iahr2015 human versus natural mud fluxes in the scheldt estuary, kessel, deltares, 29062015

IAHR conference, 29 June, 2015

Human versus natural mud fluxes in the Scheldt estuary

Are they significant and if so, how can they best be optimised?

Thijs van Kessel (Deltares) Joris Vanlede (Flanders Hydraulics) Gijsbert van Holland (IMDC)

29 jJune, 2015

Mud balance

Some ballpark numbers: • Cmud = 50-100 mg/l, Vtide = 109 m3, Atidal = 45 Mm2 • Gross import = 50 MT/year, net import = 0.5 MT/year • Smarsh = 1 cm/year (0.5 MT), Sharb = 1 cm/day (1 + 1 = 2 MT) • K = Sharb/Smarsh = 4 > 1 (human impact on mud balance expected)

Source: Arcadis (2013)

Process-based numerical model

29 jJune, 2015

Wal D. van der, T. van Kessel, M.A. Eleveld, J. Vanlede (2010). Spatial heterogeneity in estuarine mud dynamics. . Ocean Dynamics doi:10.1007/s10236-010-0271-9.

Kessel, T. van, J. Vanlede, J.M. de Kok (2011). Development of a mud transport model for the Scheldt estuary. Continental Shelf Research 31 S165–S181 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2010.12.006.

Process-based numerical model

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Effect of Sloe harbour (1)

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Effect of Sloe harbour (2)

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Mud origins near Vlissingen

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Mud origins near Antwerp

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Explanation of issues at Antwerp

• Narrower estuary • ETM formation, location dependent on freshwater discharge • Construction of DGD • Deepening • Possibly increasing trend SPM • High maintenance volumes and cost

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Shift of release location

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Conclusions

• ‘Human’ fluxes small compared to gross natural mud fluxes • But significant compared to net fluxes • Siltation in harbours and access channels >> accretion tidal flats

and saltmarshes • A large part of the mud in the Scheldt is ‘second hand’ • This percentage increases from the mouth to Antwerp • Both concentration in water column and siltation rate can be

influenced significantly by adapting the maintenance strategy • A down-estuary shift of release locations reduces both mud

concentration and siltation