american meteorological society – oregon chapter global warming: climate orthodoxy perpetuates a...

American Meteorological Society – Oregon Chapter

Global Warming:

Climate OrthodoxyPerpetuates a Hoax

Gordon J. Fulks, PhD Physics, University of Chicago

Contact: gordonfulks@hotmail.com

January 25, 2012

2005 Nobel Prize in Medicine

“Against prevailing dogmas, you discovered that one of the most common and important diseases of mankind, peptic ulcer disease, is caused by a bacterial infection of the stomach.”

– Nobel presentation speech

BARRY MARSHALLROBIN WARREN

Where is the evidence?

There is no satisfactory logicand evidence linking human

emissions of carbon dioxide with a significant warming

of our climate.

NONE !

Cosmic Rays and the Cloud Mystery

Henrik Svensmark, PhDDirector of the Center for Sun-Climate ResearchDanish Space Research Institute (DSRI)

"During the last 100 years cosmic rays became scarcer because unusually vigorous action by the Sun batted away many of them. Fewer cosmic rays meant fewer clouds—and a warmer world."

Solar Modulation of Galactic Cosmic Rays

Jupiter with 'Red Spot' (NASA / JPL)

Temperature in Central Greenland from 1400 AD(NOAA Paleoclimatology: Alley, RB 2000)

Modern Warm Period began about 1830

Temperature in Central Greenland from 800 AD

Modern Warm Period peaked below Medieval

Temperature in Central Greenland from 3000 BC

Modern Warm Period peaked below Medieval, Roman, Minoan

Minoan

Roman

Medieval

Modern

Temperature in Central Greenland from 9000 BC

Human Civilization developed during this Holocene Climate Optimum

Modern

Temperature in Central Greenland from 11,000 BC

Modern

Holocene Climate Optimum

What is this?

Temperature in Central Greenland from 50,000 BP

Ice AgeHoloceneClimate

Optimum

Modern

Temperature at Vostok, Antarctica from 450,000 BP

Note Regular Pattern of Ice Ages

Holocene

Ice AgeIce Age

Ice Age

Ice Age

What are the important issues?

Catastrophe and the survival of man and the planet? A profound ignorance of science and how it works? Was there a 0.5 to 1.0 C warming over the 20th century? Is carbon dioxide a greenhouse gas? What warming is expected for a doubling of CO2? Warming since 1977 and no warming since 1998? Are we qualified to talk about Global Warming? Do we work for the oil companies?

Corrupting the evidence

The Gold Standard for Global Temperature

The 'Urban Heat Island' effect is real

(A) Large Counties: More than 1 million peopleAverage 29 stations

(B) Midsized Counties: 100,000 to 1 million peopleAverage 51 stations

(C) Small Counties: Less than 100,000 peopleAverage 27 stations

Temperature Trends at 107 Stations in California from 1909 to 1994

Stratified by 1990 population of the county

DATAINTEGRITYISSUE

USHCN StationsLocation, Location, Location!

GISS Processing of Raw Temperature data turns cooling into warming!

DATAINTEGRITYISSUE

The Infamous 'Hockey Stick' Graph from Michael Mann(MANN-made Global Warming)

Discredited by Wegman Report to National Academy of Sciences

Media claim: “New studies indicate that temperatures in recent decades are higher than at any time in the past 1000 years……with the 1990’s as the warmest decade and 1998 as the warmest year”

The Wegman Report cited serious errors by Michael Mann, but the UN IPCC continues to use it

DATAINTEGRITYISSUE

Corrected version of the Infamous Hockey Stick(from McKitrick and McIntyre)

DataIntegrityIssue

Phil Mote's Infamous 'Shrinking' NW Snow PackA case of not showing you all the data

Upper graph from Mote, Lower Graph is complete record

Worldwide Record High Temperatureswere set long ago

Paris, France was hotter in the 1750's and 1830's than it is today

Prediction versus Reality: Missing Ocean HeatMan-made Global Warming hypothesis FAILS

Recent Sea Level Rise with leveling off in 2006and DECLINE for last two years as Pacific COOLS

Satellite Altimetry shows no sea level trend until“Personal Calibrations” applied to match models

Sea Level trend based on observational facts (blue)versus IPCC (purple) and Satellite (orange and green)

Recent measurements of carbon dioxide

The IPCC version of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

The REAL history of atmospheric CO2

Regular heartbeat of Global Sea Ice(Steady for 30 years, now slightly below normal)

The Arctic Ocean is largely frozen today

View from the North Pole

Note extensive Northern Hemisphere snow cover

The IPCC's understanding of Climatewas better years ago

Prediction versus Reality: Missing Hot SpotGreenhouse Computer Models Fail

UN Computer Simulations of Climate areComputer Games USELESS in Predicting the Future

Professor of Mathematical and Theoretical Physics, Gerhard Gerlich:

“To derive climate catastrophes from these computer games andto scare Mankind to death is a crime.”

“It cannot be overemphasized that even if the [fluid] equations are simplified considerably, one cannotdetermine numerical solutions, even for small space regions and even for small time intervals.This situation will not change in the next 1000 years regardless of progress made in computer hardware.As the extremely simplified one-fluid equations are unsolvable, the many-fluid equations would be moreunsolvable, the equations that include the averaged equations describing the turbulence would be yet moreunsolvable, if “unsolvable" had a comparative.”

“Hence, the computer simulations of global climatology are not based onphysical laws.”

Sunspots are Manifestations of Solar Magnetic Activity

Sunspot data from 1611 with forecast to 2080

AARI surface air temperature above 70N(From 1900 to 2006 with prediction to 2065)

The Threat is Global Cooling

Toward another 'Little Ice Age' THIS CENTURY

Into a 90,000 year 'Big Ice Age' THIS MILLENNIUM

Michael Crichton on Propaganda

“The greatest challenge facing mankind is the challenge of distinguishing reality from fantasy, truth from propaganda. Perceiving the truth has always been a challenge to mankind, but in the information age (or as I think of it, the disinformationage) it takes on a special urgency and importance”

Michael CrichtonAuthor and MDHarvard University

Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyProfessor of Meteorology Richard LindzenIs widely recognized as the greatest meteorologist alive today:

What do the Best and the Brightest say aboutGlobal Warming?

“The need to courageously resist hysteria is clear.”

““Two things are infinite: the Two things are infinite: the universe and human universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe.” about the universe.” Albert Albert

EinsteinEinstein. .

Was Einstein talking about Global Warming?