doyle fuchs texas workforce commission october 23, 2015 · unemployment rates (not seasonally...

Doyle FuchsTexas Workforce Commission

October 23, 2015

TWC Labor Market and Career Information

• Produces and disseminates labor market statistics

• Provides resources for education and career exploration

TWC Labor Market and Career Information

• Current Jobs Picture

• Near-Term Outlook

• Long-Term Projections

• LMI Tools

Unemployment Rates(not seasonally adjusted, monthly, September 2015 latest month)

Source: for Local Area Unemployment Statistics report, U.S. Department of Labor, not seasonally adjusted unemployment rates

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

United States - 4.9%Texas - 4.4%Austin metro area - 3.3%

Annual Job Growth Rates – Texas & U.S.August 2014 – August 2015 (seasonally adjusted)

Source: Texas Workforce Commission and U.S. Department of Labor, Current Employment Statistics

1.9%2.1%

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

Texas U.S.

Capital Area region

The Labor Market StructureO

il &

Gas

Heal

th C

are

Rest

aura

nts

Accountant Truck Driver Manager

Jane

Sm

ithO

ffice

Man

ager

John

Doe

Sale

s Man

ager

Geography

Indu

stry

Occupations

Jobs

Skills

Excel spreadsheets Customer service

Health Care & Social Assistance

Manufacturing

Education Services

Mining, Oil and Gas

Retail Trade

Public Administration

Transportation & Warehousing

Ranked by QCEW average weekly wages for that industry

Top industry of employment for region, 1990-2015

Industry Title Employment (1Q 1990)

Avg Weekly Wage

(1Q 1990)

Employment (1Q 2015)

Avg Weekly Wage

(1Q 2015)

Educational Services 670,345 $371 1,160,846 $796

Health Care & Social Assistance 664,543 $373 1,516,509 $871

Manufacturing 965,886 $543 893,767 $1,532

Mining, Oil & Gas Extraction 159,256 $791 302,376 $2,791

Public Administration 314,374 $501 438,009 $1,143

Retail Trade 899,202 $290 1,270,092 $575

Transportation & Warehousing 286,155 $543 468,980 $1,201

Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages

October 2014

TEXAS – Occupational Projections -Typical Education for 2012 & 2022 Employment

483,530

311,380

4,005,050

879,950

1,361,190

287,950

9,404,430

6,435,050

592,730

388,390

4,918,660

1,104,670

1,686,670

351,470

11,123,850

7,838,280

Doctoral or professional degree

Master's degree

Bachelor's degree

Associate's degree

Postsecondary non-degree award

Some college, no degree

High school diploma or equivalent

Less than high school

20122022

• Texas Population – 16,986,510• Civilian Labor Force – 8,618,927• Unemployment – 6.3%• Top 3 Industries – Number of Jobs

Manufacturing Retail Trade Educational Services

THEN – 1990

• Texas Population – 27,695,284• Civilian Labor Force – 13,111,548• Unemployment – 5.1%• Top 3 Industries – Number of Jobs

Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Educational Services

NOW – 2014

Top Population Growth Texas Counties 2010-2014

County (Big City) Change

Andrews (Andrews) + 17.8%

Sterling (Sterling City) + 17.8%

Hays (San Marcos) + 16.9%

Fort Bend (Sugar Land) + 16.0%

Kendall (Boerne) + 15.5%

Williamson (Round Rock) + 14.7%

Midland (Midland) + 13.8%

Martin (Stanton) + 13.3%

Comal (New Braunfels) + 13.2%

Crane (Crane) + 13.1%

County (Big City) Change

McMullen (Tilden) + 13.1%

Denton (Denton) + 13.0%

Montgomery (Woodlands) + 13.0%

Collin (McKinney) + 12.3%

Ector (Odessa) + 12.3%

Reagan (Big Lake) + 12.1%

Travis (Austin) + 11.7%

Rockwall (Rockwall) + 11.2%

Guadalupe (Seguin) + 11.1%

Gaines (Seminole) + 10.5%Source: U.S. Census Bureau

OccupationsThe Near Future

Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service areaJob Type Openings Change Minimum training/education1. Registered Nurse 2,181 + 9% Associate’s degree

2. Software Application Developer 2,025 - 1% Bachelor’s degree

3. Customer Service Rep 1,550 + 8% Moderate On Job Training

4. Web Developer 1,436 - 10% Associate’s degree

5. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer) 1,394 + 4% Short Term On Job training

6. Supervisor of Retail Sales Workers 1,350 + 33% Related Work Experience

7. Retail Salesperson 1,315 - 3% Short Term On Job training

8. Supervisor of Food Prep/Serving Staff 1,269 + 21% Related Work Experience

9. Computer User Support Specialist 1,177 - 1% Associate’s degree

10. Marketing Manager 1,084 + 15% Bachelor’s degree

11. Computer Network Administrator 1,033 - 16% Bachelor’s degree

12. Computer Systems Analyst 1,033 - 3% Bachelor’s degree

13. Supervisor of Office Support Workers 1,030 - 4% Related Work Experience

14. Maintenance / Repair Worker 859 + 2% Moderate On Job Training

15. Executive Secretary / Admin Assistant 858 + 4% Related Work Experience

16. Truck Driver (light truck) 708 + 9% Short Term On Job TrainingSource: Wanted Analytics new, unique job postings for past 90 days as of Oct. 21, 2015, for Travis, Williamson, Hays, Bastrop, Caldwell and Blanco counties area.

Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service areaJob Type Postings Change Minimum training/education17. Food Prep / Serving Worker (fast food) 696 + 12% Short Term On Job training

18. Preschool Teacher 691 + 5% Post-Secondary Vocational Training

19. Supervisor of Construction Workers 680 + 15% Related Work Experience

20. Management Analyst 678 - 16% Bachelor’s degree

21. Information Tech Project Manager 668 - 13% Associate’s degree

22. Maid, Housekeeper 627 - 3% Short Term On Job Training

23. Janitor, Cleaner 603 + 5% Short Term On Job Training

24. Bookkeeper, Audit Clerk 569 + 1% Moderate Term On Job Training

25. Accountant 563 + 7% Bachelor’s degree

26. Waitress, Waiter 557 - 11% Short Term On Job Training

27. Computer Programmer 550 + 14% Bachelor’s degree

28. Medical Secretary 544 + 7% Moderate Term On Job Training

29. Freight, Stock, Material Mover 544 + 15% Short Term On Job Training

30. Software Quality Assurance Tester 533 - 15% Bachelor’s degree

31. Restaurant Cook 511 + 6% Long Term On Job Training

32. Sales Rep (wholesale, manufacturing) 509 - 17% Related Work Experience

33. Construction Laborer 492 + 23% Moderate Term On Job Training

Help Wanted Job Listings Austin Community College service areaJob Type Postings Change Minimum training/education34. Secretarial Assistant 486 - 3% Moderate On Job Training

35. Sales Rep (technical, scientific products) 481 + 11% Related Work Experience

36. Computer Systems Engineer/Architect 478 + 3% Bachelor’s degree

37. Construction Carpenter 468 + 21% Long Term On Job Training

38. Medical Assistant 453 + 28% Moderate Term On Job Training

39. Landscaper, Groundskeeper 450 - 2% Short Term On Job Training

40. Receptionist, Information Clerk 449 - 1% Short Term On Job Training

41. Sales Rep (services) 441 - 16% Related Work Experience

42. Product Demonstrator / Promoter 423 - 22% Short Term On Job Training

43. Social & Human Services Assistant 421 + 26% Moderate Term On Job Training

44. Supervisor of Mechanics, Installers 409 - 1% Related Work Experience

45. Medical / Health Services Manager 407 + 16% Bachelor’s degree

46. Human Resources Specialist 400 + 21% Bachelor’s degree

47. General Sales Manager 400 - 2% Related Work Experience

48. Office Clerk 399 - 15% Short Term On Job Training

49. Personal Care Aide 392 - 14% Short Term On Job Training

50. Public Relations Specialist 389 + 9% Bachelor’s degree

Current Job Postings in Austin metro regionOrganization Postings Organization Postings

Dell 1,016 Deloitte 216

Ascension Health 823 Brookdale Senior Living 190

IBM 604 Wells Fargo 181

Accenture 577 Apple 179

University of Texas System 443 Target 174

Robert Half International 441 TEKsystems 172

Goodwill Industries 432 Austin Medical Center 167

Randstad 427 North Austin Medical Center 151

Aerotek 422 Unitedhealth Group 145

Hospital Corp of America 378 HT Group 144

Texas State University 340 St. David’s Medical Center 139

Macy’s 251 Experis Manpower Group 136

Kforce Professional Staffing 251 Parallon 136

Oracle 228 Aramark 135

The Future

Travis County(Capital Workforce Area)

October 2014

Capital Area (Travis County)Employment Change by Industry Sector, 2012-2022

29,140

18,810

16,310

15,670

13,280

9,320

7,460

7,240

5,710

5,100

5,000

4,250

1,390

640

150

Professional & Business Services

Health Care & Social Assistance

Educational Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Government

Retail Trade

Construction

Financial Activities

Manufacturing

Wholesale Trade

Other Services

Information

Transportation & Warehousing

Natural Resources & Mining

Utilities

Service providingGoods producing

October 2014

Annual Average Wage 2014

$19,797

$31,072

$28,894

$33,631

$33,209

$65,394

$22,054

$19,805

$122,393

$19,621

Capital Area (Travis County)Occupations Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022

4,890

3,410

3,080

3,050

3,030

2,630

2,450

2,420

2,330

2,310

Fast Food Preparation Workers

Customer Service Representatives

Retail Salespersons

Secretaries & Admin Assistants

General Office Clerks

Registered Nurses

Janitors & Cleaners

Waiters & Waitresses

General & Operations Managers

Personal Care Aides

October 2014

Capital Area (Travis County)Fastest Growing Occupations, 2012-2022

Average Annual Wage 2014

$91,569

$66,820

$88,563

$76,690

$71,706

$46,648

$54,948

$21,385

$26,968

$19,621

55.6%

48.2%

47.0%

43.3%

43.1%

41.1%

40.3%

39.2%

39.2%

37.0%

Information Security Analysts

Health Specialties Teachers

Logisticians

Operations Research Analysts

Market Research Analysts

Meeting & Event Planners

Industrial Machinery Mechanics

Home Health Aides

Helpers--Electricians

Personal Care Aides

The Future

Surrounding Counties(Rural Capital)

October 2014

Rural Capital AreaEmployment Change by Industry, 2012-2022

11,340

9,620

7,440

7,080

6,400

4,310

2,920

2,850

2,680

2,650

2,380

1,060

970

500

70

Educational Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Health Care & Social Assistance

Retail Trade

Professional & Business Services

Construction

Wholesale Trade

Other Services

Financial Activities

Government

Manufacturing

Transportation & Warehousing

Natural Resources & Mining

Information

Utilities

Service providingGoods producing

October 2014

Annual Average Wage 2014

$18,986

$24,885

$48,223

$21,900

$49,374

$21,009

$22,704

$29,604

$48,396

$33,538

Rural Capital AreaOccupations Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022

3,190

2,660

2,170

1,510

1,220

1,190

1,180

1,170

1,090

1,020

Fast Food Preparation Workers

Retail Salespersons

Elementary School Teachers

Waiters & Waitresses

Secondary School Teachers

Cashiers

Janitors & Cleaners

Customer Service Representatives

Middle School Teachers

General Office Clerks

October 2014

Rural Capital AreaFastest Growing Occupations, 2012-2022

Average Annual Wage 2014

$52,187

$48,396

$48,223

$33,868

$22,636

$18,986

$34,991

$76,522

$49,374

$99,073

45.6%

44.7%

44.4%

40.8%

39.9%

38.2%

36.6%

36.4%

35.8%

35.8%

Industrial Machinery Mechanics

Middle School Teachers

Elementary School Teachers

Medical Secretaries

Cooks, Restaurant

Fast Food Preparation Workers

Supervisors: Food Preparation Workers

Education Administrators

Secondary School Teachers

Market Research Analysts

Key LMI ToolsLMCI Main Page

www.lmci.state.tx.us

TRACER2 Online Database• (www.tracer2.com/?PAGEID=67&SUBID=114)• Industry and occupational projections by area

Texas Wages (www.texaswages.com/)• Wage ranges for hundreds of occupations by region in Texas

Texas CREWS (www.txcrews.org/)• Earnings and student debt by public college and major

Strategic Workforce Assessment Program• http://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/• Workforce supply-demand information by area

www.lmci.state.tx.us

TRACER2 Online Databasewww.tracer2.com/

Long-Term Projectionshttp://www.tracer2.com/?PAGEID=67&SUBID=114

Texas Wageswww.texaswages.com/

www.txcrews.org

Strategic Workforce Assessment Programwww.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/

In Development

Texas CREWS 2.0Texas CARES refresh

Supply/Demand Analysis Portal

Contact Us

Texas Workforce CommissionLabor Market & Career Information

Doyle Fuchs, Director512-936-3105

doyle.fuchs@twc.state.tx.us

866-938-4444lmci@twc.state.tx.us