3g services & infrastructure
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3G Services & Infrastructure Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2006-2009 [HR.CTD013.V1U1-2009] Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 11/21/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
2
3G Services & Infrastructure
Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Contents
List of Figures & Tables ........................................................................................................ 3
Mobile/Cellular Subscriber Model ........................................................................................ 4
3G Subscriber Base ............................................................................................................... 5
Base Transceiver Station (Node B) ...................................................................................... 7
Growth ................................................................................................................................... 9
Telkomsel ............................................................................................................................. 11
Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 13
XL ......................................................................................................................................... 15
NTS ...................................................................................................................................... 17
HCPT .................................................................................................................................... 18
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 20
3
3G Services & Infrastructure
Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Mobile Data Subscriber Model – Current Condition ............................................ 4 Figure 2 Mobile Data Subscriber Model – (Near) Future Trend ........................................ 4 Figure 3 3G Customer/Subscriber Base Development 2006-2009 ...................................... 5 Figure 4 Market Share of 3G Subs. 2009 ............................................................................. 6 Figure 5 Market Shares of 3G Subs. 2006-2009 (Three Major Operators) ........................ 6 Figure 6 3G BTS (Node-B) Development 2006-2009 ........................................................... 7 Figure 7 Percentage of Node-B Deployment for Each Operator 2009 ................................ 8 Figure 8 Percentage of Operators’ Node-B Deployment (3 Major Operators) .................... 8
Table 1 3G Subscriber Base (Operators’ Publication & Estimates) ................................... 5 Table 2 Portions/Market Shares of 3G Subscribers 2006-2009 .......................................... 5 Table 3 Node-B Development 2006-2009 (Operators’ Publication & Estimates) ............... 7 Table 4 Percentage of Node-B for Each Operator 2006-2009 .............................................. 7
Figure Table 1 Growth of 3G Subscribers 2006-2009 .......................................................... 9 Figure Table 2 Growth of 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ................................................. 9 Figure Table 3 Growth of Node-B Deployment 2006-2009 ............................................... 10 Figure Table 4 Growth of Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR) ....................................... 10 Figure Table 5 Growth of TSEL’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ........................................ 11 Figure Table 6 Growth of TSEL’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) .................................. 11 Figure Table 7 Growth of TSEL’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009) ................................ 12 Figure Table 8 Growth of TSEL’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR) .......................... 12 Figure Table 9 Growth of ISAT’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ......................................... 13 Figure Table 10 Growth of ISAT’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ................................. 13 Figure Table 11 Growth of ISAT’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009) ............................... 14 Figure Table 12 Growth of ISAT’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR) ......................... 14 Figure Table 13 Growth of XL’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ........................................... 15 Figure Table 14 Growth of XL’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ..................................... 15 Figure Table 15 Growth of XL’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009) ................................... 16 Figure Table 16 Growth of XL’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR) ............................ 16 Figure Table 17 Growth of NTS’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ........................................ 17 Figure Table 18 Growth of NTS’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009) ................................ 17 Figure Table 19 Growth of HCPT’s 3G Subscribers (2006-2009) ..................................... 18 Figure Table 20 Growth of HCPT’s 3G Subscribers (AGR & CAGR) ............................... 18 Figure Table 21 Growth of HCPT’s Node-B Deployment (2006-2009) ............................. 19 Figure Table 22 Growth of HCPT’s Node-B Deployment (AGR & CAGR) ....................... 19
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Table 2 P
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2006E 90.91 4.31 4.78 0.00 0.00
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0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
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10
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08E .90 .55 .77 03 76
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HCPNTSXLISATTSE
s & Infrast
er B
2006-200
2009N12,000,8,000,08,000,0400,0500,0
Estimate
2009N41.527.627.61.381.73
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rket ShTSEL
et Share o
Subs. 200
AT%
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HCPT2%
et Shar
2007E
hares L ISAT
3
of 3G Sub
6-2009 (T
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re 2009
2008E
2006-2T XL
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Three Maj
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2006E 942 279 981 0 0
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2006E 42.78 12.67 44.55 0.00 0.00
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01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000
10,000
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2
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3
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ode-B) De
2007E 1,940 800 1,375 0
200
nt 2006-20Estimates
2007E 47.14 19.44 33.41 0.00 4.86
ode-B for
3G BTS
3
Stati
evelopme
2003,21,41,77550
009 (Opers)
20042.19.22.9.86.5
Each Op
S
3G Service
on (N
nt 2006-2
08E 18
485 00 50 00
ators’ Pu
08E .05 .40 .21 80 53
perator 20
HCPNTSXLISATTSE
s & Infrast
Node
2009
2009N4,001,801,841,00700
ublication
2009N42.819.219.710.77.49
006-2009
PTS
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7
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Nov 00 00 40 00 0
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Nov 83 27 70 71 9
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Perce
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of Node-
ge of OpeO
NTS11%
H7
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entage
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erators’ NOperators
ISAT19%
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BTS 2
2007E
e of 3G2009
L ISAT
3
yment for
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T4
2009
2008E
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T XL
3G Service
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2006-
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nt (3 Majo
09Nov
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or
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0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
5,000,000
0,000,000
20Subs. 1,04
AGRCAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
m/harewos
e 1 Growt
Growth o
2006
0065,000 4
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2007292.3292.3
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of 3G Sub
2007
20074,100,000
scriber
202%
22024
scriber
3
Subscribe
bscribers
2008
200812,680,000
rs - 3G
%
200809.348.3
rs - 3G
3G Service
G
ers 2006-2
(AGR &
2009
20090 28,900,
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2009127.9202.4
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2009
CAGR)
9,000
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01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000,000,000,000,000
2
20de-B 2,
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0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0
100.0
m/harewos
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rowth of N
20062
006202
#BTS -
200786.986.9
#Subs
of Node-B
Node-B D
2007
20074,115
- 3G (N
62%
288
scriber
3
B Deploy
Deployme
2008
20087,653
Node-B
200886.086.4
rs - 3G
3G Service
yment 200
ent (AGR
2009
209,3
B)
200922.061.9
G
s & Infrast
06-2009
& CAGR
009340
10
tructure
)
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igure Tab
8
10
12
#Su
Per
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ble 6 Gro
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
0,000,000
2,000,000
20ubs. 950
TSE
AGRCAGR
0.020.040.060.080.0
100.0120.0140.0160.0180.0
TSE
m/harewos
rowth of
owth of TS
2006
006,000 2
EL - #S
2007163.2163.2
EL - #S
f TSEL’s 3
SEL’s 3G
2007
2007,500,000
Subscr
133%
2141
Subscr
3
3G Subscr
Subscrib
2008
20086,200,000
ribers
%
200848.055.5
ribers
3G Service
Tel
ribers (20
bers (AGR
2009
2000 12,000
3G
200993.5132.9
s 3G
s & Infrast
lkom
006-2009)
R & CAGR
090,000
11
tructure
msel
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1,
1,
2,
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
#BT
A
1
1
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
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e 8 Growt
0
500
,000
500
000
500
000
500
000
20
2006TS 942
AGRCAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
m/harewos
wth of TS
th of TSE
00620
62
TSEL
6
2007105.9105.9
TSEL
SEL’s Nod
EL’s Node
0072
20071,940
L - #BT
62%
268
L - #BT
3
de-B Dep
-B Deploy
2008
20083,218
TS 3G
200865.984.8
TS 3G
3G Service
ployment
yment (A
2009
2004,0
200924.361.9
s & Infrast
(2006-200
AGR & CA
0900
12
tructure
09)
AGR)
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Figure T
igure Tab
1
2
3
4
5,
6,
7,
8,
#Su
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
Table 9 G
ble 10 Gro
01,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
,000,000
000,000
000,000
20ubs. 45,0
ISA
AGRCAGR
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
000.0
200.0
400.0
ISA
m/harewos
Growth of
owth of I
2006
006000 6
AT - #S
20071233.31233.3
AT - #S
f ISAT’s 3
SAT’s 3G
2007
2007600,000
Subscr
462%
2584
Subscr
3
G Subscr
G Subscrib
2008
20084,000,000
ribers
%
200866.742.8
ribers
3G Service
I
ribers (20
bers (AGR
2009
2000 8,000,
3G
2009100.0462.3
3G
s & Infrast
Indo
006-2009)
R & CAG
09,000
03
13
tructure
osat
GR)
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gure Tab
ure Table
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
#BT
A
111112
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
ble 11 Gro
12 Grow
0200400
600
800
000
200
400
600
800
20
2006TS 279
AGRCAGR
0.020.040.060.080.0
100.0120.0140.0160.0180.0200.0
m/harewos
owth of IS
wth of ISA
00620
69
ISAT
2007186.7186.7
ISAT
SAT’s No
AT’s Node
0072
2007800
T - #BT
86%
28
1
T - #BT
3
de-B Dep
e-B Deplo
2008
20081,485
TS 3G
200885.630.7
TS 3G
3G Service
ployment
oyment (A
2009
2001,8
200921.286.2
s & Infrast
(2006-200
AGR & CA
09800
14
tructure
09)
AGR)
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Figure
Figure Ta
234567
8
#S
A
2468
101214161820
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
Table 13
able 14 Gr
01,000,0002,000,0003,000,0004,000,0005,000,0006,000,0007,000,000
,000,000
20ubs. 50,
XL
AGRCAGR
0.0200.0400.0600.0800.0000.0200.0400.0600.0800.0000.0
XL
m/harewos
Growth o
rowth of
2006
006,000 1
L - #Su
20071900.01900.0
L - #Su
of XL’s 3G
XL’s 3G S
2007
20071,000,000
ubscri
443%
2105
ubscri
3
G Subscr
Subscrib
2008
20082,000,000
ibers 3
%
200800.032.5
ibers 3
3G Service
ibers (200
ers (AGR
2009
2000 8,000,
3G
2009300.0442.9
3G
s & Infrast
06-2009)
R & CAGR
9000
09
15
tructure
XL
R)
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Figure Ta
gure Tabl
1,1,21,41,61,82,0
#BT
A
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
able 15 Gr
le 16 Grow
0200400600800000200400600800000
20
2006TS 981
AGRCAGR
0.05.0
10.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.0
m/harewos
rowth of X
wth of XL
00620
6
XL
200740.240.2
XL -
XL’s Nod
L’s Node-B
0072
20071,375
- #BTS
23%
223
- #BTS
3
de-B Depl
B Deploy
2008
20081,700
S 3G
200823.631.6
S 3G
3G Service
oyment (
yment (AG
2009
2001,8
20098.2
23.3
s & Infrast
(2006-2009
GR & CAG
09840
16
tructure
9)
GR)
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Figure T
igure Tab
#S
#
rch rvirtual.com
Table 17 G
ble 18 Gro
050,000
100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000
Subs.
NT
0100200300400500600700800900
1,000
#BTS
m/harewos
Growth o
owth of N
2008
2008130,000
TS - #S
2
2008
2008750
NTS
of NTS’s 3
NTS’s Nod
8
0
Subscr
208%
S - #BT
33
3
3G Subscr
de-B Dep
2009
40
ribers
2009
21,
TS 3G
3%
3G Service
ribers (20
loyment
200900,000
3G
009,000
s & Infrast
N
006-2009)
(2006-200
17
tructure
NTS
09)
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Figure Ta
gure Tab
445
#S
A
1
1
2
2
3
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
able 19 G
ble 20 Gro
050,000
100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000500,000
Subs. 1
HC
AGRCAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
HC
m/harewos
Growth of
owth of H
2007
2007100,000
PT - #
2008250.0250.0
PT - #
f HCPT’s
HCPT’s 3G
2008
200350,
Subsc
124%
800
Subsc
3
3G Subsc
G Subscri
20
08000
cribers
cribers
3G Service
cribers (2
ibers (AG
009
2009500,000
s 3G
200942.9123.6
s 3G
s & Infrast
HC
2006-2009
GR & CAG
18
tructure
CPT
9)
GR)
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Figu
wos.Resear/www.ligar
gure Tabl
re Table
1
2
30
40
50
60
70
#BT
A
1
1
1
1
Per
cent
age
rch rvirtual.com
le 21 Gro
22 Growt
0
00
00
00
00
00
00
0
20
20TS 2
AGRCAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
m/harewos
wth of H
th of HCP
007
007200
HCPT
8
2008150.0150.0
HCPT
CPT’s No
PT’s Node
2008
200500
T - #BT
87%
800
T - #BT
3
ode-B Dep
e-B Deplo
20
080
TS 3G
TS 3G
3G Service
ployment
oyment (A
009
2009700
200940.087.1
s & Infrast
t (2006-20
AGR & CA
19
tructure
009)
AGR)
20
3G Services & Infrastructure
Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E End of 2008
2009Nov As of November 2009
MD Mobile Data
MI Mobile Internet i.e. Internet access via cellular & FWA networks
MI-I Mobile Internet - Intensive
MBB Mobile Broadband
TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel) ISAT PT. Indosat XL PT. XL Axiata (formerly Excelcomindo Pratama) NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication
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