keeping the promise of sustainable growth, today and tomorrow
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C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Keeping the Promise of Sustainable Growth,
Today and Tomorrow
Beijing, ChinaOctober 19, 2007
Ren Wang
Director, CGIAR
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Overview
• Global trends and implications
• Evidence of progress toward sustainable agriculture
• Rising to new challenges
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Cereal Demand: developing world to account for 2/3 by 2020
1974 1997 2020 Baseline0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000Million metric tons
Industrialized world
Developing world
664
560
822725
1,118
1,675
Source: IFPRI Impact Projection, 2001
Rising Food Demand in Response to Population Growth and Urbanization
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Biofuels Revolution – Competing Uses and Higher Prices for Crops
• Are win-win solutions possible?
• New pressures on agriculture and its resource base
• Opportunities and threats for the poor
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Integrated Food Chains – Opportunities and Risks for Farmers
• “Supermarketization” of agriculture presents both challenges and risks for farmers
•How can agricultural research help small farmers compete in markets?
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Agriculture and Human Health – Novel Approaches
• Crop biofortification: Improving the micronutrient content of basic staples
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Emerging Disease Epidemics – Threats to Food Security and
Livelihoods
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Intensification of Agricultural Production Versus Environmental Sustainability
Fertilizer-N consumption in the world increased by 7 times during 1961-2002 (FAO 2004),
Year1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005
N c
on
su
mp
tio
n (
Millio
n t
on
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
The societal costs associated with inefficient, excessive N use would increase tremendously.
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Climate Change – Can Agriculture Cope?
• Reduced crop productivity
• More frequent extreme weather events
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
CGIAR Around the GlobeIFPRIWash, DCUSA
CIMMYTMexico CityMexico
CIPLimaPeru CIAT
CaliColombia
Africa Rice Center-WARDACotonouBenin
ILRINairobiKenya
IITAIbadanNigeria
IWMIColomboSri Lanka
ICARDAAleppoSyrian Arab Rep. ICRISAT
PatancheruIndia IRRI
Los BañosPhilippines
WorldFishPenangMalaysia
CIFORBogorIndonesia
World AgroforestryNairobiKenya
BioversityInternational
RomeItaly
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
CGIAR’s Evolving Research Agenda
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Record of Achievement• For every dollar invested in CGIAR-supported
research since 1971, US$9 worth of additional food has been produced.
• More than 75,000 developing country researchers have received training at CGIAR Centers.
• Without CGIAR research, world food production would be 4 to 5 percent lower, and more than 13 million more children would be malnourished.
Source: R.E. Evenson and M. Rosegrant. 2003. The Economic Consequences of Crop Genetic Improvement Programmes. In R.E. Evenson and D. Gollin, eds. Crop Variety Improvement and its Effect on Productivity: The Impact of International Agricultural Research. CABI Publishing. Wallingford, UK.
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Documenting the Impact of Improved NRM
• “Zero-Till” Technology
• Rice-wheat research consortium in South Asia responds to a slowdown in productivity growth.
• Collaborative efforts to promote resource-conserving technology lead to wide adoption in India, Pakistan and other countries.
• Benefits include higher crop yields, lower production costs and savings in water and energy.
• Total economic gains for consumers and farmers estimated at US$94 million, compared to research costs of $3.5 million.
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
A case study in Vietnam
Accelerating poverty elimination through sustainable resource
management in coastal lands protected from
salinity intrusion
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Reducing Poverty through Better Resource Management
A Case Study in Vietnam’s Coastal Lands
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Not all effects are positive or desirable
Rice intensification expanded ...
… at the expense of shrimp farming
… but increasingly into acid sulfate soils
CGIAR research involving IRRI, Worldfish and IWMI in collaboration with local partners using GIS-modeling support to analyze & understand underlying constraints in productivity & sustainability issues, and designed win-win solution policy recommendations.
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Improved Smallholder Livestock Production in Kenya
• Strengthened capacity to market milk products
• Integration of crops and livestock to raise yields and improve soils
• New vaccines against East Coast fever and trypanosomiasis
• Participatory analysis of development trade-offs in wildlife-rich rangelands
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to the Global Trends
• Heightened emphasis on development and sharing of international public goods
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to the Global Trends
• Increased efforts to mobilize advanced science for solving intractable problems
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends
• Commitment to capacity building and development of next generation of agricultural scientists.
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends
• Importance of a matrix approach combining time-bound innovative programs with longer term investment in strengthening international and national institutions
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends
•Partnerships that provide a platform for engaging national institutions to solve local problems.
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
Positioning the CGIAR in Response to Mega-Trends
Transparency Accountability
Efficiency
Efficacy
C O N S U L T A T I V E G R O U P O N I N T E R N A T I O N A L A G R I C U L T U R A L R E S E A R C H
THANK YOU !
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