manila, philippines 20 october 2011
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Manila, Philippines
20 October 2011
Main challenges in the Pacific subregion
Session 4: The MDGs in the Pacific Island Countries and Territories
International Conference on MDGS
Content
• Introduction• Data availability in the Pacific
– Assessment based on the MDG global database– Comparison country data vs. data in global MDG database
• Conclusion
2
Introduction
• Since 2004, ESCAP/ADB/UNDP have produced six regional reports on MDGs in Asia and the Pacific
• The progress assessments are based on data from the global database on official MDG Indicators
• Analysis of the trends determine whether countries are on or off track
Four categories are used:● Early achiever On track Off track-Slow Off track-No progress/regressing
3
Global database on official MDG Indicators
Ministries and statistical offices generate official
statistics
Data collected through surveys
carried out/sponsored by
international agencies
International agencies
4
Ministries and statistical offices generate official
statisticsData collected
from NSS
Data collected through surveys
carried out/sponsored by
international agencies
Data from surveys to fill gaps
Global MDG database
Adjustments and estimates to ensure
comparability
• Due to time lags and the necessary adjustments or estimation, discrepancies may occur between national and international data series
• Such discrepancies could result in differences in the assessment of a country’s progress in reaching certain MDG targets
The progress assessment
• The progress assessment for a given MDG target is produced on the basis of the trend since 1990
• It requires a minimum of two data points that are at least three years apart (sufficient for estimating trends)
• In this analysis country data contained in the MDG database as of 30 September 2011 has been reviewed
• The assessment excludes indicators of Goal 8
5More information on the progress assessment: http://www.unescap.org/stat/statpub/mdg-progress-classification/TN-01-progress-classification.pdf
Subregional picture
6
Situation in the Pacific
Only 57.64% met the data requirements to assess the progress
7
Situation in the Pacific
Type of data fromthe latest available point for the assessment
– Many data points are estimated or adjusted by internationalagencies
8
Goal
$1.2
5 pe
r da
y po
vert
y
Und
erw
eigh
t ch
ildre
n
Prim
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enro
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t
Rea
chin
g la
st g
rade
Prim
ary
com
plet
ion
Gen
der
prim
ary
Gen
der
seco
ndar
y
Gen
der
tert
iary
Und
er-5
mor
talit
y
Infa
nt m
orta
lity
Mat
erna
l mor
talit
y
Ski
lled
birt
h at
tend
ance
Ant
enat
al c
are
(? 1
vis
it)
HIV
pre
vale
nce
TB
inci
denc
e
TB
pre
vale
nce
For
est
cove
r
Pro
tect
ed a
rea
CO
2 em
issi
ons
OD
P s
ubst
ance
con
sum
ptio
n
Saf
e dr
inki
ng w
ater
Bas
ic s
anita
tion
American Samoa E E C ECook Islands C C C C E E CA E E C E G C E EFiji C C C C C E E M CA E E E C E G CFrench Polynesia E E C E G E EGuam E E C E E EKiribati E E C C E E CA CA E E C E G C E EMarshall Islands C C C C C E E CA E E C E G C E EMicronesia (F.S.) C E E CA E E C E G C E ENauru E C C E E E E E E G CNew Caledonia E E C E GNiue E C C E E CA E E E E G C E ENorthern Mariana Islands E E C E E EPalau C E E E E CA E E C E G C E EPapua New Guinea C C E E M CA CA E E E C E G C E ESamoa E C C C E E CA E E E E G C E ESolomon Islands C C C E E M CA E E C E G C E ETonga E C C C E E E CA E E C E G C E ETuvalu C C E E CA E E E E C E EVanuatu C C C C C C E E CA E E C E G C E E
Pac
ific
4 5 6 71 2 3
C – Country data; CA – Country adjusted; E – Estimated; M – Modeled; G – Global monitoring data;
Situation in the Pacific
Number of data points available forthe assessment
9
Goal
$1.2
5 pe
r da
y po
vert
y
Und
erw
eigh
t ch
ildre
n
Prim
ary
enro
lmen
t
Rea
chin
g la
st g
rade
Prim
ary
com
plet
ion
Gen
der
prim
ary
Gen
der
seco
ndar
y
Gen
der
tert
iary
Und
er-5
mor
talit
y
Infa
nt m
orta
lity
Mat
erna
l mor
talit
y
Ski
lled
birt
h at
tend
ance
Ant
enat
al c
are
(? 1
vis
it)
HIV
pre
vale
nce
TB
inci
denc
e
TB
pre
vale
nce
For
est
cove
r
Pro
tect
ed a
rea
CO
2 em
issi
ons
OD
P s
ubst
ance
con
sum
ptio
n
Saf
e dr
inki
ng w
ater
Bas
ic s
anita
tion
American Samoa 19 19 4 21Cook Islands 3 2 9 9 21 21 4 20 20 4 21 19 14 4 5Fiji 6 4 10 11 11 21 21 5 3 20 20 20 4 21 19 20French Polynesia 20 20 4 21 19 5 5Guam 20 20 4 21 5 5Kiribati 3 7 10 10 21 21 4 2 20 20 4 21 19 18 4 4Marshall Islands 3 3 8 11 9 21 21 2 20 20 4 21 19 20 5 5Micronesia (F.S.) 3 21 21 3 20 20 4 21 10 16 4 4Nauru 4 9 9 21 21 20 20 4 21 19 16New Caledonia 20 20 4 21 19Niue 4 5 5 21 21 5 19 20 4 21 19 14 5 5Northern Mariana Islands 20 20 4 21 5 4Palau 3 6 6 21 21 5 20 20 4 21 19 16 4 4Papua New Guinea 2 8 21 21 5 3 2 20 20 20 4 21 19 19 5 5Samoa 8 8 9 8 21 21 3 20 20 4 21 19 19 4 5Solomon Islands 4 10 10 21 21 5 3 20 20 4 21 19 20 3 3Tonga 5 6 9 7 6 21 21 4 20 20 4 21 19 16 4 5Tuvalu 7 8 21 21 4 20 20 4 21 18 5 5Vanuatu 2 7 4 9 12 9 21 21 4 20 20 4 21 19 16 5 4
1 2 3 4
Pac
ific
5 6 7
Situation in the Pacific
Year fromthe latest available point for the assessment
10
Goal
$1.2
5 pe
r da
y po
vert
y
Und
erw
eigh
t ch
ildre
n
Prim
ary
enro
lmen
t
Rea
chin
g la
st g
rade
Prim
ary
com
plet
ion
Gen
der
prim
ary
Gen
der
seco
ndar
y
Gen
der
tert
iary
Und
er-5
mor
talit
y
Infa
nt m
orta
lity
Mat
erna
l mor
talit
y
Ski
lled
birt
h at
tend
ance
Ant
enat
al c
are
(? 1
vis
it)
HIV
pre
vale
nce
TB
inci
denc
e
TB
pre
vale
nce
For
est
cove
r
Pro
tect
ed a
rea
CO
2 em
issi
ons
OD
P s
ubst
ance
con
sum
ptio
n
Saf
e dr
inki
ng w
ater
Bas
ic s
anita
tion
American Samoa 09 09 10 10Cook Islands 07 07 09 09 10 10 06 09 09 10 10 08 09 05 08Fiji 08 03 08 08 08 10 10 08 08 09 09 09 10 10 08 09French Polynesia 09 09 10 10 08 08 08Guam 09 09 10 10 08 08Kiribati 02 05 08 08 10 10 08 08 09 09 10 10 08 09 05 05Marshall Islands 07 08 09 09 09 10 10 07 09 09 10 10 08 09 08 08Micronesia (F.S.) 07 10 10 08 09 09 10 10 08 09 05 05Nauru 07 08 08 10 10 09 09 10 10 08 09New Caledonia 09 09 10 10 08Niue 05 05 05 10 10 08 08 09 10 10 08 09 08 08Northern Mariana Islands 09 09 10 10 08 05Palau 04 07 07 10 10 08 09 09 10 10 08 09 05 05Papua New Guinea 00 06 10 10 08 06 06 09 09 09 10 10 08 09 08 08Samoa 09 09 09 09 10 10 09 09 09 10 10 08 09 05 08Solomon Islands 07 07 07 10 10 08 07 09 09 10 10 08 09 05 05Tonga 06 06 06 06 04 10 10 08 09 09 10 10 08 09 08 08Tuvalu 06 06 10 10 07 09 09 10 10 09 08 08Vanuatu 07 05 08 09 09 09 10 10 07 09 09 10 10 08 09 08 08
Pac
ific
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Situation in the Pacific
Changes in data availability in timeby indicator
– However, data availability have increased substantiallybetween 2004 and 2011
11
2004 Dataset – downloaded on 23 November 2004; 2011 Dataset – downloaded 30 September 2011Both from the United Nations MDG Indicators database
Indicator
Number of countries without enough data for assessment
Percentage (%) of countries without enough data for assessment
Number of countries without enough data for assessment
Percentage (%) of countries without enough data for assessment
$1.25 per day poverty 19 100.0 19 100.0
Underweight children 19 100.0 18 98.2
Primary enrolment 13 89.1 11 85.5
Reaching last grade 17 96.4 16 94.5
Primary completion 13 89.1 7 78.2
Gender primary 13 89.1 5 74.5
Gender secondary 14 90.9 8 80.0
Under-5 mortality 6 76.4 5 74.5
Infant mortality 6 76.4 5 74.5
Skilled birth attendance 19 100.0 6 76.4
HIV prevalence 17 96.4 17 96.4
TB prevalence 19 100.0 0 65.5
Forest cover 4 72.7 0 65.5
Protected area 19 100.0 0 65.5
CO2 emissions 8 80.0 4 72.7
Safe drinking water 5 74.5 4 72.7
Basic sanitation 5 74.5 4 72.7
2004 Dataset(19 countries)
2011 Dataset(19 countries)
Situation in the Pacific
Changes in data availability in timeby country
12
2004 Dataset – downloaded on 23 November 2004; 2011 Dataset – downloaded 30 September 2011Both from the United Nations MDG Indicators database
American Samoa 16 94.1 14 82.4Cook Islands 11 64.7 4 23.5Fiji 8 47.1 4 23.5French Polynesia 14 82.4 11 64.7Guam 14 82.4 12 70.6Kiribati 11 64.7 4 23.5Marshall Islands 13 76.5 3 17.6Micronesia (F.S.) 12 70.6 7 41.2Nauru 14 82.4 8 47.1New Caledonia 16 94.1 13 76.5Niue 10 58.8 5 29.4Northern Mariana Islands 14 82.4 12 70.6Palau 11 64.7 5 29.4Papua New Guinea 5 29.4 5 29.4Samoa 7 41.2 4 23.5Solomon Islands 13 76.5 5 29.4Tonga 6 35.3 4 23.5Tuvalu 13 76.5 7 41.2Vanuatu 8 47.1 2 11.8
Pa
cific
2004 Dataset(17 indicators)
2011 Dataset(17 indicators)
Number of indicators with insufficient data for assessment
Percentage (%) of indicators with
insufficient data for assessment
Number of indicators with insufficient data for assessment
Percentage (%) of indicators with
insufficient data for assessment
Situation in the Pacific
• Countries generate their own data which are not always reflected in the
global MDG dataset• For example, Tonga
13Data for Tonga: http://www.spc.int/prism/country/to/stats/MDG/mdgind.htm
IndicatorNumber of
observationsNumber of
observations Remarks$1.25 per day poverty 2Underweight children * 2Primary enrolment 5 4 No coincidencesReaching last grade 1 4Primary completion 6Gender primary 9 4 No coincidencesGender secondary 7 4 No coincidencesGender tertiary 6 3 No coincidencesUnder-5 mortality 21 4 No coincidencesInfant mortality 21 7 No coincidencesMaternal mortality 4Skilled birth attendance 4 4 Some coincidencesAntenatal care (= 1 visit) 1 3TB incidence 20 5TB prevalence 20 5 No coincidencesForest cover 4 4 No coincidencesProtected area 21 1CO2 emissions 19 2 Some coincidencesODP substance consumption 16Safe drinking water 4 * 3 No coincidencesWater, urban 4 * 2 No coincidencesWater, rural 4 * 2 No coincidencesBasic sanitation 5 * 3 No coincidencesSanitation, urban 5 * 2 No coincidencesSanitation, rural 5
Global MDG dataset Country data
*First value before 1990
Challenges
• Improve coordination between countries and international agencies
• Reduce/understand the discrepancies between national and international data
14
Thank you
15
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