lectures in macroeconomics- charles w. upton the transition from communism

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Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton

The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

1989

• Berlin Wall falls in November 1989.

• By Christmas Poland, East Germany, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Rumania, Bulgaria, and Albania have eliminated Communist Governments.

The Transition from Communism

1990

• German Unification, October 1990.

The Transition from Communism

1991

• Soviet Union ends Christmas Day, 1991.

The Transition from Communism

The Puzzle

1tttt LKAY

The Transition from Communism

The Puzzle

1tttt LKAY

AMarxist Economies < AMarket Economies

The Transition from Communism

The Expected Pattern

Y

time

The Transition from Communism

The Expected Pattern

Y

time

The Transition from Communism

The Expected Pattern

Y

time

The Transition from Communism

The Actual Pattern

Y

time

The Transition from Communism

Issues

• Transition Problems

• Legal Systems

• Safety Net

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

• The Peoples Pizzeria to be privatized.

• Shares are transferred to someone– Cannot exercise managerial control– Whole organization is incompetent and

collapses in the light of privatization

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

AMP

APP

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

AMP

APP

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

AMP

APPTransition to new

businesses means a temporary decline in

productivity

The Transition from Communism

Managing Miller’s Pizzeria

• Limited knowledge of how one works in a market economy– Showing up on time

• Limited legal system– Cannot enforce contracts

• High level of Corruption

The Transition from Communism

The Stages of Transition

Feudalism

Capitalism

Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Stages of Transition

Feudalism

Capitalism

Communism

Communism

Chaos

Capitalism

The Transition from Communism

The Social Welfare System

• Hungary– 40% income tax– 40% social security tax– 24% VAT

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

42Forints

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

42Forints

9Forints VAT

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

42Forints

9Forints VAT

33Forints

The Transition from Communism

The Response

• Cheat– Work for yourself– Deduct everything

• Don’t Work Hard

• Corruption

The Transition from Communism

End

©2003 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved

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