from tides to storms: preparing for new · +6.3 feet sea level +4.0 feet sea level +1.7 feet sea...
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Assessing the Risk and Vulnerability of NH Coastal Communities to Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Seabrook - Hampton Falls – Hampton - North Hampton – Rye - New Castle - Portsmouth
This project is funded by New Hampshire Homeland
Security and Emergency Management (HSEM)
through a Pre-Disaster Mitigation Grant from the
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
Julie LaBranche Senior Planner
NH Office of Energy and Planning Spring 2016 Planning and Zoning Conference
June 4, 2016
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Portsmouth
New Castle
Rye
North Hampton
Hampton
Hampton Falls
Seabrook
Project Deliverables
• Maps and Data
• Regional and Municipal Vulnerability Assessment reports
Project Overview
• Evaluate impacts from sea-level rise and storm surge flooding
• Roadways, Critical Infrastructure, Natural Resources
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Best-available science
Maps and Data
Municipal Coordination
Implementation Guidance
Vehicles for Informed Planning
Applicability
Tools and Applications
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
+6.3 feet sea level
+4.0 feet sea level
+1.7 feet sea level
Source: Wake CP, Kirshen P, Huber M, Knuuti K, and Stampone M (2014) Sea-level Rise, Storm Surges, and Extreme Precipitation in Coastal New Hampshire: Analysis of Past and Projected Future Trends.
Best Available Science- SLR Scenarios/Projections
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Sea-level rise Sea-level rise + Storm surge
High-Resolution Mapping Flood Extents Impacts to assets and resources
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
High-Resolution Mapping Flood Extents Impacts to assets and resources
Example: Rye Harbor
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
MHHW+ 1.7feet SLR
MHHW+ 4.0feet SLR
MHHW+ 6.3feet SLR
storm surge +1.7 feet SLR
storm surge +4.0 feet SLR
storm surge +6.3 feet SLR
State and Local Roadways (miles)
Local State
Impacts by Asset type
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
0
5
10
15
20
25
Hampton HamptonFalls
NewCastle
NorthHampton Portsmouth
Rye Seabrook
Miles of Roadway by Municipality
SLR + 1.7 feet SLR + 4.0 feet SLR +6.3 feet
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Upland - acres above mean higher high water
SLR + 1.7 feet SLR + 4.0 feet SLR +6.3 feet
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Municipal Zoning Districts (acres)
SLR + 1.7 feet SLR + 4.0 feet SLR +6.3 feet
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Implementation Guidance
• Designing for resiliency in the current 100-year floodplain will protect against long term sea-level rise
• Adaptation strategies need to be customized to address variable conditions
• Iterative actions, not a one-size-fits-all problem
• No-regrets policies and investments
• Periodic review and evaluation of climate science findings, adjust strategies accordingly
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Municipal Coordination
Administration
Public Works
Planning
Building/Code Enforcement
Conservation
Public Outreach & Participation
Community Support For Actions
Regional & State Coordination
• Critical Infrastructure
• State and Local Roads
• Utilities and Infrastructure
• Natural Resources - Environment
• Policy and Planning Recommendations
• Regulatory Strategies
• Non-Regulatory Approaches
Local Hazard Mitigation
Plans
State Agency Plans
Regional
Master Plan
Natural Resource Conservation
Vulnerability Assessment
Regional Planning Recommendations
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
Vehicles for Informed Planning
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
How can the project results be useful?
o Inform recommendations in the CRHC Final Report
o Assist regional practitioners with technical assistance and outreach to municipalities
o Guide policy changes by state agencies
o Provide a solid rationale for grant proposals to fund infrastructure improvements, planning and community outreach
Project Applicability
FROM TIDES TO STORMS: PREPARING FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE’S FUTURE COAST
• Regional Assessment and Maps
• Municipal Assessment and Maps http://www.rpc-nh.org/regional-community-planning/climate-change/resources
For information contact: Julie LaBranche Senior Planner Rockingham Planning Commission 156 Water Street, Exeter, NH 03833 Phone: (603) 778-0885 Email: jlabranche@rpc-nh.org
Project Materials
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