global trends in the bioeconomy
Post on 20-Aug-2015
2.290 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Global Trends in the Bioeconomy:
An introduction to the Interreg Bio Base NWE Project
Dr Adrian Higson
Trondheim, Norway
21st March 2013
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
The Bioeconomy
The aggregate set of economic operations in a society that use the
latent value incumbent in biological products and processes to capture
new growth and welfare benefits for citizens and nations. (OECD)
Biological tools Biomass
Biotechnology Bio-based
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Biomassprovision
Biomass trading
Biomassrefining
Fuel production
Fuel blend & retail
Chemical production
Chemicalindustry
Biomass power &
Chemical usingindustry
Retailers
Pharmaceutical industry
Food ingredients
Food industry
Retailers
Food & Feed industry
Feed ingredients
Feed industry
Bioeconomy value chains
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Company Vision
We view bio-based technologies as key
components of the low carbon economy
delivering economic, social and environmental
benefits.
We believe the bioeconomy will create
sustainable business opportunities for
feedstock suppliers, technology and project
developers, manufacturers and investors.
A specialist ‘not for profit’ Bioeconomy consultancy
Company Mission
To provide clients with a holistic view of feedstock, technology, policy and market
development across the bioeconomy, enabling them to make informed business
decisions and develop sustainable business strategies.
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Services
• Future market analysis
• Feedstock logistics planning
• Sustainability strategy development
• Technology evaluation and due
diligence
• Project feasibility assessment
• Policy and regulatory support
• Network & Facilitation
Clients & Partners
• Multinationals & SMEs
• Public Organisations
• Government
• Research Institutes
• Universities
• Transnational Collaborations
• European Framework
Projects
10 years supporting Bioeconomy development
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
EU Context
It includes agriculture, forestry, fisheries, food and pulp and paper production,
as well as parts of chemical, biotechnological and energy industries.
• is worth an estimated €2 trillion
• accounts for 22 million jobs
• 9% of total employment in the EU
• Each euro invested in EU-funded bioeconomy research and innovation is
estimated to trigger €10 of value added in bioeconomy sectors by 2025.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION – PRESS RELEASE
Brussels, 13 February 2012
Commission proposes strategy for sustainable
bioeconomy in Europe
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Feb
-93
De
c-9
3
Oct
-94
Au
g-9
5
Jun
-96
Ap
r-9
7
Feb
-98
De
c-9
8
Oct
-99
Au
g-0
0
Jun
-01
Ap
r-0
2
Feb
-03
De
c-0
3
Oct
-04
Au
g-0
5
Jun
-06
Ap
r-0
7
Feb
-08
De
c-0
8
Oct
-09
Au
g-1
0
Jun
-11
Ap
r-1
2
Feb
-13
Commodity Agricultural Raw Materials Index- Monthly Price
Commodity Food Price Index - Monthly Price
Crude Oil (petroleum), Price index - MonthlyPrice
Feedstock Pricing – A new normal
Source: International Monetary Fund
Price
ind
ex, 2
00
5 =
10
0
The relative costs of crude oil, food basics and agricultural
materials have moved significantly over the last 20 years.
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Complexity and Opportunity
Biomass Carbon Content
Chemicals
Liquid & Gaseous Fuels
Energy Content Heat & Power
Functional Content
Materials
Increasing value
Decreasing volume
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Biomass – A love hate relationship!
Strengths • Available on demand
• Carbon source
Weaknesses • Cost
• Physical nature & low energy density
Opportunities
• Energy generation (heat and power)
• Liquid transport fuels
• Chemicals and materials
Threats • Competition for land
• Environmental pressure
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mill
ion
to
nn
es
Plastics production: projected growth
Medium
Low
High
Plastic production: medium growth
2020 339 million tonnes
2030 434 million tonnes
2050 712 million tonnes
A higher value commodity market for biomass? 1967 – There’s a great future in plastics 2012 - There’s a great future in bio-based plastics
The Graduate (1967),
© NNFCC © NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
ADM
Amyris/M
ichelin
Anellotech
BioAmber
Biocaldol
BioMCN
Braskem
Butamax
Cathay Industrial Biotech
Colbolt TechnologiesDSM
DOW
Draths
DuPont
Eastman Chem
icals
Global Biochem
Global Bioenergies
Glycos Biotechnologies
Green Biologics
Greencol Taiwan Corporation
Genomatica
Gevo
Goodyear/Genencor
India Glycols
Metabolic Explorer
Myriant
Natureworks
Novepha
Purac
Rennovia
Reverdia (DSM/Roquette)
SolvayTM
O
OPX Bio
Verdezyne
Vinythai
Virent
Zeachem
Methanol
Formic Acid
Ethanol
Ethylene
Ethylene Oxide
Ethylene Glycol (MEG)
Acetic Acid
Ethyl acetate
Epichlorohydrin
Acetone
isoPropanol
Propylene
Propylene Glycol
1,3-Propanediol
Lactic acid
Acrylic Acid
n-Butanol
iso-Butanol
iso-Butylene
Butadiene
Succinic acid
2,3-Butanediol
1,4-Butanediol
Tetrahydrofuran
Isoprene
Adipic acid
HMDA
Benzene
Toluene
Paraxylene
Terephthalic acid
Styrene
Market expansion and development activity
Currently over 80 companies actively commercialising
over 50 commodity or platform chemicals
Companies working on bio-based chemicals
Bio
-bas
ed
ch
em
ical
s
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Industry drivers & concerns
End of life options
Product performance
Technology development
Green branding & corporate sustainability
Production economics
Feedstock economics
Policy intervention & indirect effects
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Prevention
Re-use
Recycling
Recovery
Land fill or incineration
EU Waste Framework Directive 2008/98/EC
Material End of Life – New Opportunities
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Succinic Acid 1,4-ButanediolPolybutylene
Terephthalate
Copolyester Ethers
Thermoplastic Polyurethanes
Spandex Fibres
Tetrahydrofuran
Solvent
Polytetramethylene Ether Glycol
g-Butyrolactone
Fine & Speciality Chemicals
N-Methyl -2-Pyrrolidone
Fine & Speciality Chemicals
2-Pyrrolidone
Fine & Speciality Chemicals
N-Vinyl-2-Pyrrolidone
Polyvinyl Pyrrolidone
Deicers/Coolent
Plasticisers
Fuel Additives
Bio-based chemical platforms
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Ethylene Polyethylenes
Styrene Monomer
Ethylene Oxide/Glycol
EDC
Other
Polymers/Rubbers
Polyester
PVC
Alpha Olefins
PVA
Ethanol
60%
7%
14%
12%
7%
Bio-based chemical platforms
Ethanol production ~ 70 million tonnes
Ethylene production ~ 110 million tonnes
PET Collaborative
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Bio-based materials – Novel or drop in?
Strengths • Drop in – known targets and downstream products
• Novel – exploits attributes of biomass or biological processing
Weaknesses • Drop in – number of unit operations required
• Novel – requirement for product development
Opportunities • Drop in - rapid route to market through existing
infrastructure and know how
• Novel – provides new or improved functionality
Threats
• Drop in – production never achieves cost competitiveness
• Novel – immature supply chain and market awareness
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Development Pipeline
Today
• Ethylene glycol
• Epichlorohydrin
• Lactic acid
• Propanediol
Near term
• Succinic acid
• Butanol
• Butanediol
• Propylene
Medium term
• Isoprene
• Butadiene
• Acrylic acid
• Terephthalic acid
© NNFCC
Opportunities for bio-based C3 and C4 intermediates
Niche opportunities in compostable packaging
Value adding opportunities in co-polymer development
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Aug. 13, 2012 - Joint Development Agreement for Bio-Based Butadiene
Future Technology Synthesis gas based fermentation
Developing microorganisms
capable of converting syngas
to valuable platform chemicals
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
The challenges
Technology
• Biomass crop yields
• Biomass composition
• Logistics
• Enzyme development
• Fermentation yields
• Novel products
Strategic
• Integration into existing value chains
• Financing
• Policy robustness
• Standards & labels
• Public procurement
Sustainability
• Direct land use change
• Indirect land use change
• Biodiversity
• Emission (land, air, water)
• Social impacts
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Do we have enough land to feed the planet and
produce the low carbon energy, fuels and materials
needed by a population expected to reach 9 billion
by 2050?
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Regional Development Sustainable agriculture & forestry
Established agri supply chains Strong technology base Limited political support
Agricultural sustainability? Land availability?
Strong political support Access to growing markets
Sustainable agriculture Established agri supply chains
High residue availability Strong technology base Strong political support
Established cultivation and processing
Available arable land High crop yields (sugar cane)
Good residue availability (bagasse)
Good access to growing markets
Large arable land potential
Limited access to skills Limited access to markets
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Land availability and use
Global arable land could be doubled
However, what is the limit of sustainable expansion?
What are the environmental and societal implications of
expansion and land use change?
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Biopolymer Scenarios - land requirements (2030)
0
10
20
30
40
50
% o
f av
aila
ble
lan
d
Chemical driven
Biofuel stalled
Biofuel driven
Bioeconomy
Polymer demand – 428 million tonnes
Land availability – 250-800 million ha (Source FAO)
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Today
Sugar, starch and oil crops.
Builds on current agricultural value chains.
Expensive and tied to food & feed chains.
Near term
Agricultural residues.
Bolts on to current agricultural production.
Requires collection and logistical development.
Technology improvements required to meet current economics.
Future
Algae, Biomass crops and carbon dioxide.
Requires development of new supply chains and cultivation technology.
Feedstock Development
NB - The use of algae as a production tool should not be confused with its use as a feedstock
© NNFCC
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
To maximise the transnational value of algal pilots across NWE, by creating an integrated Network that incorporates an up to date inventory and in which pilots collect and share data. To identify the political, economic, social and technological opportunities for sustainable exploitation of algae within NEW. To combine information in an ICT-based tool which can guide decisions, identify gaps in knowledge and capability and provide a roadmap for stakeholders.
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
12 Principles for sustainable biofuel production
– Legality
– Planning, Monitoring and Continuous Improvement
– Greenhouse Gas Emissions
– Human and Labour Rights
– Rural and Social Development
– Local Food Security
– Conservation
– Soil
– Water
– Air
– Use of Technology, Inputs and Management of Wastes
– Land Rights
Sustainability through project control Round Table on Sustainable Biofuels
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Summary - Bio-based Materials outlook
Strengths
• Consumer preference
• Reduced carbon footprints & fossil energy use
• Novel / Improved function
Weaknesses
• Low volume / High costs
• Immature supply chain
• Market confusion
Opportunities
• Oil price volatility
• Capture C3 and C4 markets
• Co-development with fuel industry
Threats
• Feedstock supply
• Alternative feedstocks (coal, gas)
• Environmental pressure
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
UK and Norway Capabilities and Opportunities for Joint Working
on Biorefining and Industrial Biotechnology?
Review Basis
• Industrial Competence
• Research Competence
• Feedstock Opportunity
Recommendations
• Tailored networking
• Relationship building through exchange programs
• Information exchange
• Industrial stakeholder engagement
• Build programs around FP7 and other EU programs
• Review ERA-Net participation
• Joint funding calls as a basis for interaction
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Renewable Raw Materials
Forestry
Marine by products
Algae and Marine
Organisms
Markets
Bulk chemical-using industries
(Biofuels and Chemicals)
Speciality Ingredients (feed and chemicals)
Technology Areas
Biocatalysis Microbial strain development & Fermentation
Macro & microalgae cultivation
Hypotheses examined and rationalised to give focus
areas
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Process demonstration and scale up
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Bio Base NWE Supporting the development of the bio-based economy
in North West Europe
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Bio Base NWE Supporting the development of the bio-based economy
in North West Europe
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Aims
To support the development of the bio-based economy in NWE
• To acquaint companies, research centers and education centers of NWE with Bio
Base Europe
o Bio Base Europe Pilot Plant: independent facility to address upscaling needs
o Bio Base Europe Training Center: to address specific training needs for operators of the bio-based economy
• To assist companies by giving technological support
• To aid companies, research centers and education centers of NWE to network internationally
• Political support for the bio-based economy by giving SMEs a voice, and by developing a common strategy
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Bio economy
Raw material supply
Technology
development
Environmental concerns
Trends to watch
Renewable versus
Nuclear/Unconventional gas/CCS
Solid biofuel versus liquid biofuel
Bioenergy versus bio-based materials
Biodegradable versus durable Bio-
based plastics
Impact of NGLs on C2/3/4 platforms
Summary
Bioeconomy Drivers
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
The NNFCC provides high quality, industry leading consultancy
for more information contact us
Email - enquiries@nnfcc.co.uk
+44 (0) 1904 435182
Follow us on Twitter @NNFCC
• Future Market Analysis
• Feedstock Logistics Planning
• Sustainability Strategy
Development
• Technology evaluation & associated
due diligence
• Project feasibility assessment
• Policy and regulatory support
top related