Chain Leader

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 6

Delivering Open Content To The Market

Today’s Supply Chain Is

Stuck

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 8

Descriptors Used by Leaders

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 9

Today, the healthcare supply chain is focused on

efficient sickness. With a focus on affordable care,

there is a movement towards health and wellness.

Who is the customer? Physician? Patient?

Current State

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 10

Long Term View

Industry Snapshots (2006-2013)

Industry

Year –over-

Year Revenue

Growth

Operating

Margin

Inventory

Turns

Cash-to-

Cash Cycle

Revenue per

Employee

(K$)

SG&A

Ratio

Retail Apparel Industry 18%

39%

0.39

27%

05

05%

68

26%

325

18%

27%

05%

Apparel Manufacturing Industry 14%

82%

0.12

32%

05

68%

150

08%

400

355%

27%

63%

Mass Retail Industry 09%

50%

0.06

20%

06

06%

03

148%

350

48%

23%

6%

Beverage Industry 09%

61%

0.19

16%

02

04%

53

46%

512

NC

24%

16%

Pharmaceutical Industry 08%

47%

0.23

29%

03

16%

155

47%

572

32%

27%

08%

Chemical Industry 08%

45%

0.10

10%

06

04%

87

23%

557

23%

14%

27%

Medical Device Industry 06%

38%

0.14

32%

02

13%

206

16%

351

12%

34%

04%

Grocery Retail Industry 06%

31%

0.03

37%

17

01%

10

50%

405

54%

14%

06%

Consumer Packaged Goods05%

25%

0.14

73%

08

482%

72

17%

333

14%

26%

09%

Food Industry 05%

55%

0.10

19%

07

17%

40

04%

534

55%

20%

18%

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2006-2013

Industry Average comprised of public companies (combined food & beverage industry: NAICS 3112% where % is any number from 0-9, 311320, 311520, 311821,

311941 & 312111), (chemical: NAICS 325188 & 325998), (consumer packaged goods: NAICS 3256% where % is any number from 0-9), (medical device

industry: NAICS 339112), (pharmaceutical industry: NAICS 325412) reporting in One Source with 20123annual sales greater than $1billion

NC=no change

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 11

Today’s Supply Chain Is Stuck

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 12

What Is a Supply Chain?

Drivers of Change

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 14

State of Healthcare

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 15

Within the Hospital

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 16

Supply Chain Risk

5 Fallacies

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 18

Fallacy #1 : Organizations Can Align

Supply Chain as a Function

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 20

Focus on Total Supply Chain Costs

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 21

Manage the Costs Like a Decathlete

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 22

Fallacy #2: A Project-based Focus

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 23

Fallacy #3: The Efficient Supply Chain is the Most

Effective

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 24

Bullwhip Effect

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 25

Fallacy #4: We Have Best Practices

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 26

Fallacy #5: Integration is the Answer Beyond the

Firewall

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 27

Confidence in ERP to Build Business Networks

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 28

Gaps in Supply Chain Visibility

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 29

Collaboration: The Right Stuff

Improving the Metrics

That Matter

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 31

What We Expected

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 32

A Supply Chain

is a Complex System

with Complex

Processes

with Increasing

Complexity

What We Learned….

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 33

The Supply Chain Effective Frontier

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 34

Correlations to Market Capitalization

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 35

Orbit Chart: Wal-Mart(Inventory Turns and Operating Margin)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 36

Orbit Chart: Apple (Inventory Turns and Operating Margin)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 37

Orbit Charts: Dow Chemical Company

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 38

Measuring Supply Chain Improvement

Overall Ranking per Company

• Balance: Return on Invested Capital & Revenue Growth Vector Trajectory (30%)

• Strength: Inventory Turns & Operating Margin Vector Trajectory (30% of score)

• Resiliency: Inventory Turns & Operating Margin Mean Distance (30%)

𝑺𝒖𝒑𝒑𝒍𝒚 𝑪𝒉𝒂𝒊𝒏 𝑰𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒙 =𝟏

𝟑𝑩𝒂𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 +

𝟏

𝟑𝑺𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒈𝒕𝒉 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 +

𝟏

𝟑𝑹𝒆𝒔𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒚 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 39

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2006-2014

2006

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

-0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60

Operating Margin

Eli Lilly and Company Novo Nordisk

2014NVO

0.31, 6.48

2014

2006

Best Scenario

LLY

0.24, 8.30

Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)

Inven

tory

Tu

rns

Novo Nordisk Making Progress

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 40

Path of Medical Device Supply Chains

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 41

Pharmaceutical

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 42

Medical Device

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 43

Supply Chains to Admire Methodology

PerformanceBeats the industry

average for operating

margin, inventory turns

and ROIC for 2006-

2014 and 2009-2014

ImprovementRanks above peer

group average on

The Supply Chain

Index for 2006-

2014 or 2009-2014

+

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 44

Supply Chains to Admire

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 45

Change the Metrics Focus

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 46

• Which metrics matter?

– Growth, operating margin, inventory turns, ROIC, customer

service (in the eyes of the customer)

• How do we get unstuck?

– Focus cross-functionally on a balanced portfolio. Bonus

employees against the portfolio.

– Augment with functional metrics focused on improving

RELIABILITY.

• What are the functional reliability metrics?

– Examples include: Forecasting, first pass yield, OEE, on-time

delivery, orders shipped complete, hands-free orders, schedule

attainment, safety metrics, employee turnover

Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 47

Our Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 51

About Lora Cecere

• Founder of Supply Chain Insights

• “LinkedIn Influencer”

• Guest blog for Forbes

• Author of 4 books: Bricks Matter (2012), Shaman’s Journal (2014),

Supply Chain Metrics That Matter (2014), Shaman’s Journal (2015)

• Partner at Altimeter Group (leader in open research)

• 7 years of Management Experience leading Analyst Teams at Gartner

and AMR Research

• 8 years Experience in Marketing and Selling Supply Chain Software at

Descartes Systems Group and Manugistics (now JDA)

• 15 Years Leading teams in Manufacturing and Distribution operations for

Clorox, Kraft/General Foods, Nestle/Dreyers Grand Ice Cream and

Procter & Gamble.

Contact Information: • Email: lora.cecere@supplychaininsights.com

• Blog: www.supplychainshaman.com (15,000 pageviews/month)

• Forbes: www.forbes.com/sites/loracecere

• Twitter: twitter.com/lcecere (6,800 followers)

• LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/loracecere (76,724 followers)

• LinkedIn Influencer: www.linkedin.com/today/author/446631

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2016, p. 52

Definition:

Metric Equations

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports (2000-2014)

Metric EquationsCash-to-Cash Cycles = (Avg. Inventory/COGS + Avg. Accounts Receivable/Sales - Avg. Accounts

Payable/Purchases)*91.5

Days of Inventory = (Average Inventory/COGS)*91.5

Days of Payables = (Average Accounts Payables/Purchases)*91.5

Days of Receivables = (Average Accounts Receivable/Sales)*91.5

Inventory Turns = (Cost of Sales/Average Inventory)

Operating Margin = (Operating Income/Revenue)

Return on Invested Capital = (Net Income/Invested Capital)

Return on Net Assets = (Trailing 12 Month Net Income/Total Assets from the most recent quarter)

Revenue Growth = (Quarterly Revenuei/Quarterly Revenuei-4 -1)

Revenue per Employees = (Revenue/Average Annual Employee)

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