2016 geneva motor show oica press conference · 2 march 2, 2016. 3 i. global results 2005-2015:...
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2016 GENEVA MOTOR SHOW
OICA PRESS CONFERENCE
Yong-Geun KIM – President
Yves van der Straaten – Secretary General
March 2, 2016
I. Global results Production/Sales (2005-2015)
II. EU 28+EFTA Production/Sales (2005-2015)
III. Other Europe (non-EU) Production/Sales (2005-
2015)
IV. Asia/Oceania/Middle East Production/Sales
(2005-2015)
V. NAFTA Production/Sales (2005-2015)
VI. Central and South America Production/Sales
(2005-2015)
VII. Africa Production/Sales (2005-2015)
VIII. Production/Sales : Region comparison
IX. Vehicles in use (2005-2014)/Motorisation rate
OICA statistics
All data are “all vehicles”: PC, LCV, HCV, Buses
2 March 2, 2016
3
I. Global results 2005-2015: Total Production and Sales*
March 2, 2016
Sales and Prod:
+34%/2005
*Not including police, military and administration vehicles
66.0
68.4
71.6
68.365.6
75.1
78.2
82.2
85.5
88.289.1
66.6
69.4
73.3
70.5
61.6
77.6
79.9
84.3
87.5
89.590,6
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mil
lio
ns
Sales Production
Prod: +36% / 2005
Sales :+35% / 2005
+1.4% / 2014
+0.9% / 2014
18.218.5
18.9
17.416.3
15.7 15.7
14.414.1
14.9
16.5
18.418.7
19.7
18.4
15.3
17.1
17.5
16.3 16.2
17.0
18,2
10
12
14
16
18
20
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Millions
Sales Production
4 March 2, 2016
II. EU28+EFTA 2005-2015: Total production and sales
+6.1% / 2014
+9.7% / 2014
Sales: -9.5% / 2005
Prod.: -1.1% / 2005
5
II. EU28+EFTA 2015: Main EU markets
6%
5%
16%
24%
8%
8%
2%
45%
14%
5%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
FRANCE GERMANY ITALY SPAIN UNITED KINGDOM
Mill
ion
s
Sales Production % / 2014
March 2, 2016
2.9
3.3
4.1
4.5
2.4
3.1
4.14.3 4.2
3.5
2.6
2.32.6
2.93.1
1.6
2.8
3.53.7
3.73.4
2,9
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Millions
Sales Production
6
III. OTHER EUROPE (non-EU) * 2005-2015: Total production and sales
-11.6% / 2014
-28.4% / 2014
*: Russia, Turkey, Ukraine, Serbia, Belarus, Bosnia, Moldavia,
Armenia, Georgia, Macedonia, Albania
Prod: +24.3% / 2005
Sales: -10.4% / 2005
March 2, 2016
7
III. OTHER EUROPE (non-EU) 2015: Main markets
-45%
25%
-27% 16%
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
RUSSIA TURKEY
Mill
ion
s
Sales Production % / 2014
March 2, 2016
20.421.9
23.6 24.3
28.3
35.3 35.438.3
40.642.6 43.3
26.128.5
31.0 31.5 31.8
40.9 40.6
43.745.8
47.4 47,8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Millions
Sales Production
8
IV. ASIA/OCEANIA/MIDDLE EAST* 2005-2015: Total production and sales
+0.8% / 2014
+1.9% / 2014
*: China, Japan, SK, India, Australia, Indonesia, Iran, Thailand,
Malaysia, Taiwan, Philippines, Pakistan, Vietnam, Kazakhstan, NZ,
Singapore, Hong-Kong.
Sales: +112.3% / 2005
Prod: +83% / 2005
March 2, 2016
9
IV. ASIA/OCEANIA/MIDDLE EAST 2015: Main markets
5%
8%
-9%
10%
3%
7%
-5%
1%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
CHINA INDIA JAPAN SOUTH KOREA
Mill
ion
s
Sales Production % / 2014
March 2, 2016
20.2 19.919.3
16.2
12.9
14.2
15.6
17.5
18.819.9
20.8
16.3 15.9 15.4
12.9
8.8
12.2
13.5
15.816.5
17.417,9
0
5
10
15
20
25
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mil
lio
ns
Sales Production
10
V. NAFTA 2005-2015: Total production and sales
+6.2% / 2014
+3% / 2014
Sales: +2.6% / 2005
Prod: +10% / 2005
March 2, 2016
11
V. NAFTA 2015: Details
3%19%
6%
-5%
6%
4%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
CANADA MEXICO UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Mill
ion
s
Sales Production % / 2014
March 2, 2016
3.1
3.5
4.3
4.7 4.6
5.5
6.06.1 6.3
5.6
4.5
3.03.2
3.73.9
3.8
4.2 4.3 4.34.6
3.9
3,0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mil
lio
ns
Sales Production
12
VI. CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA 2005-2015: Total production and sales
-19.8% / 2014
-20.7% / 2014
*: incl. Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, Puerto
Rico, Uruguay, Panama, Costa Rica
Prod: +1.6% / 2005
Sales: +44.6% / 2005
March 2, 2016
13
VI. CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA 2015: Main markets
-1%
-27%
-14%
-23%
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
ARGENTINA BRAZIL
Mill
ion
s
Sales Production % / 2014
1.13
1.33 1.341.28
1.181.27
1.47
1.601.51 1.56
1.55
0.520.57 0.54
0.59
0.41
0.520.56 0.59
0.640.71
0,79
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Millions
Sales Production
14
VII. AFRICA 2005-2015: Total production and sales
-8.8%/2014
+10.2%/2014
Sales: +37.5%/2005
Prod: +52.9%/2005
March 2, 2016
15
VII. AFRICA 2015: Large markets
8%
-4%
24%
9%
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
MOROCCO SOUTH AFRICA
Mill
ion
s
Sales Production % / 2014
March 2, 2016
16
VIII. Production: share by region
5 years 4 years
March 2, 2016
9%
24% 26% 27%
28%
22% 19% 20%
24%16% 19% 20%
22% 18%16% 15%
9% 11% 10% 10%
4% 5% 4% 3%4% 4% 4% 3%1% 1% 1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2010 2014 2015
AFRICA
RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHEREUROPE
SOUTH/CENTRALAMERICA
ASIA/OCEANIA/MIDDLEEAST (exc China,Japan&SK)
JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA
NAFTA
EU 28
CHINA
1 year
9%
24% 27% 28%
31%
19%
22% 23%
28% 21%17%
18%
12%14%
13%13%
11% 9% 8%8%
5% 7% 6%5%
4% 4% 4% 3%2% 2% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2010 2014 2015
AFRICA
RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE
CENTRAL/SOUTHAMERICA
JAPAN/SOUTHKOREA
ASIA (exc. China,Japan&SK)OCEANIAMIDDLE EASTEU 28/EFTA
NAFTA
CHINA
17
VIII. New vehicles’ sales* share by region
5 years 4 years
March 2, 2016
1 year
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Milliers IX. Vehicles in use: growth by region
18
EU 28/EFTA
RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE
NAFTA
JAPAN/SK
March 2, 2016
SOUTH/CENTRAL AMERICA
ASIA/OCEANIA/MIDDLE EAST (exc China, Japan&SK)
AFRICA
CHINA
1.2 bn
2014/2013: +4.1%
1.3%
2.2%
1.3%
5.6%
7%
12.4%
4.6%
4.3%
31% 28% 26%
30%
27%24%
10%
9%
8%
6%
6%
7%
3%
3%
3%
6%
6%
7%
11%
12%
14%
4%7%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2010 2014
CHINA
ASIA (exc. China,Japan&SK)OCEANIAMIDDLE EASTCENTRAL/SOUTHAMERICA
AFRICA
RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE
JAPAN/SOUTHKOREA
EU 28/EFTA
NAFTA
IX. Vehicles in use: region shares
19
5 years 4 years
March 2, 2016
20
IX. Motorization rate 2005
594
693
551
525
567
342
418
Average rate: 144 veh./1,000 inh.
803
585
195
124
181 143
86 4466 24
9
40
664
145
217
124
143
NAFTA: 633
C&S
America: 111
AFRICA: 34
J&SK: 521
RU/TK/Other Europe: 176 EU 28/EFTA: 530
March 2, 2016
633
105
Asia (exc J&SK)/
Oceania/Middle
east: 35
114
Average rate: 180 veh./1,000 inh.
21
IX. Motorization rate 2014
594
693
551
525
567
342
418
808
644
207
320 180
128 61101 102
22
83
714
277
232
354
189
204
NAFTA: 661
C&S
America: 176
AFRICA: 44 Asia (exc J&SK)/
Oceania/Middle
east: 79
J&SK: 551
RU/TK/Other Europe: 277 EU 28/EFTA: 569
+4%
+59%
+7%
+31%
+123%
+6%
+57%
+25%
Versus
2005
March 2, 2016
170
778
289
Thank you for your attention
Special thanks to all OICA members and
especially the CCFA team for collecting and
analyzing the data
This presentation on line: www.oica.net
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