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Albedo effects on PV yields Richard Meyer ISES Webinar November 20 th 2018

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Page 1: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Albedo effects on PV yields

Richard MeyerISES Webinar November 20th 2018

Page 2: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Questions this presentation wants to answer

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1. What is surface albedo? 2. How albedo affects solar yield? 3. Main aspects to consider concerning albedo & PV

Page 3: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

What is the meaning of albedo?

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Albedo from Latin meaning “whiteness”

The albedo ! of a surface is the fraction of the incident sunlight that the surface reflects.

Ratio of the total upwelling radiative flux "#to the downwelling solar flux "$

Simple view: isotropic reflection = same in all directions.

Complex analysis: actually surface reflects differently in various directions:Bi-Directional Reflectance Functions (BDRF)

[email protected] ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields

! = "#"$

Source: GIS stackexchange

Page 4: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

How to measure albedo on the ground?

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Albedometer using 2 pyranometers(Hukseflux SRA20 high quality albedometer)

source: Kipp & Zonen source: Hukseflux

Page 5: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

How to measure albedo on the ground?

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Albedometer using photodiode sensorsAlbedometer using 2 pyranometers(Hukseflux SRA20 high quality albedometer)

source: Hukseflux source: Suntrace

Page 6: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Global irradiance on the tilted surface (GTI) of PV modules

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GTI or Plane of Array (POA) irradiance

is calculated from Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI), terrain albedo, and instantaneous sun position.

GTI = f (GHI, DNI, SE, SA, Albedo)

© B. Duffie et al. (2013)

Page 7: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Calculations for Global Horiontal Irradiance GHI = 1000 W/m² & Diffuse Horizontal DHI= 200 W/m², solar zenith angle !" = $%°

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© Suntrace 2018

Page 8: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Typical values of surface albedo

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The reflectance properties are highly variable for different surfaces. Albedo values can largely vary from site to site

Some examples:

Natural surface types

Typical albedo values

Forest 5% – 15%

Grassland 10% – 25%

Sand 15% – 40%

Snow 50% – 95%

Water 5% – 12%

Page 9: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Surface albedo can have signifcant seasonal variability

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source: Zhang et al. (2010)

Page 10: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Practical issues of ground measured albedo

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source: Google Earth

Page 11: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Practical issues of albedo ground measurements

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=1ha

• For representative measurements, installation heights of >> 10 meters recommended. But leads to difficulties with installation & regular cleaning!

• Surface can be quite heterogenous within one PV lot covering many km2

• Disturbing objects can influence the measurement result

• You cannot measure back into time!

Page 12: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Satellite-derived albedo can build on long archivesand covers all sites on Earth

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© Suntrace 2018 MODIS MCD43A3© Suntrace 2018 MODIS MCD43A3

Page 13: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

How does albedo affect PV yield?

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GTI is enhanced by high ground albedo

Þ higher yields also for conventional PV (without gains from backside)

Bifacial modules taking advantage of harvesting the also illuminated backside. Þ may lead to much stronger effects.

© Suntrace 2018

Page 14: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Which software tools calculate albedo effects?

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Most PV performance simulation tools consider enhanced GTI through albedo since long

Effects on bifacial modules are new for many: • SAM updated last week to consider also bifacial modules.• PVSOL updated recently for bifacial modules. • pvlib has a basic code, which is under improvement. • PVSyst has been offering bifacial module services for quite some time now.

All these tools only consider isotropic albedo – none BDRF. But this shortcoming is sufficient for most PV applications.

The following case studies are based on simulations using PVSyst.

Page 15: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Annual Energy Production (AEP) of various PV technologiessignifcantly increases with higher albedo

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Gain of AEP per % albedo: ΔAEP/Δα

Example 50 MW AC plant in TunesiaAC/DC = 1.3

Albedo Range

Thin Film Poly-SI BifacialPoly-SI

0-10% 8.4 MWh/% 8.5 MWh/% 314 MWh/%

10-20% 8.4 MWh/% 8.5 MWh/% 294 MWh/%

20-30% 8.4 MWh/% 8.5 MWh/% 272 MWh/%© Suntrace 2018

Page 16: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Bifacial modules quite sensitive on tilt angle

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Tilt (deg) © Suntrace 2018

Page 17: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Bifacial takes good advantage of high pitch = large distance between rows

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Row distance (m) © Suntrace 2018

Page 18: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Optimization of PV layouts should consider tilt angles together with row distance!

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Bifacial layouts show optimum at slightly higher tilt than monofacial.

Page 19: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Example for strong albedo differences in Namibia

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Source: Google Earth

Page 20: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Example for strong albedo differences in Namibia

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©Suntrace source : MODIS MCD43A3

Albedo differences withinarea of 25 km x 25 km around PV site:• Mean: 14.7%• Max: 22.4%• Min: 10.7%

• Spread: 11.7%

Albedo at PV-site: 19.0%

Page 21: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Translated for the case in Tunisia & albedo increase of only 10%

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Albedo increase of 10% for the 50 MW AC plant with bifacial poly-Si modulesÞ additional yield may reach almost +3%.Þ +161 kUSD additional yield each year assuming 55 USD/MWh!

Page 22: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Main apects to consider for albedo & PV

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• Albedo of the ground depends strongly on soil type, and vegetation: • One site can be more favourable than the other, and • within one lot there might be substantially brighter and darker regions:

might earn >100 kUSD per year for a 50 MW plant when placing bifacial in bright regions.

• Ground albedo at a site varies temporally: • changes with soil moisture – even more throughout the vegetation period.

• can change strongly at a PV site due to land change with erecting the PV plant!

• Albedo tricky to measure on the ground, not easy also from satellite.• Albedo generally increases the diffuse radiation component => favourable for PV

• High albedo shows some positive effect on conventional PV modules.• Albedo increase has a strong gain for bifacial modules

• Suntrace measures albedo with HelioScale solar measurement stations, combines it with satellite-derived albedo in advanced solar resource assessments, and provides PV yield assessments & techno-economic optimization considering albedo.

Page 23: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

What we doWe assist in all phases of the project development chain: origination, feasibility, project qualification, finance and construction. Our services cover the areas solar resource, technology and engineering as well as economics and finance.

S O L A R R E S O U R C E

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& E

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F I N A N C E

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Ass

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Site

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Eng

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Engineering

Technical Concept

Energy Yield Simulation

EPC T endering

Technology Selection/

Business Case Development

Financial Modelling

Finance & Investm

entStructuring

& A

rranging

Construction

Operation & Maintenance

Feasibility

Qualification

Financing

Suntrace Mappe RZ_1 mm.indd 2 01.09.15 13:02

Thanks for your attention & feel free to contact us

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Suntrace supports solar projects from initial concept to full realizationwith a holistic view through combining meteorological | technical | financial expertise all under one roof

[email protected] ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields

Suntrace Managing Director (CTO)Dr. Richard MeyerE: [email protected]: +49 40 767 9638-0

Page 24: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

back up slides

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Page 25: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Instrument options offered with Suntrace HelioScale stations

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Type 2 x Si-photodiodes

2 x moderate qual.thermopile

2 x high qualitythermopilepyranometer

ISO 9060:1990 First Class Secondary StandardUncertainty 5 % 3 % 1.5%Broadband uncertainty

7% 4.2% 2.2%

Estimated PV-specific albedouncertainty

4% 5 % 3 %

© Suntrace, 2018 preliminary results

Page 26: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Fixed PV parks profit more by bifacial modules

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Page 27: Albedo effects on PV yields - ISES Home | ISES · Richard.Meyer@Suntrace.de ISES Webinar November 2018: Albedo effects on PV yields 25 Type 2 x Si-photodiodes 2 x moderate qual. thermopile

Impact of height of PV panels on energy production

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