energy economics vanhanen

THEEVOLVINGREQUIREMENTSFORSMARTSECONDARYSUBSTATIONSINTHREEEUROPEANREGULATORY

MARKETENVIRONMENTS

MASTEROFSCIENCETHESISTuomasVanhanen

THEEVOLVINGREQUIREMENTS

THEEVOLVINGREQUIREMENTS

SMARTSECONDARYSUBSTATIONS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

RECENTDEVELOPMENT

CASEEVBATTERIES

EXAMPLEWHATWASFORECASTEDIN2013?

•  ”JustrecentlyaJapanesechemicalcompanyannounced…toliRtheoperaSngradiusofEVto600kilometers…MassproducSon…couldstartin2015.(ElectricVehicleNews2013)”

•  EVrangein2013:–  ChevroletVolt~60km–  Mitsubishii-MiEV~100km–  (TeslaModelS,upto480km)

Whatweknowin2016

•  Volkswagentolaunch$40kelectriccarwith600kmrangein2020

THANKYOUTHEEVOLVINGREQUIREMENTSFORSMARTSECONDARYSUBSTATIONSINTHREEEUROPEANREGULATORY

MARKETENVIRONMENTSMASTEROFSCIENCETHESIS

TuomasVanhanenTwifer:@TumuVanhanen

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS•  Finland

–  Medium reliability: SAIDI for MV/LV grid 138 min (2007 – 2009) –  All the DSOs have to show plans to stick to the roadmap every two

years. (Goal 2028)

Maximumoutageinurbanareas

Maximumoutageinotherareas

0

50

100

150

200

0 36 72 108 144 180 216 252 288

Repa

ymen

tin%ofthe

ann

ualbill

Outageinhours

Repaymenttothecustomeroftheannualbillduetooutagehours

6 12

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS§  Germany

§  High reliability: SAIDI for MV/LV grid 15.31 min (2011) §  Regulation focuses heavily on investment effectiveness à lower

cost e.g. per feeder km

-300000

-250000

-200000

-150000

-100000

-50000

0

50000

100000

0 20 40 60 80

OutageCost

OutageCost

From 1% bonus to 8 % penalty (6 MEUR Revenue)

2013/2014 2017/2018

Influencable costs Allowed revenue - end of 2nd regulation period

Allowed revenue - beginning of 2nd regulation period

Momentary non influencable costs

Permanently non influencable costs

Permanently non influencable costs

Momentary non influencable costs

-1,5%

Max 40%

Min 60%

REGULATORYMARKETENVIRONMENTS§  Italy

§  Medium reliability (vs. FI, DE) , SAIDI ~49min (2009) §  Good incentives for grid reliability and for automation.

§  New mechanisms further incentive crucial areas and e.g. 25% of the secondary substations for investments in next years.