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Knowledge Session
Samiya Mukhtar
20-01-12
Power Paradigm | Series I of III
POWER PARADIGM
SERIES I | Electricity Generation in Pakistann
SERIES I | Available Capacity
SERIES I | Actual Generation
SERIES I | Sources of Electricity
SERIES I | Cost of Generation
SERIES II | Electricity Consumption in Pakistan
SERIES II | Distribution of Electricity
SERIES II | Sales of Electricity
SERIES II | Current & Expected Demand of Electricity
SERIES II | The Subsidy
SERIES III | Power Sector of Pakistan
SERIES III | Refresher: Demand & Supply Dynamics
SERIES III | Regulatory bodies
SERIES III | Cost Comparison [ Long term perspective vs
Meeting Immediate needs]
SERIES III | Projects in Pipeline
SERIES III | Key Issues
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production Installed Annual Installed Production
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Thermal IPPs 6,016 3,815 6,035 3,989 6,218 3,974 7,322 4,433 8,587 4,845
Hydel WAPDA 6,444 3,635 6,444 3,258 6,444 3,155 6,444 3,188 6,444 3,643
Thermal GENCOs 4,832 2,468 4,899 2,341 4,900 2,230 4,885 2,239 4,885 1,611
Thermal KESC 1,756 933 1,756 989 1,846 943 1,946 909 1,821 893
Nuclear Two Nuclear plants 462 240 462 323 462 170 462 305 787 346
Thermal RPPs 150 24 286 107 336 123 172 78 453 192
Thermal Others (CPPs/SPPs) - 20 239 72 239 119 272 152 324 100
Hydel IPPs 30 11 111 15 111 62 111 64 111 35
Import Mainly from Iran - 20 - 30 - 30 - 31 - 34
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000 M
Ws
Source wise Electricity Generation Capacity & Actual Production over the years
ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL
Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Import - 20 - 30 - 30 - 31 - 34
Nuclear 462 240 462 323 462 170 462 305 787 346
Hydel 6,474 3,646 6,555 3,272 6,555 3,217 6,555 3,253 6,555 3,678
Thermal 12,754 7,259 13,215 7,499 13,539 7,390 14,597 7,811 16,070 7,641
Annual (MWhrs) 172,484,4 97,814,00 177,232,3 97,451,00 180,070,5 94,663,00 189,338,6 99,856,00 205,089,1 102,484,0
-
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
MW
MW
Eelectricity Generation by Fuel
FUEL WISE CONTRIBUTION IN THERMAL ELECTRICITY
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Coal 16 16 13 16 15
FO+HSD 3,019 3,416 2,912 4,069 4,092
GAS 4,224 4,067 4,464 3,727 3,324
GAS % 58.2% 54.2% 60.4% 47.7% 44.7%
FO+HSD % 41.6% 45.6% 39.4% 52.1% 55.1%
Coal % 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
MW
Contribution of fuel in production of thermal electricity
ELECTRICITY GENERATION (GENCOS & KESC)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Installed
capacity
Actual
production
Installed
capacity
Actual
production
Installed
capacity
Actual
production
Installed
capacity
Actual
production
Installed
capacity
Actual
production
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
MW
GENCOs vs KESC (Installed & Actual)
Gencos KESC
ELECTRICITY GENERATION OF ST-RFO/CC-DUAL FUEL BASED IPPS
0
2.5
5
7.5
10
12.5
15
17.5
20
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Saba Power LalPir PakGen HUBCO KAPCO (CC |Dual )
PK
R
MW
H
Electricity Generation of ST-RFO/CC-Dual Fuel based IPPs
Installed Units generated (MWH) Cost of Generation
ELECTRICITY GENERATION OF ENGINE BASED IPPS
0
9
18
27
36
45
0
50
100
150
200
250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011
Japan Power Southern Power KEL ATGL APL NPL LPTL HNP NCPL
PK
R M
WH
Electricity Generation of Engine based IPPs
Installed Units generated (MWH) Cost of Generation
ELECTRICITY GENERATION OF GAS BASED CC IPPS
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
07 08 09 10 11 07 08 09 10 11 07 08 09 10 11 07 08 09 10 11 07 08 09 10 11 09 10 11 11 11 11 11 11
Uch Roush TNBL Fauji Kabirwala Habibullah Altern (Engine) SECL Engro Saif OrientFPCDL
PK
R
Electricity Generation of Gas based CC IPPs
Installed Units generated (MWH) Cost of Generation
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Hydel 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.16 0.12 0.19 0.28 0.19 0.17
Nuclear 0.51 0.51 0.51 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12
Coal 2.7 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06
Gas 3.52 3.49 3.39 3.4 3.47 3.52 3.6 3.47 3.48 3.24 3.32 3.32
Import 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.26 4.26 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.29 4.26 4.26 8.57
Wind 9.12 9.12 9.12 9.12
Mixed 10.5 10.5 10.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5
HSD 16.23 16.23 16.23 16.24 14.2 14.94 14.83 15.55 14.23 15.63
RFO 9.81 10.08 10.19 10.21 10.39 10.91 11.37 12.14 13.22 14.09 14.73 14.76
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
PK
R
PK
R Fuel Cost
COST OF ELECTRICITY (FUEL COST)
WHO DECIDES HOW MUCH TO PRODUCE?
National Power Control Centre decides the operation and load dispatch of power plants:
Based on Merit | The Heat Rate
Merit Order for Power Generation Plants (2011)
Order Plant Fuel Type
Cost per unit (PKR)
1 Uch Gas 0.5
6 Saif Gas 2.7
7 Sapphire Electric Gas 2.7
8 Foundation Power Gas 2.8
9 KAPCO-I Gas 2.8
11 Engro Gas 3.0
13 KAPCO-II Gas 3.1
18 KAPCO-III Gas 3.4
33 Engro Mix 10.6
39 KAPCO-I RFO 12.8
41 HUBCO-N RFO 14.6
43 Atlas RFO 13.7
44 Nishat Power RFO 13.7
Merit Order for Power Generation Plants (2011)
Order Plant Fuel Type
Cost per unit (PKR)
45 Nishat Chunian RFO 13.7
46 Liberty Power RFO 13.8
47 KAPCO-II RFO 14.2
48 KEL RFO 14.2
52 HUBCO RFO 14.6
53 LalPir RFO 14.9
54 PakGen RFO 14.9
60 KAPCO-I HSD 17.1
61 Saif HSD 17.2
64 Engro HSD 18.2
65 KAPCO-II HSD 18.8
69 KAPCO-III HSD 19.8
74 GTPS Kotri 1-2 HSD 47.2
POWER PARADIGM | SERIES II
| Electricity Consumption in Pakistan
SERIES II | Distribution of Electricity
SERIES II | Sales of Electricity
SERIES II | Current & Expected Demand
SERIES II | The Subsidy
Units Produced Units Purchased Units Sold Losses
Units Billed Amount Billed Amount Realized
GoP applicable tariff Nepra tariff Difference
Per Capital Consumption Economic Segment wise consumption
Projected Consumption
THANK
YOU
Knowledge Session
Samiya Mukhtar
08-02-12
Power Paradigm | Series II of III
POWER PARADIGM
SERIES I | Electricity Generation in Pakistan
SERIES I | Available Capacity
SERIES I | Actual Generation
SERIES I | Sources of Electricity
SERIES I | Cost of Generation
SERIES II | Electricity Consumption in Pakistan
SERIES II | Distribution of Electricity
SERIES II | Sales of Electricity
SERIES II | The Subsidy
SERIES III | Power Sector of Pakistan
SERIES III | Refresher: Demand & Supply Dynamics
SERIES III | Regulatory bodies
SERIES III | Cost Comparison [ Long term perspective vs
Meeting Immediate needs]
SERIES III | Projects in Pipeline
SERIES III | Key Issues
REFRESHER | ELECTRICITY GENERATION
Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production Installed Production
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Import - 20 - 30 - 30 - 31 - 34
Nuclear 462 240 462 323 462 170 462 305 787 346
Hydel 6,474 3,646 6,555 3,272 6,555 3,217 6,555 3,253 6,555 3,678
Thermal 12,754 7,259 13,215 7,499 13,539 7,390 14,597 7,811 16,070 7,641
Annual (MWhrs) 172,484,4 97,814,00 177,232,3 97,451,00 180,070,5 94,663,00 189,338,6 99,856,00 205,089,1 102,484,0
-
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
MW
MW
GW
MW
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Hydel 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.1 0.16 0.12 0.19 0.28 0.19 0.17
Nuclear 0.51 0.51 0.51 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12
Coal 2.7 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06
Gas 3.52 3.49 3.39 3.4 3.47 3.52 3.6 3.47 3.48 3.24 3.32 3.32
Import 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.26 4.26 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.29 4.26 4.26 8.57
Wind 9.12 9.12 9.12 9.12
Mixed 10.5 10.5 10.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5
HSD 16.23 16.23 16.23 16.24 14.2 14.94 14.83 15.55 14.23 15.63
RFO 9.81 10.08 10.19 10.21 10.39 10.91 11.37 12.14 13.22 14.09 14.73 14.76
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
PK
R
PK
R
Fuel Cost
REFRESHER |COST OF ELECTRICITY
Average cost
in PKR
%
production
Per Unit
Production Cost
Hydel 0.2 35% 0.1
Coal 3.0 0% 0.0
HSD 15.4 0% 0.1
RFO 11.8 35% 4.1
Gas 3.4 25% 0.9
Nuclear 1.0 3% 0.0
Import 4.6 0% 0.0
Mixed 11.3 1% 0.1
Wind 9.1 0% 0.0
5.24*
Add | Cap Charges / Unit | 1.82
Electricity Procurement Price | 7.06
* PKR 5.62 as per CPPA procurement report
31% 25% 27%
31% 25%
38%
49%
42% 45% 43%
33% 34%
40% 48% 45% 37%
43%
30%
16% 31% 27%
25% 36% 36%
25% 25% 25% 27% 28% 26% 26%
22% 24% 27% 26% 25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month wise consumption of fuel (FY11)
Coal HSD RFO Hydel Gas Nuclear Import Mixed
MONTH WISE FUEL CONSUMPTION
Budgeted Generation Budgeted Energy Cost Per Unit G. Cost
GW PKR in mln PKR in mln
Generation % Energy Charges %
Thermal -RFO 33,329 35.8 491,711 76.6 14.8
Hydel 28,114 30.2 4,833 0.8 0.2
Thermal -Gas 23,978 25.8 96,902 15.1 4.0
Nuclear 4,803 5.2 5,375 0.8 1.1
HSD 1,863 2.0 33,610 5.2 18.0
Mixed 585 0.6 6,724 1.0 11.5
Import from Iran 260 0.3 2,261 0.4 8.7
Coal 76 0.1 232 0.0 3.1
Wind 8 0.0 69 0.0 8.6
93,016 100% 641,717 100% 6.9
PROJECTED GENERATION & COST OF GENERATION (FY12)
Capacity Charges 169,582
Total Generation Cost 811,299
Per Unit Cost 8.72
LESCO MEPCO KESC PESCO FESCO IESCO GEPCO HESCO QESCO
Others 5 6 163 11 6 1,031 1 27 -
Bulk Supply 416 159 955 533 236 636 268 218 107
Public Light 96 24 82 21 7 93 8 101 4
Agriculture 1,062 2,105 125 375 848 90 319 783 3,265
Commercial 1,225 612 1,043 542 499 896 429 386 94
Domestic 5,900 4,982 4,257 5,577 3,923 3,367 3,632 3,128 464
Industrial 6,036 2,302 3,447 1,653 3,079 1,561 1,783 1,170 114
Total 14,740 10,190 10,072 8,712 8,598 7,674 6,440 5,813 4,048
14,740
10,190 10,072
8,712 8,598
7,674
6,440
5,813
4,048
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
% of Total 19% 13% 13% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 5%
DISCO WISE ELECTRICITY SUPPLY TO COUNTRY G
WH
GW
H
Domestic
46.2%
Industrial
27.7%
Commercial
7.5%
Agriculture
11.8%
Public Light
0.6%
Bulk Supply
4.6% Others
1.6%
Segment wise Electricity Consumption
ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN PAKISTAN
TRANSMISSION LOSSES
Energy Produced
[PEPCO System (GW)
EPP chargable
(PKR in mln)
Energy Sold
(GW) Per Unit cost
Transmission loss Tranmission loss Tranmission loss
no of units (GW) PKR in mln %
Jul-10 9,022 40,289 8,734 4.61 (285,) (1,314) (3.2%)
Aug-10 8,940 32,880 8,729 3.77 (210) (791) (2.3%)
Sep-10 8,202 32,793 7,983 4.11 (217,) (891) (2.6%)
Oct-10 7,701 35,867 7,493 4.79 (205) (981) (2.7%)
Nov-10 6,556 27,082 6,393 4.24 (160) (677) (2.4%)
Dec-10 6,650 37,276 6,405 5.82 (240) (1,401) (3.6%)
Jan-11 6,361 47,434 6,145 7.72 (212) (1,638) (3.3%)
Feb-11 5,709 35,597 5,545 6.42 (158) (1,020) (2.8%)
Mar-11 6,671 46,305 6,462 7.17 (205) (1,472) (3.1%)
Apr-11 6,715 48,738 6,555 7.43 (156) (1,166) (2.3%)
May-11 8,815 53,472 8,493 6.30 (318) (2,006) (3.6%)
Jun-11 9,133 55,778 8,798 6.34 (329) (2,091) (3.6%)
-
Annual
90,481 493,518 87,740 7.44 (2,741) (20,100) (3.0%)
KESC and
others
12,003 65,534
9,821 7.44 (2,079) (15,480) (3.0%)
Units Purchased Units Sold/Billed Dist Losses Amount Lost
PESCO 13,396 8,712 (35%) (37,132)
IESCO 8,502 7,674 (-10%) (7,230)
GEPCO 7,314 6,439 (-12%) (7,624)
LESCO 16,995 14,741 (-13%) (21,177)
FESCO 9,685 8,596 (-11%) (9,411)
MEPCO 12,471 10,189 (-18%) (18,955)
HESCO 8,784 5,814 (-34%) (27,228)
QESCO 5,084 4,048 (-20%) (7,997)
KESC 15,433 10,072 (-35%) (56,961)
97,664 76,285 (-22%) (190,903)
DISCO WISE DISTRIBUTION LOSSES
Accounting for 12% T&D Losses : (87,408)
DISCO WISE RECOVERIES
Units Sold/Billed Amount Billed Amount Realized Recovery Ratio Amount Lost
PESCO
8,712
69,065
54,146 78.4%
(14,919)
IESCO
7,674
67,015
62,580 93.4%
(4,435)
GEPCO
6,439
56,111
55,459 98.8%
(652)
LESCO
14,741
138,501
135,872 98.1%
(2,629)
FESCO
8,596
74,289
74,111 99.8%
(178)
MEPCO
10,189
84,637
82,922 98.0%
(1,715)
HESCO
5,814
53,302
31,501 59.1%
(21,801)
QESCO
4,048
31,250
12,810 41.0%
(18,440)
KESC
10,072
107,016
91,559 85.6%
(15,457)
76,285
681,186
600,960 88.2%
(80,226)
No. of units
received 67,092
(67,360)
PEPCO SYSTEM
Units Purchased Units Sold/Billed Units Lost Sales Price
2007 77817 62674 (25,163) 4.1
2008 77475 62719 (23,549) 4.7
2009 74795 60263 (24,081) 5.2
2010 79118 63656 (25,562) 6.3
2011 82231 66213 (26,235) 8.9
KESC
2007 14877 9366 (611) 4.7
2008 15189 10051 (1,132) 5.1
2009 15267 9396 (923) 6.2
2010 15806 9905 (733) 7.1
2011 15433 10072 36 8.3
Total
2007 92694 72040 (25,774) 4.2
2008 92664 72770 (24,681) 4.8
2009 90062 69659 (25,004) 5.3
2010 94924 73561 (26,295) 6.4
2011 97664 76285 (26,199) 8.8
DISCO WISE ELECTRICITY SUPPLY TO COUNTRY
Units
Purchased
Units
Sold/Billed Amount Billed Amount Realized
Recove
ry Ratio Amount Lost
PESCO 13396
8,712
69,065
54,146 78.4%
(14,919)
IESCO 8502
7,674
67,015
62,580 93.4%
(4,435)
GEPCO 7314
6,439
56,111
55,459 98.8%
(652)
LESCO 16995
14,741
138,501
135,872 98.1%
(2,629)
FESCO 9685
8,596
74,289
74,111 99.8%
(178)
MEPCO 12471
10,189
84,637
82,922 98.0%
(1,715)
HESCO 8784
5,814
53,302
31,501 59.1%
(21,801)
QESCO 5084
4,048
31,250
12,810 41.0%
(18,440)
KESC 15433
10,072
107,016
91,559 85.6%
(15,457)
97,664
76,285
681,186
600,960 88.2%
(80,226)
RECOVERIES
SUBSIDIES
Country
Description 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-2010 2010-2011
Tariff Determined by
NEPRA (Rs./kwh) 4.73 5.77 8.63 8.63 8.95
Tariff Notified by GOP
(Rs./kwh) 4.43 4.74 5.52 5.57 7.33
Subsidy Rs./kWh) 0.30 1.02 3.11 3.06 1.62
TRANSITION
GW Units Units Lost PKR GoP Money
PKR in mln
Annual Production 102,484
Units Purchased by CPPA/PEPCO/NTDC 90,481
KESC own production 7,826
CPPs connected to KESC System 2,183
CPPs connected to PEPCO System 1,993
(4,820) 5.62
Units transmitted for distribution 97,664 (4,820) 7.44 (35,884)
Units Purchased by DISCOS 82,231
Units Purchased by KESC 15,433
(21,379) 8.95
Units reached to Identifiable consumers 76,285 (9,766) 8.95 (87,409)
From DISCOS 66,213
From KESC 10,072
(9,193) 7.33 (67,360)
Units against which Bills are received 67,092
From DISCOS 58,474
From KESC 8,617
(35,392)
Transmission, Distribution & Theft Losses (190,653)
Subsidy 102,484 (1.62) (166,291)
Circular Debt (356,943)
WHAT IS AT CONTINUOUSLY AT STAKE??????
THANK
YOU
Knowledge Session
Samiya Mukhtar
06-03-12
Power Paradigm | Series III of III
POWER PARADIGM
SERIES I | Electricity Generation in Pakistan
SERIES I | Available Capacity
SERIES I | Actual Generation
SERIES I | Sources of Electricity
SERIES I | Cost of Generation
SERIES II | Electricity Consumption in Pakistan
SERIES II | Distribution of Electricity
SERIES II | Sales of Electricity
SERIES II | The Subsidy
SERIES III | Power Sector of Pakistan
SERIES III | Refresher: Demand & Supply Dynamics
SERIES III | Regulatory bodies
SERIES III | Cost Comparison [ Long term perspective vs
Meeting Immediate needs]
SERIES III | Projects in Pipeline
SERIES III | Key Issues
NEPRA TARIFF AS ON 30-06.2011
GOP TARIFF AS ON 30.06.2011 (For All DISCOS)
Source: State of Industry Report +Annual Budgets -FY12 (DISCOS)
Avg Sales Mix%
FC VC
Residential 42.5%
For Sanctioned Load less than 5KW
Upto 50 units 3.2% 1.87
For consumption exceeding 50 Units 0.0%
01-100 17.5% 4.54
101-300 14.5% 6.86
301-700 5.2% 10.65
>700 1.7% 13.29
For Sanctioned Load above 5KW 0.0%
ToU - Peak 0.1% 12.25
ToU - Off-Peak 0.3% 6.7
NEPRA TARIFF AS ON 30-06.2011
GOP TARIFF AS ON 30.06.2011 (For All DISCOS)
Source: State of Industry Report +Annual Budgets -FY12 (DISCOS)
Avg Sales Mix%
FC VC
Commercial 7.1%
For Sanctioned Load less than 5KW 3.8% 13
For Sanctioned Load above 5KW 0.0%
Regular 0.8% 367 8.14
ToU - Peak 0.4% 11.49
ToU - Off-Peak 2.1% 367 6.5
INDUSTRIAL 23.6%
B1 Less than 5KW 1.9% 8.9
B1 TOU (Peak) 0.0% 12.25
B1 TOU (Off-Peak) 0.2% 6.7
B2 -500KW 2.7% 367 7.59
B2 - ToU (Peak) 0.6% 11.08
B2 - ToU (Off-Peak) 3.6% 367 6.5
B2 - ToU (Peak) 1.0% 10.99
B3 - TOU (Off-Peak) 9.0% 356 6.25
B4 -TOU (Peak) at 66KV 0.7% 10.69
B4- TOU (off-Peak) 3.9% 343 5.97
NEPRA TARIFF AS ON 30-06.2011 GOP TARIFF AS ON 30.06.2011 (For All
DISCOS) Source: State of Industry Report +Annual Budgets -FY12 (DISCOS)
Avg Sales Mix% FC VC
BULK SUPPLY 3.1%
C1 a Supply at 400 Volts - less than 5KW 0.0% 9.9
C1 b Supply at 400 Volts - 5KW & above 0.5% 367 8.75
ToU - Peak 0.0% 11.31
ToU - Off Peak 0.1% 367 6.5
C2 Supply at 11KV 1.3% 356 8.65
ToU - Peak 0.1% 10.91
ToU - Off Peak 0.7% 356 6.25
C2 Supply above 11KV 0.2% 343 8.51
ToU - Peak 0.0% 10.51
ToU - Off Peak 0.2% 343 5.87
AGRICULTURE 17.3%
SCARP 1.9% 8.47
AgriculturalTube wells 10.3% 105 5.31
ToU - Peak 0.8% 10.11
ToU - Off Peak 4.0% 200 4.55
PUBLIC LIGHTING 6.9% 12
RESIDENTIAL COLONIES ATT, TO INDUSTRIES 0.2% 11.22
RAILWAY TRACTION 0.0% 9.96
AJK 5.5% 343 4.21
ToU - Peak 0.2% 11.59
ToU - Off Peak 1.0% 343 6.41
POWER PARADIGM
Electricity Demand Vs Supply Electricity Generation Electricity Distribution
Maximum Electricity Demand in the country Intalled Capacity vs Actual Production (MW per hour) DISCO wise consumers (numbers in mln)
2009 2010 2011
2009 2010 2011 %
2009 2010 2011 Hydel 6,555 6,555 6,555 PESCO 2.7 2.9 3.0 14%
Country 21,343.0 21,850.0 22,765.0 Actual 49% 50% 56% IESCO 2.0 2.1 2.1 10%
GEPCO 2.4 2.5 2.6 11%
Thermal 13,539 14,597 16,070 LESCO 3.0 3.2 3.3 15%
Supply/Deficit in Demand & Supply during System Peak Hours (MW) Actual 55% 54% 48% FESCO 2.8 2.9 3.0 13%
MEPCO 3.8 4.1 4.2 19%
Nuclear 462 462 787 HESCO 1.5 1.5 1.5 7%
2009 2010 2011 Nuclear 37% 66% 44% QESCO 0.5 0.5 0.5 2%
Generation Capability 16,040 15,144 15,430 KESC 2.0 2.1 2.1 9%
Demand During Peak Hours 20,314 21,029 21,086 Import 30 31 34 Total 20.7 21.6 22.4 100%
Surplus/Deficit (4,156) (5,547) (5,000) Growth 3.7% 4.7% 3.6%
Total Installed Capacity 20,556 21,614 23,412
2012 2013 2014 Growth 2% 5% 8% Segment wise consumption
Planned Generation Capability 21,746 24,212 25,081 Total Actual Production 10,777 11,368 11,665 Domestic Commercial Industrial Agriculture Public Light Bulk Supply Others Total
Projected Demand Growth Rate (NTDC) 8% 7% 7% Growth -3% 5% 3% LESCO 5,900 1,225 6,036 1,062 96 416 5 14,740 19%
Projected Demand 25,284 27,092 29,032 Actual vs Installed 52% 53% 50% MEPCO 4,982 612 2,302 2,105 24 159 6 10,190 13%
Surplus/Deficit (3,538) (2,880) (3,951) KESC 4,257 1,043 3,447 125 82 955 163 10,072 13%
Total Available Electricity in MWH 10,806 11,399 11,699 PESCO 5,577 542 1,653 375 21 533 11 8,712 11%
Total Available Electricity in Mln Units 94,663 99,856 102,484 FESCO 3,923 499 3,079 848 7 236 6 8,598 11%
IESCO 3,367 896 1,561 90 93 636 1,031 7,674 10%
Power Generation Projects in Pipeline (2013 - 2017) Weighted Average Production Cost during FY11 GEPCO 3,632 429 1,783 319 8 268 1 6,440 8%
HESCO 3,128 386 1,170 783 101 218 27 5,813 8%
No Capacity (MW) Expected Cost Expected Cost/MW Average cost in PKR
% production
WA Production Cost/ Per
Unit
QESCO 464 94 114 3,265 4 107 - 4,048 5%
Total 35,230 5,726 21,145 8,972 436 3,528 1,250 76,287 100%
46% 8% 28% 12% 1% 5% 2% 100%
Public Sector RFO 11.8 35% 4.1
Hydel 12 2,358 96,282 40.8 Gas 3.4 25% 0.9 Transmission & Distribution
Private Sector Hydel 0.2 35% 0.1 GW Units Units Lost PKR GoP Money
Oil Based 8 997 1,151 1.2 HSD 15.4 0% 0.1
Pipeline Quality Gas 1 140 140 1.0 Mixed 11.3 1% 0.1 Annual Production 102,484.00
Dedicated Gas Fields 3 621 780 1.3 Coal 3 0% 0.0
Hydel 16 5,271 10,096 1.9 Nuclear 1 3% 0.0
Units Purchased by
CPPA/PEPCO/NTDC 0.09
Coal 7 1,725 2,536 1.5 Import 4.6 0% 0.0 KESC own production 7,826.00
NAPHTA 2 404 404 1.0 Wind 9.1 0% 0.0 CPPs connected to KESC System 2,183.00
Total 37 9,158 15,107 1.6 5.24
CPPs connected to PEPCO
System 92,474.91
(4,820) 5.62
Cap Charges paid to thermal units 1.82
Units transmitted for
distribution 97,664.00 (4,820) 7.44 (35,884)
Electricity Procurement Price 7.06 Units Purchased by DISCOS 82,231.00
Units Purchased by KESC 15,433.00
(21,379) 8.95
Units reached to Identifiable
consumers 76,285.00 (9,766) 8.95 (87,409)
From DISCOS 66,213.00
From KESC 10,072.00
(9,193) 7.33 (67,360)
Units against which Bills are
received 67,092.16
From DISCOS 58,474.92
From KESC 8,617.24
(35,392)
Total T&D Losses (190,653)
Subsidy 102,484 (1.62) (166,291)
Circular Debt (356,943)
POWER PARADIGM
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