alternative to the human capital model signals, sorting, screening high mrp = $4low mrp = $2 two...

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Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4 Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers be paid if firms cannot observe MRP?

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Page 1: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Alternative to the Human Capital Model

Signals, Sorting, Screening

High MRP = $4 Low MRP = $2

Two equally sized groups in the population

What will be workers be paid if firms cannot observe MRP?

Page 2: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Alternative to the Human Capital ModelSignals, Sorting, Screening

High MRP = $4 Low MRP = $2

Two equally sized groups in the population

How much would a firm be willing to pay to know MRP?

Let x be the screening cost

0.5*(4) + 0.5*(0) = 0.5((3+x)) + 0.5x

$0.5 = x

Page 3: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Alternative to the Human Capital ModelSignals, Sorting, Screening

High MRP = $4 Low MRP = $2

Two equally sized groups in the population

What happens to wages if one firm can observe MRP?

Page 4: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Firm wants to know who will be a productive, honest, reliable, motivated, innovative worker

Needs cheap mechanisms to sort workers

Page 5: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Firm Loss from Theft by Employees

Bureau of National Affairs Annual estimate $15 – 25 billion

US Chamber of Commerce Annual estimate $40 billion

Annual loss from street crime: $4 billion

Screening Methods

Page 6: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Illegal: Sex,

Race, Religion,

National Origin, Ethnicity

Marital Status, Disability (limited)

Age (limited), Arrests,

Citizenship (limited)

Page 7: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Drug Tests

It is estimated that 35-40% of major U.S. organizations use drug testing, & about 15% of applicants test positive

Most screening tests cost about $30 per test, while most confirmatory tests are about $100

Screening Methods

Page 8: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Lie Detectors

• ~2 million per year in 1980s• Employee Polygraph Protection Act (1988)

prohibited the use of polygraph tests in most instances

• Illegal in 22 states• Expensive

Page 9: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Integrity (Honesty) Tests • 40% of Fortune 100 use some form of

psychological test; not all honesty tests• 5 million/year (1990s)

• Average Cost : $12-$15 (much cheaper than lie detector)

• “Tests the potential for dishonesty, theft, and other deviant behaviors”

Page 10: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Reported Results from RCS test• 6.1 % Admit to Workers Comp Fraud • 10.8 % Admit to Current Drug Abuse • 6.6 % Admit to Theft Behavior • 7.1 % Admit to Dependability Problems • 3.1 % Admit to Violent Behavior

http://www.rcsservicesinc.com/home.asp

25% reportedly fail the Stanton Honesty Test

Page 11: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Are these tests Valid?

• Companies report decline in theft from use

• False positives costly?

• False negatives costly?

If tests have few false negatives, they may be cost effective, even if they have many false positives

Page 12: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Sample questionsIf you saw someone stealing on the job, would you

turn that person in to the boss?Is stealing from one’s job a common occurrence?Do you think people who steal do it because they

always have?Is it all right to bend company rules as long as it

does not become a habit?Is it all right for employees to use a sick day for

reasons other than illness?

Page 13: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Sample questionsAre you always completely truthful with yourself?Did you ever cheat in school?Do you ever worry about what other people think

of you? Would you return money to a store if a clerk gave

you too much change?Have you ever wished you could change

something about yourself?Have you ever made a mistake on the job?

Page 14: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Can education be used as a screening device?

Assume if education e*

High MRP = $4

Pay W = $4

Assume if education <e*

Low MRP = $2

Pay W = $2

Assume MP does not change with years of schooling

Page 15: Alternative to the Human Capital Model Signals, Sorting, Screening High MRP = $4Low MRP = $2 Two equally sized groups in the population What will be workers

Screening Methods

Evidence regarding education as a screening device

1) College dropouts earn the same as those who never went to college

2) Rising education requirements for low-skill jobs

3) Education is a very expensive screening device

4) Self-employed have similar education levels as employees