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BODIES &�BUILDINGS NYU ITP LECTURE COURSE SPRING 2013

CLASS 2: FEBRUARY 4, 2013

JEN VAN DER MEER @JENVANDERMEER WWW.JENVANDERMEER.COM

LEVERAGE POINTS Class assignment for 2/4/2013

Mandatory! Read ALL OF Donella Meadows:

Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System

Take leverage points 9, 8, 7.

Write a 1 page or 500-6000 word essay on the following topic:

How do mobile apps try to affect leverage points 9, 8, and 7.

9) The length of delays, relative to the rate of system change

8) The strength of negative feedback loops, relative to impacts they are trying to correct against

7) The gain around driving positive feedback loops

Give one example and explain how the app is or is not designed to affect each of these leverage points. How effective do you think this app will be at changing behavior?

You will be asked to present your work, so practice rehearsing your in class presentation at least two times.

2  February 4, 2013

PLACES TO INTERVENE IN A SYSTEM: 12. Constants, parameters, numbers (subsidies, taxes, standards)

11. The sizes of buffers and other stabilizing stocks, relative to their flows

10. The structure of material stocks and flows (transport networks, population age structures)

9. Length of delays, relative to the rate of system change

8. The strength of negative feedback loops, relative to the impacts they are trying to correct against

7. The gain around driving positive feedback loops

6. The structure of information flows (who does and does not have access to what kinds of information)

5. The rules of the system (such as incentives, punishments, constraints)

4. The power to add, change, evolve, or self-organize system structure

3. The goals of the system

2. The mindset or paradigm out of which the system – its goals, power structure, rules, its culture-arises

1. The power to transcend paradigms

3  February 4, 2013

BODIES IN THE NEWS LabDoor Launches: lets users search for their dietary supplements and view grades reflecting their clinical efficacy and ingredient safety.

New HIPAA rules finalized: When a patient is required by a provider to request records or documents in writing, the request may be made electronically.

In a video produced for the release of Bill Gates's 2013 Annual Letter, Swedish academic Hans Rosling explains why common notions of developing vs. developed countries are no longer clear-cut.

February 4, 2013 4  

BODIES: THE OBESEITY EPIDEMIC

BODIES & BUILDINGS

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BODIES + We have made huge strides in life expectancy, but we have reached limits of growth.

6  February 4, 2013

NATIONAL OBESITY CRISIS

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US OBESITY GROWTH RATE

February 4, 2013 8  

Today’s children may well be the first generation of Americans whose life expectancy will be shorter than that of their parents.

February 4, 2013 9  

OBESITY TRENDS

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Data from 3,139 counties in the U.S. Quintiles are cohorts of counties ranked by the percentage of people living with poverty.

Levine J A Diabetes 2011;60:2667-2668

Copyright © 2011 American Diabetes Association, Inc.

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DIGITAL DIVIDE + DIABETES

Social disparities in internet patient portal use in diabetes: evidence that the digital divide extends beyond access.

Urmimala Sarkar, Andrew J Karter, Jennifer Y Liu, et al.

J Am Med Inform Assoc 2011 18: 318-321 originally published online January 24, 2011.

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GLOBAL OBESITY PANDEMIC “GLOBESITY”

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GLOBAL OBESITY: TRENDS, RISK FACTORS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS. VASANTI S. MALIK, WALTER C. WILLETT & FRANK B. HU. NATURE REVIEWS ENDOCRINOLOGY 9, 13-27 (JANUARY 2013)

February 4, 2013

Figure 1 Global trends in the prevalence of obesity among women and men in 1980 and 2008 from select regions of the world

Malik, V. S. et al. (2012) Global obesity: trends, risk factors and policy implications Nat. Rev. Endocrinol. doi:10.1038/nrendo.2012.199

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Women

February 4, 2013 19  

Men

OBESITY + GLOBALIZATION

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February 4, 2013

THINKING IN CIRCLES ABOUT OBESITY

APPLYING SYSTEMS THINKING TO WEIGHT MANAGEMENT.

TAREK K. A. HABI

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February 4, 2013

HOW THE PROBLEM SNEAKED UP ON US

As the upward and outward trend in the population’s weight and waistline accelerated in the late 1980s and 1990s, most public health experts failed to perceive the escalating threat.

•  Unlike communicable diseases, no immediate symptoms.

•  Initially only affected a few people.

•  The science establishing links between diet, weight and health were just beginning.

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February 4, 2013

HOW MANY CAUSES CAN WE COUNT?

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February 4, 2013

BUCKET THEORY OF MIND

•  Minds seen as containers – Karl Popper.

•  Public understanding is viewed as a function of how much scientific facts are known.

•  How many scientific facts public minds contain.

•  Irony: Americans know more about food and nutrition than in any time in their history, but they are gaining more weight.

•  “Knowledge (in the bucket) without the requisite decision-making skills will produce little change.

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February 4, 2013

THE LEVERAGE (OR THE IMPEDIMENT) IS WITH THE PEOPLE

•  In the US, most obese individuals attempting to lose weight do so themselves, without seeking professional help.

•  Weight has been seen as an individual, personal problem.

•  The wellness movement is rooted in the concept of personal control.

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WE ASSUME MORE CONTROL THAN ACTUALLY EXISTS

•  Obesity is a complex multi-factorial disease involving genetics, physiology, and biochemistry, as well as environmental, psychosocial, and cultural factors.

•  In managing our health – and our bodies – we are decision makers who are managing a truly complex and dynamic system: the human body.

•  Living systems do not come with an operator’s manual. It requires skills to see through complexity to the underlying structures generating a complex situation or problematic behavior.

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IT’S SO EASY

CALORIES IN. CALORIES OUT.

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February 4, 2013

MORE COMPLEX THAN THAT

•  Body’s homeostatic process- adaptive (and defensive) mechanisms that continuously aim to maintain the body’s internal stability.

•  Weightloss is not linear, but curvilinear.

•  Unrealistic optimism causes us to ignore legitimate risks.

•  Failure to learn from failure. Learning has not occurred.

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February 4, 2013

PHYSIOLOGICAL ASYMMETRY

•  Humans are wired to compensate for caloric dilution but not the reverse.

•  Asymmetry in energy expenditure- basal metabolism.

•  Asymmetry in energy storage- when body fat is shed during weight loss, the size, but not the number, of fat cells dwindles.

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February 4, 2013

SINGLE LOOP LEARNING

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Consequences

Feedback Decisions, Actions

Single loop

February 4, 2013

SINGLE LOOP DIETING

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February 4, 2013

SINGLE LOOP LEARNING

•  Often we find ways to move closer to our desired state without changing our mental model.

•  Learning to use life’s raw experiences to adjust our entrenched worldviews is hard and, therefore, uncommon.

•  Experience, after all, provides only data, the raw ingredients for learning, not knowledge.

•  Single loop: we learn to tweak our decisions without altering our mental models or their associated decision rules.

•  (A thermostat that sense when it is too hot or cold).

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February 4, 2013

SINGLE LOOP DIETING

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February 4, 2013

WHAT IS TO BE DONE

CHALLENGE INGRAINED ASSUMPTIONS

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February 4, 2013

DOUBLE LOOP LEARNING

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Consequences

Feedback

Mental Models Of Real World

Decision Rules, Strategies

Decisions, Actions

Single loop

February 4, 2013

DOUBLE LOOP LEARNING

•  Learning that occurs when we use the feedback information to enhance our fundamental understanding of the decision task.

•  Learning is discovery of mental maps and decision rules that are better aligned with the decision task at hand.

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February 4, 2013

SHIFT IN PUBLIC POLICY

•  From: stuff buckets with nutritional guidelines/scare into good health

•  To: challenge people’s deeply ingrained assumptions. Provide them with the conceptual skills to JUMP.

•  From: attention on the separate mechanisms of human weight and energy regulation.

•  To: the hole bioenergetics systems as an integrated operating system.

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February 4, 2013

FRAGMENTIC ANALYSIS LENS

•  Nutrition out of the context of lifestyle

•  Biology out of the context of behavior

•  Behavior out of the context of environment

“The performance of any system (whether it is an oil refinery, an economy, or the human body) obviously depends on the performance of its parts, but a system’s performance is never equal to the sum of the actions of its parts taken separately.

Rather it is a function of their interactions.”

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February 4, 2013

SHIFT IN CULTURAL UNDESTANDING

•  From: solely individual interventions. A sole focus on the obese person and how to help them gain control.

•  To: Why is society obese. How can we help society.

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February 4, 2013

SHIFT HEALTHCARE PRACTICE

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NETWORKED MEDICINE

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ASSIGNMENT: FEBRUARY 11

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February 4, 2013

READING Read: Networked Medicine: From m Obesity to the “Diseasome”. Editorial by Albert-László Barabási, Ph.D. NEJM. July 26, 2007.

Optional:

Deeper Reading:

Original Study by Christakis and Fowler: The Spread of Obesity in a Large Social Network over 32 Years. NEJM. July 26, 2007.

Critique of this study: Lyons.

The Spread of Evidence-Poor Medicine via Flawed Social-Network Analysis. Statistics, Politics, and Policy: (2011) Vol. 2 : Iss. 1, Article 2. Last revised 5 May 2011

Watch: Catherine Kerr on Cortical Measures in Mindfulness Meditation at Quantified Self.

Personal account of Weight Watchers by Laura Beck at Jezebel.

February 4, 2013 43  

ASSIGMENT When developing ideas and concepts for our student projects, and future projects, business ideas, and save-the-world ideas, we often start by designing for ourselves.

For this assignment, research a part of the world at a local level (city, state, province, county) that has a problem with obesity. The only requirement: pick somewhere that you have never been.

In a one page essay, describe the social, cultural, technological, economic, and other conditions of this region that may be contributing to a growth in the prevalence of obesity. You may choose to write a non-fiction account or take this as a creative writing assignment – imagining a first person day-in-the-life account of what it feels like to live here.

February 4, 2013 44  

LINKS AND PRESENTATION

Today’s class presentation is available

http://jenvandermeer.com/2013/02/bodies-buildings-class-2-february-4/

And Links from this presentation are available here at Annotary.

https://annotary.com/collections/9149/bodies-and-buildings-class-2-nyu-itp

February 4, 2013 45  

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