kevin delaney (irish epa) jenny stocker,

FAIRMODE, October 2019

FAIRMODE

October 2019

CIEMAT-Madrid

Kevin Delaney (Irish EPA) Jenny Stocker,

Matthew Williams, Charlotte Aves (CERC)

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Contents

Context

Monitoring Sites

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban) inputs

Verification

DELTA Tool

Results

Contour plots

Pilot study progress summary

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Monitoring Sites

Type:

4 roadside

2 suburban

5 urban background

25 diffusion tubes (2017 only)

Temporal data capture:

Mostly hourly

Some daily PM

Automatic Monitoring Sites and Diffusion Tubes in Dublin, 2015 & 2017

National Ambient Air

Quality Network

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³), 2017

No Data

< 18

18 - 28

Diffusion Tubes

0 2 4 61km

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³), 2017

No Data

< 18

18 - 28

Diffusion Tubes

0 2 4 61km

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Monitoring Sites

Diffusion Tube Sites, 2017

EPA data

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

> 60

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

> 60

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Emissions:

Road traffic emissions

Industrial emissions

National Emissions mapping model

Meteorological data

Background pollutant data

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban): Inputs

DCC SCATS traffic

management system

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 1.5 3 4.50.75Kilometers

Industrial Sources

Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community

0 2 4 61Kilometers

Roads < 2500 AADT

Roads > 2500 AADT

AADT

2, 500 - 10, 000

10, 000 - 50, 000

50, 000 - 75, 000

> 75, 000

Modelled traffic (as used by noise model)

Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS user community

0 2 4 61km

Roads < 2500 AADT

Roads > 2500 AADT

AADT

2, 500 - 10, 000

10, 000 - 50, 000

50, 000 - 75, 000

> 75, 000

EPA

Diurnal profiles for road traffic emissions (data from Transport Infrastructure Ireland)

Explicitly modelled industrial sources

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 2 4 61Kilometers

Industrial Sources

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Aarhus University - MapEIre: https://projects.au.dk/mapeire/

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban): InputsMapEIre 1-km grids, Dublin

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 2 4 6 8 101Kilometers

Small Combustion Sectors

NOx (tonnes/yr)

< 2

2 - 5

5 - 10

10 - 20

> 20

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

0 2 4 6 8 101Kilometers

Small Combustion Sectors

NOx (tonnes/yr)

< 2

2 - 5

5 - 10

10 - 20

> 20

Emissions:

Road traffic emissions

Industrial emissions

National Emissions mapping model

Meteorological data

Background pollutant data

1 km data for all sectors (power, industry, other stationary combustion, solvents, road transport, off-road transport, fugitive emissions, waste, aviation, shipping, livestock, other agriculture, land use)

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Dispersion model (ADMS-Urban): Inputs

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

130°

140°

150°

160°170°180°190°

200°

210°

220°

230°

240°

250°

260°

270°

280°

290°

300°

310°

320°

330°

340°350°

300

600

900

1200

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

130°

140°

150°

160°170°180°190°

200°

210°

220°

230°

240°

250°

260°

270°

280°

290°

300°

310°

320°

330°

340°350°

300

600

900

1200

Casement 2015 Dispersion Sites

Met Sites

5.1 m/s 4.0 m/s

Emissions

Meteorological data:

Casement Airport

Background pollutant data NOx

44 µg/m³

PM10 4.7 µg/m³

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Model verification: Delta Tool

NO2PM10

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Model verification: Delta Tool

Winetavern Street records the highest NO2 out of the reference monitors;

poor correlation likely related to diurnal traffic flow uncertainty

FAIRMODE, October 2019

EU Composite Map showing results

2015 NO2

FAIRMODE, October 2019

EU Composite Map showing results

2015 NO2

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Model comparisons with diffusion tubes

2017 NO2: model and diffusion tubes

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

±

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

60 - 100

> 100

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

±

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m³)

< 28

28 - 30

30 - 35

35 - 38

38 - 40

40 - 45

45 - 50

50 - 60

60 - 100

> 100

0 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Modelled exceedance areas

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m3)

< 40

> 400 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

© OpenStreetMap (and) contributors, CC-BY-SA

Annual Average NO2 (µg/m3)

< 40

> 400 500 1,000 1,500250Meters

2017 NO2: modelled areas of

exceedence

FAIRMODE, October 2019

Progress in relation to pilot exercise