do rises in gcse and a level grades reflect genuine increase in attainment?
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Presentation by Robert Coe, Durham University
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1
Do rises in GCSE and A level gradesreflect genuine increasesin attainment?
Robert Coe, Durham University
Ofqual: A New Look at Standards 13 Oct 2011
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Rising GCSE grades
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GCSE grade slippage?
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A level grade slippage?
5
Performance of England in international surveys
Maths (age 10, TIMSS)
Maths (age 14, TIMSS)
Reading (age 11, PIRLS)
Science (age 10, TIMSS)
Science (age 14, TIMSS)
Reading literacy (age 15, PISA)
Mathematical literacy (age 15, PISA)
Scientific literacy (age 15, PISA)
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
Year
Sta
nd
ard
ise
d t
es
t s
co
re
25 pts PISA =
+£4tr GDP
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