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    _____________________

    NOS. 14-556, 14-562, 14-571, 14-574

    IN THE

    Supreme Court of the United States

    J AMES OBERGEFELL AND BRITTANI HENRY , ET AL.,

    Petitioners ,

    v.

    RICHARD HODGES,

    Respondent .(Additional Case Captions Listed on Inside Front Cover)

    On Writs of Certiorari to the United States Court of

     Appeals for the Sixth Circuit  

    BRIEF OF AMICI CURIAE AMERICAN COLLEGE

    OF PEDIATRICIANS FAMILY WATCH 

    INTERNATIONAL LOREN D. MARKS MARK D.

    REGNERUS AND DONALD PAUL SULLINS IN

    SUPPORT OF RESPONDENTS

     

    DAVID C. WALKER

    Counsel of Record

    2000 S. Colorado Blvd.

    Tower 2, Suite 700

    Denver, Colorado 80222

    Phone: (303) 329-3363

    [email protected] 

    Counsel for Amici Curiae

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

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     A PRIL DEBOER, ET AL.,

    Petitioners ,

    v.

    RICHARD SNYDER, ET AL.,

    Respondents .

     V ALERIA T ANCO, ET AL.,

    Petitioners ,

    v.

    WILLIAM EDWARD “BILL”H ASLAM, ET AL.,

    Respondents .

    TIMOTHY LOVE, ET AL. AND GREGORY BOURKE, ET AL.,

    Petitioners ,

    v.

    STEVE BESHEAR,

    Respondent .

    BRITTANI HENRY , ET AL.,

    Petitioners ,

    v. 

    RICHARD HODGES, 

    Respondent .

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    QUESTIONS PRESENTED

    1.  Does the Fourteenth Amendment require a stateto license a marriage between two people of thesame sex?

    2.  Does the Fourteenth Amendment require a stateto recognize a marriage between two people of the same sex when their marriage was lawfullylicensed and performed out-of-state?

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    QUESTIONS PRESENTED ....................................... i 

    TABLE OF AUTHORITIES ..................................... iv 

    INTEREST OF AMICI CURIAE ............................... 1 

    SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT.................................... 3 

     ARGUMENT .............................................................. 5 

    I.  THE ALLEGED CONSENSUS THATCHILDREN SUFFER NODISADVANTAGE WITH SAME-SEXPARENTS IS A PRODUCT, NOT OFOBJECTIVE SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY,BUT OF INTENSE POLITICIZATION OFRESEARCH AGENDAS IN SOCIALSCIENCE ASSOCIATIONS................................ 5

    II. PERVASIVE METHODOLOGICALFLAWS UNDERMINE THE ALLEGED“CONSENSUS FINDING” THATCHILDREN OF SAME-SEX PARENTSFARE JUST AS WELL AS CHILDRENOF OPPOSITE-SEX PARENTS........................ 12

    1.  OF THE DOZENS OF STUDIESCITED IN SUPPORT OF THECONSENSUS, ONLY EIGHT MEETSCIENTIFIC STANDARDS FOR

    POPULATION INFERENCE. .................... 15

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    2.  OF THE EIGHT GENUINESTUDIES, FOUR—THE MOSTRECENT—FIND THAT CHILDRENWITH SAME-SEX PARENTSSUFFER SUBSTANTIALLYREDUCED WELL-BEING. ........................ 17

    3.  THE FOUR EARLIER STUDIESREPORTING “NO DIFFERENCE”FINDINGS ARE INVALID DUE TO

    CORRUPTED SAMPLES. .......................... 29

    1.  In Rosenfeld’s 2010 study, at leastforty percent of couples classified“same-sex” are mistakenly codedopposite-sex couples.............................. 30

    2.  In Wainright’s three Add Healthstudies, 27 of the 44 same-sexcouples are actually opposite-sexcouples. .................................................. 31

    III. RE-ANALYSIS  OF THE WAINRIGHTSTUDIES DATA, AFTER CORRECTINGTHE SAMPLE FLAWS, REVEALS THATTHE ADOLESCENTS WITH MARRIEDSAME-SEX PARENTS FARE WORSETHAN THOSE WITH UNMARRIEDSAME-SEX PARENTS. ..................................... 33

    CONCLUSION......................................................... 46 

     APPENDIX – CHARTS OF RESEARCHFINDINGS CITED BY AMICI ................................ 1a

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    TABLE OF AUTHORITIES

    CASES

    Buck v. Bell , 274 U.S. 200, 207 (1927) ...................... 5 

    Lofton v. Sec’y of the Dep’t of Children and FamilyServs., 358 F.3d 804, 825 (11th Cir. 2004) .......... 12

    OTHER AUTHORITIES

    CENTER FOR EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES DEPRESSION(CESD),http://www.apa.org/pi/about/publications/caregivers/practice-settings/assessment/tools/depression-scale.aspx (last visited Mar 14, 2015).................. 36

    CHARLOTTE J. P ATTERSON, LESBIAN AND GAY PARENTS AND THEIR CHILDREN: SUMMARY OF RESEARCHFINDINGS 6–7 n.1 (American Psychological

     Association) (2005) ..................................... 8, 11, 12

    D.  Paul Sullins, Child Attention-DeficitHyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) in Same-SexParent Families in the United States: Prevalenceand Comorbidities , 6 BRITISH JOURNAL OFMEDICINE AND MEDICAL RESEARCH 987 (2015) 17, 25

    D. Paul Sullins, Emotional Problems amongChildren with Same-sex Parents: Difference byDefinition , 7 BRITISH JOURNAL OF EDUCATION,SOCIETY AND BEHAVIOURAL SCIENCE 99 (2015)

    ........................................................................passim

    Dan Black et al., The measurement of same-sexunmarried partner couples in the 2000 US Census ,

    http://www.apa.org/pi/about/publications/caregiverhttp://www.apa.org/pi/about/publications/caregiver

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    C ALIFORNIA CENTER FOR POPULATION RESEARCH 1(2007),https://escholarship.org/uc/item/72r1q94b.pdf   (lastvisited Sep 9, 2014)............................................... 30

    D AVID F. CLAPHAM ET AL., THE SAGE H ANDBOOK OFHOUSING STUDIES 60 (SAGE) (2012).................... 22

    DESTRUCTIVE TRENDS IN MENTAL HEALTH: THE WELL-INTENTIONED PATH TO HARM xiv (R. Wright & N. A.Cummings ed., 2005) ............................................ 12

    DONALD P AUL SULLINS, EMOTIONAL PROBLEMS AMONG CHILDREN WITH S AME-SEX P ARENTS:DIFFERENCE BY DEFINITION (Social ScienceResearch Network 2015),http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2500537  (lastvisited Mar 14, 2015)............................................ 25

    Douglas W Allen, High school graduation rates

    among children of same-sex households , 11REVIEW OF ECONOMICS OF THE HOUSEHOLD 635(2013) .............................................................. 16, 18

    Gregory M Herek & Douglas C Kimmel,  AvoidingHeterosexist Bias in Psychological Research , 46THE A MERICAN PSYCHOLOGIST 957, 957 (1991)...... 6

    Gregory M. Herek, Legal Recognition of Same-SexRelationships in the United States: A SocialScience Perspective , 61 A MERICAN PSYCHOLOGIST

    607, 613 (2006)...................................................... 14

    https://escholarship.org/uc/item/72r1q94b.pdfhttp://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2500537https://escholarship.org/uc/item/72r1q94b.pdfhttp://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2500537

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    Jerzy Neyman, On the Two Different Aspects of the Representative Method: The Method of Stratified Sampling and the Method of Purposive Selection ,97 JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY558, 558–625 (1934).............................................. 13

    John Bohannon, Who’s Afraid of Peer Review? , 342SCIENCE 60, 60–65 (2013)..................................... 29

    Lenore Sawyer Radloff, The CES-D scale: A self- report depression scale for research in the general 

     population , 1 A PPLIED PSYCHOLOGICALMEASUREMENTS 385–401 (1977) .......................... 36

    Mark Regnerus, How different are the adult childrenof parents who have same-sex relationships? Findings from the New Family Structures Study ,41 SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH 752 (2012).. 9, 16, 17

    Michael Bracher et al., Marriage Dissolution in

     Australia: Models and Explanations , 47POPULATION STUDIES 403, 421 (1993).................. 22

    Michael J Rosenfeld, Nontraditional Families andChildhood Progress through School , 47DEMOGRAPHY 755, 757 (2010) ........................ 14, 16

    N ATIONAL LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF  A DOLESCENT TO A DULT HEALTH (A DD HEALTH), W AVE I; THEUNEXPECTED H ARM OF S AME-SEX M ARRIAGE: ACRITICAL  A PPRAISAL AND RE-A NALYSIS OF

    W AINRIGHT’S STUDIES OF A DOLESCENTS WITH S AME-SEX P ARENTS (SUBMITTED ARTICLE WORKING COPY ),www.ssrn.org/sullins ............................................ 33

    http://www.ssrn.org/sullinshttp://www.ssrn.org/sullins

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    PEER REVIEW PROCESS, http://www.bmj.com/about-bmj/resources-authors/peer-review-process (lastvisited Mar 12, 2015)............................................ 27

    Peer Review Report 4, File 2, available athttp://www.sciencedomain.org/review-history.php?iid=823&id=21&aid=8172 ............... 28

    Peteke Feijten, Union Dissolution, Unemployment and Moving out of Homeownership , 21 EUROPEAN

    SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW 59, 64 (2005).................... 22

    Peter Wood, The Campaign to Discredit Regnerus and the Assault on Peer Review , 26 A CADEMICQUESTIONS 171, 176 (2013) ................................ 8, 9

    Richard E. Redding, Likes Attract: The SociopoliticalGroupthink of (Social) Psychologists , 7PERSPECTIVES ON PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE 512,512 (2012).............................................................. 11

    RONALD  A  YLMER FISHER, STATISTICAL METHODS FORRESEARCH WORKERS (Oliver and Boyd 1925) ....... 13

    THE NEW CIVIL RIGHTS MOVEMENT,http://thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/bombshell-editor-darren-sherkat-admits-peer-review-failure-of-invalid-anti-gay-regnerus-study/politics/2012/07/27/43778 (last visited Mar16, 2015)................................................................ 10

    Walter R Schumm, Evidence of pro-homosexual bias in social science: citation rates and research on

    http://www.bmj.com/abouthttp://www.sciencedomain.org/reviewhttp://thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/bombshellhttp://www.bmj.com/abouthttp://www.sciencedomain.org/reviewhttp://thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/bombshell

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    lesbian parenting., 106 PSYCHOLOGICAL REPORTS374, 374–380 (2010).............................................. 10

    Walter R Schumm, Re-evaluation of the “nodifferences” hypothesis concerning gay and lesbian 

     parenting as assessed in eight early (1979-1986) and four later (1997-1998) dissertations., 103PSYCHOLOGICAL REPORTS 275, 275–304 (2008) ... 10

    Wendy D. Manning et al., Child Well-Being in Same- Sex Parent Families: Review of Research Prepared for American Sociological Association AmicusBrief  , 33 POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICYREVIEW 485, 487 (2014)........................................ 15

     Yoel Inbar & Joris Lammers, Political Diversity inSocial and Personality Psychology , 7PERSPECTIVES ON PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE 496,496 (2012).............................................................. 11

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    INTEREST OF AMICI CURIAE

    The American College of Pediatricians (ACP) is anonprofit organization of pediatricians andhealthcare professionals dedicated to the health andwell-being of children, with members in 44 statesand in several countries outside the United States.

     ACP’s Mission is to enable all children to reach theiroptimal physical and emotional health and well-being. To this end, ACP recognizes the basic father-

    mother family unit, within the context of marriage,as the optimal setting for childhood development,but also pledges its support to all children,regardless of their circumstances. ACP encouragesmothers, fathers and families to advance the needsof their children above their own, and is committedto fulfilling its mission by encouraging sound publicpolicy, based upon the best available research, toassist parents and influence society in the endeavorof childrearing.

    Family Watch International (FWI) is a nonprofitinternational organization with members andsupporters in over 170 countries. FWI is accreditedwith the Economic and Social Council of the UnitedNations and works to preserve the family, based onmarriage between a man and a woman, as thesocietal unit that provides the best outcomes formen, women and children. FWI works at the

    1 Parties to these cases have consented to the filing of this brief

    and a letter indicating their consent is on file with the Clerk. Amici state that no counsel for a party authored this brief inwhole or in part, and no person other than the amici and theircounsel made any monetary contribution intended to fund thepreparation or submission of this brief.

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    international level and in countries around the worldto educate the public and policymakers regardingthe central role of the family and advocates forwomen, children and families. FWI also providesfamily-based humanitarian aid to orphans andvulnerable children.

    The following  Amici are highly-esteemed scholarswho have studied and published on parental andhousehold distinctions and their association withdevelopmental outcomes in children. Their expertisein these fields would assist the Court’s considerationof the issues presented by these cases. The  Amicischolars include:

    • Loren D. Marks (Ph.D., Family Studies,

    University of Delaware), Program Director andProfessor of Child and Family Studies, School ofSocial Work, Louisiana State University.

    Mark D. Regnerus (Ph.D., Sociology, Universityof North Carolina), Associate Professor of Sociologyat the University of Texas at Austin; FacultyResearch Associate, Population Research Center,University of Texas.

    • Donald Paul Sullins (Ph.D., Sociology, CatholicUniversity of America), Associate Professor,Department of Sociology, Catholic University of

     America.

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    SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT

    Despite being certified by almost all major socialscience scholarly associations—indeed, in partbecause of this—the alleged scientific consensus thathaving two parents of the same sex is innocuous forchild well-being is almost wholly without basis. Allbut a handful of the studies cited in support draw onsmall, non-random samples which cannot beextrapolated to the same-sex population at large.

    This limitation is repeatedly acknowledged inscientific meetings and journals, but ignored whenasserted as settled findings in public or judicialadvocacy.

    Of the several dozen extant studies on same-sexparenting in the past two decades, only eight haveused a random sample large enough to find evidenceof lower well-being for children with same-sexparents if it exists. Of these eight, the four mostrecent studies, by Dr. Mark Regnerus, Dr. Douglas

     Allen and two by Dr. Paul Sullins, report substantialand pertinent negative outcomes for children withsame-sex parents. The four earlier studies, by Dr.Michael Rosenfeld and three by Dr. JenniferWainright and colleagues, find no differences forchildren with same-sex parents because, due toerrors in file coding and analysis, a large portion of their samples actually consists of children withheterosexual parents. When the sample used byWainright’s three studies is corrected of this error

    and re-analyzed, these data also show negativeoutcomes for children with same-sex parents similarto those reported by Regnerus and Sullins. Moreimportantly, they also show substantially worse

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    outcomes for children who have lived an average of ten years with same-sex parents who are marriedthan for those who have lived only four years, onaverage, with unmarried same-sex parents.

     At this time, the three largest statisticallyrepresentative datasets used to address thequestion—Regnerus’s New Family StructuresSurvey, with 3,000 cases; the National HealthInterview Survey, with 1.6 million cases; and the

    National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,with 20,000 cases—have all found that children withsame-sex parents fare substantially worse—mostmeasures show at least twice the level of distress—than do children with opposite-sex parents on arange of psychological, developmental and emotionaloutcomes. The longer social scientists study thequestion, the more evidence of harm is found.

    In analyzing the questions presented, specialconsideration must be given to the states’ interestsin the well-being of children, who are uniquelyvulnerable and have little recourse against harm.Given the mounting evidence of harmful outcomes inchildren raised in households with same-sex parents,state laws restricting marriage to opposite-sexpartners have a rational basis, and it would beimprudent to restrict the states from limitingmarriage to opposite-sex partners for the well-beingof children. At the same time, this outcome does notpreclude the states from continuing to explore

    alternative resolutions to the conflicted and difficultquestion of how best to support same-sex couplesand their children.

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    ARGUMENT

    I. THE ALLEGED CONSENSUS THATCHILDREN SUFFER NO DISADVANTAGE WITHSAME-SEX PARENTS IS A PRODUCT, NOT OFOBJECTIVE SCIENTIFIC INQUIRY, BUT OFINTENSE POLITICIZATION OF RESEARCH

     AGENDAS IN SOCIAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATIONS.

    Nearly a century ago this Court accepted the alleged

    scientific consensus on eugenics, resulting inshameful decisions, as the patient progress of scienceeventually unmasked the alleged consensus and theideology that produced it. See Buck v. Bell , 274 U.S.200, 207 (1927). Scientific truth advances byobservation and evidence adjudicated by reason, notby reference to elite opinion or the polling of experts.Witness Copernicus, Galileo, and Darwin, whosetheories were famously rejected, even vigorouslyrepudiated, by the consensus view of science whenfirst reported, but whom we now know were correct.

    The advance of science depends on open andvigorous debate about truth-claims. In the modernera, claims of a scientific consensus are oftenadvanced, as with eugenics, when the underlyingscience is weak and the political stakes are high, andare set forth not with the purpose to encourage, butto foreclose, the healthy debate of reason andevidence that is the foundation of good science—andof good judicial decisions.

    The remarkable claim that research on the questionhas terminated in a “consensus,” see BRIEF OF

     A MICUS CURIAE  A MERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL

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     A SSOCIATION IN SUPPORT OF PETITIONERS 2 (hereafter“ASA Brief”), or unanimous conclusion, see BRIEF OF

     A MERICAN PSYCHOLOGICAL  A SSOCIATION ET.  AL INSUPPORT OF PETITIONERS 28 (hereafter “APA Brief”),“that children raised by same-sex parents fare justas well as children raised by different-sex parents,”see  ASA Brief at 2, (referred to throughout as the“harm denial thesis”) does not reflect the actual stateof research in this area, but is the product of anideological screen that has excluded, ignored ormarginalized research that does not conform to thispredetermined outcome.

    Until 1985, research reflected a healthy variety of perspectives and findings on the question of childwelfare with same-sex parents. In that year the

     APA’s Committee on Lesbian, Gay and BisexualConcerns (“LGB Concerns Committee”) established aTask Force on Non-Homophobic Research, whichproduced detailed guidelines on avoiding research

    determined to be “heterosexist”, defined as“conceptualizing human experience in strictlyheterosexual terms and consequently ignoring,invalidating, or derogating homosexual behaviorsand sexual orientation, and lesbian, gay, andbisexual relationships and lifestyles.” Gregory MHerek & Douglas C Kimmel,  Avoiding Heterosexist Bias in Psychological Research , 46 THE  A MERICANPSYCHOLOGIST 957, 957 (1991). The guidelines areprominently displayed on the APA website(http://www.apa.org/pi/lgbt/resources/avoiding-

    bias.aspx), and its contents are vigorously enforcedby the LGB Concerns Committee, whose mission, inpart, is “to reduce prejudice, discrimination andviolence against lesbian, gay and bisexual people,”

    http://www.apa.org/pi/lgbt/resources/avoidinghttp://www.apa.org/pi/lgbt/resources/avoiding

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    and who also publish the list of research supportingthe harm denial thesis.

     As laudable as these social aims may be, it is nothard to see how such a norm can bias the objectivepursuit of knowledge regarding children with same-sex parents. How can a researcher who hasdiscovered negative outcomes for children withsame-sex parents publish such findings without“invalidating (or being perceived as invalidating)

    lesbian, gay and bisexual relationships”? Evenworse, how can a researcher who suspects that he orshe may find such outcomes find funding or supportfor the research? And if she or he does manage topublish, who would dare to cite such research? Bythe definition above, the mere hypothesis that same-sex parents may not be as beneficial for children asopposite-sex ones is prima facie heterosexist.

    In practice, the LGB Concerns Committee hasrejected as heterosexist any research which usesmarried biological parents as a comparison group—arestriction which eliminates the most widelyobserved cause of differences in child outcomes, andrelativizes family structure a priori . When same-sexcouples, as a group, are compared to opposite-sexcouples as a group—lumping together married,divorced, cohabiting, step-families, and often evensingle parents—most differences between the groupspertinent to the question of marriage are blurred.

     Yet, this is APA policy.

    Studies with weak methodology that support harmdenial have been included on the roster of gayparenting studies with little comment, and even

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    praise, while studies with strong methodology thatcontradict harm denial have been excluded onspecious pretexts, such as that the journal is notprestigious enough, the study is not widely cited, aone-sided accounting of a study’s supposed “flaws”with no opportunity for author response, or aconcerted attempt to find flaws to justify theexclusion. Peter Wood, The Campaign to DiscreditRegnerus and the Assault on Peer Review , 26

     A CADEMIC QUESTIONS 171, 176 (2013) (describing“the straining by Regnerus’s critics to find faults inan otherwise exemplary work of social scientificscholarship”). For the LGB Concerns Committee, themere fact that a study challenges or contradicts theharm denial thesis can itself be reason to exclude thestudy from the roster. An early study bySarantakos, an expert on research methods, thatfound lower developmental outcomes for childrenwith same-sex parents by means of a strongmatched-sample design, was excluded from the APA

    roster because, in part, its findings were publishedin an Australian journal which “cannot be considereda source upon which one should rely forunderstanding the state of scientific knowledge inthis field, particularly when the results contradictthose that have been repeatedly replicated in studiespublished in better known scientific journals.”CHARLOTTE J. P ATTERSON, LESBIAN AND GAY PARENTS

     AND THEIR CHILDREN: SUMMARY OF RESEARCHFINDINGS 6–7 n.1 (American Psychological

     Association) (2005),

    http://www.apa.org/pi/lgbt/resources/parenting-full.pdf. Yet the APA roster includes a number ofstudies published in lesser-known journals with very

    http://www.apa.org/pi/lgbt/resources/parentinghttp://www.apa.org/pi/lgbt/resources/parenting

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    small readership, and even several unpublisheddissertations—but which support, not challenge, theharm denial thesis.

    Journal editors that publish findings contrary toharm denial have faced intimidating detraction.Three years ago, when Dr. Regnerus, using muchstronger data than most prior studies, published astudy that found negative outcomes among childrenwith parents who have been in same-sex

    relationships, see Mark Regnerus, How different arethe adult children of parents who have same-sex relationships? Findings from the New FamilyStructures Study , 41 SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH 752(2012), both Regnerus and the journal editor werewidely vilified by scholars. See Wood, supra , at 174(noting that the reaction to Regnerus’s study came“some of it in the form of criticisms of his analyticalmethods and handling of statistical data, but muchmore of it in the form of character assassination and

    vituperative denunciation”); James D. Wright,Introductory remarks [to a symposium defending publication of the Regnerus study] , 41 SOCIALSCIENCE RESEARCH 1339, 1339 (2012) (“I was notprepared for the nastiness and vituperation thatquickly ensued, much of it directed at mepersonally.”). A board member appointed as an“internal auditor” to assess the editor’s decisions hadalready gone on record against the study, seeWright, supra , at 1341 (“Sherkat [the auditor] wasan early and ferocious critic of the Regnerus study

    ...”), and publicly displayed lurid ideological andreligious bias. See THE NEW CIVIL RIGHTSMOVEMENT,http://thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/bombshell-

    http://thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/bombshellhttp://thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/bombshell

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    editor-darren-sherkat-admits-peer-review-failure-of-invalid-anti-gay-regnerus-study/politics/2012/07/27/43778 (last visited Mar 16,2015) (quoting Sherkat emails as stating: “Believeme, I know there is a vast right wing conspiracy andthat Mark Regnerus is a part of it! ... How did thestudy get through peer review? The peers are rightwing Christianists!”). This was not the measured,thoughtful response of scientists encountering aninteresting contrary finding, but of ideologuesrepudiating a doctrinal heresy.

    More often, contrary findings have simply beenignored. A study comparing eight dissertations withresults favorable to same-sex parents, with four of equivalent methodology whose results had beenunfavorable, found that the first group had beenincluded in review articles and cited 238 times whilethe second group had been cited only once. Walter RSchumm, Re-evaluation of the “no differences”

    hypothesis concerning gay and lesbian parenting as assessed in eight early (1979-1986) and four later (1997-1998) dissertations., 103 PSYCHOLOGICALREPORTS 275, 275–304 (2008). Another study foundthat of three similar articles, two with resultsfavorable to gay parenting and one with unfavorableresults, the first two had been cited 28 and 37 timesrespectively while the latter had been cited onlytwice. Walter R Schumm, Evidence of pro- homosexual bias in social science: citation rates andresearch on lesbian parenting., 106 PSYCHOLOGICAL

    REPORTS 374, 374–380 (2010). To compound theinequity, the APA then cites low citations as areason to exclude studies with contrary findingsfrom the roster. See P ATTERSON, supra , at 7 n.1

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    (rejecting several studies because “[u]nlike researchthat makes a contribution to science, his keyfindings and conclusions have rarely been cited bysubsequent scientific studies published in peer-reviewed journals as informing their scientificinquiry”.)

    Discrimination to exclude conservative ideas ispervasive among academic psychologists. SeeRichard E. Redding, Likes Attract: The Sociopolitical 

    Groupthink of (Social) Psychologists , 7 PERSPECTIVESON PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE 512, 512 (2012) (notingthe “growing empirical evidence of discriminationagainst conservative (right-of-center) people andideas ... in social and personality psychology ...”);

     Yoel Inbar & Joris Lammers, Political Diversity in Social and Personality Psychology , 7 PERSPECTIVESON PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE 496, 496 (2012)(discussing a survey of 800 psychologists finding that“[i]n decisions ranging from paper reviews to hiring,

    many [up to 38% of] social and personalitypsychologists said that they would discriminateagainst openly conservative colleagues.”). Former

     APA President Nicholas Cummings has written "The APA has chosen ideology over science," explainingsince the mid-1970s “advocacy for scientific andprofessional concerns has been usurped by agenda-driven ideologues who show little regard for eitherscientific validation or professional efficacy,” and theresult of this is that “topics that are deemedpolitically incorrect … are neither published nor

    funded.” DESTRUCTIVE TRENDS IN MENTAL HEALTH:THE WELL-INTENTIONED PATH TO HARM xiv (R. Wright& N. A. Cummings ed., 2005).

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    Thus the APA’s absolutist claim of total researchunanimity, see P ATTERSON, supra , at 15 (“Not asingle study has found children of lesbian or gayparents to be disadvantaged ….”), is not the result of disinterested science, but of the imposition ofpolitical will on the research process to exclude anddiscredit research that shows such disadvantages.Similar bias characterizes the alleged “consensusfinding” claims of other major social scienceassociations and the American Academy ofPediatrics, which explains the tolerance, evenpreference, for the methodologically weak studiesdiscussed below.

    II. PERVASIVE METHODOLOGICAL FLAWSUNDERMINE THE ALLEGED “CONSENSUSFINDING” THAT CHILDREN OF SAME-SEXPARENTS FARE JUST AS WELL AS CHILDRENOF OPPOSITE-SEX PARENTS.

    The pervasive weaknesses in the stream of researchstudies on gay and lesbian parenting cited by the

     APA and ASA in support of “no differences” arewidely known. The Eleventh Circuit has aptlysummarized them, noting “significant flaws in thestudies’ methodologies and conclusions, such as theuse of small, self-selected samples; reliance on self-report instruments; politically driven hypotheses;and the use of unrepresentative study populationsconsisting of disproportionately affluent, educatedparents.” Lofton v. Sec’y of the Dep’t of Children and

    Family Servs., 358 F.3d 804, 825 (11th Cir. 2004).

    Since the early twentieth century, the statisticalstandard for credible population claims derived from

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    a sample has been based on two key tests: 1) everymember of the population has an equal probability of being included in the sample (random sample), seeJerzy Neyman, On the Two Different Aspects of the Representative Method: The Method of Stratified Sampling and the Method of Purposive Selection , 97JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 558,558–625 (1934); and 2) the probability is less thanone in twenty that the finding in question may bedue to random fluctuation in drawing the sample2 

    (statistical significance). See RONALD  A  YLMERFISHER, STATISTICAL METHODS FOR RESEARCHWORKERS (Oliver and Boyd 1925). Every self-selected, recruited or convenience sample fails thefirst test, exhibiting statistical bias; samples that failthe second test, usually due to being too small, lackstatistical power.

    The disabling problem of small, recruitedconvenience samples in same-sex parenting research

    is repeatedly acknowledged by the very scholarswhose work is mischaracterized in APA or ASAbriefs as demonstrating a scientific consensus. See,e.g., J. Stacey & T. J. Biblarz, (How) does the sexualorientation of parents matter? , 66 A MERICANSOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW 159, 166 (2001) (“There are nostudies [with same-sex parents] based on random,representative samples of such families. Moststudies rely on small-scale, snowball3  and

    2

    Sometimes relaxed to one in ten with very small samples, asoften occurs studying same-sex partners; however such resultsare correspondingly considered provisional.3 A snowball sample is constructed by surveying a respondent’sfriends or acquaintances, then the friends of those friends, etc.

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    convenience samples drawn primarily from personalor community networks or agencies.”); Jennifer L.Wainright et al., Psychosocial adjustment, schooloutcomes, and romantic relationships of adolescents with same-sex parents , 75 CHILD DEVELOPMENT1886, 1888 (2004) (hereafter “Wainright,Psychosocial ”) (“However, existing research is stillsparse and based on small samples, therepresentativeness of which is generally difficult toassess.”); Gunnar Andersson et al., Thedemographics of same-sex marriages in Norway and Sweden , 43 DEMOGRAPHY 79, 81 (2006) (noting that“[t]he lack of representative samples is the mostfundamental problem in quantitative studies on gaysand lesbians, which commonly rely on self-recruitedsamples from an unknown population”); Gregory M.Herek, Legal Recognition of Same-Sex Relationships in the United States: A Social Science Perspective ,61 A MERICAN PSYCHOLOGIST 607, 613 (2006)(“Because these studies [showing no difference in

    child outcomes] used convenience samples ... , theydo not provide a basis for estimating populationparameters for all children of sexual minorityparents relative to those with heterosexualparents.”); Michael J Rosenfeld, NontraditionalFamilies and Childhood Progress through School , 47DEMOGRAPHY 755, 757 (2010) (“The universallysmall sample sizes in the existing literature has leftroom for several critiques, including the argumentthat small sample sizes would not have thestatistical power to identify the effects of homosexual

    parents on childhood outcomes even if such effectsdid exist.”); Wendy D. Manning et al., Child Well- Being in Same-Sex Parent Families: Review of

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    Research Prepared for American Sociological Association Amicus Brief  , 33 POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW 485, 487 (2014) (“Conveniencesamples are more common [noting that just fourrepresentative samples have been used in theliterature] .... Relying on convenience samples meansthat the same-sex parents in these studies are notrepresentative of all same-sex parents and representonly those who were targeted and agreed toparticipate, ….”).

    Many more examples could be cited to establish that,contrary to the assertion that the denial of harmrests on “[d]ecades of methodologically sound socialscience research,” ASA Brief at 2, most studies in thefield themselves acknowledge that the evidence fromsmall, unrepresentative samples is far too limited tomake such a claim. Dozens of weak andunrepresentative studies do not support strongconclusions about the presence or absence of harm,

    much less the persistent assurance that no suchharm exists.

    1. OF THE DOZENS OF STUDIES CITEDIN SUPPORT OF THE CONSENSUS, ONLYEIGHT MEET SCIENTIFIC STANDARDSFOR POPULATION INFERENCE.

    If one applies the above-noted standards of scientificcredibility—random sampling and statisticalsignificance—to the several dozen published studies

    of same-sex parenting, only eight studies are basedon evidence that passes the two tests (“goldstandard”). These eight include Wainright et al’sthree studies of adolescents raised by lesbian

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    genuinely scientific, gold standard research moreclosely.

    2. OF THE EIGHT GENUINE STUDIES,FOUR—THE MOST RECENT—FIND THATCHILDREN WITH SAME-SEX PARENTSSUFFER SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCEDWELL-BEING.

     As aforementioned, in 2012, Regnerus published the

    findings of a retrospective study based onrepresentative national sample of 2,988 adults,including 248 whose mother or father had been in asame-sex relationship at some point during theirupbringing. Regnerus, supra . A follow-up study inthe same year elaborated essentially the samefindings. Regnerus found that well-being for theadults who reported a parent having been in a same-sex relationship (during the respondent’s childhood)was significantly lower than in the generalpopulation, particularly when compared to personswho had grown up with parents who are stillmarried or were married until one of them died. Id.at 752. The differences were striking. For example,persons with lesbian mothers were, as adults, overthree times more likely to be unemployed andreceiving public assistance, or to have had a maritalaffair. Id. at 761, Table 2. They were more likely tobe depressed, smoke, use marijuana, to have beenarrested and to have pled guilty when they werearrested. Id. at 762, Tables 3 & 4. Some of the

    largest, and most sensitive, differences were inreported childhood sexual abuse: the children oflesbian mothers were, as children, ten times morelikely to have been sexually touched by a parent or

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    other adult and four times more likely to have beenforced to have sex against their will. Id. at 761,Table 2. As adults, they had had a significantlylarger number of sexual partners and were twice aslikely to be cohabiting. Id. at 761-62, Tables 2 & 4.

    The Regnerus study was limited in that few of thereported same-sex parents had been in a same-sexrelationship for very long. Critics pointed out,

    correctly, that factors other than parental sexualorientation may account for the differences observed.Nevertheless, the study demonstrated that, evenwith an attenuated sample, large statisticallysignificant differences were present where the“consensus finding” body of research had longclaimed there were none. And the burden to showthat other factors (rather than exposure to orresidence with a same-sex parent) explains thedifferences rests with the critics, not Regnerus. Sofar, none have done so.

    In 2013, Allen published a study based on theCanadian census that showed that children raisedby same-sex parents were 35% less likely tograduate from high school. Allen, supra , at 635.Girls did worse with two fathers than with twomothers; boys did worse with two mothers than withtwo fathers. Id. at 649-50. Allen suggested thatfathers and mothers may not be substitutable, and

    concluded “it is time to investigate the difference andreject the conventional wisdom of ‘no difference’.” Id.at 654.

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    Regnerus’s study was limited by a relatively smallsample size; Allen’s was limited to a single outcomemeasure. The final two studies in this sectionemployed both a large representative sample andmultiple outcome measures, also finding substantialdisadvantages for children with same-sex parents.

    7.4%

    10.2% 10.4%

    17.4%19.3%

    17.8%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    Serious EmotionalProblems

    DevelopmentalDisability

    Medical treatmentfor emotional

    problem

    Figure 1

    Source: NHIS (CDC-NCHS) 1997-2013. (N=207,007).

    Data are a representative sample of all U.S. children.

    Child Emotional Problems

    percent by Family Type

    Opposite Sex Parents

    Same Sex Parents

    In a study published in early 2015 examining theNational Health Interview Survey (NHIS), a large-sample public health survey (1.6 million casesduring the period examined) administered by theCenters for Disease Control (CDC), Paul Sullins

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    found that the risk of child emotional anddevelopmental problems was at least twice as highfor children with same-sex parents than for thosewith opposite-sex parents on a range of relatedoutcomes, including predicted risk of psychologicaldisorders, learning disability, and attention-deficithyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Sullins, Emotional ,at 109, Table 3. Figure 1 illustrates; see  Appendixfor more details.

    Serious emotional problems and/or elevated risk ofan emotional disorder was reported for 17.4 percentof children with same-sex parents, compared to only7.4 percent of children with opposite-sex parents.Children with same-sex parents were almost twiceas likely to have a developmental disability andmuch more likely to have received medical treatmentfor an emotional or mental health problem. SeeSullins, Emotional , at 109, Table 3. Most of thedifferences are statistically significant at .001,

    meaning there is less than one chance in a thousandthat the findings are due to sample variability.

    The harm deniers counter that Sullins’s studies “failto account for family stability” (ASA Brief at 11) or“children’s histories of family disruption” (APA Brief at 27). This is a form of special pleading, since moststudies alleging to show “no differences” betweensame-sex and opposite-sex parent families have notaccounted for family stability. Perrin et al.’s 2013critique of the Regnerus study, cited favorably in the

     ASA brief (at 25), asserted that “[i]f there issufficient evidence to support [the proposition that]‘[c]hildren from same-sex families display notabledisadvantages when compared to children from other

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    family forms’ with confidence, the no-differenceshypothesis should be rejected ….” Yet when Sullinspresented precisely such findings showing with veryhigh statistical confidence that children from same-sex families suffer twice the rate of seriousemotional problems, the harm deniers raised a newproviso which they claim invalidates the findings.

    The supposition on which the proviso rests is thatthe relative harm for children with same-sex parentsdiscovered by Sullins could be due solely to residualeffects from a prior opposite-sex setting, or from thetransition from a prior opposite-sex familydissolution, and not at all due to current residencewith same-sex parents, thereby maintaining theharm denial thesis intact. If this supposition weretrue, then controlling for family stability wouldeliminate all or almost all of the higher risk ofemotional harm Sullins observed for children withsame-sex parents. If it were not true, then

    controlling for stability would have little or no effecton the difference in child harm between the twofamily types.

    The latter is precisely what Sullins found. Despitefalse assertions to the contrary, Sullins did examinethe effects of family stability in two ways. SeeSullins, Emotional , at 102 (“The present study teststhe hypothesis that reduced stability relative toopposite-sex families may explain part or all of anyincreased emotional distress experienced by children

    in same-sex families.”).

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    First, he separated families who owned their homesfrom those living in rented quarters. The ASA’sassertion that housing status here “only measuressocioeconomic means” (ASA Brief at 11) is absurd.Sullins imposed separate controls for income andeducation, thus nullifying any association of housingstatus with socioeconomic means; in his analysis, thevariable expresses the effect of housing status net of socioeconomic factors. Abundant research hasestablished that homeowning families are muchmore relationally stable than renters. D AVID F.CLAPHAM ET AL., THE SAGE H ANDBOOK OF HOUSINGSTUDIES 60 (SAGE) (2012) (summarizing researchthat relational stability “is important for thetransition to first-time homeownership” and “long-term housing decisions”); Peteke Feijten, UnionDissolution, Unemployment and Moving out ofHomeownership , 21 EUROPEAN SOCIOLOGICALREVIEW 59, 64 (2005) (finding that “after[relationship] separation, the large majority [80%] of 

    moves were into rental housing”); Michael Bracheret al., Marriage Dissolution in Australia: Models andExplanations , 47 POPULATION STUDIES 403, 421(1993) (observing that “[g]reater marital stability isassociated with home-ownership” and “greaterinstability is associated with renting,” after findingthat “the relative risk [of relationship disruption]associated with renting rather than owning was ashigh as 2.13”). Homeownership may not capture allthe variation in family stability, but it certainlycaptures a large part of it.

    If family stability were so strongly associated withthe substantially higher child emotional harm found

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    in same-sex families as to explain it awaycompletely, as both ASA and APA suppose, we wouldexpect homeownership at least to reduce theobserved difference substantially. But Sullins foundthat, although homeownership did have a strongeffect on emotional problems, see Sullins, Emotional ,at 108 (“children of families in rented quarters are31% more likely to experience emotional problemsthan children of homeowner families”), thusconfirming that it is associated with meaningfulvariation in child emotional problems,homeownership accounted for only a negligibleamount (3%) of the difference in risk of emotionalproblems between opposite-sex and same-sex parentfamilies. Id. Children in stable families, in otherwords, are much less likely to experience emotionalproblems, but children in stable same-sex parentfamilies are still about twice as likely to sufferserious emotional problems as are children in stableopposite-sex parent families.

    Second, Sullins compared same-sex parent familieswith only opposite-sex step-parent or “blended”families, excluding the large body of more stableopposite-sex intact married families. Like same-sexparents, many partners in blended families haveexperienced a prior divorce or relationshipdissolution. If child emotional problems in same-sexparent families were the residual effect of, or due tothe trauma of transition from, a prior divorce orother family breakdown, this would be equally true

    for these opposite-sex step-parent families, and therewould consequently be little or no difference in childemotional problems between these two family forms.

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    It is incomprehensible why the APA would criticizethe paper for making such a worst case comparisonof same-sex parents with the least stable opposite-sex parents, thereby ceding as much ground aspossible to the instability hypothesis. See APA Briefat 27 n.48 (including “creating more differentiatedcategories of children of opposite-sex couples(children residing with married versus single ordivorced parents)” among the “methodological flaws”of the paper). Perhaps it has to do with the outcome:Sullins found that restricting the comparison to onlyopposite-sex step-parent families reduced the overallrisk of child emotional problems due to same-sexparents by only 13 percent, from a risk of 2.4 to arisk of 2.2. Sullins, Emotional , at 110; see also id. at111-12, Tables 4 & 5. Far from explaining thedifference away, as the instability hypothesis wouldpredict, the residual effects of prior divorce or familydissolution accounted for only a small part of thesubstantially higher risk of emotional problems

    faced by children with same-sex parents.

    Sullins also tested to see if stigmatization or bullyingexplained away the difference and found that, on theNHIS, children with same-sex parents did notexperience more peer stigmatization than did theircounterparts with opposite-sex parents. Sullins,Emotional , at 108, Table 2. However, in acompanion study also based on the NHIS, Sullinsfound that ADHD was separately associated withhigher susceptibility to bully victimization among

    children with same-sex parents. See Sullins, ADHD ,at 993-94.

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    Beyond what has already been discussed, both the ASA and APA predictably attempt to discreditSullins’s recent findings of serious emotional harm,presenting points that are misleading, uninformed ordeceptive.

    For example, the APA brief (at 27 n.48) notes thatSullins did not address an NHIS coding error that,for three of the seventeen years he examined, mayhave partially contaminated the category of same-sex couples with opposite-sex cases. But the APAdoes not acknowledge that such contaminationmakes it more difficult to show differences betweenthe two family types, and thus that the result of theerror is that his reported findings likely understatethe true level of increased risk of emotional problemsfor children with same-sex parents observed on theNHIS. Discussion of data validation issues wasdropped from the published article for length, butSullins has appended to the preprint at the Social

    Sciences Research Network an analysis whichreports on his correspondence with the CDC aboutthe problem, and which confirms that, without theerror, the estimated relative risk of harm due toresidence with same-sex parents would be about 20%higher than that reported in his study. See DONALDP AUL SULLINS, EMOTIONAL PROBLEMS AMONGCHILDREN WITH S AME-SEX P ARENTS: DIFFERENCE BYDEFINITION (Social Science Research Network 2015),http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2500537 (last visitedMar 14, 2015).

    In addition, both the ASA and APA briefs speciouslyallege that the peer review for Sullins’s articles was

    http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2500537http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2500537

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    substandard. See, e.g., APA Brief at 27-28 n.48.Just the opposite is true. Although Sullins haspublished in top sociological journals, in this case,aware that his findings challenged the statedpolitical positions of the APA and ASA and theassociated ideology of harm denial, and aware of theunprecedented pressure placed on the journal editorand the peer review process after Regneruspublished similar findings, he elected to pursuepublication of his studies, based on a large publichealth survey, in international hard-science medical

     journals, where the standards of evidence aregenerally rigorous, but the imposition of groupthinkorthodoxy is much less, than in American socialscience journals.

    The ASA brief complains (at 11 n.10) that the reviewby the British Journal of Medicine and MedicalResearch was too short and critiques too brief tohave been rigorous, taking only 16 days to first

    acceptance. ASA apparently is unaware that thepeer review process is much shorter, and critiquesmuch less verbose, in hard-science medical journalsthan in family sociology journals. For example, theJournal of the American Medical Association(JAMA), the top American medical journal, reportsthat median time to first editorial decision is just 3days, though subsequent peer review takes up to anadditional 36 days, on average. JAMA NETWORK |JAMA | WHY PUBLISH IN JAMA,http://jama.jamanetwork.com/public/WhyPublish.asp

    x (last visited Mar 12, 2015). The British MedicalJournal, arguably the most rigorous medical journalin the world, advises authors: “We aim to reach a

    http://jama.jamanetwork.com/public/WhyPublish.asphttp://jama.jamanetwork.com/public/WhyPublish.asp

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    first decision on all manuscripts within two or threeweeks of submission.” PEER REVIEW PROCESS,http://www.bmj.com/about-bmj/resources-authors/peer-review-process (last visited Mar 12,2015). By these standards, the time to acceptance ofSullins’s article was not short. The ASA’s complaintthat proper peer review would take a full year issimply uninformed.

    Similarly, the APA brief complains that “none of the journals in which Sullins’s papers were publishedare indexed in major, reputable social sciencedatabases.” APA Brief at 27 n.48. This is true butbeside the point. As medical journals, the journalsSullins published in are indexed in medical indexes,such as Index Medicus and the National Library of Medicine database, not social science databases.This complaint also ignores the fact that the practiceof abstracting, in which an information servicegathers and organizes a body of research articles for

    scholars to search, has overtaken the older practiceof indexing; and the journals in which Sullinspublished are abstracted by all the major scholarlyservices, including Ebscohost and Proquest, and thusare available to any academic research searchprocess.

    The APA brief next alleges that “a cursoryexamination of the reviews … reveals that theyraised few substantive concerns at all.” APA Brief at28 n.48. Perhaps the APA should have given more

    than a cursory examination, because a closer lookreveals the following regarding Sullins’s centralstudy on child emotional problems: Although the

    http://www.bmj.com/about-bmj/resourceshttp://www.bmj.com/about-bmj/resources

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    normal standard is for an editor to send an article totwo reviewers, the journal, recognizing thecomplexity and significance of the study, sent thearticle out to four reviewers and appointed twoindependent editors to approve publication. SeeSullins, Emotional , at 120 (“The peer review historyfor this paper can be accessed here:http://www.sciencedomain.org/review-history.php?iid=823&id=21&aid=8172”). Thus, thearticle was subjected to twice the ordinary peerreview. Moreover, though the usual practice is forone round of review and response before an editorialdecision, in this case there were two rounds ofreview and response before both editorsindependently rendered a decision. See id. (directingthe reader to a website where all the peer reviewinformation is contained). One reviewer, notsatisfied merely with making comments about thearticle, presented Sullins with an extensively revisedand commented draft using “track changes.” See

    Peer Review Report 4, File 2, available athttp://www.sciencedomain.org/review-history.php?iid=823&id=21&aid=8172. This level ofscrutiny is very rare in American social science

     journals.

    The APA also fails to note that the publication of anarticle’s peer review history for anyone to examine(“open peer review”), which enables them to expressan opinion on the peer review of Sullins’s articles, isitself a sign of peer review quality. Only a minority

    of the most rigorous journals in the world openlypublish reviewer critiques and author defenses. No

     APA journal practices this level of transparency.

    http://www.sciencedomain.org/reviewhttp://www.sciencedomain.org/reviewhttp://www.sciencedomain.org/reviewhttp://www.sciencedomain.org/review

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    In a recent independent assessment of peer reviewat over three hundred scientific publishers byScience , the world’s premiere scientific journal,involving the submission of a plausible but flawedstudy, the publisher of Sullins’s studies attained thehighest ranking possible for peer review rigor, adistinction earned by only the top 7% of journalsworldwide. See John Bohannon, Who’s Afraid ofPeer Review? , 342 SCIENCE 60, 60–65 (2013) at 64;see also Supporting Data and Documents. The

     journals that published Sullins’s studies have, ineffect, passed peer review of their peer review withthe highest mark.

    The true objection of the APA and ASA to Sullins’sarticles has nothing to do with their scientific rigor,but with his findings, which do not conform to theideology of harm denial. Despite mounting evidenceto the contrary, the APA and ASA will doubtlesscontinue to deny that any study has found evidence

    of harm to children with same-sex parents.

    3. THE FOUR EARLIER STUDIESREPORTING “NO DIFFERENCE”FINDINGS ARE INVALID DUE TOCORRUPTED SAMPLES.

    The four studies discussed in this section present thestrongest evidence available for the harm denialthesis. They use gold standard data that have thepower to reveal differences if they existed, and none

    of them claim to find any disadvantage for childrenwith same-sex parents. Yet all four studies sufferfrom a fatal flaw: a large portion (40-60%) of thechildren they report as being with same-sex parents

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    are actually children with opposite-sex parents,rendering any application of their findings to same-sex couples invalid, or at least extremelyproblematic. Let us examine each study moreclosely.

    1. In Rosenfeld’s 2010 study, at least

    forty percent of couples classified

    “same-sex” are mistakenly coded

    opposite-sex couples.

    In his 2010 study of child progress in school,Rosenfeld failed to acknowledge known coding errorsin the Census 2000 data which resulted in themisclassification of many heterosexual partners assame-sex couples.

    Black and colleagues, in their 2007 study exposingthe problem, explained: “This misclassification is theconsequence of a relatively rare error—the misreportingor miscoding of an individual’s sex or the sex of a spouse

    or partner. … [E]ven a minor amount of measurementerror, when applied to a large group, can create a majorproblem for drawing inferences about a small group inthe population.” Dan Black et al., The measurement ofsame-sex unmarried partner couples in the 2000 USCensus , C ALIFORNIA CENTER FOR POPULATION RESEARCH1 (2007), https://escholarship.org/uc/item/72r1q94b.pdf  (last visited Sep 9, 2014). Black at al. estimated thatat least forty percent of the cases in the same-sexcouples sample “are actually different-sex marriedcouples,” id. at 9, and concluded by warning researchers

    that “many of the inferences drawn from these data areincorrect.” Id. at 10.

    https://escholarship.org/uc/item/72r1q94b.pdfhttps://escholarship.org/uc/item/72r1q94b.pdf

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    The inclusion of such a large proportion of opposite-sex couples in the same-sex category masksdifferences between same-sex and opposite-sexcouples. Although Black et al.’s study was publishedseveral years earlier, and would certainly be of greatconcern to any scholar aspiring to use the Census2000 data to study same-sex couples, Rosenfeldappears to have been unaware of the problem. Inreality, Rosenfeld compared opposite-sex coupleswith other opposite-sex couples mixed in with same-sex couples. Such an error invalidates analyses thatreport no differences, while strengthening confidencein analyses that find differences, like Allen’s rebuttalof Rosenfeld.

    2. In Wainright’s three Add Health

    studies, 27 of 44 same-sex couples are

    actually opposite-sex couples.

     As already noted, three articles by Wainright andcolleagues comprise the bulk of the gold standardresearch cited in support of harm denial. The APAand ASA briefs each cite them five times; the APAbrief cites them as one of only three sets of studies ofsame-sex parenting based on national probabilitysamples. APA Brief at 24 n.44. All three Wainrightstudies use the same sample of 44 adolescentchildren with lesbian mothers, statisticallyrepresentative of the national population of suchchildren in the National Longitudinal Survey of 

     Adolescent Health (Add Health). Those children are

    compared with a matched group of 44 adolescentswith opposite-sex parents in the same data, theauthors finding no differences between the twogroups on multiple pertinent outcome measures. But

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    in these studies, the comparison sample, which ispresented as a sample of same-sex parents, consistsmostly of children with both a female mother and amale father in the home.

    The authors explain that they identified a smallersample of 18 “clear cases in which adolescentsdescribed themselves as living only with two same-sex adults”, Wainright, Psychosocial , at 1890; butthey chose to analyze the larger sample of 44

    adolescents because they wanted to include“adolescents from divorced families in which one orboth parents were currently involved in same-sexrelationships” and children in joint custodyarrangements. Id. Remarkably, the authors reportthat they did not exclude from these additional 26cases any adolescents who “reported [a] male figure(biological father, stepfather) as residing in thehousehold.” Id. at 1890. An inspection of the AddHealth data used by Wainright et al. reveals that for

    all 26 additional cases, plus one of the 18 “clearcases,” the adolescents involved reported that, inaddition to their female mothers, they were livingwith their male fathers.4  In sum, for 27 of the 44“lesbian mother” couples in Wainright et al.’ssample, the responding adolescent reported that oneof the parents in the household was his or her malefather. See N ATIONAL LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF

     A DOLESCENT TO A DULT HEALTH (A DD HEALTH), W AVEI; THE UNEXPECTED H ARM OF S AME-SEX M ARRIAGE: ACRITICAL  A PPRAISAL AND RE-A NALYSIS OF

    4 In order to reduce the error that occurred on the 2000 Census,this interview did not assume a parent’s sex, but asked anadditional question to verify the sex of each parent.

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    W AINRIGHT’S STUDIES OF  A DOLESCENTS WITH S AME-SEX P ARENTS (SUBMITTED ARTICLE WORKING COPY ),www.ssrn.org/sullins (hereafter “Sullins, UnexpectedHarm ”).

    The family arrangement envisioned in same-sexmarriage is generally understood to be the conditionof actually having two parents of the same sex, notopposite-sex parents who may or may not be in asame-sex relationship with someone outside the

    home. Instead of comparing heterosexual parentswith same-sex parents, Wainright et al’s threestudies compared a group of heterosexual parentswith another group of (mostly) heterosexual parents.It is not surprising they found “no differences” inchild outcomes between these groups, since they are,for the most part, the same group. The findings of these three studies do not apply at all to same-sexparenting, and form no reasonable basis to concludethat children of same-sex parents are not

    disadvantaged.III. RE-ANALYSIS OF THE WAINRIGHTSTUDIES DATA, AFTER CORRECTING THESAMPLE FLAWS, REVEALS THAT

     ADOLESCENTS WITH MARRIED SAME-SEXPARENTS FARE WORSE THAN THOSE WITHUNMARRIED SAME-SEX PARENTS.

    Petitioners and their amici assume that by grantinglegal marital status to same-sex partners, the

    benefits of opposite-sex marriage will extend indegree and kind to same-sex partnerships,particularly with regard to child well-being. If theharm denial thesis were correct, and any increased

    http://www.ssrn.org/sullinshttp://www.ssrn.org/sullins

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    distress observed among children with same-sexparents were due to factors external to the family,like stigmatization or lack of social standing, then itmay well be alleviated in large part by increasedlegal status. But if the harm denial thesis is notcorrect, and the increased distress is due to factorsinternal to same-sex parent families, asdemonstrated by Regnerus, Allen and Sullins, thenincreased legal status could well exacerbate childharm. Recent additional evidence strongly suggeststhat the latter is the case.

     After correcting the sample to include only clearcases of same-sex parents, Sullins reanalyzed thesame outcome variables used in Wainright et al.’sfirst study. See Wainright, Psychosocial , at 1886.Both APA and ASA agree see, e.g., APA Brief at 24& n.44, that the gold standard Add Health data usedhere are statistically representative, so that thedifferences of this group from other groups can be

    inferred with validity to the U.S. population. Sullinsfound that anxiety was significantly higher forchildren with same-sex parents, confirming hisearlier NHIS findings, see Sullins, Emotional , at 99,and those of Regnerus; but more importantly, thatmarriage of same-sex parents was related todramatically lower child outcomes overall.

     About half of the same-sex parent couples on AddHealth identified as “married.” Since theseinterviews occurred in 1995, it is doubtful that these

    same-sex couples were legally married, but they mayhave been married in a private or religiousceremony, and in any event reported that theyperceived their relationship as one of marriage. The

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    other half of the same-sex parent couples reportedthat they were living with each other in a marriage-like relationship, but were unmarried. Eighty-threepercent of the unmarried parents were divorced orseparated; the remainder were single, nevermarried.

    Comparing the married and unmarried same-sexparents with their opposite-sex counterparts, Sullinsfound that, while outcomes for children with

    opposite-sex parents improved if their parents weremarried, outcomes for children with same-sexparents were notably worse if their parents weremarried.

    Bar charts below and in the Appendix illustrate theresults. Asterisks by a number in the chartsindicate that it can be inferred with confidence to theU.S. population of adolescents; the more asterisks,the greater the confidence.

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    Depressive Symptoms Percent above

    average by Family Type

    56.0%

    47.2% ****50.4%

    87.7% ****

    .00

    .10

    .20

    .30

    .40

    .50

    .60

    .70

    .80

    .90

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 2

    Figure 2 reports results from the Depression scale of the Center for Epidemiological Studies (CES-D), seeLenore Sawyer Radloff, The CES-D scale: A self- report depression scale for research in the general 

     population , 1 A PPLIED PSYCHOLOGICALMEASUREMENTS 385–401 (1977), a widely usedmeasure of depressive symptoms that, according tothe APA, screens for clinical depression “with goodsensitivity and specificity and high internalconsistency.” CENTER FOR EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIESDEPRESSION (CESD),http://www.apa.org/pi/about/publications/caregivers/practice-settings/assessment/tools/depression-scale.aspx (last visited Mar 14, 2015). As used here,

    http://www.apa.org/pi/about/publications/caregivershttp://www.apa.org/pi/about/publications/caregivers

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    it does not indicate clinical depression, but onlyabove-average depressive symptoms. As Figure 2shows, these dropped (from 56% to 47%) withmarried opposite-sex parents, but rose dramatically(from 50% to 88%) with married same-sex parents.

    56.9%51.3%****

    34.0%

    94.9%****

    .00

    .10

    .20

    .30

    .40

    .50

    .60

    .70

    .80

    .90

    1.00

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 3

    Unhappiness

    (Lack of Positive Affect)

    Percent above average by Family Type

    On a CES-D subscale (“Lack of Positive Affect”)measuring unhappiness, shown in Figure 3, 95% ofchildren with married same-sex parents were abovethe average, compared to only an estimated third(34%) of children with unmarried same-sex parents.

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    Child Fearful, Crying 

    every day or almost every day in past 

    year 

    .40 - percent by Family Type

    .20

    .00

    Figure 4

    4.4%***3.1%

    5.4%

    32.4%**

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

     As Figure 4 illustrates, feeling fearful or cryingevery day or almost every day was reported byalmost a third (32.4%) of children with marriedsame-sex parents, but only five percent of childrenwith unmarried same-sex parents.

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    4.65 * 4.51

    6.31 **

    7.10 *

    0

    5

    10

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 5

    Child Anxiety

    by Family Type

    Figure 5 reports that child anxiety, which issignificantly higher overall with same-sex parents,also follows the pattern of being lower withunmarried opposite-sex parents but increasing withmarried same-sex parents.

    Figures 6 and 7 report evidence that stronglyconfirms Regnerus’s findings on the sensitive topic of child sex abuse with same-sex parents. On the Add

    Health interview, adolescents who report that theyhave already had sexual intercourse are asked if they have ever been physically forced to have sexagainst their will. To ensure as honest a response as

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    possible, the adolescents hear the question viaheadphones and record their answers anonymously.

     Almost all the adolescents with same-sex parentsgiving a positive response are females with femalesame-sex parents.

    0%

    50%

    100%

    Were you ever physically forced to have

    sexual intercourse against your will? -

    percent yes (of those ever having sex)

    by Family Type

    12.2% **** 10.0%

    23.5%

    70.5% **

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 6

     As Figure 6 shows, over twice as many adolescentswith same-sex parents reported being forced to havesexual intercourse, and the proportion with married

    same-sex parents who reported forced sex (70.5%),was dramatically higher than the proportion doingso with unmarried same-sex parents (23.5%).

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     Almost one in four children with unmarried same-sex parents, and over two in three children withmarried same-sex parents, reported that they hadbeen forced to have sexual intercourse.

    6.8% **** 3.5% 0.0% (Nocases)

    37.8% **

    0%

    20%

    40%

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sexFigure 7

    Before you were in the 6th grade, had

    one of your parents or other adult care-

    givers touched you in a sexual way,

    forced you to touch him or her in a

    sexual way , or forced you to have sexual

    relations?

    - percent yes by Family Type

     Although the question in Figure 6 does not precludethe possibility of date rape, the association of suchlarge differences with the different family forms

    suggests that a substantial portion of the forced sexoccurred in the family. Figure 7 confirms thissuggestion. This figure reports the responses to aquestion asking whether the responding adolescent

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    had, prior to the sixth grade, ever been forced by aparent or caregiver to have sexual intercourse, or totouch or be touched in a sexual way. Again, over athird of children residing with married same-sexparents reported that they had been sexuallyviolated in this way by a parent or caregiver,compared to relatively small proportions in theremaining three family types, and nominally nochildren residing with unmarried same-sex parents.

    Thus far the six findings presented all exemplify thesame pattern: among opposite-sex parents, movingfrom an unmarried to a married state improvesoutcomes for children; but among same-sex parents,moving from an unmarried to a married statesubstantially degrades child well-being.

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    Years child has been in current family by 

    Family Type 

    10

    5

    0

    10.4 ****

    13.0

    4.0 ****

    10.4

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sexFigure 8

    Figures 8-10 address explanatory suppositions orobjections to a showing of harm raised by Petitionersand their amici. Contrary to the suggestion thatchild emotional harm with same-sex parents wouldbe reduced with more stable parents, Figure 8 showsthat the longer the adolescents were with same-sexparents, the worse they fared. Those who resided

    with married same-sex parents for over ten years, onaverage, fared much worse than those residing withunmarried, mostly divorced, same-sex parents foronly four years, on average. Child harm with same-

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    sex parents may be amplified by a longer time spentwith them, or by marriage itself, or both. In anyevent, the increased harm is clearly not a residualeffect of former relationships.

    People are unfriendly, dislike you

    percent above average by Family Type

    50.0 ****

    44.8

    11.5

    22.7 ****

    0

    30

    60

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 9

    Figure 9 suggests, as Sullins also found on theNHIS, that the increased emotional distress for

    children with same-sex parents is not due topervasive stigma; children with same-sex parentswere, in fact, much less likely to feel that peoplewere unfriendly or disliked them.

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    Parental Warmth 

    Scale score by Family Type 

    4.21 **** 4.344.41

    4.59

    0

    3

    6

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Finally, Figure 10 confirms the widespread researchfinding that same-sex parents are just as loving andcaring, perhaps more so, than are opposite-sexparents. However, the inference that these positiveparenting qualities lead to equivalent or better childoutcomes with same-sex parents is false. Theseadmirable qualities of same-sex parents coexist withthe experience of higher emotional distress for theirchildren, particularly among married same-sexparents.

    This is now the third nationally-representativedataset to report that children with same-sex

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    parents suffer substantially higher distress, or lowerwell-being, than do children with opposite-sexparents. If we include Dr. Allen’s study of highschool graduation differences among Canadianchildren, it is the fourth such study in as manyyears. In addition, the Add Health data stronglysuggest that, for children with same-sex parents,marriage is associated with increased harm.

    If the roster of harm denial studies ever reflected the

    true state of knowledge in the study of same-sexparenting, it emphatically does so no longer. Thelonger social scientists study the question, the moreevidence of harm is found, and the fact that childrenwith same-sex parents suffer significant harm inthat condition, compared to children with opposite-sex parents, particularly among same-sex parentswho identify as married, has been establishedbeyond reasonable doubt.

    CONCLUSION

    Despite intense political bias to suppress thefindings set forth herein, evidence from large,nationally-representative studies has demonstratedthat children raised by same-sex parents,particularly those who identify as married, do notfare as well as those with opposite-sex parents, andmany experience substantial harm. For thesereasons, state laws restricting marriage to opposite-sex partners have a rational basis, and the judgment

    of the Sixth Circuit should be affirmed.

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    Respectfully submitted,

    DAVID C. WALKERCounsel of Record

    2000 S. Colorado Blvd.Tower 2, Suite 700 Denver, CO 80222 Phone (303) 329-3363 [email protected] 

     April 3, 2015

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

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     1a

    Figure 1

    Child Emotional Problems, Developmental

    Disability, and Medical Treatment for Emotional

    Problem by Family Type

    7.4

    10.2

    10.4

    17.4

    19.3

    17.8

    0%

    10%

    20%

    Serious

    Emotional

    Problems

    Developmental

    Disability

    Medical

    treatment for

    emotional

    problem

    Opposite Sex Parents

    Same Sex Parents

    Source: National Health Interview Survey (CDC-NCHS)1997-2013. (N=207,007). Data are a representative sampleof all U.S. children. Contrasts are adjusted for child age,sex and race, and parent education and income, and aresignificant at .01 or better. Sullins, Emotional , at 109,Table 3.

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     2a

    Figure 2 

    Child Depressive Symptoms CES-D)

    percent above average) 

    by Family Type and Marriage 

    .90

    .80

    .70

    .60

    .50

    .40

    .30

    .20

    .10

    .00

    87.7 ****

    56.0

    47.2 ****

    50.4

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. CES-D, Center for EpidemiologicalStudies – Depression Scale. Values shown are notpredictive of clinical disorder. Asterisks indicate

    significance of difference from opposite-sex married: * P <

    .10, ** P < .05 *** P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected ,

    at 14, Table 3.

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     3a

    Figure 3 

    Child Unhappiness 

    CES-D Subscale Lack of Positive Affect: 

    percent above average) 

    by Family Type and Marriage

     

    1.00

    .90

    .80

    .70

    .60

    .50

    .40

    .30

    .20

    .10

    .00

    94.9 ****

    56.9 ****

    51.3

    34.0

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. CES-D, Center for EpidemiologicalStudies – Depression Scale. Values shown are notpredictive of clinical disorder. Asterisks indicate

    significance of difference from opposite-sex married: * P <

    .10, ** P < .05 *** P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected ,at 14, Table 3.

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     4a 

    Figure 4 

    Child Fearful or Crying Every Day or Almost 

    Every Day in the Past Year 

    percent) by Family Type and Marriage 

    4.4 ***

    3.1

    5.4

    32.4 **

    .00

    .20

    .40

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents Asterisks indicate significance of

    difference from opposite-sex married: * P < .10, ** P < .05 ***

    P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected , at 14, Table 3.

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     5a

    4.65*

    4.51

    6.31**

    7.10*

    0

    5

    10

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 5 

    Child Anxiety 

    by Family Type and Marriage 

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health, Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. Anxiety scale range is comprised of 6items, range zero to 24. Asterisks indicate significance of

    difference from opposite-sex married: * P < .10, ** P < .05 ***

    P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected , at 14, Table 3.

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     6a 

    Figure 6 

    “Were you ever physically forced to have sexual 

    intercourse against your will?” - percent “yes” of

    those who have ever had sexual intercourse) 

    by Family Type and Marriage

     

    12.2 ****

    10.0

    23.5

    70.5 **

    0%

    50%

    100%

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. Males were asked, “Did you everphysically force someone….?” All “yes” respondents withsame-sex (lesbian) parents were female. Asterisks indicate

    significance of difference from opposite-sex married: * P <

    .10, ** P < .05 *** P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected ,at 14, Table 3.

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     7a

    Figure 7 

    “Before you were in the 6

    th

    grade, had one of your 

    parents or other adult care-givers touched you in

    a sexual way, forced you to touch him or her in a 

    sexual way, or forced you to have sexual 

    relations?” - percent “yes” by Family Type and 

    Marriage

     

    6.8 ****

    3.5

    0.0 (no

    cases)

    37.8 **

    0%

    20%

    40%

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave III (N=15,197). Data are a representative sample of all U.S. adolescents. Asterisks indicate significance of

    difference from opposite-sex married: * P < .10, ** P < .05 ***

    P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected , at 14, Table 3.

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    Figure 8 

    Years Child has been in Current Family 

    Stability) by Family Type and Marriage 

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. Asterisks indicate significance of

    difference from opposite-sex married: * P < .10, ** P < .05 ***

    P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected , at 14, Table 3.

    8a

    10.4****

    13.0

    4.0****

    10.4

    0

    5

    10

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

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    Figure 9 

    People are unfriendly or dislike you CES-D

    Interpersonal Subscale: percent above average) 

    by Family Type and Marriage 

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. CES-D, Center for EpidemiologicalStudies – Depression Scale. Values shown are notpredictive of clinical disorder. Asterisks indicate

    significance of difference from opposite-sex married: * P <

    .10, ** P < .05 *** P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected ,

    at 14, Table 3.

    9a

    50.0****

    44.8

    11.5

    22.7****

    0

    30

    60

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

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     10a

    4.21**** 4.34 4.41

    4.59

    0

    3

    6

    Unmarried Married Unmarried Married

    Opposite-sex Same-sex

    Figure 10 

    Parental Warmth and Caring child-rated) by 

    Family Type and Marriage 

    Source: National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health,Wave I (N=20,746). Data are a representative sample of allU.S. adolescents. Asterisks indicate significance of

    difference from opposite-sex married: * P < .10, ** P < .05 ***

    P < .01 **** P < .0001 Sullins, Unexpected , at 14, Table 3.