2015 carnegie pathways spotlight
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Not Satisfied with Success:
Unlocking Math as a Gatekeeper
Karon Klipple, Managing Director
Chris Thorn, Center for Networked Improvement
Community College Pathways
February 25, 2014
60-70%Students assigned to developmental math
course.
80%Percent of these
students that neverget past this gate.
500,000 students
in every cohort will never complete college math
requirement.
2
The Problem
3
Statway
Quantway 1Quantway 2 or College Level
QR Course
Elem Alg Int AlgCollege Math
College Math
Credit
Semester
1
Semest
er 2
Semester
3 or more
College Math
Credit
College Math
Credit
A New Way: Coherent, Intensive, Accelerated
Learning
Traditional Math Sequence
Tra
ditio
na
l
Se
qu
en
ce
Sta
twa
y
Statway: Time to Complete a College Level Math
Course1 Year 2 Years
Triple the
success
rate in half
the time.
6%
51%
15%
Statway/QuantwayCurricula
Pathways Pedagogy
Learning Opportunities
Productive Struggle
Explicit Connections
Deliberate Practice
Language & Literacy Supports
Productive Persistence
7
3% College Ready
97% Not
College Ready
College Readiness: Math
Who Are Pathways Students?
55% College Ready
45%Not
College Ready
College Readiness:Reading
75%
2 Levels and Below
22%
1 Level
Below
64% English
36%
Home Language
Home Language Not
Primarily English
Who Are Pathways Students?
8
Maternal Education
69%Less than
College Degree
31% 2-Year, 4-Year,
or Graduate
Degree
Statway’s success exceeds the comparison
groups in half the time
48%52%
48%
16%14% 15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014
Pe
rce
nt
Co
rre
ct (
C o
r B
ette
r)
Statway Comparison
*
*Estimate – 11% success after one year, predicted 15% at two years
Statway colleges have maintained success
rate during period of expansion
48%52%
48%
16%14% 15%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014
Enro
llme
nt
Pe
rce
nt
Co
rre
ct (
C o
r B
ette
r)
Statway Comparison Enrollment
*
*Estimate – 11% success after one year, predicted 15% at two years
College Math Success by Subgroup
11
7% 5%
15% 12%17%
8% 7%11%
6%
18%
36%43%
61%
48%51%
42%47%
55%
41%
55%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Hispanic Black White Multi Other Hispanic Black White Multi Other
Female Male
Non-Statway Statway
Statway Student versus Comparison Student
Success Rates (C or better) AY 2013-1014
12
parity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Stat
way
Stu
de
nt
Succ
ess
Rat
e
Comparison Student Success Rate
1 Semester
2 Quarters
1 Quarter
Statway Pareto Chart
14
190
150
110104
69
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
40
80
120
160
200
Failed SW1, DidNot Enroll in
SW2
Withdrew fromSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2
Succeeded inSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2
Succeeded inSW1, Failed
SW2
Succeeded inSW1, Withdrew
from SW2
Per
cen
t o
f Sy
stem
Fai
lure
s
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ud
ents
Failure Conditions
Mean Effects Don’t Tell the Story
15
College
SW1
successful
students
Successful -
Did not enroll
Percent not
enrolled
1 50 16 32%
2 11 3 27%
3 175 42 24%
4 31 7 23%
5 36 7 19%
6 50 8 16%
7 52 4 8%
8 81 6 7%
9 41 3 7%
10 55 4 7%
11 14 1 7%
12 83 5 6%
13 51 2 4%
14 32 1 3%
15 37 1 3%
16 20 0 0%
17 7 0 0%
18 13 0 0%
839 110
Statway Pareto Chart
16
190
150
110104
69
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
40
80
120
160
200
Failed SW1, DidNot Enroll in
SW2
Withdrew fromSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2
Succeeded inSW1, Did NotEnroll in SW2
Succeeded inSW1, Failed
SW2
Succeeded inSW1, Withdrew
from SW2
Per
cen
t o
f Sy
stem
Fai
lure
s
Nu
mb
er o
f St
ud
ents
Failure Conditions
Productive Persistence Matters
19
28%
13%
45%
37%
55%
63%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Failed Mid-CourseAssessment
Failed End-of-CourseAssessment
Low Risk
ModerateRisk
High Risk
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