2020 ghg? gas tax? car insurance?
Post on 13-Jan-2016
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2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance? • Will SoCal meet 2020, 2035 GHG transp tgts?
• Raise gas tax by $5/gal 28% less driving?
• Save $ on car insurance when you drive less?– But pay more for 20,000 miles per year– Cuts driving ~3.5%
• Eliminate free workplace parking?– Pay $2 to drive alone and park at work– Receive $4 for transit, carpool, bike, telecommute– Cuts commute 23%
• Large iMobility component.
ULTra PRT iMobility – Steve RaneyPersonal Rapid Transit - video
• “Best airport transfer devices ever”
• “Awesome sci-fi system”• “quicker, easier and
greener.”• “Geek transportation par
excellence!”• “Soooo cool!!
Addicting!!”
3 PRT companies, 4 customers
• Amritsar, North India tourist site
• Heathrow & Amritsar – private sector funded.
2getthere – MasdarEco-city, Abu Dhabi
Vectus – Suncheon, S Korea
Guideway
Under the road, on the berm
Comprehensive, Integrated iMobilityDoor to Door
Delivery services, Personal activities, Business services
first mile Train, HSR
first mile Bus
•Web/wireless coordination•Supportive policy context•Scale!
Short carpool pick up
first mileLong carpool
•Improved match-making•Shared pkng, AndroidPooling
PRT system LAST MILE mid-day trips
Centralized Cars:share, rent, ride home
Walk
Bike, scooter
AndroidPooling
PRT last mile market research• Predicts large change in commute away from
drive alone
• Ability to re-develop lonely parking spaces real-estate “upside”
• Value of time at lunch is 2X hourly salary– Use PRT to go to lunch? Starbucks? .
SoCal PRT applications• Anaheim – Metrolink/HSR to Disney
• LAX – rental cars & hotels
• Irvine Spectrum – last mile from Metrolink
• Long Beach circulator
• Warner Center Circulator.
Anaheim Rapid ConnectionPRT beats ~$700M, 3.5 mi, 5-station APM
• APM – automated people mover.
Anaheim: PRT vs. APM• PRT vs. APM: 4X faster, 6X stations, ¼ cost
– PRT serves residents, APM is for tourists only
• Status: studies underway.
Thank You.
ULTra London Heathrow Term. 5• BAA: privatized, owns LHR + 4 airports
– US retail contracts: Baltimore, Logan, Pittsburg – Grupo Ferrovial acquired for $20B
• 2 year Transport study: – low emissions, space efficient– high level of service, value– Bus & APM lost– “PRT: only practical soln: 60% travel time savings, 40%
operating cost savings”– Small starter system, then expand
• Held PRT competition: ULTra won => negotiation• BAA took equity interest in ULTra PRT.
ULTra LHR Terminal 5N
Parking to T52.4 mi of track21 vehicles500,000 pax/year expectedT5: 10th largest “airport” in Europe
2 Business T5 Parking Stations(2 berths) T5 (6 berths)
$7M - $13M Cost per mile• Cost function = f• {
– System size (larger is cheaper because of fixed costs)– Station Density (more stations/mile => higher cost) – Peak hour trip demand (more demand => more vehicles)– Guideway:
• Elevated• At-grade• Tunnel• Culvert• Cantilever• Bi-directional• Seismic requirements• “Curviness”
– Stations: “fancy” costs more– Vehicle customizations.– Desired average passenger wait time (shorter wait => more vehicles)
• }.
PRT capacity
Capacity per PRT "loop"Headway (seconds)
4 3 2 1vph (20% MT) 720 960 1440 28804 ppv 2880 3840 5760 11520
Capacity per station berthload/unload 30 sectrips/hr 120pax/hr 480
Safety / Safety Certification• Automated transit (APMs): 100X safer than driving
& at-grade transit • US / ASCE APM Standards
– Airport APMs: same safety standard– BAA & ULTra PRT on the ASCE committee
• 361 ULTra hazard cases– Earthquake, truck crashes into column, falling debris,
fire, bad people, extreme weather, vehicle fails on guideway, slipping on stairs, etc..
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