bookbinders case

7/25/2019 Bookbinders Case

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bookbinders-case 1/115

Variable AveragesAverages of independent variables for each alternative. Alternative-sp

Gender Frequency

Response 0.659 200.916 12.314 3.199

Dummy (No Choice 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Variable Averages for Chosen AlternativesAverages of independent variables for each alternative where that alte

Gender Frequency

Response 0.543 220.413 9.245 3.940

Dummy (No Choice 0.69! 194.41" 13.33" 2.952

Confusion Matrix on Estimation SampleComparison of observed choices and predicted choices (based on MN

"igh val#es in the diagonal of the conf#sion matri$ (in bold!, compared

Analysis has been performed on the estimation dataset, and meas#res

Response

Response %&' !0

Dummy (No Choice 240 %%'

)ariables *Alternatives

#moun$purch%sed

&%s$purch%se

)ariables *Alternatives

#moun$purch%sed

&%s$purch%se

+bserved * redictedChoice

Dummy (NoChoice

ecic constants, if added, are set to zero by denition.

'Chi)d '*ou$h 'Coo+ 'D,* '#r$

22.5"6 0."39 0.33! 0."60 0.391 0.425

0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

native was the chosen alternative. Alternative-specic constants, if added, are s

'Chi)d '*ou$h 'Coo+ 'D,* '#r$

22.665 0."55 0.36! 0.6!! 0.3!5 0.!!0

22.54" 0."34 0.32! 0."!4 0.393 0.2"3

nalysis!.

to the non-diagonal val#es, indicate high convergence between observations and

the goodness-of-t of the model.

Firs$purch%se

et to zero by denition.

predictions.

Coecient Estimates [segment 1]Coecient estimates of the Choice model. Coecients in bold are stati

$-s$%$is$ic

Gender -'.&// 0.13"45 -6.2!0335

#moun$ purch%sed '.''%& 0.000"92 2.35424"

Frequency -'.'011% 0.016594 -4.550"63

&%s$ purch%se '.&%%00 0.093!13 6.521196

Firs$ purch%se -0.014""9 0.012!03 -1.1543!5

'Chi)d -'.%%1 0.116"0" -6.9511"3

'*ou$h -'.&/0'2 0.1433"! -4.443099

'Coo+ -'.3/'% 0.1194!2 -"."25099

'D,* -'.3'10 0.143"03 -6.303"!

'#r$ '.&&%% 0.12"01! 5.401"1Cons$-1 -0.35152! 0.2143!4 -1.639"12

%se)ine n/% n/%

Elasticities [segment 1]4lasticities of coecients.

4lasticities of 5ender Response

Response -0.2""!34 0.092611Dummy (No Choice 0 0

Response

Response 0.21446" -0.0"14!9

Dummy (No Choice 0 0

Response

Response -0.423!66 0.1412!9

Response

Response 1.092!1 -0.3642"

)ariables * Coecientestimates

Coecien$

es$im%$es

$%nd%rddei%$ion

Dummy(No

Choice

4lasticities of Amo#ntp#rchased

Dummy(No

Choice

4lasticities of6re7#ency

(NoChoice

4lasticities of astp#rchase

Dummy(No

Choice

Response

Response -0.16"461 0.055!2

4lasticities of 8Child Response

Response -0.3031 0.101033

4lasticities of 89o#th Response

Response -0.11"52" 0.0391"6

4lasticities of 8Coo: Response

Response -0.346194 0.11539!

4lasticities of 8;<9 Response

Response -0.1""!23 0.0592"4

4lasticities of 8Art Response

Response 0.203999 -0.06!

4lasticities of 6irstp#rchase

Dummy(No

Choice

Dummy(No

Choice

Dummy(No

Choice

Dummy(No

Choice

Dummy(NoChoice

Dummy(No

Choice

stically signicant.

Estimation Sample DetailsChoice probabilities, predicted and observed choices, segment membe

1 0.14! 0.!52 0 1 1

2 0."44 0.256 1 0 1

3 0.304 0.696 0 1 1

4 0.1!4 0.!16 0 1 1

5 0.!94 0.106 1 0 1

6 0.3!6 0.614 0 1 1

" 0.626 0.3"4 1 0 1

! 0.3"5 0.625 0 1 1

9 0.6!4 0.316 1 0 110 0.302 0.69! 0 1 1

11 0.45! 0.542 0 1 1

12 0.1"! 0.!22 0 1 1

13 0.265 0."35 0 1 1

14 0.529 0.4"1 1 0 1

15 0.339 0.661 0 1 1

16 0.0!4 0.916 0 1 1

1" 0.5!0 0.420 1 0 1

1! 0.24" 0."53 0 1 1

19 0.16! 0.!32 0 1 120 0.165 0.!35 0 1 1

21 0.5!2 0.41! 1 0 1

22 0.065 0.935 0 1 1

23 0.605 0.395 1 0 1

24 0.324 0.6"6 0 1 1

25 0.236 0."64 0 1 1

26 0.136 0.!64 0 1 1

2" 0.452 0.54! 0 1 1

2! 0.230 0.""0 0 1 1

29 0.209 0."91 0 1 130 0.!65 0.135 1 0 1

31 0.526 0.4"4 1 0 1

32 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 1

33 0.51" 0.4!3 1 0 1

34 0."16 0.2!4 1 0 1

35 0.256 0."44 0 1 1

36 0.496 0.504 0 1 1

3" 0.1!2 0.!1! 0 1 1

=espondents * Choice

probabilities

Responsepro%i)i$

Dummy(No

Choice

pro%i)i$y

'redic$ed

Response

'redic$edDummy

(NoChoice

Response

3! 0.146 0.!54 0 1 1

39 0.965 0.035 1 0 1

40 0.943 0.05" 1 0 1

41 0.212 0."!! 0 1 1

42 0.330 0.6"0 0 1 1

43 0.253 0."4" 0 1 1

44 0.12! 0.!"2 0 1 145 0.3"3 0.62" 0 1 1

46 0.60" 0.393 1 0 1

4" 0.091 0.909 0 1 1

4! 0.239 0."61 0 1 1

49 0.9!3 0.01" 1 0 1

50 0.2"! 0."22 0 1 1

51 0.164 0.!36 0 1 1

52 0.!23 0.1"" 1 0 1

53 0.9"! 0.022 1 0 1

54 0.924 0.0"6 1 0 155 0.252 0."4! 0 1 1

56 0.153 0.!4" 0 1 1

5" 0.642 0.35! 1 0 1

5! 0.433 0.56" 0 1 1

59 0.3"4 0.626 0 1 1

60 0.531 0.469 1 0 1

61 0.615 0.3!5 1 0 1

62 0.256 0."44 0 1 1

63 0.513 0.4!" 1 0 1

64 0.559 0.441 1 0 1

65 0.114 0.!!6 0 1 1

66 0.634 0.366 1 0 1

6" 0.120 0.!!0 0 1 1

6! 0.342 0.65! 0 1 1

69 0.6"! 0.322 1 0 1

"0 0.025 0.9"5 0 1 1

"1 0.!36 0.164 1 0 1

"2 0.!2! 0.1"2 1 0 1

"3 0.449 0.551 0 1 1

"4 0.94" 0.053 1 0 1

"5 0.094 0.906 0 1 1

"6 0.29! 0."02 0 1 1

"" 0."19 0.2!1 1 0 1

"! 0.961 0.039 1 0 1

"9 0.5"9 0.421 1 0 1

!0 0."05 0.295 1 0 1

!1 0.1"0 0.!30 0 1 1

!2 0.9!3 0.01" 1 0 1

!3 0.630 0.3"0 1 0 1

!4 0.5"3 0.42" 1 0 1

!5 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 1

!6 0.30" 0.693 0 1 1

!" 0.6!5 0.315 1 0 1

!! 0.3"3 0.62" 0 1 1

!9 0.16" 0.!33 0 1 190 0.0!" 0.913 0 1 1

91 0.!0" 0.193 1 0 1

92 0.4"0 0.530 0 1 1

93 0.52" 0.4"3 1 0 1

94 0.0!0 0.920 0 1 1

95 0."02 0.29! 1 0 1

96 0.103 0.!9" 0 1 1

9" 0.!93 0.10" 1 0 1

9! 0."!9 0.211 1 0 1

99 0.393 0.60" 0 1 1100 0.026 0.9"4 0 1 1

101 0.133 0.!6" 0 1 1

102 0.613 0.3!" 1 0 1

103 0.252 0."4! 0 1 1

104 0.245 0."55 0 1 1

105 0.164 0.!36 0 1 1

106 0.!43 0.15" 1 0 1

10" 0.51" 0.4!3 1 0 1

10! 0."3" 0.263 1 0 1

109 0.!40 0.160 1 0 1

110 0.209 0."91 0 1 1

111 0.9"0 0.030 1 0 1

112 0.553 0.44" 1 0 1

113 0.343 0.65" 0 1 1

114 0.112 0.!!! 0 1 1

115 0.414 0.5!6 0 1 1

116 0.099 0.901 0 1 1

11" 0.63! 0.362 1 0 1

11! 0.339 0.661 0 1 1

119 0.!0! 0.192 1 0 1

120 0.140 0.!60 0 1 1

121 0.535 0.465 1 0 1

122 0.5!9 0.411 1 0 1

123 0.493 0.50" 0 1 1

124 0.!0" 0.193 1 0 1

125 0.5"6 0.424 1 0 1

126 0.920 0.0!0 1 0 1

12" 0.12" 0.!"3 0 1 1

12! 0.!52 0.14! 1 0 1

129 0.425 0.5"5 0 1 1

130 0.566 0.434 1 0 1

131 0.304 0.696 0 1 1

132 0.165 0.!35 0 1 1

133 0.!41 0.159 1 0 1

134 0.609 0.391 1 0 1135 0.105 0.!95 0 1 1

136 0.!"4 0.126 1 0 1

13" 0.105 0.!95 0 1 1

13! 0.20" 0."93 0 1 1

139 0.595 0.405 1 0 1

140 0.1"5 0.!25 0 1 1

141 0.1"9 0.!21 0 1 1

142 0.64! 0.352 1 0 1

143 0."34 0.266 1 0 1

144 0.4!6 0.514 0 1 1145 0.29! 0."02 0 1 1

146 0.54" 0.453 1 0 1

14" 0.2!4 0."16 0 1 1

14! 0."42 0.25! 1 0 1

149 0.1"6 0.!24 0 1 1

150 0.053 0.94" 0 1 1

151 0.233 0."6" 0 1 1

152 0.655 0.345 1 0 1

153 0.65" 0.343 1 0 1

154 0.220 0."!0 0 1 1

155 0.612 0.3!! 1 0 1

156 0.230 0.""0 0 1 1

15" 0.165 0.!35 0 1 1

15! 0.!00 0.200 1 0 1

159 0.296 0."04 0 1 1

160 0.!26 0.1"4 1 0 1

161 0.220 0."!0 0 1 1

162 0.!56 0.144 1 0 1

163 0.300 0."00 0 1 1

164 0.136 0.!64 0 1 1

165 0.055 0.945 0 1 1

166 0.294 0."06 0 1 1

16" 0."41 0.259 1 0 1

16! 0.695 0.305 1 0 1

169 0.301 0.699 0 1 1

1"0 0.556 0.444 1 0 1

1"1 0.229 0.""1 0 1 1

1"2 0.103 0.!9" 0 1 1

1"3 0.41! 0.5!2 0 1 1

1"4 0.451 0.549 0 1 1

1"5 0.1!9 0.!11 0 1 1

1"6 0."00 0.300 1 0 1

1"" 0.342 0.65! 0 1 1

1"! 0.222 0.""! 0 1 1

1"9 0.!"0 0.130 1 0 11!0 0.192 0.!0! 0 1 1

1!1 0.!56 0.144 1 0 1

1!2 0.0!5 0.915 0 1 1

1!3 0.15" 0.!43 0 1 1

1!4 0.553 0.44" 1 0 1

1!5 0.323 0.6"" 0 1 1

1!6 0.490 0.510 0 1 1

1!" 0.235 0."65 0 1 1

1!! 0.206 0."94 0 1 1

1!9 0.46! 0.532 0 1 1190 0.!32 0.16! 1 0 1

191 0.226 0.""4 0 1 1

192 0.12" 0.!"3 0 1 1

193 0.14! 0.!52 0 1 1

194 0.06! 0.932 0 1 1

195 0.!"0 0.130 1 0 1

196 0.119 0.!!1 0 1 1

19" 0.420 0.5!0 0 1 1

19! 0.406 0.594 0 1 1

199 0.149 0.!51 0 1 1

200 0."04 0.296 1 0 1

201 0.2!9 0."11 0 1 1

202 0.066 0.934 0 1 1

203 0.293 0."0" 0 1 1

204 0.309 0.691 0 1 1

205 0.0!9 0.911 0 1 1

206 0.36! 0.632 0 1 1

20" 0.335 0.665 0 1 1

20! 0.233 0."6" 0 1 1

209 0.19" 0.!03 0 1 1

210 0.345 0.655 0 1 1

211 0.!!9 0.111 1 0 1

212 0.422 0.5"! 0 1 1

213 0.120 0.!!0 0 1 1

214 0.650 0.350 1 0 1

215 0.202 0."9! 0 1 1

216 0.350 0.650 0 1 1

21" 0.9!! 0.012 1 0 1

21! 0.321 0.6"9 0 1 1

219 0.94" 0.053 1 0 1

220 0.40" 0.593 0 1 1

221 0.654 0.346 1 0 1

222 0.4!2 0.51! 0 1 1

223 0."2" 0.2"3 1 0 1

224 0.!2" 0.1"3 1 0 1225 0.4!4 0.516 0 1 1

226 0.!!! 0.112 1 0 1

22" 0.341 0.659 0 1 1

22! 0.!9" 0.103 1 0 1

229 0.4!2 0.51! 0 1 1

230 0.305 0.695 0 1 1

231 0.291 0."09 0 1 1

232 0.644 0.356 1 0 1

233 0.259 0."41 0 1 1

234 0.""9 0.221 1 0 1235 0.591 0.409 1 0 1

236 0.4!1 0.519 0 1 1

23" 0.22! 0.""2 0 1 1

23! 0."60 0.240 1 0 1

239 0.10" 0.!93 0 1 1

240 0.605 0.395 1 0 1

241 0.542 0.45! 1 0 1

242 0."13 0.2!" 1 0 1

243 0."46 0.254 1 0 1

244 0.21" 0."!3 0 1 1

245 0.409 0.591 0 1 1

246 0.6"! 0.322 1 0 1

24" 0.02" 0.9"3 0 1 1

24! 0.601 0.399 1 0 1

249 0.121 0.!"9 0 1 1

250 0.459 0.541 0 1 1

251 0.553 0.44" 1 0 1

252 0.400 0.600 0 1 1

253 0.20! 0."92 0 1 1

254 0."00 0.300 1 0 1

255 0.6"6 0.324 1 0 1

256 0.491 0.509 0 1 1

25" 0.140 0.!60 0 1 1

25! 0.361 0.639 0 1 1

259 0.436 0.564 0 1 1

260 0.114 0.!!6 0 1 1

261 0.0"1 0.929 0 1 1

262 0.195 0.!05 0 1 1

263 0.160 0.!40 0 1 1

264 0."36 0.264 1 0 1

265 0.0!6 0.914 0 1 1

266 0.521 0.4"9 1 0 1

26" 0.091 0.909 0 1 1

26! 0.!35 0.165 1 0 1

269 0.!62 0.13! 1 0 12"0 0."90 0.210 1 0 1

2"1 0."23 0.2"" 1 0 1

2"2 0.13! 0.!62 0 1 1

2"3 0.563 0.43" 1 0 1

2"4 0.3!9 0.611 0 1 1

2"5 0.115 0.!!5 0 1 1

2"6 0."!" 0.213 1 0 1

2"" 0."19 0.2!1 1 0 1

2"! 0.69" 0.303 1 0 1

2"9 0.4!3 0.51" 0 1 12!0 0.53" 0.463 1 0 1

2!1 0.33" 0.663 0 1 1

2!2 0.369 0.631 0 1 1

2!3 0.3!1 0.619 0 1 1

2!4 0.495 0.505 0 1 1

2!5 0.626 0.3"4 1 0 1

2!6 0.244 0."56 0 1 1

2!" 0.313 0.6!" 0 1 1

2!! 0.!50 0.150 1 0 1

2!9 0.249 0."51 0 1 1

290 0.306 0.694 0 1 1

291 0.419 0.5!1 0 1 1

292 0.269 0."31 0 1 1

293 0.143 0.!5" 0 1 1

294 0.!33 0.16" 1 0 1

295 0.314 0.6!6 0 1 1

296 0.464 0.536 0 1 1

29" 0.212 0."!! 0 1 1

29! 0.35! 0.642 0 1 1

299 0.469 0.531 0 1 1

300 0.1!4 0.!16 0 1 1

301 0.602 0.39! 1 0 1

302 0.1"1 0.!29 0 1 1

303 0.""4 0.226 1 0 1

304 0.129 0.!"1 0 1 1

305 0.!"3 0.12" 1 0 1

306 0.32! 0.6"2 0 1 1

30" 0.111 0.!!9 0 1 1

30! 0.269 0."31 0 1 1

309 0.0!" 0.913 0 1 1

310 0.2"2 0."2! 0 1 1

311 0.603 0.39" 1 0 1

312 0.!43 0.15" 1 0 1

313 0.692 0.30! 1 0 1

314 0.203 0."9" 0 1 1315 0.335 0.665 0 1 1

316 0.1!9 0.!11 0 1 1

31" 0.5!0 0.420 1 0 1

31! 0.!20 0.1!0 1 0 1

319 0.126 0.!"4 0 1 1

320 0.690 0.310 1 0 1

321 0.663 0.33" 1 0 1

322 0.236 0."64 0 1 1

323 0.326 0.6"4 0 1 1

324 0.6"9 0.321 1 0 1325 0."60 0.240 1 0 1

326 0.333 0.66" 0 1 1

32" 0.310 0.690 0 1 1

32! 0.123 0.!"" 0 1 1

329 0.!25 0.1"5 1 0 1

330 0.16! 0.!32 0 1 1

331 0.!56 0.144 1 0 1

332 0.293 0."0" 0 1 1

333 0.960 0.040 1 0 1

334 0.42! 0.5"2 0 1 1

335 0.0!! 0.912 0 1 1

336 0.!"" 0.123 1 0 1

33" 0.261 0."39 0 1 1

33! 0.550 0.450 1 0 1

339 0.34" 0.653 0 1 1

340 0.406 0.594 0 1 1

341 0.4!9 0.511 0 1 1

342 0.63! 0.362 1 0 1

343 0.196 0.!04 0 1 1

344 0.!"6 0.124 1 0 1

345 0.9"6 0.024 1 0 1

346 0."46 0.254 1 0 1

34" 0.361 0.639 0 1 1

34! 0.292 0."0! 0 1 1

349 0.396 0.604 0 1 1

350 0.439 0.561 0 1 1

351 0.103 0.!9" 0 1 1

352 0."93 0.20" 1 0 1

353 0.395 0.605 0 1 1

354 0.593 0.40" 1 0 1

355 0.55" 0.443 1 0 1

356 0.0"9 0.921 0 1 1

35" 0.453 0.54" 0 1 1

35! 0."14 0.2!6 1 0 1

359 0.243 0."5" 0 1 1360 0.564 0.436 1 0 1

361 0.21! 0."!2 0 1 1

362 0.0"9 0.921 0 1 1

363 0.3"9 0.621 0 1 1

364 0.144 0.!56 0 1 1

365 0.1"3 0.!2" 0 1 1

366 0.634 0.366 1 0 1

36" 0.552 0.44! 1 0 1

36! 0.112 0.!!! 0 1 1

369 0.400 0.600 0 1 13"0 0.623 0.3"" 1 0 1

3"1 0."10 0.290 1 0 1

3"2 0.!63 0.13" 1 0 1

3"3 0.33" 0.663 0 1 1

3"4 0.055 0.945 0 1 1

3"5 0.5!! 0.412 1 0 1

3"6 0.410 0.590 0 1 1

3"" 0.649 0.351 1 0 1

3"! 0.465 0.535 0 1 1

3"9 0.2!1 0."19 0 1 1

3!0 0.5!4 0.416 1 0 1

3!1 0.105 0.!95 0 1 1

3!2 0.201 0."99 0 1 1

3!3 0.243 0."5" 0 1 1

3!4 0.224 0.""6 0 1 1

3!5 0.245 0."55 0 1 1

3!6 0.501 0.499 1 0 1

3!" 0.939 0.061 1 0 1

3!! 0.469 0.531 0 1 1

3!9 0.210 0."90 0 1 1

390 0.403 0.59" 0 1 1

391 0.3"3 0.62" 0 1 1

392 0.9!1 0.019 1 0 1

393 0.529 0.4"1 1 0 1

394 0.446 0.554 0 1 1

395 0.631 0.369 1 0 1

396 0.935 0.065 1 0 1

39" 0.21! 0."!2 0 1 1

39! 0.5"! 0.422 1 0 1

399 0.323 0.6"" 0 1 1

400 0.536 0.464 1 0 1

401 0.110 0.!90 0 1 0

402 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 0

403 0.0!2 0.91! 0 1 0

404 0.2"0 0."30 0 1 0405 0.031 0.969 0 1 0

406 0.243 0."5" 0 1 0

40" 0.30! 0.692 0 1 0

40! 0.159 0.!41 0 1 0

409 0.13" 0.!63 0 1 0

410 0.1!" 0.!13 0 1 0

411 0.250 0."50 0 1 0

412 0.20" 0."93 0 1 0

413 0.30! 0.692 0 1 0

414 0.205 0."95 0 1 0415 0.15" 0.!43 0 1 0

416 0.04" 0.953 0 1 0

41" 0.110 0.!90 0 1 0

41! 0.29! 0."02 0 1 0

419 0.5"4 0.426 1 0 0

420 0.063 0.93" 0 1 0

421 0.116 0.!!4 0 1 0

422 0.250 0."50 0 1 0

423 0.0!6 0.914 0 1 0

424 0.099 0.901 0 1 0

425 0.""" 0.223 1 0 0

426 0.239 0."61 0 1 0

42" 0.246 0."54 0 1 0

42! 0.111 0.!!9 0 1 0

429 0.214 0."!6 0 1 0

430 0.134 0.!66 0 1 0

431 0.019 0.9!1 0 1 0

432 0.1"6 0.!24 0 1 0

433 0.235 0."65 0 1 0

434 0.15! 0.!42 0 1 0

435 0.436 0.564 0 1 0

436 0.046 0.954 0 1 0

43" 0.094 0.906 0 1 0

43! 0.1!9 0.!11 0 1 0

439 0.234 0."66 0 1 0

440 0.155 0.!45 0 1 0

441 0.3"" 0.623 0 1 0

442 0.25! 0."42 0 1 0

443 0.1!6 0.!14 0 1 0

444 0.12" 0.!"3 0 1 0

445 0.231 0."69 0 1 0

446 0.022 0.9"! 0 1 0

44" 0.06! 0.932 0 1 0

44! 0.194 0.!06 0 1 0

449 0.310 0.690 0 1 0450 0.211 0."!9 0 1 0

451 0.10! 0.!92 0 1 0

452 0.112 0.!!! 0 1 0

453 0.104 0.!96 0 1 0

454 0.120 0.!!0 0 1 0

455 0.351 0.649 0 1 0

456 0.030 0.9"0 0 1 0

45" 0.010 0.990 0 1 0

45! 0.101 0.!99 0 1 0

459 0.16" 0.!33 0 1 0460 0.00! 0.992 0 1 0

461 0."91 0.209 1 0 0

462 0.03" 0.963 0 1 0

463 0.026 0.9"4 0 1 0

464 0.24! 0."52 0 1 0

465 0.030 0.9"0 0 1 0

466 0.35" 0.643 0 1 0

46" 0.130 0.!"0 0 1 0

46! 0.06! 0.932 0 1 0

469 0.020 0.9!0 0 1 0

4"0 0.114 0.!!6 0 1 0

4"1 0.126 0.!"4 0 1 0

4"2 0.625 0.3"5 1 0 0

4"3 0.0"! 0.922 0 1 0

4"4 0.04! 0.952 0 1 0

4"5 0.0!3 0.91" 0 1 0

4"6 0.265 0."35 0 1 0

4"" 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 0

4"! 0.26! 0."32 0 1 0

4"9 0.221 0.""9 0 1 0

4!0 0.236 0."64 0 1 0

4!1 0.1"0 0.!30 0 1 0

4!2 0.296 0."04 0 1 0

4!3 0.015 0.9!5 0 1 0

4!4 0.196 0.!04 0 1 0

4!5 0.146 0.!54 0 1 0

4!6 0.149 0.!51 0 1 0

4!" 0.306 0.694 0 1 0

4!! 0.106 0.!94 0 1 0

4!9 0.123 0.!"" 0 1 0

490 0.205 0."95 0 1 0

491 0.0!6 0.914 0 1 0

492 0.329 0.6"1 0 1 0

493 0.335 0.665 0 1 0

494 0.123 0.!"" 0 1 0495 0.059 0.941 0 1 0

496 0.2"0 0."30 0 1 0

49" 0.42" 0.5"3 0 1 0

49! 0.502 0.49! 1 0 0

499 0.2!9 0."11 0 1 0

500 0.065 0.935 0 1 0

501 0.230 0.""0 0 1 0

502 0.0"9 0.921 0 1 0

503 0.203 0."9" 0 1 0

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103" 0.115 0.!!5 0 1 0

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10"" 0.060 0.940 0 1 0

10"! 0.113 0.!!" 0 1 0

10"9 0.101 0.!99 0 1 010!0 0.24! 0."52 0 1 0

10!1 0.5"5 0.425 1 0 0

10!2 0.0!2 0.91! 0 1 0

10!3 0.561 0.439 1 0 0

10!4 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 0

10!5 0.5!9 0.411 1 0 0

10!6 0.390 0.610 0 1 0

10!" 0.0"9 0.921 0 1 0

10!! 0.114 0.!!6 0 1 0

10!9 0.0"2 0.92! 0 1 01090 0.052 0.94! 0 1 0

1091 0.051 0.949 0 1 0

1092 0.0!3 0.91" 0 1 0

1093 0.121 0.!"9 0 1 0

1094 0.121 0.!"9 0 1 0

1095 0.045 0.955 0 1 0

1096 0.661 0.339 1 0 0

109" 0.11! 0.!!2 0 1 0

109! 0.402 0.59! 0 1 0

1099 0.122 0.!"! 0 1 0

1100 0.344 0.656 0 1 0

1101 0.01! 0.9!2 0 1 0

1102 0.055 0.945 0 1 0

1103 0.199 0.!01 0 1 0

1104 0.106 0.!94 0 1 0

1105 0.0"0 0.930 0 1 0

1106 0.0!3 0.91" 0 1 0

110" 0.01" 0.9!3 0 1 0

110! 0.134 0.!66 0 1 0

1109 0.11! 0.!!2 0 1 0

1110 0.016 0.9!4 0 1 0

1111 0.2!6 0."14 0 1 0

1112 0.061 0.939 0 1 0

1113 0.25" 0."43 0 1 0

1114 0.03" 0.963 0 1 0

1115 0.056 0.944 0 1 0

1116 0.225 0.""5 0 1 0

111" 0.093 0.90" 0 1 0

111! 0.131 0.!69 0 1 0

1119 0.021 0.9"9 0 1 0

1120 0.114 0.!!6 0 1 0

1121 0.060 0.940 0 1 0

1122 0.133 0.!6" 0 1 0

1123 0.4"2 0.52! 0 1 0

1124 0.063 0.93" 0 1 01125 0.436 0.564 0 1 0

1126 0.011 0.9!9 0 1 0

112" 0.132 0.!6! 0 1 0

112! 0.149 0.!51 0 1 0

1129 0.02" 0.9"3 0 1 0

1130 0.150 0.!50 0 1 0

1131 0.029 0.9"1 0 1 0

1132 0.09! 0.902 0 1 0

1133 0.324 0.6"6 0 1 0

1134 0.36" 0.633 0 1 01135 0.133 0.!6" 0 1 0

1136 0.1!2 0.!1! 0 1 0

113" 0.139 0.!61 0 1 0

113! 0.039 0.961 0 1 0

1139 0.212 0."!! 0 1 0

1140 0.100 0.900 0 1 0

1141 0.3"0 0.630 0 1 0

1142 0.010 0.990 0 1 0

1143 0.091 0.909 0 1 0

1144 0.133 0.!6" 0 1 0

1145 0.3"0 0.630 0 1 0

1146 0.655 0.345 1 0 0

114" 0.236 0."64 0 1 0

114! 0.20! 0."92 0 1 0

1149 0.0"3 0.92" 0 1 0

1150 0.324 0.6"6 0 1 0

1151 0.113 0.!!" 0 1 0

1152 0.40" 0.593 0 1 0

1153 0.056 0.944 0 1 0

1154 0.0"0 0.930 0 1 0

1155 0.154 0.!46 0 1 0

1156 0.232 0."6! 0 1 0

115" 0.202 0."9! 0 1 0

115! 0.030 0.9"0 0 1 0

1159 0.124 0.!"6 0 1 0

1160 0.460 0.540 0 1 0

1161 0.06! 0.932 0 1 0

1162 0.020 0.9!0 0 1 0

1163 0.52" 0.4"3 1 0 0

1164 0.00! 0.992 0 1 0

1165 0.05" 0.943 0 1 0

1166 0.210 0."90 0 1 0

116" 0.063 0.93" 0 1 0

116! 0.020 0.9!0 0 1 0

1169 0.199 0.!01 0 1 011"0 0.039 0.961 0 1 0

11"1 0.01" 0.9!3 0 1 0

11"2 0.435 0.565 0 1 0

11"3 0.0!3 0.91" 0 1 0

11"4 0.1"6 0.!24 0 1 0

11"5 0.151 0.!49 0 1 0

11"6 0.190 0.!10 0 1 0

11"" 0.346 0.654 0 1 0

11"! 0.162 0.!3! 0 1 0

11"9 0.1!3 0.!1" 0 1 011!0 0.544 0.456 1 0 0

11!1 0.116 0.!!4 0 1 0

11!2 0.2"0 0."30 0 1 0

11!3 0.0!0 0.920 0 1 0

11!4 0.019 0.9!1 0 1 0

11!5 0.0"5 0.925 0 1 0

11!6 0.2!0 0."20 0 1 0

11!" 0.0!2 0.91! 0 1 0

11!! 0.169 0.!31 0 1 0

11!9 0.1"! 0.!22 0 1 0

1190 0.0"1 0.929 0 1 0

1191 0.110 0.!90 0 1 0

1192 0.5"4 0.426 1 0 0

1193 0.12! 0.!"2 0 1 0

1194 0.031 0.969 0 1 0

1195 0.236 0."64 0 1 0

1196 0.035 0.965 0 1 0

119" 0.162 0.!3! 0 1 0

119! 0.10! 0.!92 0 1 0

1199 0.2"1 0."29 0 1 0

1200 0.133 0.!6" 0 1 0

1201 0."14 0.2!6 1 0 0

1202 0.064 0.936 0 1 0

1203 0.12" 0.!"3 0 1 0

1204 0.026 0.9"4 0 1 0

1205 0.515 0.4!5 1 0 0

1206 0.055 0.945 0 1 0

120" 0."3! 0.262 1 0 0

120! 0.2!4 0."16 0 1 0

1209 0.2!! 0."12 0 1 0

1210 0.25! 0."42 0 1 0

1211 0.232 0."6! 0 1 0

1212 0.093 0.90" 0 1 0

1213 0.0"3 0.92" 0 1 0

1214 0.102 0.!9! 0 1 01215 0.06! 0.932 0 1 0

1216 0.114 0.!!6 0 1 0

121" 0.156 0.!44 0 1 0

121! 0.3!5 0.615 0 1 0

1219 0.0"0 0.930 0 1 0

1220 0.091 0.909 0 1 0

1221 0.303 0.69" 0 1 0

1222 0.0"1 0.929 0 1 0

1223 0.153 0.!4" 0 1 0

1224 0.153 0.!4" 0 1 01225 0.046 0.954 0 1 0

1226 0.093 0.90" 0 1 0

122" 0.12! 0.!"2 0 1 0

122! 0.163 0.!3" 0 1 0

1229 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 0

1230 0.321 0.6"9 0 1 0

1231 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 0

1232 0.090 0.910 0 1 0

1233 0.2"! 0."22 0 1 0

1234 0.141 0.!59 0 1 0

1235 0.164 0.!36 0 1 0

1236 0.203 0."9" 0 1 0

123" 0.344 0.656 0 1 0

123! 0.103 0.!9" 0 1 0

1239 0.0"1 0.929 0 1 0

1240 0.095 0.905 0 1 0

1241 0.311 0.6!9 0 1 0

1242 0.0"4 0.926 0 1 0

1243 0.61! 0.3!2 1 0 0

1244 0.034 0.966 0 1 0

1245 0.033 0.96" 0 1 0

1246 0.264 0."36 0 1 0

124" 0.36! 0.632 0 1 0

124! 0.165 0.!35 0 1 0

1249 0.664 0.336 1 0 0

1250 0.0!1 0.919 0 1 0

1251 0.1!3 0.!1" 0 1 0

1252 0.1!" 0.!13 0 1 0

1253 0.141 0.!59 0 1 0

1254 0.0"5 0.925 0 1 0

1255 0.0"3 0.92" 0 1 0

1256 0.192 0.!0! 0 1 0

125" 0.095 0.905 0 1 0

125! 0.1!1 0.!19 0 1 0

1259 0.1"9 0.!21 0 1 01260 0.0"3 0.92" 0 1 0

1261 0.139 0.!61 0 1 0

1262 0.061 0.939 0 1 0

1263 0.232 0."6! 0 1 0

1264 0.063 0.93" 0 1 0

1265 0.022 0.9"! 0 1 0

1266 0.401 0.599 0 1 0

126" 0.112 0.!!! 0 1 0

126! 0.10" 0.!93 0 1 0

1269 0.024 0.9"6 0 1 012"0 0.100 0.900 0 1 0

12"1 0.095 0.905 0 1 0

12"2 0.124 0.!"6 0 1 0

12"3 0.054 0.946 0 1 0

12"4 0.00! 0.992 0 1 0

12"5 0.12! 0.!"2 0 1 0

12"6 0.0!0 0.920 0 1 0

12"" 0.1!0 0.!20 0 1 0

12"! 0.213 0."!" 0 1 0

12"9 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 0

12!0 0.166 0.!34 0 1 0

12!1 0.012 0.9!! 0 1 0

12!2 0.631 0.369 1 0 0

12!3 0.253 0."4" 0 1 0

12!4 0.254 0."46 0 1 0

12!5 0.556 0.444 1 0 0

12!6 0.26" 0."33 0 1 0

12!" 0.0!1 0.919 0 1 0

12!! 0.209 0."91 0 1 0

12!9 0.260 0."40 0 1 0

1290 0.392 0.60! 0 1 0

1291 0.412 0.5!! 0 1 0

1292 0.104 0.!96 0 1 0

1293 0.063 0.93" 0 1 0

1294 0.02! 0.9"2 0 1 0

1295 0.521 0.4"9 1 0 0

1296 0.129 0.!"1 0 1 0

129" 0.010 0.990 0 1 0

129! 0.06! 0.932 0 1 0

1299 0.10! 0.!92 0 1 0

1300 0.0!" 0.913 0 1 0

1301 0.2"! 0."22 0 1 0

1302 0.553 0.44" 1 0 0

1303 0.150 0.!50 0 1 0

1304 0.064 0.936 0 1 01305 0.09" 0.903 0 1 0

1306 0.0"4 0.926 0 1 0

130" 0.02" 0.9"3 0 1 0

130! 0.065 0.935 0 1 0

1309 0.064 0.936 0 1 0

1310 0.332 0.66! 0 1 0

1311 0.030 0.9"0 0 1 0

1312 0.094 0.906 0 1 0

1313 0.141 0.!59 0 1 0

1314 0.204 0."96 0 1 01315 0.11! 0.!!2 0 1 0

1316 0.2"! 0."22 0 1 0

131" 0.2!6 0."14 0 1 0

131! 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 0

1319 0.112 0.!!! 0 1 0

1320 0.062 0.93! 0 1 0

1321 0.144 0.!56 0 1 0

1322 0.036 0.964 0 1 0

1323 0.010 0.990 0 1 0

1324 0.01" 0.9!3 0 1 0

1325 0."49 0.251 1 0 0

1326 0.169 0.!31 0 1 0

132" 0.126 0.!"4 0 1 0

132! 0.2"4 0."26 0 1 0

1329 0.052 0.94! 0 1 0

1330 0.1"0 0.!30 0 1 0

1331 0.1"3 0.!2" 0 1 0

1332 0.025 0.9"5 0 1 0

1333 0.10" 0.!93 0 1 0

1334 0.091 0.909 0 1 0

1335 0.0!1 0.919 0 1 0

1336 0.0"0 0.930 0 1 0

133" 0.062 0.93! 0 1 0

133! 0.519 0.4!1 1 0 0

1339 0.334 0.666 0 1 0

1340 0.025 0.9"5 0 1 0

1341 0.029 0.9"1 0 1 0

1342 0.441 0.559 0 1 0

1343 0.00! 0.992 0 1 0

1344 0.1"5 0.!25 0 1 0

1345 0.060 0.940 0 1 0

1346 0.0"2 0.92! 0 1 0

134" 0.122 0.!"! 0 1 0

134! 0.160 0.!40 0 1 0

1349 0.099 0.901 0 1 01350 0.229 0.""1 0 1 0

1351 0.129 0.!"1 0 1 0

1352 0.222 0.""! 0 1 0

1353 0.0"6 0.924 0 1 0

1354 0.539 0.461 1 0 0

1355 0.106 0.!94 0 1 0

1356 0."36 0.264 1 0 0

135" 0.260 0."40 0 1 0

135! 0.100 0.900 0 1 0

1359 0.162 0.!3! 0 1 01360 0.261 0."39 0 1 0

1361 0.3!! 0.612 0 1 0

1362 0.106 0.!94 0 1 0

1363 0.096 0.904 0 1 0

1364 0.4!3 0.51" 0 1 0

1365 0.090 0.910 0 1 0

1366 0.233 0."6" 0 1 0

136" 0.155 0.!45 0 1 0

136! 0.09! 0.902 0 1 0

1369 0.1!1 0.!19 0 1 0

13"0 0.041 0.959 0 1 0

13"1 0.21! 0."!2 0 1 0

13"2 0.0!6 0.914 0 1 0

13"3 0.65" 0.343 1 0 0

13"4 0.229 0.""1 0 1 0

13"5 0.024 0.9"6 0 1 0

13"6 0.14" 0.!53 0 1 0

13"" 0.036 0.964 0 1 0

13"! 0.1"9 0.!21 0 1 0

13"9 0.049 0.951 0 1 0

13!0 0.0!" 0.913 0 1 0

13!1 0.1"1 0.!29 0 1 0

13!2 0.20" 0."93 0 1 0

13!3 0.044 0.956 0 1 0

13!4 0.214 0."!6 0 1 0

13!5 0.15" 0.!43 0 1 0

13!6 0.501 0.499 1 0 0

13!" 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 0

13!! 0.043 0.95" 0 1 0

13!9 0.13! 0.!62 0 1 0

1390 0.043 0.95" 0 1 0

1391 0.12" 0.!"3 0 1 0

1392 0.0"5 0.925 0 1 0

1393 0.2!2 0."1! 0 1 0

1394 0.906 0.094 1 0 01395 0.404 0.596 0 1 0

1396 0.05! 0.942 0 1 0

139" 0.334 0.666 0 1 0

139! 0.16! 0.!32 0 1 0

1399 0.0!5 0.915 0 1 0

1400 0.241 0."59 0 1 0

1401 0.13" 0.!63 0 1 0

1402 0.102 0.!9! 0 1 0

1403 0.1"9 0.!21 0 1 0

1404 0.0"2 0.92! 0 1 01405 0.00! 0.992 0 1 0

1406 0.059 0.941 0 1 0

140" 0.245 0."55 0 1 0

140! 0.042 0.95! 0 1 0

1409 0.143 0.!5" 0 1 0

1410 0."09 0.291 1 0 0

1411 0.1"3 0.!2" 0 1 0

1412 0.056 0.944 0 1 0

1413 0.011 0.9!9 0 1 0

1414 0.099 0.901 0 1 0

1415 0.5"0 0.430 1 0 0

1416 0.1!9 0.!11 0 1 0

141" 0.439 0.561 0 1 0

141! 0.0!1 0.919 0 1 0

1419 0.664 0.336 1 0 0

1420 0.191 0.!09 0 1 0

1421 0.049 0.951 0 1 0

1422 0.1!! 0.!12 0 1 0

1423 0.229 0.""1 0 1 0

1424 0.064 0.936 0 1 0

1425 0.1!4 0.!16 0 1 0

1426 0.130 0.!"0 0 1 0

142" 0.402 0.59! 0 1 0

142! 0.0!5 0.915 0 1 0

1429 0.154 0.!46 0 1 0

1430 0.20" 0."93 0 1 0

1431 0.0!" 0.913 0 1 0

1432 0.234 0."66 0 1 0

1433 0.1"0 0.!30 0 1 0

1434 0.12" 0.!"3 0 1 0

1435 0.239 0."61 0 1 0

1436 0.220 0."!0 0 1 0

143" 0.266 0."34 0 1 0

143! 0.525 0.4"5 1 0 0

1439 0.05! 0.942 0 1 01440 0.091 0.909 0 1 0

1441 0.1!3 0.!1" 0 1 0

1442 0.035 0.965 0 1 0

1443 0.095 0.905 0 1 0

1444 0.390 0.610 0 1 0

1445 0.062 0.93! 0 1 0

1446 0.3"9 0.621 0 1 0

144" 0.352 0.64! 0 1 0

144! 0.14" 0.!53 0 1 0

1449 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 01450 0.1!6 0.!14 0 1 0

1451 0.026 0.9"4 0 1 0

1452 0.0"! 0.922 0 1 0

1453 0.431 0.569 0 1 0

1454 0.010 0.990 0 1 0

1455 0.304 0.696 0 1 0

1456 0.024 0.9"6 0 1 0

145" 0.390 0.610 0 1 0

145! 0.490 0.510 0 1 0

1459 0."09 0.291 1 0 0

1460 0.569 0.431 1 0 0

1461 0.005 0.995 0 1 0

1462 0.516 0.4!4 1 0 0

1463 0.634 0.366 1 0 0

1464 0.016 0.9!4 0 1 0

1465 0.64! 0.352 1 0 0

1466 0.0!" 0.913 0 1 0

146" 0.164 0.!36 0 1 0

146! 0.231 0."69 0 1 0

1469 0.221 0.""9 0 1 0

14"0 0.02! 0.9"2 0 1 0

14"1 0.0"6 0.924 0 1 0

14"2 0.062 0.93! 0 1 0

14"3 0.246 0."54 0 1 0

14"4 0.0"5 0.925 0 1 0

14"5 0.124 0.!"6 0 1 0

14"6 0.0"! 0.922 0 1 0

14"" 0.065 0.935 0 1 0

14"! 0.064 0.936 0 1 0

14"9 0.010 0.990 0 1 0

14!0 0.0"5 0.925 0 1 0

14!1 0.695 0.305 1 0 0

14!2 0.150 0.!50 0 1 0

14!3 0.1"0 0.!30 0 1 0

14!4 0.202 0."9! 0 1 014!5 0.115 0.!!5 0 1 0

14!6 0.1!2 0.!1! 0 1 0

14!" 0.146 0.!54 0 1 0

14!! 0.36! 0.632 0 1 0

14!9 0.142 0.!5! 0 1 0

1490 0.131 0.!69 0 1 0

1491 0.6"9 0.321 1 0 0

1492 0.146 0.!54 0 1 0

1493 0.13! 0.!62 0 1 0

1494 0.521 0.4"9 1 0 01495 0.246 0."54 0 1 0

1496 0.154 0.!46 0 1 0

149" 0.034 0.966 0 1 0

149! 0.149 0.!51 0 1 0

1499 0.396 0.604 0 1 0

1500 0.05" 0.943 0 1 0

1501 0.195 0.!05 0 1 0

1502 0.432 0.56! 0 1 0

1503 0.0"4 0.926 0 1 0

1504 0.0"5 0.925 0 1 0

1505 0.051 0.949 0 1 0

1506 0.1!4 0.!16 0 1 0

150" 0.05! 0.942 0 1 0

150! 0.122 0.!"! 0 1 0

1509 0.459 0.541 0 1 0

1510 0.060 0.940 0 1 0

1511 0.0!4 0.916 0 1 0

1512 0.02! 0.9"2 0 1 0

1513 0.101 0.!99 0 1 0

1514 0.132 0.!6! 0 1 0

1515 0.02" 0.9"3 0 1 0

1516 0.!"6 0.124 1 0 0

151" 0.063 0.93" 0 1 0

151! 0.252 0."4! 0 1 0

1519 0.059 0.941 0 1 0

1520 0.131 0.!69 0 1 0

1521 0.036 0.964 0 1 0

1522 0.0"1 0.929 0 1 0

1523 0.2"" 0."23 0 1 0

1524 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 0

1525 0.203 0."9" 0 1 0

1526 0.015 0.9!5 0 1 0

152" 0.23" 0."63 0 1 0

152! 0.040 0.960 0 1 0

1529 0.299 0."01 0 1 01530 0.204 0."96 0 1 0

1531 0.12! 0.!"2 0 1 0

1532 0.363 0.63" 0 1 0

1533 0.31! 0.6!2 0 1 0

1534 0.0!9 0.911 0 1 0

1535 0.155 0.!45 0 1 0

1536 0.221 0.""9 0 1 0

153" 0.29! 0."02 0 1 0

153! 0.136 0.!64 0 1 0

1539 0.2"1 0."29 0 1 01540 0.04" 0.953 0 1 0

1541 0.06" 0.933 0 1 0

1542 0.063 0.93" 0 1 0

1543 0.511 0.4!9 1 0 0

1544 0.236 0."64 0 1 0

1545 0.400 0.600 0 1 0

1546 0.240 0."60 0 1 0

154" 0.414 0.5!6 0 1 0

154! 0.00! 0.992 0 1 0

1549 0.36" 0.633 0 1 0

1550 0.132 0.!6! 0 1 0

1551 0.0!2 0.91! 0 1 0

1552 0.165 0.!35 0 1 0

1553 0.061 0.939 0 1 0

1554 0.059 0.941 0 1 0

1555 0.145 0.!55 0 1 0

1556 0.19! 0.!02 0 1 0

155" 0.344 0.656 0 1 0

155! 0.026 0.9"4 0 1 0

1559 0.332 0.66! 0 1 0

1560 0.200 0.!00 0 1 0

1561 0.095 0.905 0 1 0

1562 0.0!9 0.911 0 1 0

1563 0.125 0.!"5 0 1 0

1564 0.0!5 0.915 0 1 0

1565 0.16" 0.!33 0 1 0

1566 0.036 0.964 0 1 0

156" 0.019 0.9!1 0 1 0

156! 0.23! 0."62 0 1 0

1569 0.412 0.5!! 0 1 0

15"0 0.1"2 0.!2! 0 1 0

15"1 0.065 0.935 0 1 0

15"2 0.062 0.93! 0 1 0

15"3 0.144 0.!56 0 1 0

15"4 0.016 0.9!4 0 1 015"5 0.514 0.4!6 1 0 0

15"6 0.443 0.55" 0 1 0

15"" 0.0"4 0.926 0 1 0

15"! 0.220 0."!0 0 1 0

15"9 0.209 0."91 0 1 0

15!0 0.0!5 0.915 0 1 0

15!1 0.130 0.!"0 0 1 0

15!2 0.1!4 0.!16 0 1 0

15!3 0.064 0.936 0 1 0

15!4 0.316 0.6!4 0 1 015!5 0.1!4 0.!16 0 1 0

15!6 0.65! 0.342 1 0 0

15!" 0.0!! 0.912 0 1 0

15!! 0.233 0."6" 0 1 0

15!9 0.0"3 0.92" 0 1 0

1590 0.0!! 0.912 0 1 0

1591 0.51" 0.4!3 1 0 0

1592 0.169 0.!31 0 1 0

1593 0.151 0.!49 0 1 0

1594 0.160 0.!40 0 1 0

1595 0.30" 0.693 0 1 0

1596 0.053 0.94" 0 1 0

159" 0.120 0.!!0 0 1 0

159! 0.535 0.465 1 0 0

1599 0.20! 0."92 0 1 0

1600 0.199 0.!01 0 1 0

ship probabilities and predicted segment for the sample #sed to estimate th

seredDummy

(NoChoice

bookbinders case

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