low-carbon energy: the race for global competitiveness christopher flavin worldwatch institute

Low-Carbon Energy:Low-Carbon Energy:The Race for Global The Race for Global

CompetitivenessCompetitivenessChristopher FlavinChristopher Flavin

Worldwatch InstituteWorldwatch Institute

The Business of CleantechThe Business of CleantechSault Ste. Marie, OntarioSault Ste. Marie, Ontario

31 March 201031 March 2010

Global Carbon Dioxide EmissionsGlobal Carbon Dioxide Emissions1908 - 20081908 - 2008

12 B

9 B

6 B

3 B

0

1908 1928 1948 1968 1988 2008

ton

sC/y

ear

DevelopedNations

DevelopedNations

Emer

ging E

conom

ies

Emer

ging E

conom

ies

Devel

opin

g Cou

ntrie

s

Devel

opin

g Cou

ntrie

sSource: CDIAC, WEO, C-ROADS

1-

Source: IEA WEO 2007

CO2 Emissions Per Capita by Country and Region

Carbon Intensity, Select Countries

(tons CO2/$GDP)

Source: CDIAC, CIA World Factbook

Carbon Intensity, Select States

(tons CO2/ $GDP)

Source: EIA, BEA

World Price of Oil: 1986 - World Price of Oil: 1986 - 20102010

Average Annual NYMEX Spot Price

$-

$20.00

$40.00

$60.00

$80.00

$100.00

$120.00

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

(YTD

)

$ pe

r bar

rel

Source: EIA

Average Energy Growth Average Energy Growth Rates by Source: 2003-2008Rates by Source: 2003-2008

Source: Worldwatch, BP.

Global Electricity from Global Electricity from Renewables Renewables 2002-2008 2002-2008

Source: NEF 2009

Renewable power generation additions as share of global power generation additions

Renewable generation as % of global power generation

World Wind CapacityWorld Wind Capacity1996-20081996-2008

Source: REN21 2009

World Biofuels ProductionWorld Biofuels Production1990-20081990-2008

Source: REN21 2009

World Solar PV CapacityWorld Solar PV Capacity1990-20081990-2008

Source: REN21 2009

Cost of New U.S. Power Cost of New U.S. Power Generation, 2008Generation, 2008

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Coal Natural Gas Nuclear Wind Solar

cen

ts p

er k

Wh

($2

007)

Construction O&M Fuel

Source: Black & Veatech (2007), EIA (2008), Keystone Center (2007), IEER (2008), E3 (2008).

Wind PotentialWind Potential

http://www.3tier.com

Solar PotentialSolar Potential

Renewable Electricity in Renewable Electricity in Germany 1990 - 2007Germany 1990 - 2007

Source: BMU 2009.

Map credit: NREL

Global Potential of Renewable Global Potential of Renewable ResourcesResources

Source: IEA, Johansson et al.

Stand-Alone Generationvs. Cogeneration

Source: EIA/ICF International

Cogeneration Share of National Power Generation

Source: IEA

U.S. New Appliance Energy Use 1972-2007

Source: ACEEE

Smart Grid

Source: DOE

Existing U.S. Generating Capacity by Initial Year of

Operation

Source: EIA

Renewable Revolution: Low-Carbon Energy by

2030

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