allan kern, p. e. owner and president, apc performance,...

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Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLC

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Page 1: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLC

Page 2: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Preamble

Grew out of 10+ year effort to improve, not replace, model-based control

A natural continuation of that work, for the benefit of industry

Today’s presentation is “selected APC topics” ╸Technical presentation/information available online

Thesis is an impending update to APC 1.0 paradigm

Slide 2

Page 3: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

APC 2.0 Presentation contents

Built-in DCS functionality (think function blocks) Emphasis on basic process control (not opt.) Matrix is the core concept (not model-based control) Automated modeling will not resolve MPC issues ╸just as auto-tuning was unable to resolve PID

Model-less control theory: RPC® Rate-Predictive Control (single-loop) ╸Inherently adaptive (think “naturally self-tuning”) ╸This has always been the grail of process control

XMC® Model-less matrix control (multivariable) ╸“Pre-certified” – automates traditional (pre-computer)

industrial process operation methods

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Page 4: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Built-in / Agile / “Operational” APC 2.0 Solution

Native (built into) DCS (think function blocks) Owned by site process control engineers ╸And applied by site operating team

No ongoing cost or maintenance req’ments Intuitive to operators (not complex/confusing) No barriers (time/cost/resource) Scalable, agile, operational, etc. (flexible tool) Core competency of process industries Organic vs. monolithic paradigm Compare to evolution of similar technology: ╸Alarm Management and GPS

Slide 4

Page 5: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Behold the matrix!

Slide 5

The most important and (ultimately) enduring contribution to APC from the model-based era ╸not “model-based control”

Defines the constraint management and optimization scenario of essentially every industrial process

The “same page” for control engineers, process engineers, operations team, and RTO

ICV 1 2 3 4 5 6

51AI110 51AI115 51AI116 51AI125 51PC105 51PDI104

DCV NAP90 KERO90 KEROFLSH DSL90 PRESSURE TOP DP

1 51TC102 HEATER +1

2 51FC103 STEAM +1

3 51FC128 PUMP-AR -1 -1

4 51TC106 TOP TEMP +1 +1 +1 +1

5 51FC112 KERO DRAW +1 +1

6 51FC122 DIESEL DRAW +1

7 51HC128A PA BYPASS +1 +1

Page 6: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Optimization pyramid:

Planning Level (RTO) ╸Planning, process engr., maintenance ╸Site or enterprise wide (no horizon limit)

Operating Level ╸Chain of command, field operators,

console operators, business tools, etc.

Control System Level ╸Goal is to close loops ╸Manage dynamic constraints / matrix ╸Optimization is misplaced focus at this

level

Slide 6

Local

Global

Automation horizon

Op. Team horizon

Page 7: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Automated remodeling is the latest (but not last) attempt to overcome structural limitations

Models change ╸short-lived, often dynamic, anything but durable

Model-based performance is not appropriate in most applications

Vastly over-engineered solution ╸Large matrix vs. small matrix design practice ╸Embedded optimizer vs. configured objectives

“Aha” (structural issues): ╸PID and MPC have followed same trajectory!

Slide 7

Page 8: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Rate-Predictive Control (RPC®) (Patented)

Inherently adaptive to changes in process gain

Preset move rate

SP or Target change

and to changes in move size

RPC®

Slide 8

Page 9: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

XMC® Model-less multivariable control method

5-Second Period

1. Based on gain directions, constraints and targets

Automates traditional proven operating methods Reliably captures multivariable control value

2. Based on experience, procedures & knowledge

3. Novel method to taper moves predictively

Directional Move-Solver

Pre-Selected Move Rates

Rate-Predictive Control (RPC®)

Slide 9

Page 10: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Value in solving a demanding problem in a simple way

As simple as possible, but not simpler Build a better mouse trap Everyone got a microwave, but nobody got rid of

their oven

Slide 10

Model-less:

Model-based:

Page 11: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Who will benefit from model-less control?

Control and Process Engineers ╸A more agile and accessible tool to meet everyday

challenges

Supervisors and Managers ╸A more cost-effective and manageable alternative

Advanced process control community ╸Compelling theoretical foundation and practical

basis

Control system manufacturers ╸Add value by building model-less technology into

product offerings

Slide 11

Page 12: Allan Kern, P. E. Owner and President, APC Performance, LLCapcperformance.com/assets/APC_227073.0_by_Kern.pdf · Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop

Conclusions

Industry is in a position to re-evaluate the PID and MPC paradigms, now with viable alternatives for comparison

Due to structural limitations, model-based technology will continue to underserve industry as an operational technology

Model-less technology is breakthrough technology, both single-loop and multivariable, with notable industry firsts

Inherently adaptive control is the grail of process control, and multivariable control is an essential core-competency

Model-less technology would be competitive in any environment, today it should be especially welcome!

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