john brock and john haines usgs, coastal and marine program coastal vulnerability index and usgs –...
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John Brock and John HainesUSGS, Coastal and Marine Program
Coastal Vulnerability Index and USGS – NOS Cooperation on Coastal Lidar Mapping
U.S. Geological Survey – U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – National Ocean Service
Joint Headquarters Meeting
February 2, 2010
USGS: Science for Decision-making in response USGS: Science for Decision-making in response to Sea-Level Rise to Sea-Level Rise
• Explicitly including uncertaintyExplicitly including uncertainty
• Explicitly including management applicationExplicitly including management application
• Extracting information from data/information resourcesExtracting information from data/information resources
Complex Systems + Complex Responses Complex Systems + Complex Responses Comprehensive, Integrated ResearchComprehensive, Integrated Research• Multiple human and natural drivers spanning multiple time scalesMultiple human and natural drivers spanning multiple time scales
• Diversity of systems – glaciated coasts to tropical Diversity of systems – glaciated coasts to tropical atolls, atolls, wetlands, and barriers responding dynamicallywetlands, and barriers responding dynamically
• Observations – Research – ModelingObservations – Research – Modeling
• Needs span policy/management scales – National and RegionalNeeds span policy/management scales – National and Regional
• Modeling/Assessment needs from simple to complexModeling/Assessment needs from simple to complex
Input Data:Coastal Vulnerability Index
(Thieler and Hammar-Klose, 1999)
Utilized existing data for six geological and physical process variables (~ 8km grid):
a) Geomorphologyb) Historic shoreline changec) Coastal sloped) Relative sea-level rise ratee) Mean sig. wave heightf) Mean tidal range
Solve this differential equation?
d(state)/dt = funct.(geomorphology, wave-climate, sea level, etc.)
OR, solve this probabilistic version
P(state | inputs) = Bayes Rule
A Schematic of the ProcessA Schematic of the Process
Bathy/Topo
Response Probability
low
high+
medium
Weather
Overwash andErosion models
Observations Processes
Infrastructure Risk
Habitat Risk
Low HighMed.
Low HighMed.
Risk Analysis
LIDAR OBS
LIDAR OBS
Required Input
Evaluate output
Area for collaboration: prioritize national observation resources to minimize uncertainty
wave/water OBS
wave/waterMODELS
Areas for collaboration1. Nested modeling using national observation resources and large scale models to support high resolution models—we need accurate Boundary Condition inputs2. Scenario exploration for likely climate changes and extreme storms
Area for collaboration: prioritize national observation resources to provide accurate and up-to-date elevation data
Bixby Bridge, Big Sur, CA
An Emerging NOS – USGS Collaboration on Lidar Coastal Mapping
2004 NOAA-NASA-USGS Collaboration:EAARL Demo Project
• NOS RSD evaluated NOS RSD evaluated the EAARL for use in the EAARL for use in NOAA/NOS mapping NOAA/NOS mapping programs:programs:– Shoreline mappingShoreline mapping– Nautical charting Nautical charting
(near-shore (near-shore bathymetry)bathymetry)
– Coral reef mappingCoral reef mapping– Emergency Emergency
response (e.g., response (e.g., post-disaster post-disaster damage damage assessment assessment projectsprojects
2004 Collaborative EAARL Demo Project:
The EAARL Project: Florida Keys
The EAARL Project: Shoreline Extraction (Pensacola)
The EAARL Project: Shoreline Extraction (Pensacola)
EAARL 2004 Demo: Shoreline Extraction (Tampa)
2004 EAARL Demo Project - Main Finding:
• EAARL is nearly ideal sensor for NOAA coastal mappingEAARL is nearly ideal sensor for NOAA coastal mapping– Map multiple tidal-datum-based shorelines (e.g., MHW, Map multiple tidal-datum-based shorelines (e.g., MHW,
MLLW) without tide coordinationMLLW) without tide coordination=> Big increase in efficiency!=> Big increase in efficiency!
– Topography and shallow-water bathymetry from a single Topography and shallow-water bathymetry from a single data collectdata collect• Can fill in the shallow-water gap in current hydro, caused Can fill in the shallow-water gap in current hydro, caused
by the NALL lineby the NALL line• Support storm surge modeling and coastal science Support storm surge modeling and coastal science
applicationsapplications• Supports (and benefits from) VDatumSupports (and benefits from) VDatum
– Coral reef mappingCoral reef mapping– Meet multiple project and program needs simultaneouslyMeet multiple project and program needs simultaneously
• IOCM: map once – use many!IOCM: map once – use many!
Next Steps in USGS-NOAA EAARL Collaboration:
A 2nd EAARL system currently being built by USGSA 2nd EAARL system currently being built by USGSPlan to fly on a new NOAA aircraft, a King Air 350 (N68RF)Plan to fly on a new NOAA aircraft, a King Air 350 (N68RF)
We are currently working together to optimize the system We are currently working together to optimize the system for this aircraft and to ensure mutually-beneficial datafor this aircraft and to ensure mutually-beneficial data
Authority for Collaboration:• 2 recent MOUs: 2009-2 recent MOUs: 2009-
057/7831 & NOAA-057/7831 & NOAA-USGS MOU2-05USGS MOU2-05
• ““The primary objective of The primary objective of this partnership is to this partnership is to cooperate on a variety of cooperate on a variety of technological technological advancements that may advancements that may include airborne LiDAR include airborne LiDAR bathymetry and other bathymetry and other coastal mapping imaging coastal mapping imaging and charting and charting technologies.”technologies.”
• ““The purpose of this MOU The purpose of this MOU is to establish a is to establish a framework for framework for cooperation and cooperation and coordination between the coordination between the USGS and NOAA…in USGS and NOAA…in addressing the Nation’s addressing the Nation’s physical, biological, and physical, biological, and ocean science needs.”ocean science needs.”
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