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Jobs, GVA and UK content in offshore wind O&M Alun Roberts, BVG Associates

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Page 1: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Jobs, GVA and UK content in offshore wind O&M

Alun Roberts, BVG Associates

Page 2: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

About BVG Associates

© BVG Associates 2012

• FIT project development (UK only)

• SCADA & condition monitoring

• O&M technical support

2

Project implementation

Publications

Market analysis & business development

• Supply chain development

• Economic impact assessment

• Support to industrialisation

• Support to investment in technology

• R&D programme management

• Design and engineering services

Technical innovation & engineering analysis

Page 3: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Agenda

• Why is measuring the economic

impact of an offshore wind farm

important?

• About Robin Rigg and UK content in

construction.

• Measuring economic impact of O&M

– issues and methodology.

• Findings.

• Engaging with stakeholders and

issues for the future.

3 © BVG Associates 2012

Page 4: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Why offshore wind? Green, black or blue?

• Green?

To help the UK meet its legal and moral

obligations to address climate change..

• Black?

To keep the lights on through security

and diversity of supply.

• Blue (collar)?

To create new skilled jobs by stimulating

economic development.

4 © BVG Associates 2011

Page 5: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Economic impact is high on the agenda

• “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a

competitive supply chain in the UK, providing over 50% of the content of

offshore wind farm projects”.

Offshore Wind Developers Forum, February 2012

• “Whenever, we have meetings with clients, UK content is always high on the

agenda”.

Business development manager, wind turbine manufacturer

• At least three Round 3 developers will require contractors to report UK content.

• But ... although some analyses of UK content in offshore wind capital

expenditure, no assessment of operational expenditure publicly available -

generally assumed to be high, eg Vestas commissioned study suggested 95

per cent.

5 © BVG Associates 2012

Page 6: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

About Robin Rigg O&M

• Wind farm in Scottish Territorial

Waters but operations base at

Workington, Cumbria and Grid

connection at Seaton, Cumbria.

• Base operated by E.ON with

Vestas technicians co-located.

• Workboat operated by local

company Solway Maritime.

• Grid transmission assets

transferred to OFTO in March

2011 but E.ON provides

maintenance services.

6 © BVG Associates 2012

Page 7: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Robin Rigg construction

• Reasonable level of UK content, at the high

end of figures reported for projects so far.

• Low level of local content, particularly in

Dumfries and Galloway.

• Some Cumbria content: offshore construction

support, O&M base and onshore grid.

• “Benefit for local communities and the regional

economy would require to be proven to

address the anticipated significant adverse

effects of the developments.”

Blue Seas - Green Energy: A Sectoral Marine

Plan for Offshore Wind Energy in Scottish

Territorial Waters - on Solway Firth and

Wigtown Bay projects, March 2011 7 © BVG Associates 2012

32%

5%7%

20%

68%

Cumbria1.3%

Other NW3.3%

Dumfries and

Galloway0.2%

Other Scotland

7%North West

Scotland

Other UK

Overseas

UK

Source: UK content analysis of Robin Rigg

offshore wind farm, E.ON Climate &

Renewables, October 2011

Page 8: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

About the analysis - geography

8 © BVG Associates 2012

Wind farm supplier

UK

North west England

Cumbria

Other north west

Scotland

Dumfries and Galloway

Other Scotland

Other UK

Overseas

Page 9: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

About the analysis – types of activity

9 © BVG Associates 2012

Activity Scope

Turbine maintenance Maintenance of the wind turbines

Balance of plant

maintenance

Maintenance of substations, cables and

foundations

Environmental services Environmental monitoring and analysis

Marine operations Vessel hire and maintenance, fuel, berthing

Fixed costs Insurance and legal, administration, rent, onshore

base maintenance, transmission use of system

charges.

Page 10: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Economic impacts of O&M

• Direct value. That which is generated through the activities of those companies with personnel dedicated to the O&M of the wind farm, ie E.ON, Vestas and Solway Maritime.

• Indirect value. That which is generated down the supply chain. Most of this value is generated through transactions involving EC&R, including that within the company.

• Induced value. That which is generated by those working directly or indirectly for the project, who spend their salaries which recirculates the money into the economy.

• Value is apportioned as far as possible to the economic activity.

• UK content = direct and indirect GVA generated in UK. Assumed that significant value is not leaked in lower tiers of the supply chain.

• Induced GVA derived from multipliers.

• Calculated jobs (FTEs) from GVA figures, using assumptions on labour costs, and

the labour content in a given area of expenditure.

10 © BVG Associates 2012

Page 11: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Issues to consider

• Based on transactions involving

the wind farm, but does not

include OFTO transactions nor

E.ON head office operational and

asset management personnel.

• Analysis a snap-shot in time –

May 2010 (first full month of

operation) to April 2011.

• Provides “an” answer not “the”

answer. Some differences in costs

for 2010 and 2011 and this will

continue.

11 © BVG Associates 2012

Page 12: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Overall content results

12 © BVG Associates 2012

UK86%

NW England

39%

Scotland6%

Other UK41%

Overseas14% Cumbria

34%

Other NW England

5%Dumfries

&

Galloway4%

Other Scotland

2%

Overhead45%

Turbine35%

Marine operations

12%

Environmental

5%

Balance of plant

4%Environmental

Page 13: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Turbine maintenance Environmental services

13 © BVG Associates 2012

Cumbria71%

Other NW5%

Other UK11%

Overseas13%

UK87%

North west

75%

Cumbria1%

Other northwest

15%

Dumfries and

Galloway83%

Other UK1%

Scotland83%

North west16%

Page 14: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Fixed costs/overheads

14 © BVG Associates 2012

Cumbria5%

Other north west

2%

Dumfries and

Galloway2% Other

Scotland

1%

Other UK68%

Overseas22%

North west7%

UK78%

Scotland3%

Insurance and legal

45%

Transmission costs

40%

Onshore site

maintenance6%

Rent, rates and

services3%

General

administration

2%

Other4%

Onshore site maintenance

General administration

Transmission costs

Page 15: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Marine operations

15 © BVG Associates 2012

Cumbria50%

Other UK41%

UK100%

North west

50%

Scotland9%

Vessel charter

37%

Maintenance

33%

Dock services

15%

Fuel9%

Other6%

Maintenance

Page 16: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Balance of plant services

16 © BVG Associates 2012

High voltage

electrical39%

Cables29%

Foundation

21%

Other11%

Foundation

Cumbria15%

Other north west

44%

Scotland1%

North west

59%

Other UK40%

UK100%

Page 17: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Annual jobs and GVA

17 © BVG Associates 2012

0

2

4

6

8

10

Cumbria Other North

West

Dumfries and

Galloway

Other Scotland

Other UK

GV

A (£m

)

Direct Indirect Induced

0

50

100

150

Cumbria Other North

West

Dumfries and

Galloway

Other Scotland

Other UK

Full ti

me e

qujiva

lents

Direct Indirect Induced

• Very little non-local, regional content, ie impact is either associated close to

the wind farm base or widely distributed.

Page 18: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

Economic benefit and stakeholder management

• Analyses help developers to be on the front foot.

Possible to model benefits ahead of wind farm

completion.

• Clearer identification of opportunities for local

businesses.

• National and local approach different.

• O&M economic impact is key area in demonstrating

long-term benefit to local communities.

• Construction economic impact studies tend to have a

national or regional audience. Local engagement

could backfire if opportunities don’t materialise.

18 © BVG Associates 2012

Page 19: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

The future

• The pattern could change if:

o There is critical mass, either from large

wind farm or a number of smaller ones

– useful to observe how situation

develops at places such as Lowestoft,

Mostyn, Ramsgate and Grimsby.

o The O&M strategy involves a

mothership. The main base will be a

larger port but since day to day access

is not needed from port, the economic

benefits may be more widely

distributed.

19 © BVG Associates 2012

Offshore Kinetics mothership concept

Page 20: Alun Roberts, BVG Associates€¦ · Economic impact is high on the agenda • “The UK to be the centre for offshore wind technology and deployment, with a competitive supply chain

and to

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