c ollective security in space , paris, 15 may 200 6
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Collective Security in Space, Paris, 15 May 2006
Polis
h S
pace
Offi
ce
Smaller European Countries and Space Security
Jakub Ryzenko
Ryzenko@onet.pl
Institute of International RelationsWarsaw University
&Polish Space Office
• Practical consequences of space security developments for smaller European countries
• Policy implications
Consequences of existence of:
• Missile defense system
• ASATs
• Space-to-Earth weapons
Space-related security goals
• protect own territory
• protect own space systems
• protect ability to use space systems
• deny space augmentation for enemy
Missile defense
• Limited increase of territory protection
• Increased freedom of political maneuver
• Is space component needed?
ASATs• Ground combat less asymmetric
Space Enables theNew American Way of War
9,251
7,000 32%GPS-guided90 Days; 68.2 Mbps/5K
32%UnguidedIraq, 2003
68%19,948Guided(Iraqi Freedom)
27%
41%
3%
31%
66%
8%92%
29 Days; 51.1 Mbps/5K
6,000Laser/EO-guided(Enduring Freedom)
9,000UnguidedAfghanistan, 2001-02
700GPS-guided78 Days; 24.5 Mbps/5K
7,000Laser/EO-guided(Allied Force)
16,000UnguidedSerbia, 1999
20,450Laser/EO-guided(Desert Storm): 37 Days1 Mbps/5K Forces
245,000UnguidedKTO, 1991
ASATs• Ground combat less asymmetric
• Increase of risk for own space systems
• Negative economic consequences
Space-to-Earth weapons
• Increased risk of retaliation
• Need to seek alliances with ASAT-owners
Space security developments ...
… should not destabilize international relations
… must not weaken transatlantic relations
Increasing of space awareness = confidence building measure
and is a potential field for cooperation
Space surveillance
Knowledge about and understanding of space security issues in smaller countries is very limited.
Formulation of policies will most probably be a reaction to US or European initiative.
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