gaelectric north america
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Gaelectric North America
Northwest Power and Conservation CouncilMissoula Meeting
January 12, 2011
How does wind compare to other resources?
Colstip 4 Market
Sale
PPLM Market
Sale (mix of coal, hydro)
Judith Gap
Wind
Energy Efficiency
New coal plant
New gas plant
with $5 gas
New gas plant
with $8 gas
New wind plant
-
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
Fossil Integration
Wind Integration
Fuel Cost
Resource Costs
Resources
Ener
gy C
ost i
n $/
MW
h From NWE Rate Case Testimony
From NWPCC 6th Resource Plan
Economic Reality of Operating Projects
Job Type Glacier Rim Rock (est.) Total
Engineering 19 28 47
Direct Construction 206 303 509 Indirect Construction 80 117 197 Material Suppliers 181 266 447
Total 486 714 1,200
Taxes:• Glacier Wind 1&2 will contribute roughly $3.6 million for taxes in 2010• Increase tax base for funding local public projects
Job Creation (shown in man-years):
Economic Reality of Operating Projects
•Wheatland Cty Tax Revenue > $ 5,000,000 to date•Judith Gap -- 12 full time employees = $ 3,000,000 payroll•Royalties to MT Landowners >$ 2,200,000 to date•Montana Const Jobs/Work (~200) >$18,000,00
Total Economic Benefit over 5 years:Over $28,000,000 and counting!
Per Department of EnergyFor each 1000 MW of wind generation in Montana:
• $14.8 million in tax revenue• $2.7 million in royalty payments• 271 new long term jobs w/$21.1 million payroll
Gaelectric Impacts• ≈ $1 Million in Annual Payroll in MONTANA
• Doesn’t include payments to contractors• Nothing built yet in America!
• Harlowton Project Alone• Our most advanced project• ≈ $1 Billion in investment• What was the last investment in MT ≥ $1 Billion?
• At least 3X that in our pipeline
Billings
GreatFalls
Havre
FortBenton
Cut Bank
Helena
Butte
Missoula
Gaelectric Project Sites
Lewistown
Harlowton
CouttsLiberty
Tiger Ridge
Roy
Frenchman’s Ridge
Kelly Hills
Lennep
Geyser
≈ 280,000 acres under long term lease options
≈ 3,000 MW of wind generation potential.
≈ $6 Billion investment potential
Common Misinformation
Wind is wind! Montana’s is no
different than any other state’s wind!
Comparison to Annual BPA Wind & Load Shape
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
PNW Hydro (arb. units)Columbia Gorge WindGaelectric Site Harlowton
Win
d Sp
eed
(m/s
)
Data height = 20m due to limitations of BPA anemometers
Hydro data shown for profile comparison purposes only.
Peak Load Months
Surplus Hydro Months
Comparison to Daily BPA Wind & Load Shape
00:00 - 01:00
02:00 - 03:00
04:00 - 05:00
06:00 - 07:00
08:00 - 09:00
10:00 - 11:00
12:00 - 13:00
14:00 - 15:00
16:00 - 17:00
18:00 - 19:00
20:00 - 21:00
22:00 - 23:00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
Diurnal Comparison
Columbia Gorge Wind
Gaelectric Site Harlowton
Win
d Sp
eed
(m/s
)
Data height = 20m due to limitations of BPA anemometers
Hydro data shown for profile comparison purposes only.
Peak Load Hours
We planned to sell into the Pacific Northwest
Mid-C500 MW
Seattle area460 MW
NWEGreen Line
BPA Network
BPA Network
Primary TransmissionPoint of IntegrationPrimary Point of DeliveryDelivery Alternatives
Trans Svc Request Deposits: $3.4 millionBPA Open Season Deposits: $15.0 million
500 MW
460 MW
Bonneville Open Season Reality Check
Mid-C
BPA Network
BPA Network
Garrison
•Only 300-650 MW of “non-wires” capacity attainable•BPA won’t build a new line at embedded rates
Reality Check!!!Little of this will be possible without new transmission for gathering and
export to market.
The Transmission Rate Fable
The cost of new transmission
will be charged to
native load!
Possible Sources for the Transmission Rate Fable
1. FERC’s rejection of NWE’s rate proposal for MSTI• NWE asked for a separate tariff• FERC said use existing tariff• Confusion over what a “tariff” is
2. FERC’s Proposed Cost Allocation Rule• Allocate costs to beneficiaries
3. FERC’s Acceptance of MISO filing• MISO proposing to over-build a 765 kV system• Will accommodate new load and resources
4. Wall Street Journal Editorial
Questions?
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