jefferies global industrials - sappi · packaging and speciality papers 23 trends in our markets o...

Post on 27-May-2020

2 Views

Category:

Documents

0 Downloads

Preview:

Click to see full reader

TRANSCRIPT

August 2019

Sappi Limited

Jefferies Global Industrials delivering on

strategy

2019

Vision 2020

intentional

evolution

next phase

growth

1

Forward-looking statements and Regulation G

2

Forward-looking statements Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions of

or indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives. The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “plan”, “assume”, “positioned”, “will”, “may”, “should”,

“risk” and other similar expressions, which are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends and which do not relate to historical matters, identify forward-looking statements. In addition, this

document includes forward-looking statements relating to our potential exposure to various types of market risks, such as interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity price risk. You

should not rely on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which are in some cases beyond our control and may cause our actual

results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements (and from past results,

performance or achievements). Certain factors that may cause such differences include but are not limited to:

The highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production capacity, production, input costs including raw

material, energy and employee costs, and pricing)

The impact on our business of adverse changes in global economic conditions

Unanticipated production disruptions (including as a result of planned or unexpected power outages)

Changes in environmental, tax and other laws and regulations

Adverse changes in the markets for our products

The emergence of new technologies and changes in consumer trends including increased preferences for digital media

Consequences of our leverage, including as a result of adverse changes in credit markets that affect our ability to raise capital when needed

Adverse changes in the political situation and economy in the countries in which we operate or the effect of governmental efforts to address present or future economic or social problems

The impact of restructurings, investments, acquisitions, dispositions and other strategic initiatives (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs or other problems experienced in

connection with dispositions or with integrating acquisitions or implementing restructurings or other strategic initiatives, and achieving expected savings and synergies, and

Currency fluctuations.

We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or circumstances or otherwise.

Regulation G disclosure Certain non-GAAP financial information is contained in this presentation that management believe may be useful in comparing the company’s operating results from period to period. Reconciliation's of

certain of the non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures can be found in the quarterly results booklet for the relevant period. These booklets are available on our website:

https://www.sappi.com/quarterly-reports.

Agenda

o Overview

o Products o Coated paper

o Dissolving wood pulp

o Packaging and Specialities

o Strategy

o Conclusions

4

Sappi at a glance

Printing and Writing Papers Packaging and Speciality Papers Dissolving Wood Pulp

Turnover US$5.8 billion in 2018

5.7 million tons paper

3.7 million tons pulp

12,645 employees

Global network in 150 countries

Market leader in three business divisions:

9 Mills

Sales analysis

51%

25%

24%

Sales by source* (US$)

Europe North America

Southern Africa Asia and other 46%

23%

10%

21%

Sales by destination* (US$)

51%

19%

16%

6%

6%

1% 1%

Coated paper

Dissolving wood pulp

Speciality paper

Commodity paper

Uncoated paper

Other

Paper pulp

Sales by product*

* Data reflects FYTD 2019

FYTD 2019

Agenda

o Overview

o Products o Coated paper

o Dissolving wood pulp

o Packaging and Specialities

o Strategy

o Conclusions

FYTD 2019

Sales analysis

Coated paper

o #2 Global producer of coated paper

o EBITDA margins ~8%

o Forecast** demand down 3%pa

o Forecast** capacity down 3%pa

* FYTD 2018

** RISI WGPF May 2019

51%

19%

16%

6% 6%

1%

1%

Coated paper Dissolving wood pulp

Speciality paper Commodity paper

Uncoated paper Other

Paper pulp

Global coated woodfree demand

* Source: RISI May 2019

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

North America Europe Far East Latin America Africa, ME, ROW

Forecast*

Agenda

o Overview

o Products o Coated paper

o Dissolving wood pulp

o Packaging and Specialities

o Strategy

o Conclusions

FYTD 2019

Sales analysis

Dissolving wood pulp

o #1 Global Producer

o EBITDA margins ~30%

o Demand forecast**+7%pa

o Capacity forecast** +5%pa

* Data reflects results from FYTD 2019

** Hawkins Wright March 2019

51%

19%

16%

6% 6%

1%

1%

Coated paper Dissolving wood pulp

Speciality paper Commodity paper

Uncoated paper Other

Paper pulp

Dissolving Wood Pulp (DWP)

o DWP is the most abundant natural organic polymer on earth and is found in all plant materials

o The plant material (wood from certified forests or plantations) is processed and purified by

applying specialised chemistry to extract the cellulose polymers from the wood

o The purified natural wood cellulose fibres are further dissolved by our customers and regenerated

or reformed for a host of applications

Cellulose 45%

Hemi-cellulose 30%

Lignin 23%

Resins 1%

Inorganics 1%

Cellulose Gap theory

Dissolving wood pulp share of the textiles market is expected to grow further

o Production of cotton is forecast to remain

stagnant or shrink

o Growth in total fibre consumption will be

covered by man-made fibres

o However, certain moisture management

properties of cellulose fibres cannot be

substituted by oil-based synthetic fibres,

enhancing opportunity for cellulosics

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Million Metric Tons

Fibre Production

Wool

Cotton

Man-made Cellulosic Fibres

Synthetic Fibres

Forecast

“Cellulose Gap” Source: Lenzing

Competition Top 10 producers by grade*

*Source: HW, March 2019

Agenda

o Overview

o Products o Coated paper

o Dissolving wood pulp

o Packaging and Specialities

o Strategy

o Conclusions

FYTD 2019

Sales analysis

* Data reflects results from FYTD 2019

Speciality paper

EBITDA margins ~14%

Demand +1% to +6%

51%

19%

16%

6% 6%

1% 1%

Coated paper Dissolving wood pulp

Speciality paper Commodity paper

Uncoated paper Other

Paper pulp

FYTD 2019

Sales analysis

Commodity paper

EBITDA margins ~20%

Demand up 3%

* Data reflects results from FYTD 2019

51%

19%

16%

6% 6%

1% 1%

Coated paper Dissolving wood pulp

Speciality paper Commodity paper

Uncoated paper Other

Paper pulp

Global market sizes

17

Speciality papers

Packaging boards 48%

Printing and writing 27%

Speciality papers

7%

Tissue 8%

[CATEGORY NAME]

[PERCENTAGE]

25mtpa

Portfolio

18

Our Packaging and Speciality Paper segment

European competitive landscape

19

Packaging and specialities

2008-2017

20

Global capacity development by major grade

*Source: Fisher International Inc.

Packaging and Speciality Papers

21

Trends in our markets

o Cost reduction

(TCO)

o Light weighting and

down gauging

o Recycling costs

packaging

Economic

Concerns

o Eco-designed

packaging

o Process-optimized

papers (specialities)

o Smart/active

packaging

o Traceable packaging

Technology and

Innovations

o Food safety

o Plastic bans and

waste directive

o Circular economy

o Recycling/waste

directive

Regulations

o Packaging as part of

product experience

o Easy opening

o More functionality

and convenience

o Smaller pack sizes

Demographic

Change

Packaging and Speciality Papers

22

Trends in our markets

o Cost reduction

(TCO)

o Light weighting and

down gauging

o Recycling costs

packaging

Economic

Concerns

Packaging typically regarded as a

low-cost/high risk

Lighter-weight paper based cartons replacing

jars and cans to reduce heft/transport costs

Packaging should be recyclable, sustainable,

have an increasing paper ratio

Incentives for easy-to-recycle packaging

expected

Packaging and Speciality Papers

23

Trends in our markets

o Eco-designed

packaging

o Process-optimized

papers (specialities)

o Smart/active

packaging

o Traceable packaging

Technology and

Innovations

Eco-designed approach: end-of-life view,

recycling included

More tracking, security, safety and anti-

counterfeit

Adhesive bonds rather than screw-fittings for

mobile phones and tablets. Used in electronic

circuits, fuel cell development in batteries

Packaging and Speciality Papers

24

Trends in our markets

o Food safety

o Circular economy

o Recycling/waste

directive

Regulations

Packaging and Speciality Papers

25

Trends in our markets

o Packaging as part of

product experience

o Easy opening

o More functionality

and convenience

o Smaller pack sizes

Demographic

Change

Global population is growing and people are

living longer

Packaging considerations must keep in mind a

growing and aging population that are visually

impaired, and arthritic

Smaller pack sizes for on-the-go lifestyles

Portion control for the more health-conscious

Changing buying behavior of Millennials

Acquisition completed on February 28 in 2018

26

Cham speciality paper acquisition

Carmignano mill produces 100ktpa

Flexible Packaging, Label Papers, Dye Sublimation Papers and Inkjet Papers

Condino mill produces 60ktpa

Flexible Packaging, Glassine Paper, Dye Sublimation Paper

Integration proceeding

according to plan

Synergies of €10M

expected within

2 years

Will add €30M of

EBITDA at 15% margin

post-synergies

Matane acquisition rationale

Supports strategy and 2020 vision through the achievement of cost advantages and

growth in higher margin packaging and speciality paper.

Increase the pulp integration by supplying high yield pulp to our US and European

packaging operations, thereby enabling Sappi to:

Secure supply of a raw material critical to product quality

Reduce input pricing and volatility in profitability

Avoid higher capital cost of internal high yield pulp capacity – Estimated at $210m for 200kt

27

Asset Overview

Capacity of 270,000t per annum of aspen

and maple high yield pulp

Mill located in Matane, Quebec

129 employees

Port access within 5km

Well maintained assets

Matane Mill Somerset Mill

Packaging and Speciality Papers

29

Innovation

Sealable paper for

confectionary bars

Coated and uncoated Dye -sublimation

papers for high-productional applications

Functional Papers as renewable

resource replacing plastics and

providing Barriers

Medical paper for sterilizable

laminated pouches

Multilayer Headbox for

Paperboard Manufacturing

Glassine paper for carbon fiber

production

Innovative high bulky board

grades

Disruptive change in packaging due to change from disposal to circular economy

Demand for easy-to-recycle packaging is increasing

Demand for both the specialities and packaging & board papers is growing

Sappi is actively converting capacity from our printing and writing papers into the

packaging and speciality sectors where we have a cost advantage

Profitability for Sappi is typically greater when manufacturing packaging and

speciality papers than it is for printing and writing papers

Producers who can innovate alongside the evolving demands of customers,

consumers and legislators will be the long-term winners

30

Packaging & Specialities review

Agenda

o Overview

o Products o Coated paper

o Dissolving wood pulp

o Packaging and Specialities

o Strategy

o Conclusions

Maintain

a healthy

balance

sheet

Rationalise

declining

businesses

Accelerate

growth in

higher margin

growth

segments

Achieve

cost

advantages

Improve

operational

and machine

efficiencies

Maximise

procurement

benefits Optimise

business

processes

Continuously

balance

paper supply

and demand

in all regions

Where

possible

convert paper

machines to

higher margin

businesses

Optimise

working

capital

Strong

cash

generation Smart

financing

Expand

paper

packaging

grades Enhance

specialised

cellulose

portfolio

Extract

value from our

biorefinery

stream

Our group strategy

32

At Sappi we do business with integrity and courage; making smart decisions which we execute with speed.

Our values are underpinned by an unrelenting focus on and commitment to safety.

Achieve

cost

advantages

Improve

operational

and machine

efficiencies

Maximise

procurement

benefits Optimise

business

processes

Our group strategy

33

We work to lower fixed and variable costs,

increase cost efficiencies and invest for cost

advantages.

Group efficiency and procurement initiatives

+US$60m target for 2019

Ongoing continuous improvement across all mills.

Investigate pulp integration opportunities in US and

EU – Matane acquisition

Saiccor expansion will lead to lower variable costs

Evaluating P&W capacity in Europe

Rationalise

declining

businesses

Continuously

balance

paper supply

and demand

in all regions

Where

possible

convert paper

machines to

higher margin

businesses

Our group strategy

34

Recognising the decreasing demand for

graphic paper, we manage our capacity to

strengthen our leadership position in these

markets, realising their strategic importance to

the group and maximising their significant cash

flow generation.

Downtime taken at mills to lower inventories

Progressive transition of Lanaken Mill out of LWC

Reduced CWF exposure at Maastricht Mill, Ehingen

Mill and Somerset Mill PM1

Maintain

a healthy

balance

sheet

Optimise

working

capital

Strong

cash

generation

Smart

financing

Our group strategy

35

Maintain leverage below 2x Net debt:EBITDA

No new major capex commitments

Finance costs US$60-70m/annum going

forward

7 yr €450m bond raised @3.125% - used to

repay €450m 2022 bond

Accelerate growth in

higher margin growth

segments

Extract

value from our

biorefinery

stream

Enhance

specialised

cellulose

portfolio

Expand

paper

packaging

grades

Our group strategy

36

We will make investments in existing and

adjacent areas with strong potential growth. Debottlenecking of Saiccor, Ngodwana and Cloquet

DWP complete

Expansion of Saiccor by 110kt/annum has started

Additional packaging at Ngodwana and Tugela Mills

Securing additional HW and SW timber supply

Biomaterials, bio-chemicals – lignins, sugars

Ramp-up of board grades at Maastricht and Somerset

Agenda

o Overview

o Products o Coated paper

o Dissolving wood pulp

o Packaging and Specialities

o Strategy

o Conclusions

Conclusions

o Through intentional evolution, we are growing Sappi into a profitable and cash-

generative diversified woodfibre group

o Selective capital spending in adjacent, growing, and more profitable businesses

o Costs remain a chief concern

o Cash-generative paper business will fund growth in:

o Cellulose-based solutions

o Packaging and speciality papers

o Complementary products

o Committed to accelerating value for shareholders through:

o Debt reduction

o Improved profit

o Strategic positioning

Thank you

39

top related