(informal) urban expansion - european commission · 2016-06-03 · (informal) urban expansion -...

(Informal) Urban Expansion -

Anticipation and Preparation.

Tikvah Breimer 2015, May 28.Urbanization in Europe and the World; A workshop hosted by the European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy, May 27-29, 2015.

Institute for Housing and Urban Development Studies (IHS), Erasmus University, Rotterdam (NL).t.breimer@ihs.nl

S a t t e l i t e i m a g e G o o g l e E a r t h P r oM e d e l l i n u r b a n / r u r a l f r i n g e 2 0 1 5

1. Introduction Speaker____

2. Hype cycle: containment, and a hindsight___________________________________________

3. Working definition for anticipation ___________________________________________________________________

C O N T E N T a n d T I M E L I N E

Breimer, Tikvah 2015. t.breimer@ihs.nl

1.Introduction Speaker

Anthropologist (exploratory, interdisciplinary, paradigm analysis)

Specialist Land Managment and Policy(Informal urban expansion and land markets)

This is my own ongoing explorationBased on study Central/Latin American land markets and policies

and my humble take on it

See what you can take from itRelevant for the object of your study

2.Hype cycle: containment

Every concept has a hype cycle

01 -Cycles of concepts

Hype High Hiatus Hangover Hindsightidea is being

talked up

a lot of

energy is

going into

development

prominent

but energy

going out

strong feeling

that it was not

such a good

mature

reflection,

seen in

perspective

Development professional’s views

Source: Davidson, F. (1999). Conceptual Cycles in Urban Development Management Are we getting better and better - or just going round in circles? Implications for Capacity Building and Research. N-Aerus. Venice.

talked up

a lot of

energy is

going into

development

prominent

but energy

going out

strong feeling

that it was not

such a good

mature

reflection,

seen in

perspective

talked up

a lot of

energy is

going into

development

prominent

but energy

going out

strong feeling

that it was not

such a good

mature

reflection,

seen in

perspective

Local Government view

talked up

a lot of

energy is

going into

development

prominent

but energy

going out

strong feeling

that it was not

such a good

mature

reflection,

seen in

perspective

cycle of 20-30 years -varying per subject ?

but does it

make sense?

Local Government view

In the questionnaireYou got a “feel”of the hype cycle of the dominant

paradigm of containment

Containment programmes can be recognised bypolicies and land use planning that:

- limit development of land outside the defined city boundary (“anti-sprawl”, green belt, growth boundary)

- encourage infill development and redevelopment inside the urban area.

Indeed, the containment paradigm is now enshrined in land use planning in many countries

Burton 2002, p. 219 in Angel 2012, p.41.

And Sprawl – has many negative connotations.Angel, Parent, Civco and Blei 2012, p. 5

The pressing question for local government is:

“Does containment make sense?”

Breimer 2014

“There is great reluctance to engage with the prospects of urban expansion:

cities are already threateningly large...”Angel 2012, p. 4, Planet of Cities

Yet in urban areas in countries whereurbanization is still in full swing…

Faced with such pressures, in reality and practicelocal government is incapable of protecting surrounding areas,

and informal land markets flourishbeyond the city boundary anyway

and continue to damage the environment

Angel et al. 2011, Angel 2012, Allen et al. 2006

Angel et al. (2011) put forward an alternative paradigm:

In contexts where demographic expansion is still in full swing,a more realistic strategy

is at least minimal preparation for sustainable growth and expansion of cities– rather than to constrict and contain them.

Angel et al. 2011

A hindsight

1980s 1990s : we witnessed an unprecedented acceleration

of the urbanisation processes worldwide

“By far the most common approach of governments had been that of

‘muddling through’”

Durand-Lasserve 1997, in Berner 2001, p. 296.

Furthermore“the reliance on western models of urban planning and containment

has resulted in a catastrophic failure to manage the growth of cities

in many low- and middle-income countries.”

Blackshaw 2014, “Whose city is it anyway? The harsh truth about urbanisation.” The Guardian, April 16.

Examples such policy:

Discourage sprawl by underinvesting in planning

a network of arterial roadswaterresevoirs

and water and sewer trunk lines

in the periphery

To make it difficult if not impossible for private sector to supply plots with adequate services.

Angel 2012, p. 61

But: preparation for urban expansion is important

not only from the perspectiveof those who must live in human misery for years,

nor merely from an ecological perspective.

It is also a pressing issue from a local government’sfinancial and socio-political point of view.

Fernandes 2011, Abramo Ed. 2003, Smolka and Cenecorta 1999

Opportunity costs of regularisation are high

Cost of correction (“reparation”)of an irregular settlement is2.7 times the cost of planned areas - Estimation for Bogota, (in Aristizabal and Gomez 2001 in Smolka 2003)

R o c h i n a , R i o d e J a n e i r o , P h o t o g r a p h b y B r e i m e r 2 0 1 4

And, in a perverse way, a reactive approach (regularising and urbanising afterwards)

leads to a vicious cycle of informality in the land market.(the promise of regularisation, effect of that expectation on the land market)

Fernandes 2011, Abramo Ed. 2003, Smolka and Cenecorta 1999

The call for ‘anticipation’ of urbanization

has been gaining momentum

2015 – 2100: demographic prognosesThe pace of urbanisation is very high still

in developing countries, but not as high as it used to be.

Professionals express new hope that actually for the coming decades

local governments in developing countries and upcoming economomies

have the opportunity to be ahead of expansion,

with proactive policy frameworks.

Outcome Open Workshop of Urban Academics, Experts and Practitioners, Roundtables on the Urban Sustainable Development Goal (SDG. IHS,

Rural urban linkages, target 11.a roundtable facilitated by Breimer, May 20, 2015. http://www.ihs.nl/about_ihs/conferences_meetings/sustainable_development_goal_open_workshop/

3. Working definition for

anticipation

Local/regional governments in developing countries and upcoming economies

face a huge challenge in terms of adequate and up to date data

on the Peri-Urban landmarket,

as a basis from which to make

anticipatory policy decisions.

Allen et al. 2006

But: anticipation must be more than just monitoring.

Breimer 2014

Working definition for ‘anticipation’in own ongoing research:

Anticipation refers to the question how urbanization that is still forthcoming in the PUI

can be anticipated through analysing

the current spatial structures/patterns and land market dynamics,

and trying to predict the direction of this urban expansion.

Breimer 2014

Thereby the biggest challenge is actuallyto understand the land markets,

actions and negotiations

that are taking place here

and being (en)able(d) to intervene into these dynamics.

Breimer 2014

It is in the Peri-Urban Interface (PUI) that the new slums of tomorrow arise.

Breimer 2014

Peri – Urban Interface (PUI)

The fringe of the citywhere both rural and urban features tend to coexist

in environmental, socio-economic

and institutional terms

and the landmarket is characterisedby high expectation on the land.

Development Planning Unit University College London DPU 2006

It is in the Peri-urban land market that we witness the highest speed of urbanization,

often in margins of the law and planning,(or even in administrative and jurisdictional limbo)

and with very high profitability.

It is because of this high levels of profitability, that we find very proactive actors here.

Allen et al. 2006Breimer 2014

S a t t e l i t e i m a g e G o o g l e E a r t h P r oM e d e l l i n u r b a n / r u r a l f r i n g e 2 0 1 5

Understanding the ground…Metropolitan area of Recife, and informal urban expansion in the fringe of Jaboatao, North East Brazil.

Metropolitan area of Recife, and informal urban expansion in the fringe of Jaboatao, North East Brazil.

Analysing geo-spatial (satellite, aerial) imagery….Would it be possible to identify these dynamics?

Guiding principles and ensuring the following up of these principles

through land instruments,

may be a lot more helpful than putting a lot of energy in a very detailed blue print

of a plan for these areas of expansion in the PUI.

Knowing the kind of land market we want will help us knowHow to undertake anticipatory action.

Most urgently the quest should be for preparatory/land market interventions

that ensure

for the poor:at least

access to affordable serviced land and access to employment opportunities/ the city

and for the city/region:permit and structure a sustainable growth and expansion of urban areas.

Breimer 2014

Some ideas seem to get buried in history,but surface again later

Peter Ward, already in 1983 – frustrated with the failure of site-and-services schemes

Started to enage and encourage a strategic and more imaginative approach

(studying the unique land tenure arrangements in Mexican cities)

He argued, we may find, that when we analyse informal settlement processes in far greater detail

paying attention to a specific city’s informal land market

There may be opportunities offered in the existing legal and fiscal structure

For intervention to achieve planning goals

In order to broaden the influence over low-cost land development processes.

- even in “informal interventions”to let informal developers/speculators contribute better to the city we want.

Ward 1983, p. 35, 47-52

For teaching/training involved in exploring and compiling a menu of notable (preperatory/fiscal/legal)

land instruments that tackle concerns over informal land markets in the PUI,

coupled with international cases of how to implement them;

thereby drawing inspiration from the Central/Latin American region,both in the past – failed attempts or successes -

and in contemporary experimentation.

Breimer 2014

https://instagram.com/urbanbeyondthecity/

A thinkpiece put forward in run up to Habitat III:t.breimer@ihs.nl

(informal) urban expansion - european commission · 2016-06-03 · (informal) urban expansion -...

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