energy overview
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Non-OECD nations drive the increase in energy demand*world energy consumptionquadrillion BtuSource: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2011HistoryProjections2008Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
198.562155.1051990
202.1207291129154.18799117831991
203.9383482489152.62121827431992
207.6420372611153.88728023741993
211.1410489248154.66488501151994
216.0791186854157.54145687911995
222.9189268893160.46139344341996
225.6319088887163.91005914171997
226.1121730331164.33981834391998
230.260719674167.76286087981999
234.4840387505171.49052224042000
232.8863092948176.48025006562001
234.8751357471184.99592315942002
236.253197.2422003
241.382215.9612004
243.9227.1852005
244.321236.9592006
246.087246.4892007
244.255260.4522008
234.244269.5162009
237.996284.0512010
240.749290.4112011
243.943298.3652012
246.631305.7562013
248.606314.4882014
250.408323.0522015
252.961328.7132016
254.708336.3512017
256.617344.4462018
258.429351.9492019
260.565358.9152020
262.776366.1262021
264.425374.2332022
266.216383.0162023
268.065392.3762024
269.76401.7052025
271.506411.2182026
273.195419.8152027
275.022427.9262028
276.776435.62029
278.743442.7512030
280.923450.1282031
282.927458.1172032
284.682465.7792033
286.493473.6942034
288.162481.6252035
Non-OECD
OECD
244
260
482
288
OECD
Non-OECD
Total
Sheet1
Column11990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035
OECD198.6202.1203.9207.6211.1216.1222.9225.6226.1230.3234.5232.9234.9236.3241.4243.9244.3246.1244.3234.2238.0240.7243.9246.6248.6250.4253.0254.7256.6258.4260.6262.8264.4266.2268.1269.8271.5273.2275.0276.8278.7280.9282.9284.7286.5288.2
Non-OECD155.1154.2152.6153.9154.7157.5160.5163.9164.3167.8171.5176.5185.0197.2216.0227.2237.0246.5260.5269.5284.1290.4298.4305.8314.5323.1328.7336.4344.4351.9358.9366.1374.2383.0392.4401.7411.2419.8427.9435.6442.8450.1458.1465.8473.7481.6
Total353.667356.3356.6361.5365.8373.6383.4389.5390.5398.0406.0409.4419.9433.496457.343471.084481.28492.576504.707503.76522.047531.161542.307552.386563.094573.461581.673591.058601.063610.378619.479628.902638.658649.232660.441671.465682.723693.01702.948712.376721.494731.051741.045750.462760.187769.787
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Growth in income and population drive rising energy use; energy intensity improvements moderate increases in energy demand*average annual change (2008-2035) percent per yearSource: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2011Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
-1.95295768251.56125341420.91
-1.27466152741.55017795890.24
-0.31037026340.8929153431-0.35
-1.64504504832.90226600160.02
-2.56487450065.36616252820.33
-2.17659843554.48143872710.96
-1.67339640284.06047339110.49
-1.58000237692.18498976371.56
-1.74845840622.0324446381.67
-1.99520520313.0650401814-0.44
Energy Intensity
GDP per capita
Population
Sheet1
Column1U.S.OECD EuropeJapanSouth KoreaChinaIndiaBrazilMiddle EastAfricaRussia
Energy Intensity-1.9529576825-1.2746615274-0.3103702634-1.6450450483-2.5648745006-2.1765984355-1.6733964028-1.5800023769-1.7484584062-1.9952052031
GDP per capita1.56125341421.55017795890.89291534312.90226600165.36616252824.48143872714.06047339112.18498976372.0324446383.0650401814
Population0.910.24-0.350.020.330.960.491.561.67-0.44
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Non-OECD liquid fuels use surpasses almost flat OECD liquid fuels use in the near future*total liquids consumption million barrels per daySource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 ProjectionsHistory2010OECD664741Non-OECD46Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
48.12329864529.0971641541
48.015979766829.8133049011
48.011398315430.4958591461
48.992103576731.0979995728
49.821006774933.0690040588
50.189174652133.8724441528
49.851570129435.3093299866
49.72922134435.9740600586
48.126903533937.361328125
45.958267211938.4263572693
46.359245300340.6808586121
45.935909271242.1908340454
45.740238189743.6066017151
45.459091186544.2733917236
46.005489349445.4174003601
46.402770996146.787197113
46.789859771748.1241035461
47.118896484449.327205658
47.404003143350.3775939941
47.686904907251.2198982239
47.866775512751.874294281
48.103237152152.5448989868
48.17827606253.4300994873
48.22244262754.4104995728
48.193027496355.7321014404
48.103332519557.1522064209
47.97440719658.4034004211
47.840381622359.331401825
47.735012054460.1209983826
47.635265350360.6665039062
47.567771911660.9760971069
47.519878387561.2858009338
47.451049804761.7200012207
47.363521575962.141204834
47.286853790362.5921058655
47.19659805363.0978965759
47.171974182163.6092910767
47.150238037164.2623138428
47.16485595764.8040924072
47.166706085265.2990951538
47.192119598465.7399978638
OECD
Non-OECD
Sheet1
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040
OECD48.1248.0248.0148.9949.8250.1949.8549.7348.1345.9646.3645.9445.7445.4646.0146.4046.7947.1247.4047.6947.8748.1048.1848.2248.1948.1047.9747.8447.7447.6447.5747.5247.4547.3647.2947.2047.1747.1547.1647.1747.19
Non-OECD29.1029.8130.5031.1033.0733.8735.3135.9737.3638.4340.6842.1943.6144.2745.4246.7948.1249.3350.3851.2251.8752.5453.4354.4155.7357.1558.4059.3360.1260.6760.9861.2961.7262.1462.5963.1063.6164.2664.8065.3065.74
110.2944946289112.9321174622
42.79%41.79%
57.21%58.21%
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Liquids fuel consumption in the United States, China, and India, 1990-2040 *million barrels per daySource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013HistoryProjections2010Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
16.9882.2951.168
16.681268592.4987991.19031862
17.109513052.661601171.27490676
17.257593762.959490841.31107003
17.799833083.160605451.41327447
17.783789963.363155281.57467255
18.476148443.610085151.68091881
18.774067473.916269941.76549128
18.946005574.105834561.84437257
19.603827594.36360112.03125029
19.71792324.795714762.12743846
19.772595344.917881852.18373028
20.1595.5782.348
20.8895.5782.346
20.7976.4372.43
20.6556.6952.512
20.6497.2632.691
19.5247.5342.801
18.8137.9482.908
19.178.5383.008
19.17010879529.393.12
18.94674301159.793.27
18.646837234510.213.36
18.766490936310.613.46
19.145893096911.27499961853.5940001011
19.461967468312.06900024413.7209999561
19.609964370712.74300003053.8910000324
19.701093673713.3430004124.0450000763
19.775606155413.78499984744.2069997787
19.844806671114.08800029754.3759999275
19.835075378414.24400043494.5479998589
19.784135818514.44999980934.7449998856
19.750375747714.7659997944.9580001831
19.672939300515.17700004585.1939997673
19.598129272515.71599960335.4640002251
19.495536804216.35300064095.7620000839
19.378807067916.89200019846.0419998169
19.267784118717.28400039676.2979998589
19.178009033217.51899909976.5229997635
19.093767166117.5930004126.7069997787
19.037874221817.49699974066.8460001945
18.987676620517.46100044256.9470000267
18.937051773117.51300048837.007999897
18.893720626817.6429996497.021999836
18.874954223617.85300064096.993999958
18.861499786418.15900039676.9260001183
18.858266830418.43499946596.8979997635
18.86851692218.756.8839998245
18.88891792318.94700050356.8860001564
18.915773391719.17399978646.8860001564
18.947084426919.39500045786.890999794
India
United States
China
United States
China
India
Sheet1
Column1199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040
United States17.016.717.117.317.817.818.518.818.919.619.7219.7720.1620.8920.8020.6620.6519.5218.8119.1719.1718.9518.6518.7719.1519.4619.6119.7019.7819.8419.8419.7819.7519.6719.6019.5019.3819.2719.1819.0919.0418.9918.9418.8918.8718.8618.918.918.918.918.9
China2.32.52.73.03.23.43.63.94.14.44.84.95.65.66.46.77.37.57.98.59.49.810.210.611.312.112.713.313.814.114.214.414.815.215.716.416.917.317.517.617.517.517.517.617.918.218.418.818.919.219.4
India1.21.21.31.31.41.61.71.81.82.02.12.22.32.32.42.52.72.82.93.03.13.33.43.53.63.73.94.04.24.44.54.75.05.25.55.86.06.36.56.76.86.97.07.07.06.96.96.96.96.96.9
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Global liquids supply increases 26 percent with regional market shares relatively stable *Global liquids supplymillion barrels per dayProjectionsHistory2011OPECOther non-OECDOECD44%25%31%40%26%34%Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
19.76916422.5617294523.6794785519901990
20.36866321.8665482723.7016347319911991
20.56040820.448242125.031796919921992
21.25765519.982829925.818031119931993
22.31715419.765530779926.595408220119941994
22.73548220.296339290927.303239709119951995
23.58366320.676974380427.776490619619961996
23.66184321.196424204329.130916795719971997
23.41556721.639273836430.306132163619981998
23.28322322.306272876429.221776123619991999
23.61397522.928036658331.035375341720002000
23.5603423.301182915730.441143084320012001
23.78041924.09699493628.86733706420022002
23.6586225.079400200630.460780799420032003
23.47924726.19483363633.04247336420042004
22.573326.817568251534.744877748520052005
22.50373827.336326891934.512006108120062006
22.56512927.732153041134.166876958920072007
22.06894927.840071864835.388724135220082008
22.56031828.463684028733.784362971320092009
23.06895429.487972090934.853949909120102010
23.21761429.473235463435.080820536620112011
23.9031229.16657334436.43930965620122012
24.67577329.477758788736.319473211320132013
25.38050229.361084787936.681303212120142014
25.48867830.011651640837.689637359220152015
25.79446630.578294588338.541201411720162016
26.0108731.034502993439.400726006620172017
26.20558331.434438845740.141577154320182018
26.36901131.848888163540.688902836520192019
26.34446632.262670825441.133946174620202020
26.27945632.727567407841.641109592220212021
26.21200433.148142916642.248219083420222022
26.16577133.597191341142.869977658920232023
26.1534134.129550878443.642163121620242024
26.20828234.680287982444.366983017620252025
26.1541635.162162951245.061479048820262026
26.19294735.452043377945.526786622120272027
26.23792735.675270628645.942812371420282028
26.29150135.79929056546.21098343520292029
26.39172535.788211446146.363926553920302030
26.53481835.658945175946.611925824120312031
26.6935935.58838009346.88907690720322032
26.88800635.491660723247.125072276820332033
27.04637835.439562259247.393011740820342034
27.1900635.443107816847.661332183220352035
27.26851535.417906467648.094844532420362036
27.39270135.375376983548.644469016520372037
27.64068735.239778528749.088489471320382038
27.9754635.036719945249.453633054820392039
28.23005534.798269316549.903790683520402040
Sheet1
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040
OECD19.76916420.36866320.56040821.25765522.31715422.73548223.58366323.66184323.41556723.28322323.61397523.5603423.78041923.6586223.47924722.573322.50373822.5651322.06894922.56031823.06895423.21761423.9031224.67577325.38050225.48867825.79446626.0108726.20558326.36901126.34446626.27945626.21200426.16577126.1534126.20828226.1541626.19294726.23792726.29150126.39172526.53481826.6935926.88800627.04637827.1900627.26851527.39270127.64068727.9754628.2300555.012441
Non-OECD22.5617294521.8665482720.448242119.982829919.765530779920.296339290920.676974380421.196424204321.639273836422.306272876422.928036658323.301182915724.09699493625.079400200626.19483363626.817568251527.336326891927.732153041127.840071864828.463684028729.487972090929.473235463429.16657334429.477758788729.361084787930.011651640830.578294588331.034502993431.434438845731.848888163532.262670825432.727567407833.148142916633.597191341134.129550878434.680287982435.162162951235.452043377935.675270628635.79929056535.788211446135.658945175935.58838009335.491660723235.439562259235.443107816835.417906467635.375376983535.239778528735.036719945234.79826931655.3250338531
OPEC23.6794785523.7016347325.031796925.818031126.595408220127.303239709127.776490619629.130916795730.306132163629.221776123631.035375341730.441143084328.86733706430.460780799433.04247336434.744877748534.512006108134.166876958935.388724135233.784362971334.853949909135.080820536636.43930965636.319473211336.681303212137.689637359238.541201411739.400726006640.141577154340.688902836541.133946174641.641109592242.248219083442.869977658943.642163121644.366983017645.061479048845.526786622145.942812371446.21098343546.363926553946.611925824146.88907690747.125072276847.393011740847.661332183248.094844532448.644469016549.088489471349.453633054849.903790683514.8229701469
0
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66.01037287.77167110.2945112.932115
29.95%26%24.65%25%
34.18%34%32.13%31%
35.87%40%43.21%44%
0.00%
100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%
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World oil prices move together due to arbitrage*Global crude oil pricesNominal dollars per barrel, monthly averageSources: Bloomberg, Thomson ReutersHoward Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
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Spot natural gas prices vary significantly across global markets since 2008, with many markets far below oil-related benchmarks Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013*Global spot natural gas, crude oil, and LNG pricesU.S. dollars per million British thermal unitSource: Derived from Bloomberg, L.P.
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
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*U.S. Energy Context Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
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Key results from the 2013 Annual Energy Outlook *Growth in U.S. energy production outstrips consumption growthOil production, particularly from tight oil plays, rises sharply over the next decade Motor gasoline consumption declines, reflecting the introduction of more stringent fuel economy standards, while diesel fuel consumption is moderated by increased natural gas use in heavy-duty vehiclesThe United States. is a net exporter of coal and becomes a net exporter of natural gas over the next decade -- for oil, the United States remains a net importer in the Reference case, but sharply reduces or eliminates import dependence by the mid-2030s in high resource sensitivity cases.U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions remain more than five percent below their 2005 level through 2040, reflecting increased efficiency and the shift to a less carbon-intensive fuel mixHoward Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
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*U.S. primary energy consumptionquadrillion BtuHistoryProjections201136%20%26%8%8%1%32%28%19%11%9%2%Shares of total U.S. energyNuclearOil and other liquidsLiquid biofuelsNatural gasCoalRenewables (excluding liquid biofuels)200023%39%24%6%8%Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early ReleaseU.S. energy use grows slowly over projection reflecting improving energy efficiency and a slow and extended economic recovery
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
34.27591915.38779102.7391695.42834320.235459
32.04561215.891580.0067233.0075895.40696619.747309
30.33225215.2999310.0182853.1311485.96135218.356222
30.17276315.8788180.033723.2025496.46189217.220836
31.1885617.059140.0412653.5525316.39659818.393613
31.06438717.4649370.0497384.0755636.03427917.703482
32.32074117.2436650.0574374.3801096.05370316.591364
33.02183418.0170810.0660714.7539335.55573617.639801
34.33119418.8858680.0671255.5869685.38962918.448393
34.24674619.1001670.0680915.6021616.16714319.601689
33.55951119.1774210.0604216.104355.98025419.603168
32.91299719.0013670.0700956.4221325.99842120.032957
33.6116919.1570920.0797466.4792065.74160620.713632
33.83945619.8622540.093666.4104995.98884521.228902
34.71347819.9677930.104846.6938775.88327821.728065
34.57222620.1497850.112497.0754366.44799322.671138
35.81249421.024730.0806617.0866746.93301723.084647
36.275121.4918610.1019666.5969926.91357623.222717
36.90413921.7228280.1128437.0678096.38005522.830226
37.93662921.6802290.1177957.6102566.39782322.909227
38.37690422.6448760.1348877.8623495.97146523.823978
38.26066621.9435280.1421258.0288535.02042522.772558
38.29574221.9647470.169658.1454295.55946923.510081
38.83334822.3714430.2298137.9588585.75355122.830642
40.33037722.6039570.289728.2219855.79269622.923061
40.4726622.8407340.3390158.160815.90292822.565364
40.018222.5079470.4749518.2154146.1742222.238738
39.88059622.7746570.602498.4553645.92009523.662759
37.39190322.4259680.8261388.4272976.36026623.842954
35.51945419.6683920.9353968.3560196.66420723.41594
36.09817520.8433491.0739178.4344337.01599724.256183
35.40974619.6541431.1541098.2594327.98129124.842548
35.54763817.8242861.2282188.0480117.22150226.195364
35.17732518.3087251.2995698.1022017.50469125.868334
35.38115318.3469471.4389958.2435897.59068125.55954
35.89734418.1810651.4624698.5702937.75401725.858915
36.11602717.1749741.4982398.7789037.9677326.809475
36.21972717.6326391.5248798.9812358.11544226.653332
36.27888417.9868221.5532679.154478.24532326.685894
36.31368518.3789791.5851929.2509518.40749826.741253
36.2452218.5921921.6042369.2479478.58222126.76696
36.15523918.6752381.6007169.2891098.73619626.816446
36.06400718.9792881.6042189.3508478.78724926.930679
35.91825719.2090441.5932789.4125878.83696426.999941
35.76893919.2920211.5929739.4743218.90128727.150576
35.59465919.3460291.579799.536079.0000727.282055
35.41155819.4457341.5691189.5360649.05212627.412966
35.19395719.4734361.5754869.536069.10003227.578627
35.03216219.4908791.5756349.536069.182327.696161
34.87847319.5955561.5756279.536069.24174827.790075
34.77520319.6962171.5788959.4949039.31373927.950085
34.68379519.7555691.590179.4125869.39054728.220003
34.57937519.8038731.6082739.3407359.49484928.460993
34.48288519.8647881.632829.2714019.64719328.666506
34.42765319.9832731.6675049.2052259.83591628.850443
34.37398520.0873151.7122059.14409210.03820529.055315
34.33293420.1957151.7705639.07545210.29361429.22077
34.31626720.2279641.8442969.11120310.58856329.354864
34.28372220.2898241.9374659.15995610.9006529.54364
34.23078620.303442.053799.27567211.26565529.72213
34.15193220.3517382.2084349.43673611.66250929.826063
Oil and other liquids
Coal
Liquid biofuels
Nuclear
Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)
Natural gas
Sheet1
Column11980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040
Oil and other liquids34.27591932.04561230.33225230.17276331.1885631.06438732.32074133.02183434.33119434.24674633.55951132.91299733.6116933.83945634.71347834.57222635.81249436.275136.90413937.93662938.37690438.26066638.29574238.83334840.33037740.4726640.018239.88059637.39190335.51945436.09817535.40974635.54763835.17732535.38115335.89734436.11602736.21972736.27888436.31368536.2452236.15523936.06400735.91825735.76893935.59465935.41155835.19395735.03216234.87847334.77520334.68379534.57937534.48288534.42765334.37398534.33293434.31626734.28372234.23078634.151932-1.257814
Coal15.38779115.8915815.29993115.87881817.0591417.46493717.24366518.01708118.88586819.10016719.17742119.00136719.15709219.86225419.96779320.14978521.0247321.49186121.72282821.68022922.64487621.94352821.96474722.37144322.60395722.84073422.50794722.77465722.42596819.66839220.84334919.65414317.82428618.30872518.34694718.18106517.17497417.63263917.98682218.37897918.59219218.67523818.97928819.20904419.29202119.34602919.44573419.47343619.49087919.59555619.69621719.75556919.80387319.86478819.98327320.08731520.19571520.22796420.28982420.3034420.3517380.697595
Liquid biofuels00.0067230.0182850.033720.0412650.0497380.0574370.0660710.0671250.0680910.0604210.0700950.0797460.093660.104840.112490.0806610.1019660.1128430.1177950.1348870.1421250.169650.2298130.289720.3390150.4749510.602490.8261380.9353961.0739171.1541091.2282181.2995691.4389951.4624691.4982391.5248791.5532671.5851921.6042361.6007161.6042181.5932781.5929731.579791.5691181.5754861.5756341.5756271.5788951.590171.6082731.632821.6675041.7122051.7705631.8442961.9374652.053792.2084341.054325
Nuclear2.7391693.0075893.1311483.2025493.5525314.0755634.3801094.7539335.5869685.6021616.104356.4221326.4792066.4104996.6938777.0754367.0866746.5969927.0678097.6102567.8623498.0288538.1454297.9588588.2219858.160818.2154148.4553648.4272978.3560198.4344338.2594328.0480118.1022018.2435898.5702938.7789038.9812359.154479.2509519.2479479.2891099.3508479.4125879.4743219.536079.5360649.536069.536069.536069.4949039.4125869.3407359.2714019.2052259.1440929.0754529.1112039.1599569.2756729.4367361.177304
Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)5.4283435.4069665.9613526.4618926.3965986.0342796.0537035.5557365.3896296.1671435.9802545.9984215.7416065.9888455.8832786.4479936.9330176.9135766.3800556.3978235.9714655.0204255.5594695.7535515.7926965.9029286.174225.9200956.3602666.6642077.0159977.9812917.2215027.5046917.5906817.7540177.967738.1154428.2453238.4074988.5822218.7361968.7872498.8369648.9012879.000079.0521269.1000329.18239.2417489.3137399.3905479.4948499.6471939.83591610.03820510.29361410.58856310.9006511.26565511.6625093.681218
Natural gas20.23545919.74730918.35622217.22083618.39361317.70348216.59136417.63980118.44839319.60168919.60316820.03295720.71363221.22890221.72806522.67113823.08464723.22271722.83022622.90922723.82397822.77255823.51008122.83064222.92306122.56536422.23873823.66275923.84295423.4159424.25618324.84254826.19536425.86833425.5595425.85891526.80947526.65333226.68589426.74125326.7669626.81644626.93067926.99994127.15057627.28205527.41296627.57862727.69616127.79007527.95008528.22000328.46099328.66650628.85044329.05531529.2207729.35486429.5436429.7221329.8260634.983515
To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.
Row 2:7 sum78.06668176.10577973.0991972.97057876.63170776.39238676.64701979.05445682.70917784.78599784.48512584.43796985.78297287.42361689.09133191.02906894.02222394.60221295.017996.65195998.81445996.16815597.64511897.977655100.161796100.28151199.62947101.29596199.27452694.55940897.72205497.30126996.06501996.26084596.56090597.72410398.34534899.12725499.90466100.677558101.038776101.272944101.716288101.970071102.180117102.338673102.427566102.457598102.513196102.617539102.809042103.05267103.288098103.565593103.970014104.411117104.889048105.443157106.115257106.851473107.637412
AER Total78.06668176.10577873.0991972.97057976.63170676.39238676.64701979.05445782.70917784.78599784.48512584.43797185.78297387.42361789.09133191.02906794.02222494.60221395.01789996.65195898.81445996.16815597.64511897.977655100.161797100.28151199.629469101.29596199.27452794.55940797.72205397.30126900000000000000000000000000000
39%36%32%
23%20%19%
0%1%2%
8%8%9%
6%8%11%
24%26%28%
find the maximum coal percentage:
19.71%20.88%20.93%21.76%22.26%22.86%22.50%22.79%22.83%22.53%22.70%22.50%22.33%22.72%22.41%22.14%22.36%22.72%22.86%22.43%22.92%22.82%22.49%22.83%22.57%22.78%22.59%22.48%22.59%20.80%21.33%20.20%
19.71%20.88%20.93%21.76%22.26%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%
0.01169824550.00049459060.0083020580.0050062730.0060094043000000000000000.000544176100000000000
paste AEO data from ftab Table 1 here:
Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum 12/37.76007837.01956936.39712936.14419236.48422237.03999337.28809437.42215737.51589637.58963837.54093237.42817337.346637.1993137.05231936.87340536.67979436.48181536.31540736.16850736.07885735.99835235.9125135.84444435.82759535.82261335.83561735.87192535.92986335.99306536.06868
Natural Gas24.31706624.91082626.19536425.86833425.5595425.85891526.80947526.65333226.68589426.74125326.7669626.81644626.93067926.99994127.15057627.28205527.41296627.57862727.69616127.79007527.95008528.22000328.46099328.66650628.85044329.05531529.2207729.35486429.5436429.7221329.826063
Coal 13/20.80750119.661117.82428618.30872518.34694718.18106517.17497417.63263917.98682218.37897918.59219218.67523818.97928819.20904419.29202119.34602919.44573419.47343619.49087919.59555619.69621719.75556919.80387319.86478819.98327320.08731520.19571520.22796420.28982420.3034420.351738
Nuclear / Uranium 2/8.4344418.2594318.0480118.1022018.2435898.5702938.7789038.9812359.154479.2509519.2479479.2891099.3508479.4125879.4743219.536079.5360649.536069.536069.536069.4949039.4125869.3407359.2714019.2052259.1440929.0754529.1112039.1599569.2756729.436736
Hydropower2.5377573.1700342.7438332.6490492.7046182.7556332.8324272.8275872.8303222.831162.8325062.8354942.8425672.842752.8484012.8601582.8604552.8604462.8606272.8616292.8700362.882542.8826682.8944952.8971212.8972912.8974552.8990682.9040732.9081862.917774
Biomass 14/2.873962.7440382.7069442.8025512.7945642.8829813.0139463.1408463.2472343.3847453.5324743.6519043.6802293.7162883.7594593.8239693.8412913.848293.8918833.9141433.9441473.978254.0238214.0755134.1510314.2305364.3430824.4763074.6033714.754314.90814
Other Renewable Energy 4/1.3069651.5802761.7707252.0530912.0914992.1154032.1213572.1470092.1677672.1915932.2172412.2487982.2644532.2779262.2934272.3159432.350382.3912962.429792.4659762.4995562.5297572.588362.6771852.7877642.9103783.0530773.2131883.3932063.6031593.836595
Other 15/0.3128340.3513760.3787270.3327020.3359260.319820.3261720.3224490.3162550.3092390.3085240.3277820.3216250.3122250.3095930.3010440.3008820.2876280.2923890.2855930.2752410.2756130.2751380.2712610.2675620.2635770.267880.2886380.2913240.2915110.291686
and from ftab Table 24, Transportation:
Transportation1.1350681.2154271.2282181.2995691.4389951.4624691.4982391.5248791.5532671.5851921.6042361.6007161.6042181.5932781.5929731.579791.5691181.5754861.5756341.5756271.5788951.590171.6082731.632821.6675041.7122051.7705631.8442961.9374652.053792.208434
Row 17:24 sum98.35060297.6966596.06501996.26084596.56090597.72410398.34534899.12725499.90466100.677558101.038776101.272944101.716288101.970071102.180117102.338673102.427566102.457598102.513196102.617539102.809042103.05267103.288098103.565593103.970014104.411117104.889048105.443157106.115257106.851473107.637412
paste data from Annual Energy Review here:
Coal1542280915907526153215811589444217070622174784281726040518008451188463121906976219172635189916701912247119835148199094632008872721001914214454112165574421622544225795282191426821903989223209282246619522796543224471602274946622385196196922032084952019643039
[R]
Coke Net Imports-35018-15946-21650-15624-11482-13491-16740863039556304054786969734621271065833061058228164645067084576856534829260607585051513776244191607872519140772-23811-617111104
Natural Gas2023545919747309183562221722083618393613177034821659136417639801184483931960168919603168200329572071363221228902217280652267113823084647232227172283022622909227238239782277255823510081228306422292306122565364222387382366275923842954234159402425618324842548
[R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R]
Petroleum3420452031932206302322263005221631053237309247323219826032863733342227953420929633551623328460323352495733744546345605413443837035675350361588973681591537837705382617053818551038224147388114434029178040388116399553513977396437279917354032663600954135282604
[R]
Total6982777167571094638883796315187066505989660931516603328968520615715570567291115272332212718803567339568274835702762563997725929279784728808734758136896882427160847305598290159683698975840135288581879785794214847020358621138083548840784875988110907379779295
[R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R]
Nuclear27391693007589313114832025493552531407556343801094753933558696856021616104350642213264792066410499669387770754367086674659699270678097610256786234980288538145429795885882219858160810821541484553648427297835601984344338259432
[R]
NoncombustibleEnergy969879919639108234411647501133001100194110383798995598066341047566112848911206341001158110005410302591197023132644813600931247397124002310902618931321069662111420211033201126855122917411247871238417138211214404051784844
[R][R][R][R][R][R][R]
Equivalence Adjustment19829641897767223384124264482333743206584321406671847365163407220283102177076216608518885162074279193032322623172530424255022923180122312304200786316470711958859206203019694311998324215324019235362099440230579123554432939392
[R]
Noncombustible Renewable29528432817406331618535911983466744306778431790462746923244070630758763305565328671928896743174333296058334593413856872391032235654093552327309812425402033028521317623230727513125178338241430483233337857368790337958484724236
[R][R][R][R][R][R][R]
Biomass724755002596283266345229044142971119301623329320942874884301604931593582735110278179829316782908172302753531011423156806310522029274892963291300822826223472700598280713230096663116765326675734742623848548391170042940664411164
[R][R][R][R][R][R]
Total Renewable54283435413689597963764956126437863608401761111405621807545675462352346040675606851658213526082505598811865604837013678701554264928986515618610635251625505729119598336460824166241943664917165225857186404759960380899149135400
[R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R]
Net Electricity Imports71399113406100026120547135323139655122481158101108399374507888669658673394910152937133856137144116203882249892411519975156715952190538597845446284910663211198611618888634127142
[R]
Total7806668176105778730991907297057976631706763923867664701979054457827091778478599784485125844379718578297387423617890913319102906794022224946022139501789996651958988144599616815597645118979776551001617971002815119962946910129596199274527945594079772205397301269
Separate paste required for:
Transportation Biofuels67231828533720412654973857437660716712568091604217009579746936601048401124908066110196611284311779513488714212516965022981328972033901547495160249082613893539610739171154109
1980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040
Nuclear2.7391693.0075893.1311483.2025493.5525314.0755634.3801094.7539335.5869685.6021616.104356.4221326.4792066.4104996.6938777.0754367.0866746.5969927.0678097.6102567.8623498.0288538.1454297.9588588.2219858.160818.2154148.4553648.4272978.3560198.4344338.2594328.0480118.1022018.2435898.5702938.7789038.9812359.154479.2509519.2479479.2891099.3508479.4125879.4743219.536079.5360649.536069.536069.536069.4949039.4125869.3407359.2714019.2052259.1440929.0754529.1112039.1599569.2756729.4367361.177304
Oil and other liquids34.27591932.04561230.33225230.17276331.1885631.06438732.32074133.02183434.33119434.24674633.55951132.91299733.6116933.83945634.71347834.57222635.81249436.275136.90413937.93662938.37690438.26066638.29574238.83334840.33037740.4726640.018239.88059637.39190335.51945436.09817535.40974635.54763835.17732535.38115335.89734436.11602736.21972736.27888436.31368536.2452236.15523936.06400735.91825735.76893935.59465935.41155835.19395735.03216234.87847334.77520334.68379534.57937534.48288534.42765334.37398534.33293434.31626734.28372234.23078634.151932-1.257814
Liquid biofuels0.0067230.0182850.033720.0412650.0497380.0574370.0660710.0671250.0680910.0604210.0700950.0797460.093660.104840.112490.0806610.1019660.1128430.1177950.1348870.1421250.169650.2298130.289720.3390150.4749510.602490.8261380.9353961.0739171.1541091.2282181.2995691.4389951.4624691.4982391.5248791.5532671.5851921.6042361.6007161.6042181.5932781.5929731.579791.5691181.5754861.5756341.5756271.5788951.590171.6082731.632821.6675041.7122051.7705631.8442961.9374652.053792.2084341.054325
Natural gas20.23545919.74730918.35622217.22083618.39361317.70348216.59136417.63980118.44839319.60168919.60316820.03295720.71363221.22890221.72806522.67113823.08464723.22271722.83022622.90922723.82397822.77255823.51008122.83064222.92306122.56536422.23873823.66275923.84295423.4159424.25618324.84254826.19536425.86833425.5595425.85891526.80947526.65333226.68589426.74125326.7669626.81644626.93067926.99994127.15057627.28205527.41296627.57862727.69616127.79007527.95008528.22000328.46099328.66650628.85044329.05531529.2207729.35486429.5436429.7221329.8260634.983515
Coal15.38779115.8915815.29993115.87881817.0591417.46493717.24366518.01708118.88586819.10016719.17742119.00136719.15709219.86225419.96779320.14978521.0247321.49186121.72282821.68022922.64487621.94352821.96474722.37144322.60395722.84073422.50794722.77465722.42596819.66839220.84334919.65414317.82428618.30872518.34694718.18106517.17497417.63263917.98682218.37897918.59219218.67523818.97928819.20904419.29202119.34602919.44573419.47343619.49087919.59555619.69621719.75556919.80387319.86478819.98327320.08731520.19571520.22796420.28982420.3034420.3517380.697595
Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)5.4283435.4069665.9613526.4618926.3965986.0342796.0537035.5557365.3896296.1671435.9802545.9984215.7416065.9888455.8832786.4479936.9330176.9135766.3800556.3978235.9714655.0204255.5594695.7535515.7926965.9029286.174225.9200956.3602666.6642077.0159977.9812917.2215027.5046917.5906817.7540177.967738.1154428.2453238.4074988.5822218.7361968.7872498.8369648.9012879.000079.0521269.1000329.18239.2417489.3137399.3905479.4948499.6471939.83591610.03820510.29361410.58856310.9006511.26565511.6625093.681218
-
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013*U.S. crude oil and lease condensate resources in non-prohibited areas billion barrelsThe USGS reduced NPR-A resource estimates, which is responsible for the lower AEO2013 Alaska resources.Prior to AEO2009, resources in Pacific, Atlantic, and Eastern GOM OCS were under moratoria and not included.Includes shale oil. Prior to AEO2011, tight oil is included in unproved other lower-48 onshore category.Multiple factors have contributed to U.S. crude oil resource estimate increases over the years, with tight oil contributing recently Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release23.848.641.616.567.025.2222.6
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
23.8971.280034.1410.53
22.3771.10032.9617.13
23.1760.480035.3116.89
23.9256.650036.324.45
23.9257.110048.0524.45
24.0155.840038.724.27
23.1154.210038.9830.92
22.5972.80042.7330.7
23.0271.240040.7730.64
22.3169.340062.5730.6
22.873.60057.533.74
20.669.64201131.565333.74
22.379.4201233.250.335
25.1867.03416.50941.55748.56923.75
Proved Reserves
Unproved Other L48 Onshore
Unproved Tight Oil (reclassified from onshore)
Unproved Tight Oil (3)
Unproved L48 Offshore (2)
Unproved Alaska (1)
Year of Annual Energy Outlook
Sheet1
Column120002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013total tight oil
Proved Reserves23.8922.3723.1723.9223.9224.0123.1122.5923.0222.3122.820.622.325.18
Unproved Other L48 Onshore71.2871.160.4856.6557.1155.8454.2172.871.2469.3473.669.6479.467.034
Unproved Tight Oil (reclassified from onshore)16.509
Unproved Tight Oil (3)31.5633.241.55758.066
Unproved L48 Offshore (2)34.1432.9635.3136.348.0538.738.9842.7340.7762.5757.55350.348.569
Unproved Alaska (1)10.5317.1316.8924.4524.4524.2730.9230.730.6430.633.7433.743523.75
-
U.S. import share of liquid fuels declines due to increased production of tight oil and gas liquids, and greater fuel efficiency*U.S. liquid fuels supplymillion barrels per dayProjectionsHistoryNatural gas plant liquidsPetroleum productionBiofuels excluding importsNet petroleum and biofuel imports17%7%37%38%5%45%38%12%Liquids from natural gas and coal1%2011Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
3.16055890419.8765835616001.6600438356
3.70146575349.8183835616001.6926438356
4.51892076510.1043032787001.7437595628
6.02487671239.5446575342001.7381452055
5.8916602749.073109589001.687939726
5.84632054798.8428767123001.6327616438
7.08965027328.7674672131001.6039480874
8.56454246588.2491917808001.6176849315
8.00161095899.2776520548001.5673589041
7.9852904118.9436246575001.5836246575
6.36460928969.1180628415001.5731885246
5.40108493159.042646575300.00541917811.6085452055
4.29820273979.432463013700.0147095891.5503452055
4.31202739739.33330958900.02709589041.5587013699
4.71546448099.347234972700.03319672131.6297185792
4.28613698639.790827397300.04025479451.6092
5.43892876719.244564383600.04644931511.5506849315
5.91405205489.10226027400.05341643841.5953178082
6.58654098369.017885245900.05404371581.6248415301
7.20175068498.52289041100.05496438361.5455479452
7.16088767128.219934246600.04877260271.5589013699
6.62581369868.372172602700.05651232881.6593369863
6.93801912578.333549180300.0640792351.6972076503
7.61708493157.808898630100.07508219181.7356657534
8.05327671237.854227397300.08407945211.7265753425
7.88462739737.987583561600.09018904111.7621890411
8.49704371587.917237704900.06451366121.8301092896
9.15788219187.56333972600.08191506851.8171671233
9.76335068497.303816438400.09051506851.7594575342
9.91224657537.663336986300.0941095891.8496438356
10.41874316947.263803278700.10756010931.9109699454
10.89935616446.766742465800.11421369861.8683945205
10.5452602747.199515068500.13628767121.8802410959
11.23703287676.892041095900.18522739731.7192054795
12.08730054646.60186338800.23283060111.8091557377
12.54004383566.274446575300.27067671231.7169945205
12.34211232886.231983561600.37454520551.7387780822
12.0157698636.409082191800.47252876711.7829972603
11.10278142085.961038251400.65047814211.7836666667
9.66596164386.454342465800.74116712331.9099287671
9.47101643846.779156164400.85592602742.0740246575
8.50764109597.248172602700.89692876712.1827260274
7.6024657.52900.9380812.547
7.2371157.989700.9580982.55
6.8678998.27542101.0008742.997091
6.9867128.38314101.0169533.072557
6.8004848.60504301.0343683.165119
6.7958558.5853101.0524013.271063
6.7733568.5607250.06971.0647743.305237
6.741138.5859620.0731851.0861523.359571
6.7738248.5085430.0768441.0977783.383951
6.8216468.4040130.0806861.0916073.395141
6.9315878.2395630.0847211.0909593.411439
6.9722018.0732890.1170421.0787943.435864
7.0563487.8991320.1228941.0809533.44485
7.0848297.7826680.1290381.0782783.428865
7.2314287.6040030.135491.0716643.345894
7.2595977.5097660.1422651.0759833.29375
7.3022847.417980.1493781.0811533.243049
7.330117.336150.1568471.0850293.203295
7.3286917.3059810.1646891.0817073.176991
7.2519467.3310930.1729241.0827143.168236
7.1882447.3275490.1815691.0873593.173409
7.0932277.3532150.1906481.0951993.181751
7.0635367.335190.200181.1083653.186648
7.064337.2826440.210191.1265923.196017
7.162297.1357210.2206991.1518373.203161
7.227737.0470620.2317341.1731343.20145
7.1744777.0750770.2433211.2150663.19221
7.0384237.1481980.2554871.2687223.216994
7.0030927.1601370.2635181.3314743.201598
Net Petroleum and Biofuels Imports
Petroleum Supply
CTL and GTL
Biofuels
Natural Gas Plant Liquids
Sheet1
197019751980198519901995200020052010201520202025203020352040
Net Petroleum and Biofuels Imports3.16055890413.70146575344.5189207656.02487671235.8916602745.84632054797.08965027328.56454246588.00161095897.9852904116.36460928965.40108493154.29820273974.31202739734.71546448094.28613698635.43892876715.91405205486.58654098367.20175068497.16088767126.62581369866.93801912577.61708493158.05327671237.88462739738.49704371589.15788219189.76335068499.912246575310.418743169410.899356164410.54526027411.237032876712.087300546412.540043835612.342112328812.01576986311.10278142089.66596164389.47101643848.50764109597.6024657.2371156.8678996.9867126.8004846.7958556.7733566.741136.7738246.8216466.9315876.9722017.0563487.0848297.2314287.2595977.3022847.330117.3286917.2519467.1882447.0932277.0635367.064337.162297.227737.1744777.0384237.003092-1.5045490959
Petroleum Supply9.87658356169.818383561610.10430327879.54465753429.0731095898.84287671238.76746721318.24919178089.27765205488.94362465759.11806284159.04264657539.43246301379.3333095899.34723497279.79082739739.24456438369.1022602749.01788524598.5228904118.21993424668.37217260278.33354918037.80889863017.85422739737.98758356167.91723770497.5633397267.30381643847.66333698637.26380327876.76674246587.19951506856.89204109596.6018633886.27444657536.23198356166.40908219185.96103825146.45434246586.77915616447.24817260277.5297.98978.2754218.3831418.6050438.585318.5607258.5859628.5085438.4040138.2395638.0732897.8991327.7826687.6040037.5097667.417987.336157.3059817.3310937.3275497.3532157.335197.2826447.1357217.0470627.0750777.1481987.160137-0.0880356027
CTL and GTL0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.06970.0731850.0768440.0806860.0847210.1170420.1228940.1290380.135490.1422650.1493780.1568470.1646890.1729240.1815690.1906480.200180.210190.2206990.2317340.2433210.2554870.2635180.263518
Biofuels000000000000.00541917810.0147095890.02709589040.03319672130.04025479450.04644931510.05341643840.05404371580.05496438360.04877260270.05651232880.0640792350.07508219180.08407945210.09018904110.06451366120.08191506850.09051506850.0941095890.10756010930.11421369860.13628767120.18522739730.23283060110.27067671230.37454520550.47252876710.65047814210.74116712330.85592602740.89692876710.9380810.9580981.0008741.0169531.0343681.0524011.0647741.0861521.0977781.0916071.0909591.0787941.0809531.0782781.0716641.0759831.0811531.0850291.0817071.0827141.0873591.0951991.1083651.1265921.1518371.1731341.2150661.2687221.3314740.4345452329
Natural Gas Plant Liquids1.66004383561.69264383561.74375956281.73814520551.6879397261.63276164381.60394808741.61768493151.56735890411.58362465751.57318852461.60854520551.55034520551.55870136991.62971857921.60921.55068493151.59531780821.62484153011.54554794521.55890136991.65933698631.69720765031.73566575341.72657534251.76218904111.83010928961.81716712331.75945753421.84964383561.91096994541.86839452051.88024109591.71920547951.80915573771.71699452051.73877808221.78299726031.78366666671.90992876712.07402465752.18272602742.5472.552.9970913.0725573.1651193.2710633.3052373.3595713.3839513.3951413.4114393.4358643.444853.4288653.3458943.293753.2430493.2032953.1769913.1682363.1734093.1817513.1866483.1960173.2031613.201453.192213.2169943.2015981.0188719726
25
percentages ===>18.835468493218.959819
45%36.9%
38%37.8%
0%1.4%
5%7.0%
12%16.9%
Net Petroleum and Biofuels Imports3.16055890413.70146575344.5189207656.02487671235.8916602745.84632054797.08965027328.56454246588.00161095897.9852904116.36460928965.40108493154.29820273974.31202739734.71546448094.28613698635.43892876715.91405205486.58654098367.20175068497.16088767126.62581369866.93801912577.61708493158.05327671237.88462739738.49704371589.15788219189.76335068499.912246575310.418743169410.899356164410.54526027411.237032876712.087300546412.540043835612.342112328812.01576986311.10278142089.66596164389.47101643848.50764109597.6024657.2371156.8678996.9867126.8004846.7958556.7733566.741136.7738246.8216466.9315876.9722017.0563487.0848297.2314287.2595977.3022847.330117.3286917.2519467.1882447.0932277.0635367.064337.162297.227737.1744777.0384237.003092-1.5045490959
CTL and GTL0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.06970.0731850.0768440.0806860.0847210.1170420.1228940.1290380.135490.1422650.1493780.1568470.1646890.1729240.1815690.1906480.200180.210190.2206990.2317340.2433210.2554870.2635180.263518
Petroleum Supply9.87658356169.818383561610.10430327879.54465753429.0731095898.84287671238.76746721318.24919178089.27765205488.94362465759.11806284159.04264657539.43246301379.3333095899.34723497279.79082739739.24456438369.1022602749.01788524598.5228904118.21993424668.37217260278.33354918037.80889863017.85422739737.98758356167.91723770497.5633397267.30381643847.66333698637.26380327876.76674246587.19951506856.89204109596.6018633886.27444657536.23198356166.40908219185.96103825146.45434246586.77915616447.24817260277.5297.98978.2754218.3831418.6050438.585318.5607258.5859628.5085438.4040138.2395638.0732897.8991327.7826687.6040037.5097667.417987.336157.3059817.3310937.3275497.3532157.335197.2826447.1357217.0470627.0750777.1481987.160137-0.0880356027
Natural Gas Plant Liquids1.66004383561.69264383561.74375956281.73814520551.6879397261.63276164381.60394808741.61768493151.56735890411.58362465751.57318852461.60854520551.55034520551.55870136991.62971857921.60921.55068493151.59531780821.62484153011.54554794521.55890136991.65933698631.69720765031.73566575341.72657534251.76218904111.83010928961.81716712331.75945753421.84964383561.91096994541.86839452051.88024109591.71920547951.80915573771.71699452051.73877808221.78299726031.78366666671.90992876712.07402465752.18272602742.5472.552.9970913.0725573.1651193.2710633.3052373.3595713.3839513.3951413.4114393.4358643.444853.4288653.3458943.293753.2430493.2032953.1769913.1682363.1734093.1817513.1866483.1960173.2031613.201453.192213.2169943.2015981.0188719726
Biofuels000000000000.00541917810.0147095890.02709589040.03319672130.04025479450.04644931510.05341643840.05404371580.05496438360.04877260270.05651232880.0640792350.07508219180.08407945210.09018904110.06451366120.08191506850.09051506850.0941095890.10756010930.11421369860.13628767120.18522739730.23283060110.27067671230.37454520550.47252876710.65047814210.74116712330.85592602740.89692876710.9380810.9580981.0008741.0169531.0343681.0524011.0647741.0861521.0977781.0916071.0909591.0787941.0809531.0782781.0716641.0759831.0811531.0850291.0817071.0827141.0873591.0951991.1083651.1265921.1518371.1731341.2150661.2687221.3314740.4345452329
checks
14.697186301415.212493150716.366983606617.307679452116.65270958916.321958904117.461065573818.431419178118.846621917818.51253972617.055860655716.057695890415.295720547915.231134246615.725614754115.726419178116.280627397316.665046575317.283311475417.325153424716.988495890416.713835616417.032855191317.236731506817.718158904117.724589041118.308904371618.620304109618.91713972619.519336986319.701076502719.648706849319.761304109620.033506849320.731150273220.802161643820.687419178120.680378082219.497964480918.771419.180123287718.835468493218.61654618.73491319.14128519.45936319.60501419.70462919.77379219.84619.8409419.79309319.75826919.6771919.60417719.50367819.38847919.28136119.19384419.11143119.05805919.00691318.9581318.9140418.89391918.87977318.87370818.8811118.90015118.92782418.959819
14.697186301415.212493150716.366983606617.307679452116.65270958916.321958904117.461065573818.431419178118.846621917818.51253972617.055860655716.057695890415.295720547915.231134246615.725614754115.726419178116.280627397316.665046575317.283311475417.325153424716.988495890416.713835616417.032855191317.236731506817.718158904117.724589041118.308904371618.620304109618.91713972619.519336986319.701076502719.648706849319.761304109620.033506849320.731150273220.802161643820.687419178120.680378082219.497964480918.771419.180123287718.835468493200000000000000000000000000000
14.697186301415.212493150716.366983606617.307679452116.65270958916.321958904117.461065573818.431419178118.846621917818.51253972617.055860655716.057695890415.295720547915.231134246615.725614754115.726419178116.280627397316.665046575317.283311475417.325153424716.988495890416.713835616417.032855191317.236731506817.718158904117.724589041118.308904371618.620304109618.91713972619.519336986319.701076502719.648706849319.761304109620.033506849320.731150273220.802161643820.687419178120.680378082219.497964480918.771419.180126027418.835468493200000000000000000000000000000
end checks
365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366
paste from AER here:
Crude oil351745034539143455368336090332025853056779297618030092653178216312131031463653128624315671531709993249696327455331682523047377297912627787732684687270703926246322499033243147623942682366017235483122819192146732213070721175112097124207345319833001890106186225918484501811817195659619987272066507
NGPL60591661781563821663442361609859595858704559045557208657802357578758711956587656892659647758735856600058229159469256412556899960565862117863351863020064319966982066326664220267512069941568196468628862751066215162670363465465079465282269712475701900%79669500%
Gain13105213943314216116548817525516778217467519141518118319243721861718531019367217803320255920344322493023326523976024141524938226096128252727971328032228261830644331007832344732349034689232966334914535554238469836113136281036342936340035717638969500%39587800%
Renew/Oxy272366330888348151
Net imports115360413510351653925219908021504562133907259481231260582920588291463123294471971396156884415738901725860156444019852092158629241067426286392613724241842225393152780480293972528782763110231334271235636893618057381337639786193849461410179344274684580351452252143930784067602352830734458483079088
Adjust-581116449156786737-816149283689310365-733713821233454700644107601948357372891717817611991221949161232231047911413931539081909711811811931121778671807152071151948201828231924191743252064861872971905662384263120087962896292146597
Stock3773826086-84968493286533911839-21145200090-34281631455111658396-53724-7322102590-374587374314939-10219-1581339214-3679-24980552455566-89933-554365234387216-154044-25384118802-3843920393765025279921902-54161713943963617724-42030
Ethanol19785369989012150146931695419497197802006217802206272345327405306893291923612298993303834350393674144549360672868457696634130505163945230556262776306155306464
Ethanol net imports244279387313856687116315306292354232341740810457126104720-9115-25322
Biodiesel24338532264021636204852875197750625820915
Biodiesel net imports39135-16-261242-3135-8626-4489-1958-879
Consumption536447355525605990316631730360782395957515639075067274686879017675707762424455861059558293855593645755575574014359424296082742632569263236816200801610055062340256291407646712864694756701059679641169047567124558721059471717787212876731223075876017592789755090875483387136255685156170007466874946
paste from AEO here:
Crude Oil
Domestic Crude Production 1/5.6666.3356.82677.1739437.2864157.5190737.4999227.4940837.535367.467457.3759267.2192487.0683496.9044236.7938056.6081266.5150016.4223546.3373946.3020726.3231456.3179766.3403196.3172896.2600046.1081496.0196976.0451666.1190866.126173
Alaska0.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767
Lower 48 States5.0965.8056.3056.6923396.8276787.0449076.9966996.9728327.0317556.9804286.9055046.7838236.6641186.5280796.4437416.2832196.212786.1406436.0150175.9175825.8947975.9037015.9389345.927745.9109795.764735.6674715.6604885.7183645.716406
Net Imports8.8888.5088.0327.328037.3327297.0757917.0721616.9671466.8513576.8228676.7948926.8777666.9130666.9885697.0453647.2067297.2362417.2797037.3326747.3572817.3284137.3013477.2712037.3006187.37217.5169337.6072457.5840887.5283387.573716
Gross Imports8.9358.5558.0797.328037.3327297.0757917.0721616.9671466.8513576.8228676.7948926.8777666.9130666.9885697.0453647.2067297.2362417.2797037.3326747.3572817.3284137.3013477.2712037.3006187.37217.5169337.6072457.5840887.5283387.573716
Exports0.0470.0470.047000000000000000000000000000
Other Crude Supply 2/0.260.1160.094000000000000000000000000000
Total Crude Supply14.81400114.95900114.952714.50197214.61914414.59486514.57208314.46122914.38671714.29031814.17081814.09701413.98141513.89299213.83916913.81485613.75124213.70205713.67006913.65935213.65155813.61932413.61152113.61790713.63210313.62508213.62694213.62925313.64742513.69989
Other Petroleum Supply3.0182.5642.6453.3607183.5356993.6689583.7596593.8476413.967324.040714.1109844.1404294.1509734.1600934.1183464.0267463.9722913.9291573.8727753.8216983.7656833.73413.6788753.6269293.5676193.5314943.4922143.4536993.3961153.290226
Natural Gas Plant Liquids2.2162.3642.3672.7769552.844032.9257453.0197783.05323.1073693.131193.1408983.1531723.1759683.1829073.1659753.0782953.0241422.9725832.9303872.9014292.8904792.8951482.90282.9063022.9143262.921532.9202872.9114752.9367792.921351
Net Product Imports-0.304-0.878-0.791-0.517715-0.405056-0.342757-0.345508-0.2722-0.19065-0.131572-0.058001-0.033058-0.029935-0.017522-0.036492-0.047426-0.046616-0.039051-0.056369-0.083641-0.132744-0.170621-0.236821-0.297274-0.369347-0.417608-0.455439-0.487686-0.569776-0.665088
Gross Refined Product Imports 3/1.1520.7360.8491.3771691.4724591.5078051.4455061.4357151.4526861.4666671.4869091.4988081.481541.489421.4984211.5049471.5091461.5235361.5288931.534071.5429551.5434151.5291.5233891.5042731.4944671.492971.49631.4659971.41749
Unfinished Oil Imports0.6870.6120.6030.5976380.5922060.5857740.5813420.574910.5694780.5630460.5576840.5522520.546820.5403880.5349560.5295240.5230920.517660.5122980.5068660.5004340.4950020.489570.4841380.4777060.4723450.4669130.4604810.4550490.449617
Blending Component Imports0.7180.6470.630.7088190.6824190.6752690.6567340.6482110.6389550.6304530.6307810.6199430.6110340.6006040.5946920.5822480.5742110.5665510.5517530.5427620.5300840.5184130.509630.5000190.484640.477560.4743980.457920.4364310.403558
Exports2.8612.8732.8733.2013413.1521393.1116043.029092.9310372.8517682.7917392.7333752.7040612.6693292.6479342.6645612.6641462.6530652.6467982.6493132.6673382.7062172.7274512.7650212.804822.8359672.8619792.8897192.9023862.9272522.935753
Refinery Processing Gain 4/1.0761.0781.0691.1014781.0967261.085971.0853881.0666421.0506021.0410931.0280871.0203151.004940.9947090.9888630.9958770.9947650.9956260.9987561.0039091.0079481.0095731.0128961.0179011.022641.0275721.0273651.0299111.0291121.033964
Product Stock Withdrawal0.0300000000000000000000000000000
Other Non-petroleum Supply1.0858861.0935471.1372131.2785951.3045191.3411941.3728881.4649221.4919611.5099131.5112921.5208251.5448021.5510921.5461631.5468771.5578261.562631.5685891.577011.589671.6047071.6236421.6490851.680051.7171311.7619561.8171961.8842841.969704
Supply from Renewable Sources0.9038860.9105470.9542131.0584591.0759921.101821.1216031.1431851.1665741.1803081.1763621.1778381.1678651.1662561.1542351.1437881.1459541.1427861.1388351.1367591.138991.1448761.1540431.1685581.1881691.2148011.2490581.2931411.3485831.425938
Ethanol0.8418990.8433640.8655140.9635350.9797381.0035121.0222681.0439831.0653031.0775591.0715261.070971.0583931.0546331.039581.0255131.0232551.0147721.0044290.9949690.9867940.9796490.9731320.9679250.9636540.9607370.9586450.9580830.9584160.968506
Domestic Production0.90860.86620.86910.9166420.931340.9467120.9639720.9766780.9961661.0064740.9985030.9960450.9814420.9814420.9757420.9654910.9653640.965210.9627070.9520380.942630.9342180.9263850.9198490.9141890.909880.8948380.8921360.8906870.886171
Net Imports-0.066701-0.022836-0.0035860.0468930.0483970.0567990.0582960.0673050.0691370.0710850.0730220.0749250.076950.0731910.0638380.0600230.0578910.0495610.0417220.0429310.0441640.0454320.0467470.0480760.0494650.0508570.0638070.0659470.0677280.082335
Biodiesel0.0606920.0633010.0819570.0869940.0870130.0836440.0830740.0802780.0812190.0811940.0816910.0820040.0824860.082090.0820680.0820740.0821010.082140.0822010.0819880.0819130.0820510.0818790.0820960.0819910.0820350.0820940.0821540.0823620.082097
Domestic Production0.06310.0680.0822550.0763020.0763720.0729920.0721680.0691730.0699340.069750.0699580.070050.0703660.0699790.0699490.0699730.0700210.0700690.0701170.0698680.06980.0699650.0697810.069980.0698790.0699280.0699770.0700260.0702290.069968
Net Imports-0.002408-0.004699-0.0002990.0106910.0106420.0106510.0109060.0111050.0112860.0114440.0117330.0119540.012120.012110.0121190.0121020.0120810.0120710.0120830.012120.0121130.0120860.0120980.0121160.0121120.0121080.0121170.0121280.0121330.012129
Other Biomass-derived Liquids 5/0.0012950.0038810.0067430.007930.0092410.0146640.0162610.0189230.0200520.0215540.0231460.0248640.0269860.0295320.0325870.03620.0405980.0458740.0522050.0598010.0702840.0831760.0990330.1185360.1425240.1720290.2083190.2529040.3078060.375335
Liquids from Gas00000000.06970.0731850.0768440.0806860.0847210.0889570.0934050.0980750.1029790.1081280.1135340.1192110.1251710.131430.1380010.1449010.1521460.1597540.1677410.1761280.1849350.1941820.199148
Liquids from Coal0000000000000.0280850.0294890.0309630.0325110.0341370.0358440.0376360.0395180.0414940.0435680.0457470.0480340.0504360.0529580.0556060.0583860.0613050.06437
Other 6/0.1820.1830.1830.2201360.2285270.2393740.2512850.2520370.2522020.2527610.2542430.2582670.2598960.2619430.262890.2675990.2696080.2704660.2729080.2755620.2777570.2782610.2789510.2803460.2816910.2816310.2811630.2807350.2802150.280247
-
U.S. tight oil production leads growth in domestic production
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013*Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release, and Short-Term Energy Outlook, April 2013AlaskaOther lower 48 onshoreLower 48 offshoreHistory2011STEO projection (April 2013)
Reference caseU.S. crude oil production (million barrels per day)Tight oilProjectionsHistory2011ProjectionsAlaskaOther lower 48 onshoreLower 48 offshoreTight oilSource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 High Oil & Gas Resource caseHigh Oil & Natural Gas Resource case
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
1.7740.9544.6259990.0041990
1.7981.0234.5880.007
1.7143031.0690714.3829760.006
1.5841.094.170.005
1.5591.1383.960.004
1.4811.2613.8120.0031995
1.3921861.3143993.7547080.002
1.2961.4013.7520.002
1.1751.4733.6020.002
1.05031.5583.2720.001
0.9703421.6125823.0851260.1542000
0.9631.7052.9830.151
0.9851.7152.9030.142
0.9751.7172.8430.146
0.9085111.598622.7520250.159
0.8641.4212.7070.1852005
0.7411.4342.7270.2
0.7221.4062.710.227
0.6851.2742.4670.538
0.6461.6742.4170.63
0.5991.6682.3870010.822010
0.571.432.4461.225.6615289342
0.531.412.3984891.9965117.064175
0.52171.492.5176652.2973357.614843
0.4816031.5920612.5864692.513818.185668
0.4587381.6285792.5650362.6340632015
0.4741671.7866382.5460162.712253
0.5032231.7227252.5259742.748001
0.5212511.6952912.5177592.759783
0.5036041.7294762.5221362.780143
0.4870221.6876852.4802192.8125242020
0.4704211.6362392.4684842.800782
0.4354261.5955652.4462182.742039
0.4042311.5561232.4146982.693296
0.3763441.4894262.3720112.666643
0.3500641.4586192.3584692.6266532025
0.3249071.4132572.3458742.524087
0.3022221.4418782.3325412.438361
0.2817111.4382842.3155712.386788
0.3223771.4289762.3007122.285328
0.384491.4415212.2811652.1948962030
0.4283481.4921042.2669682.135726
0.4142751.5447942.2568732.102034
0.4013851.6289482.2253062.084679
0.3895491.6710882.1846652.071987
0.3490251.7243012.1314592.0552182035
0.3434191.6393952.0793372.045999
0.3522251.5776482.0494612.040363
0.3846781.6072372.0251282.028123
0.4007221.7192411.9776082.021516
0.4097671.747691.9536192.0150972040
Alaska
Offshore
Other onshore
Tight oil
STEO
Sheet1
19901995200020052010201520202025203020352040
Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.9703420.9630.9850.9750.9085110.8640.7410.7220.6850.6460.5990.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767-0.160233
Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.6125821.7051.7151.7171.598621.4211.4341.4061.2741.6741.6681.431.411.491.5920611.6285791.7866381.7227251.6952911.7294761.6876851.6362391.5955651.5561231.4894261.4586191.4132571.4418781.4382841.4289761.4415211.4921041.5447941.6289481.6710881.7243011.6393951.5776481.6072371.7192411.747690.31769
Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.0851262.9832.9032.8432.7520252.7072.7272.712.4672.4172.3870012.4462.3984892.5176652.5864692.5650362.5460162.5259742.5177592.5221362.4802192.4684842.4462182.4146982.3720112.3584692.3458742.3325412.3155712.3007122.2811652.2669682.2568732.2253062.1846652.1314592.0793372.0494612.0251281.9776081.953619-0.492381
Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.1540.1510.1420.1460.1590.1850.20.2270.5380.630.821.221.9965112.2973352.513812.6340632.7122532.7480012.7597832.7801432.8125242.8007822.7420392.6932962.6666432.6266532.5240872.4383612.3867882.2853282.1948962.1357262.1020342.0846792.0719872.0552182.0459992.0403632.0281232.0215162.0150970.795097
STEO0000000000000000000005.6627.0647.6158.18600000000000000000000000000
5.6666.126173
6.4677.3027.866annual average value
7.0647.6158.186December values
sort by projection period change above
paste data in here:
Lower 48 Onshore4.634.5954.3889764.1753.9643.8153.7567083.7543.6043.2733.2391263.1343.0452.9892.9110252.8922.9272.9373.0053.0473.2073.6664.3954.8155.1002795.1990995.2582685.2739745.2775425.3022795.2927435.2692655.1882575.1079955.0386534.9851224.8699614.7709014.7023584.5860414.4760614.4026944.3589074.3099854.2566524.1866774.1253354.0898244.0532513.9991233.9687160.302716
Tight Oil 3/0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.1540.1510.1420.1460.1590.1850.20.2270.5380.630.821.221.9965112.2973352.513812.6340632.7122532.7480012.7597832.7801432.8125242.8007822.7420392.6932962.6666432.6266532.5240872.4383612.3867882.2853282.1948962.1357262.1020342.0846792.0719872.0552182.0459992.0403632.0281232.0215162.0150970.795097
Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery0000000000000000.2210.2380.2440.2520.2653560.2814520.2446390.2372330.2317660.2254350.2244320.2289470.2377480.2550030.2736180.2942170.3173660.3435570.3657690.3972480.4273220.4569590.4865860.509870.5362540.5570930.5785460.6005520.6192360.6350070.6479250.6441840.6529290.6609020.6532190.6585730.413934
Other4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.0851262.9832.9032.8432.7520252.4862.4892.4662.2152.1516442.1055492.2013612.1612562.2858992.3610342.3406042.3170692.2882262.2627562.2485182.1860022.1511182.1026612.0489291.9747631.9311471.8889151.8459551.8057011.7644581.7240721.6884221.6563211.606071.5496581.4835341.4351531.3965321.3642261.3243891.295046-0.906315
Lower 48 Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.6125821.7051.7151.7171.598621.4211.4341.4061.2741.6741.6681.431.411.491.5920611.6285791.7866381.7227251.6952911.7294761.6876851.6362391.5955651.5561231.4894261.4586191.4132571.4418781.4382841.4289761.4415211.4921041.5447941.6289481.6710881.7243011.6393951.5776481.6072371.7192411.747690.31769
Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.9703420.9630.9850.9750.9085110.8640.7410.7220.6850.6460.5990.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767-0.160233
Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.9703420.9630.9850.9750.9085110.8640.7410.7220.6850.6460.5990.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767-0.160233
Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.1540.1510.1420.1460.1590.1850.20.2270.5380.630.821.221.9965112.2973352.513812.6340632.7122532.7480012.7597832.7801432.8125242.8007822.7420392.6932962.6666432.6266532.5240872.4383612.3867882.2853282.1948962.1357262.1020342.0846792.0719872.0552182.0459992.0403632.0281232.0215162.0150970.795097
Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.0851262.9832.9032.8432.7520252.7072.7272.712.4672.4172.3870012.4462.3984892.5176652.5864692.5650362.5460162.5259742.5177592.5221362.4802192.4684842.4462182.4146982.3720112.3584692.3458742.3325412.3155712.3007122.2811652.2669682.2568732.2253062.1846652.1314592.0793372.0494612.0251281.9776081.953619-0.492381
Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.6125821.7051.7151.7171.598621.4211.4341.4061.2741.6741.6681.431.411.491.5920611.6285791.7866381.7227251.6952911.7294761.6876851.6362391.5955651.5561231.4894261.4586191.4132571.4418781.4382841.4289761.4415211.4921041.5447941.6289481.6710881.7243011.6393951.5776481.6072371.7192411.747690.31769
7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.822055.8025.7455.6815.4181565.1775.1025.0654.9645.3675.4740015.6666.3356.82677.1739437.2864167.5190747.4999237.4940847.5353597.467457.3759267.2192487.0683486.9044246.7938056.6081256.5150026.4223546.3373936.3020726.3231466.3179766.3403186.3172896.2600036.108156.0196976.0451666.1190876.126173
7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.822055.8025.7455.6815.4181565.1775.1025.0654.9645.3675.4740015.6666.3356.82677.1739437.2864167.5190747.4999237.4940847.5353597.467457.3759267.2192487.0683486.9044246.7938056.6081256.5150026.4223546.3373936.3020726.3231466.3179766.3403186.3172896.2600036.108156.0196976.0451666.1190876.126173
Chart1
1.7740.9544.6259990.0041990
1.7981.0234.5880.0071991
1.7143031.0690714.3829760.006
1.5841.094.170.005
1.5591.1383.960.004
1.4811.2613.8120.0031995
1.3921861.3143993.7547080.002
1.2961.4013.7520.002
1.1751.4733.6020.002
1.05031.5583.2720.001
0.97034150361.61258184913.08512568470.15399999922000
0.96299999951.70499992372.98299980160.151000008
0.98499995471.71499991422.90300011630.1420000046
0.97500002381.71699988842.84299993520.1459999979
0.90851086381.59862017632.7520248890.1589999944
0.86400002241.42099988462.70700030030.18500000242005
0.74099987751.43400013452.72700008750.200000003
0.72200000291.40599989892.71000006790.2269999981
0.68500000241.27399992942.46699991820.5379999876
0.64600002771.67400002482.41700041290.6299999952
0.59899997711.66800022132.387000680.82000005252010
0.56999999281.42999982832.44600003961.22000002865.6615289342
0.52999997141.41000008582.41294154522.12831592567.064175
0.5216999651.49000012872.55927973992.78158926967.614843
0.48160266881.63360714912.55500897773.33431577688.185668
0.45873755221.72798538212.55186808113.72148132322015
0.47416689991.9295177462.54086959364.0271959305
0.50322341921.878496172.5297202174.2697787285
0.52125126121.89409327512.54124298694.4425344467
0.52476859091.92644381522.55483776334.6010103226
0.53640526531.86920738222.53796139364.73235893252020
0.5409691931.78716719152.56003987794.8357834816
0.54406970741.73677122592.6028403644.9203033447
0.56366926431.6815022232.62541908034.9964966774
0.56541210411.63189768792.62834161525.0671672821
0.59094274041.57102346422.61930370335.12586450582025
0.63824343681.55868911742.60435479885.1758151054
0.66904950141.48376035692.5974688535.2179346085
0.66674280171.47787499432.58377784495.2470221519
0.68392878771.48101973532.57542651895.2491044998
0.69166290761.47268736362.56126213075.23149871832030
0.69073313471.44556319712.54932498935.2171802521
0.7767610551.45980262762.53263765575.2102279663
0.86960625651.61611592772.50200176245.204390049
0.86812776331.58890175822.46972602615.199669838
0.8748558761.54407072072.42784887555.19777011872035
0.90836465361.5326329472.39703130725.1975178719
0.89851093291.6379427912.37298297885.1977009773
0.84803402421.78021705152.34407144785.198867321
0.84886932371.85356545452.30725246675.2020692825
0.89012801651.86683297162.28108215335.2013564112040
Alaska
Offshore
Other onshore
Tight oil
STEO
Sheet1
Column1199019911995200020052010201520202025203020352040
Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.97034150360.96299999950.98499995470.97500002380.90851086380.86400002240.74099987750.72200000290.68500000240.64600002770.59899997710.56999999280.52999997140.5216999650.48160266880.45873755220.47416689990.50322341920.52125126120.52476859090.53640526530.5409691930.54406970740.56366926430.56541210410.59094274040.63824343680.66904950140.66674280170.68392878770.69166290760.69073313470.7767610550.86960625650.86812776330.8748558760.90836465360.89851093290.84803402420.84886932370.89012801650.3201280236
Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.61258184911.70499992371.71499991421.71699988841.59862017631.42099988461.43400013451.40599989891.27399992941.67400002481.66800022131.42999982831.41000008581.49000012871.63360714911.72798538211.9295177461.878496171.89409327511.92644381521.86920738221.78716719151.73677122591.6815022231.63189768791.57102346421.55868911741.48376035691.47787499431.48101973531.47268736361.44556319711.45980262761.61611592771.58890175821.54407072071.5326329471.6379427911.78021705151.85356545451.86683297160.4368331432
Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.08512568472.98299980162.90300011632.84299993522.7520248892.70700030032.72700008752.71000006792.46699991822.41700041292.387000682.44600003962.41294154522.55927973992.55500897772.55186808112.54086959362.5297202172.54124298692.55483776332.53796139362.56003987792.6028403642.62541908032.62834161522.61930370332.60435479882.5974688532.58377784492.57542651892.56126213072.54932498932.53263765572.50200176242.46972602612.42784887552.39703130722.37298297882.34407144782.30725246672.2810821533-0.1649178863
Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.15399999920.1510000080.14200000460.14599999790.15899999440.18500000240.2000000030.22699999810.53799998760.62999999520.82000005251.22000002862.12831592562.78158926963.33431577683.72148132324.02719593054.26977872854.44253444674.60101032264.73235893254.83578348164.92030334474.99649667745.06716728215.12586450585.17581510545.21793460855.24702215195.24910449985.23149871835.21718025215.21022796635.2043900495.1996698385.19777011875.19751787195.19770097735.1988673215.20206928255.2013564113.9813563824
STEO0000000000000000000005.6627.0647.6158.18600000000000000000000000000
5.665999889410.2393995523
6.4677.3027.866annual average value
7.0647.6158.186December values
sort by projection period change above
paste data in here:
Lower 48 Onshore4.634.5954.3889764.1753.9643.8153.7567083.7543.6043.2733.243.133.052.992.912.892.932.943.013.053.213.674.545.345.896.276.576.806.987.167.277.407.527.627.707.757.787.827.837.827.797.777.747.717.677.637.597.577.547.517.483.8164384365
Tight Oil 3/0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.150.150.140.150.160.190.200.230.540.630.821.222.132.783.333.724.034.274.444.604.734.844.925.005.075.135.185.225.255.255.235.225.215.205.205.205.205.205.205.205.203.9813563824
Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery00000000000.000.000.000.000.000.220.240.240.250.270.280.320.320.350.350.360.380.400.430.460.490.530.560.590.630.660.690.720.740.770.790.810.830.850.870.880.890.890.890.890.890.5666001439
Other4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.092.982.902.842.752.492.492.472.212.152.112.122.092.212.202.192.162.132.112.092.052.032.042.042.001.961.911.881.841.811.771.741.701.651.601.551.511.481.451.421.39-0.7315180302
Lower 48 Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.611.701.711.721.601.421.431.411.271.671.671.431.411.491.631.731.931.881.891.931.871.791.741.681.631.571.561.481.481.481.471.451.461.621.591.541.531.641.781.851.870.4368331432
Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.970.960.980.980.910.860.740.720.690.650.600.570.530.520.480.460.470.500.520.520.540.540.540.560.570.590.640.670.670.680.690.690.780.870.870.870.910.900.850.850.890.3201280236
Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.97034150360.96299999950.98499995470.97500002380.90851086380.86400002240.74099987750.72200000290.68500000240.64600002770.59899997710.56999999280.52999997140.5216999650.48160266880.45873755220.47416689990.50322341920.52125126120.52476859090.53640526530.5409691930.54406970740.56366926430.56541210410.59094274040.63824343680.66904950140.66674280170.68392878770.69166290760.69073313470.7767610550.86960625650.86812776330.8748558760.90836465360.89851093290.84803402420.84886932370.89012801650.3201280236
Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.15399999920.1510000080.14200000460.14599999790.15899999440.18500000240.2000000030.22699999810.53799998760.62999999520.82000005251.22000002862.12831592562.78158926963.33431577683.72148132324.02719593054.26977872854.44253444674.60101032264.73235893254.83578348164.92030334474.99649667745.06716728215.12586450585.17581510545.21793460855.24702215195.24910449985.23149871835.21718025215.21022796635.2043900495.1996698385.19777011875.19751787195.19770097735.1988673215.20206928255.2013564113.9813563824
Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.08512568472.98299980162.90300011632.84299993522.7520248892.70700030032.72700008752.71000006792.46699991822.41700041292.387000682.44600003962.41294154522.55927973992.55500897772.55186808112.54086959362.5297202172.54124298692.55483776332.53796139362.56003987792.6028403642.62541908032.62834161522.61930370332.60435479882.5974688532.58377784492.57542651892.56126213072.54932498932.53263765572.50200176242.46972602612.42784887552.39703130722.37298297882.34407144782.30725246672.2810821533-0.1649178863
Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.61258184911.70499992371.71499991421.71699988841.59862017631.42099988461.43400013451.40599989891.27399992941.67400002481.66800022131.42999982831.41000008581.49000012871.63360714911.72798538211.9295177461.878496171.89409327511.92644381521.86920738221.78716719151.73677122591.6815022231.63189768791.57102346421.55868911741.48376035691.47787499431.48101973531.47268736361.44556319711.45980262761.61611592771.58890175821.54407072071.5326329471.6379427911.78021705151.85356545451.86683297160.4368331432
7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.82204903665.80199973295.74499998995.68099984535.41815592355.17700020975.10200010245.06499996784.96399983765.36700046065.47400093085.66599988946.48125752817.35256910328.00453457248.46007233868.971750179.18121853479.39912196999.6070604929.67593297369.7239597449.8039846429.8670872459.89281868939.90713441379.97710245859.96821331989.97541779289.98947954189.95711112029.90280157339.979429304610.192113995610.126425385510.044545590910.035546779610.107137680110.171189844610.211756527410.2393995523
7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.82204903665.80199973295.74499998995.68099984535.41815592355.17700020975.10200010245.06499996784.96399983765.36700046065.47400093085.66599988946.48125752817.35256910328.00453457248.46007233868.971750179.18121853479.39912196999.6070604929.67593297369.7239597449.8039846429.8670872459.89281868939.90713441379.97710245859.96821331989.97541779289.98947954189.95711112029.90280157339.979429304610.192113995610.126425385510.044545590910.035546779610.107137680110.171189844610.211756527410.2393995523
To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.
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U.S. net oil imports decline to 7% in 2040 in high resource case; the United States becomes a net oil exporter with additional demand reductions*U.S. net oil importspercentSource: AEO2013ProjectionsHistory2011ReferenceHigh Oil and Gas ResourceLow/No Net ImportsLow Oil and Gas ResourceHigh Net ImportsHoward Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013
Chart1
21.504516846321.504516846321.504516846321.504516846321.5045168463
24.331749679424.331749679424.331749679424.331749679424.3317496794
27.609979173127.609979173127.609979173127.609979173127.6099791731
34.810424638534.810424638534.810424638534.810424638534.8104246385
35.379589384435.379589384435.379589384435.379589384435.3795893844
35.818743217635.818743217635.818743217635.818743217635.8187432176
40.602620975640.602620975640.602620975640.602620975640.6026209756
46.467080928546.467080928546.467080928546.467080928546.4670809285
42.456473068842.456473068842.456473068842.456473068842.4564730688
43.134494397543.134494397543.134494397543.134494397543.1344943975
37.31625989537.31625989537.31625989537.31625989537.316259895
33.624367601733.624367601733.624367601733.624367601733.6243676017
28.074232861128.074232861128.074232861128.074232861128.0742328611
28.261342676428.261342676428.261342676428.261342676428.2613426764
29.923977222629.923977222629.923977222629.923977222629.9239772226
27.186177457727.186177457727.186177457727.186177457727.1861774577
33.314219529233.314219529233.314219529233.314219529233.3142195292
35.37663747535.37663747535.37663747535.37663747535.376637475
37.992830976337.992830976337.992830976337.992830976337.9928309763
41.439339073941.439339073941.439339073941.439339073941.4393390739
42.033132488942.033132488942.033132488942.033132488942.0331324889
39.511760376439.511760376439.511760376439.511760376439.5117603764
40.583528008440.583528008440.583528008440.583528008440.5835280084
44.198733432144.198733432144.198733432144.198733432144.1987334321
45.460738196845.460738196845.460738196845.460738196845.4607381968
44.494627070144.494627070144.494627070144.494627070144.4946270701
46.417291546.417291546.417291546.417291546.4172915
49.187816086249.187816086249.187816086249.187816086249.1878160862
51.617033079651.617033079651.617033079651.617033079651.6170330796
50.787795006450.787795006450.787795006450.787795006450.7877950064
52.891512907352.891512907352.891512907352.891512907352.8915129073
55.481125034755.481125034755.481125034755.481125034755.4811250347
53.375620504753.375620504753.375620504753.375620504753.3756205047
56.102604686656.102604686656.102604686656.102604686656.1026046866
58.359103724258.359103724258.359103724258.359103724258.3591037242
60.323199507360.323199507360.323199507360.323199507360.3231995073
59.86844665659.86844665659.86844665659.86844665659.868446656
58.117328892958.117328892958.117328892958.117328892958.1173288929
56.855068304256.855068304256.855068304256.855068304256.8550683042
51.381233837951.381233837951.381233837951.381233837951.3812338379
49.161251695649.161251695649.161251695649.161251695649.1612516956
44.668961733744.668961733744.668961733744.668961733744.6689617337
40.83714742.56666242.56755840.04912640.049126
38.62902540.10982540.10645335.83212735.828323
35.88003239.16674439.01290130.26104429.989178
35.90411439.74688339.50441728.26178727.55998
34.68746939.08280938.71374925.30722624.046268
34.48862539.43414338.81610123.60057621.836361
34.25420439.47611638.79122521.93070419.658806
33.96719739.6098938.72667320.58688217.718536
34.14064839.8898238.97058919.72384616.384243
34.46477940.46774339.3422218.99816915.146213
35.08195941.31421340.06520518.18606813.726124
35.43291541.95349540.60681917.3609712.398388
35.99410642.60850941.12643116.79273211.408545
36.325643.28354341.67326716.17217110.379099
37.2975544.33356142.62770115.1818788.880687
37.65084844.55418442.67263414.6243787.774337
38.04492644.91918643.19063914.0929686.761652
38.35458444.96813643.3085113.4680515.447258
38.45455244.55434842.65154613.1433494.584387
38.15425544.4575542.2233212.6542513.919734
37.91641644.25812542.05899411.7222552.765407
37.50244544.40183642.05876210.1346750.90637
37.38523945.07699642.69434410.0627220.141456
37.41745444.91835442.71409210.081589-0.957993
37.94850544.69246342.5017329.647841-2.117087
38.28021644.68722542.3873798.982422-3.493185
37.95989644.64496642.5359158.321642-4.947447
37.18558944.25460841.6835597.562299-6.520187
36.93648944.26315341.6754726.879955-7.585227
Reference
High Import
Low Resource
High Resource
Low Import
Sheet1
Column119701971197219731974197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040
Reference21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733740.83714738.62902535.88003235.90411434.68746934.48862534.25420433.96719734.14064834.46477935.08195935.43291535.99410636.325637.2975537.65084838.04492638.35458438.45455238.15425537.91641637.50244537.38523937.41745437.94850538.28021637.95989637.18558936.936489
High Import21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733742.56666240.10982539.16674439.74688339.08280939.43414339.47611639.6098939.8898240.46774341.31421341.95349542.60850943.28354344.33356144.55418444.91918644.96813644.55434844.4575544.25812544.40183645.07699644.91835444.69246344.68722544.64496644.25460844.263153
Low Resource21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733742.56755840.10645339.01290139.50441738.71374938.81610138.79122538.72667338.97058939.3422240.06520540.60681941.12643141.67326742.62770142.67263443.19063943.3085142.65154642.2233242.05899442.05876242.69434442.71409242.50173242.38737942.53591541.68355941.675472
High Resource21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733740.04912635.83212730.26104428.26178725.30722623.60057621.93070420.58688219.72384618.99816918.18606817.3609716.79273216.17217115.18187814.62437814.09296813.46805113.14334912.65425111.72225510.13467510.06272210.0815899.6478418.9824228.3216427.5622996.879955
Low Import21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733740.04912635.82832329.98917827.5599824.04626821.83636119.65880617.71853616.38424315.14621313.72612412.39838811.40854510.3790998.8806877.7743376.7616525.4472584.5843873.9197342.7654070.906370.141456-0.957993-2.117087-3.493185-4.947447-6.520187-7.585227
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Data from AEO run:
ReferenceReference49.25262145.00973540.83714738.62902535.88003235.90411434.68746934.48862534.25420433.96719734.14064834.46477935.08195935.43291535.99410636.325637.2975537.65084838.04492638.35458438.45455238.15425537.91641637.50244537.38523937.41745437.94850538.28021637.95989637.18558936.936489
High ImportHigh Import49.25262145.00973542.56666240.10982539.16674439.74688339.08280939.43414339.47611639.6098939.8898240.46774341.31421341.95349542.60850943.28354344.33356144.55418444.91918644.96813644.55434844.4575544.25812544.40183645.07699644.91835444.69246344.68722544.64496644.25460844.263153
Low ResourceLow Resource49.25262145.00973542.56755840.10645339.01290139.50441738.71374938.81610138.79122538.72667338.97058939.3422240.06520540.60681941.12643141.67326742.62770142.67263443.19063943.3085142.65154642.2233242.05899442.05876242.69434442.71409242.50173242.38737942.53591541.68355941.675472
High ResourceHigh Resource49.25262145.00973540.04912635.83212730.26104428.26178725.30722623.60057621.93070420.58688219.72384618.99816918.18606817.3609716.79273216.17217115.18187814.62437814.09296813.46805113.14334912.65425111.72225510.13467510.06272210.0815899.6478418.9824228.3216427.5622996.879955
Low ImportLow Import49.25262145.00917140.04912635.82832329.98917827.5599824.04626821.83636119.65880617.71853616.38424315.14621313.72612412.39838811.40854510.3790998.8806877.7743376.7616525.4472584.5843873.9197342.7654070.906370.1414
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