alberta’s solar pv value chain opportunity · 2020-02-21 · worldwide, global solar pv market is...
TRANSCRIPT
2019-03-301
ALBERTA’S SOLAR PV VALUE CHAIN OPPORTUNITY
16 January 2020, Calgary, Alberta
Solas Solar PV Value Chain Study2
1. Identify the solar PV value chain opportunity for Alberta
2. Determine Alberta’s ability to capture the solar PV value chain.
3. Identify the jobs associated with potential deployment scenarios to 2030
4. Identify the existing training opportunities
What is a Value Chain?3
A value chain is a set of activities completed within an industry to deliver a valuable product or service for the market.
This study focused on Solar Photovoltaics only Rooftop solar PV and
ground-mount solar PV Does not include
Building Integrated Solar PV
Energy Storage
Global Solar Industry
2019-03-30
4H
isto
ry
Solar PV cost is plummetingBetween 2009 and 2017, the levelized cost of energy for utility-scale solar PV fell by 86 percent
Solar PV historic growth has been meteoric
Cur
rent 2018 global solar PV capacity is
over 500 GW (Gigawatts)
Fore
cast
Solar PV cost continues to decreaseThe levelized cost of solar energy is expected tocontinue to decrease by 25 percent between 2017 and 2022.
Solar PV deployment continues to growDeployment is expected to grow globally at about 20 percent per year by 2022.
1 Lazard, “Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis — Version 11.0” (report, 2017), 10.
GLOBAL43%ANNUAL GROWTH
SOLAR PV MARKET 1990-2016
GLOBAL20%ANNUAL GROWTH
SOLAR PV MARKET 2017-2022
Alberta and Solar PV5
30%ALBERTA’S SOLAR RESOURCESIMILAR TO MIAMI, FLORIDARIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL
CLIMATE LEADERSHIP PLAN SOLAR RESOURCE
ENERGY FROMRENEWABLESBY 2030DEPLOYED
Alberta’s Current Solar PV Market6
43 MWDEPLOYEDTOTAL
ALBERTA
AESO CONNECTION QUEUE
Solar PV
67 PROJECTS3,794 MW
305 SOLAR COMPANIES83% supportROOFTOP
DEPLOYMENT TODAY’s BUSINESSES
TRAINING
16TRAINING
PROVIDERSDecember 2019
Alberta’s Deployment Scenario to 20307
MW DC
UTILITY 2,081
COMMUNITY 389
FARM/COMMERCIAL
224
RESIDENTIAL 5660
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
MW
DC
Dep
loye
d
Utility - Ground Mount (MW) Community Generation (Distribution Connected - Ground Mount) (MW) Farm - Ground Mount (MW) Commercial - Rooftop (MW) Residential - Rooftop (MW)
Utility
CommunityFarm/CommercialResidential
P. McGarrigle, L. Olien, C. Chiu, Alberta Solar MarketOutlook — A view to 2030, Version 5.0, November 25, 2017.
Deployment and Growth Rates based on study U.S. Solar Market Insight Full Report 2016 Year in Review 3
3 U.S. Solar Market Insight Full Report 2016 Year in Review, GTM Research and Solar Energy Industries Association.3,261 DEPLOYED
BY 2030
SOLAR PVMWDC
8
Red Deer 4,433
Lethbridge 3,642
Calgary 38,428
Edmonton 34,238
Potential Rooftop Installations by 2030
GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTIONPotential Ground-mount
Installations by 2030
Only about 10% difference in resource
across Alberta.
Within 10 km of existing transmission, distribution systems and substations
Most rooftop applications will be in the major citiesGround-mount will be along utility corridors
Six Life Stages of Solar PV9
Development Design Manufacturing Install Operations & Maintenance Decommission
Alberta’s 2030 Solar PV Value 10
$4.1
VALUE CHAIN MARKET VALUE SOLAR PV DEPLOYMENT
3,261SOLAR PVBILLION DOLLARS
VALUEBY 2030
SOLAR PVMWDC
DEPLOYEDBY 2030
Alberta’s Current Capacity to Access the Solar PV Market Value is 15% ($630M) of Total Market Value
11
ROOFTOP & GROUND-MOUNT (2019-2030)
CURRENT CAPACITY$630M
1 CURRENTCAPACITYALBERTA’s
Alberta Solar PV Market Value by Opportunity12
1 CURRENTCAPACITY
ALBERTA’s2 GROWTHOPPORTUNITY
ALBERTA’s
VALUE
3 VALUEEXTERNAL
Alberta’s Growth Opportunity Value13
• Growth Opportunity: $537 million. • Legal, Finance and Commercial, Technical Advisers, Site
and System Design segments: Over $100 million each
Development and Design
• Growth Opportunity: $1.3 billion. • Balance-of-system segment: $0.77 billion• Mounting system segment: $0.52 billion.
Manufacturing
• Growth Opportunity: $377 million• Electrical works segment: $218 million. Installation
2 GROWTHOPPORTUNITY
ALBERTA’s
VALUE
Potential Solar PV Jobs
JOB OPPORTUNITIES
15
Over 60 different types of jobs associated with the Solar PV industry.Jobs are diverse and leverage existing skills in Alberta.
Solar PV Specific Jobs: A Sample
2019-03-30
16
Manufacturing System Design Project Development Installation and Operations
• Computer Numerical Control Operator
• Advanced Manufacturing Technician
• Instrumentation and Electronics Technician
• Process Control Technician
• Instrumentation and Electronics Technician
• Quality Assurance Specialist
• Electrical Engineer
• IT Specialist• Residential PV System
Designer• Engineering Technician• Utility Interconnection
Engineer• Civil Structural Engineer• Power Systems Engineer• Solar Energy Systems
Designer
• Solar Site Assessor• Solar Marketing
Specialist• Solar Sales
Representative• Code official with Solar
Expertise• Electrical Inspector with
Solar Expertise• Building Inspector with
Solar Expertise• Solar Utility
Procurement Specialist
• Solar Assembler/Basic Installer
• Roofer with Solar Expertise
• Solar crew chief• Solar PV Installer• Solar Service Technician
(residential)• Solar PV Technician
(commercial/utility)• Electrician with Solar
Expertise
https://www.irecsolarcareermap.org/
17
Rooftop Groundmount TotalOperations 159.0 786.0 945.0Induced 546.0 1317.0 1863.0Other direct 573 1250 1823Manufacturing 387.0 916.0 1303.0Construction and Installation 1067.0 2755.0 3822.0
01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000
10,000
Jobs
in 2
030
(FTE
)
2,732
7,024
9,756 Construction and Installation employment is the largest sector.
Almost 9,800 Solar jobs required by 2030
TRAINING ASSESSMENT
Training Opportunities19
Specific courses are available for rooftop solar PV: Designing solar PV rooftop Installing solar PV modules Commissioning residential rooftop
installations Several institutions offer classes or
options that contain renewable energy or sustainability content.
Nine Rooftop Solar Training Providers (7 Alberta based)
20
Name Location Duration CertificationEverblue Online and USA Online and 2 days in-person NABCEP
Grid Works Energy Edmonton 5-day course CSA
Light up the World Edmonton 40 hours training N/A
NAIT Edmonton 2-year program N/ASolar Energy International Online and Colorado,
USA5-day course NABCEP
Solar Installers Canada Calgary 35 hours CSA
SAIT Calgary 40-hour course for certified journeyman electricians
N/A
Solar Energy Society of Alberta
Edmonton Various courses N/A
Northern Lakes College Slave Lake 5-day course CSA
Sustainability Training & RE Options
2019-03-30
21
Institution Course
MacEwan University Business 201 — Introduction to Sustainable BusinessLakeland College Renewable Energy and Conservation (Certificate/Diploma)
Lethbridge College Solar 101 for homeownersMedicine Hat College Introduction to SolarMount Royal Strategic Sustainability and the Energy IndustryRed Deer College Alternative Energy LabUniversity of Alberta Faculty of Engineering – Energy and Environment
Graduate courses – MEC E 643 Renewable energy Engineering & Sustainability
University of Calgary Continuing Education – BMC 252 – Renewable Energy TechnologiesFaculty of Engineering – ENG 355 Introduction to Energy and the EnvironmentFaculty of Engineering – ENG 507 Introduction to Sustainable DevelopmentFaculty of Engineering – ENG 575 Alternative Energy SystemsFaculty of Business – Energy Management 301 – Electricity ManagementFaculty of Business – FNCE 559 Renewable Power Generation FinanceGraduate degree – Masters in Sustainable Energy Development
Energy Efficiency Training & RE Options22
Name Provider Location Duration CertificationIntroduction to Measurement & Verification
Canadian Institute for Energy Training (CIET)
Various across Canada 1-day N/A
Efficient Building Envelope (EBE)
CIET Various across Canada 2-days N/A
Energy Efficiency for Building Operators & Maintenance Staff
CIET Various across Canada 2-days N/A
Certified RETScreenExpert (CRE)
CIET Various across Canada 3-days CRE
BOMA e-Energy Training
Building Owners & Managers Association of BC
Online 6-months N/A
Conclusions23
Worldwide, global solar PV market is one of the fastest growing technologies for power generation.
Alberta has an opportunity to be part of this global industry. Alberta solar PV market value could be over $4 billion by 2030,
with over $3 billion accessible to Alberta based businesses. Market opportunity can be increased by accessing export
opportunities. Taking key steps now will ensure that Alberta has a place on the
global stage for this industry sector that complements its current energy base.