al-qaeda chief ayman al-zawahiri the coordinator 2015 part 4-1-aqis-7

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Intel to Rent C de Waart [email protected] In Confidence Al-Qaeda chief Ayman al-Zawahiri The Coordinator 2015 Part 4-1-AQIS-7 Why is There No Storm in Your Ocean 1 ? With ISIS stealing its thunder, al Qaeda declares jihad on India South Asia faces a terrorist threat that has never been greater even though for the present it may seem at a low ebb with West Asia and Africa taking centre stage. Nevertheless, the subcontinent, home to over one-third of humanity, mostly poor, has more terrorist groups and terrorists than any other part of the world. The ISIS is preparing to "to trigger a war in India" to provoke an "Armageddon-like 'end of the world'" according to a recruitment document of the terrorist group that was found in Pakistan. C: the plan in itself is not unique; the Mumbai attack was mentioned to do exactly that. (In November 2008, 10 Pakistani members of Lashkar-e-Taiba, an Islamic militant organisation, carried out a series of 12 coordinated shooting and bombing attacks lasting four days across Mumbai) Islamic State secretly planning to provoke 'end of the world' by attacking India to try and entice USA into all-out war, document reveals Urdu document passed to U.S. media by Pakistani with links to the Taliban Preparations underway to attack India as a way of enticing U.S. into battle Urges Taliban factions to join with ISIS in bid to form a worldwide caliphate Worldwide caliphate will 'behead every person that rebels against Allah' U.S. intelligence officials say they believe the document is authentic A recruitment document understood to be written by ISIS militants has revealed the terrorist group's plans for all-out war to bring about 'the end of the world'. The Urdu document, passed to the American Media Institute by a Pakistani citizen connected to the Taliban, reveals the scale of the ambition of ISIS, including targeting India to provoke the U.S. to intervene. It details how they are urging the units of the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban into one army with ISIS, and asking al-Qaeda to join ISIS to forge a caliphate. 'Accept the fact that this caliphate will survive and prosper until it takes over the entire world and beheads every last person that rebels against Allah,' the document, seen by USA Today, reads. Preparations for an attack on India are underway, it adds, which ISIS leaders hope will end with a war with the U.S. 'Even if the U.S. tries to attack with all its allies, which undoubtedly it will, the ummah [world's global community] will be united, resulting in the final battle', it adds. The pamphlet outlines a plan to target U.S. soldiers as they pull out from Afghanistan, kill American diplomats and attack Pakistani officials. U.S. intelligence 1 http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/India/document/papers/Wts.pdf The general mandate of authority.. 1 The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see. –Winston Churchill Cees de Waart: Intel to Rent Page 1 of 22 04/08/2022

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Page 1: Al-Qaeda chief Ayman al-Zawahiri The Coordinator 2015 Part 4-1-AQIS-7

Intel to Rent C de Waart [email protected] In Confidence

Al-Qaeda chief Ayman al-Zawahiri The Coordinator 2015 Part 4-1-AQIS-7Why is There No Storm in Your Ocean1?

With ISIS stealing its thunder, al Qaeda declares jihad on India

South Asia faces a terrorist threat that has never been greater even though for the present it may seem at a low ebb with West Asia and Africa taking centre stage. Nevertheless, the subcontinent, home to over one-third of humanity, mostly poor, has more terrorist groups and terrorists than any other part of the world. The ISIS is preparing to "to trigger a war in India" to provoke an "Armageddon-like 'end of the world'" according to a recruitment document of the terrorist group that was found in Pakistan. C: the plan in itself is not unique; the Mumbai attack was mentioned to do exactly that. (In November 2008, 10 Pakistani members of Lashkar-e-Taiba, an Islamic militant organisation, carried out a series of 12 coordinated shooting and bombing attacks lasting four days across Mumbai)

Islamic State secretly planning to provoke 'end of the world' by attacking India to try and entice USA into all-out war, document reveals • Urdu document passed to U.S. media by Pakistani with links to the Taliban • Preparations underway to attack India as a way of enticing U.S. into battle • Urges Taliban factions to join with ISIS in bid to form a worldwide caliphate• Worldwide caliphate will 'behead every person that rebels against Allah' • U.S. intelligence officials say they believe the document is authentic

A recruitment document understood to be written by ISIS militants has revealed the terrorist group's plans for all-out war to bring about 'the end of the world'. The Urdu document, passed to the American Media Institute by a Pakistani citizen connected to the Taliban, reveals the scale of the ambition of ISIS, including targeting India to provoke the U.S. to intervene. It details how they are urging the units of the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban into one army with ISIS, and asking al-Qaeda to join ISIS to forge a caliphate. 'Accept the fact that this caliphate will survive and prosper until it takes over the entire world and beheads every last person that rebels against Allah,' the document, seen by USA Today, reads.Preparations for an attack on India are underway, it adds, which ISIS leaders hope will end with a war with the U.S. 'Even if the U.S. tries to attack with all its allies, which undoubtedly it will, the ummah [world's global community] will be united, resulting in the final battle', it adds.  The pamphlet outlines a plan to target U.S. soldiers as they pull out from Afghanistan, kill American diplomats and attack Pakistani officials. U.S. intelligence officials have reviewed the document and say they believe it is authentic, based on the language used and a series of 'unique' markings. MailOnline in India revealed security forces in the country have stopped more than 25 Indian citizens from joining ISIS, after they were radicalized by the terror group. Security officials closely monitored their lives but have decided not to arrest or charge the would-be jihadis with any offence, as part of a new strategy to try and de-radicalize them.  In June India's defense minister Rao Inderjit Singh said ISIS' bulging bank balance means it could potentially buy a nuclear weapon from Pakistan. His comments to a security conference in Singapore added weight to ISIS' own claims last month that it is 'infinitely' closer to acquiring nuclear weapons, which it would then attempt to smuggle into North America and detonate. 

Looking back just one year:India now needs to worry about the threat from ideological jihadists. There are clear indications that the ISIS is attracting jihadists from Pakistan and India. Their guiding philosophy is rooted in Ghazwa-e-Hind (the Battle of India), a statement in which Prophet Muhammad prophesied that two

1 http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/India/document/papers/Wts.pdf The general mandate of authority..

1The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see. –Winston ChurchillCees de Waart: Intel to Rent Page 1 of 14

01/05/2023

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Intel to Rent C de Waart [email protected] In Confidence

groups from the Ummah will be saved from the fire of Hell—one group will rise from India and march on to join the forces of the second group led by Jesus who will be reborn in the present-day Israel to establish the global Islamic rule. The Ghazwa-e-Hind prophecy is widely quoted in the literature and videos of the Taliban and Al-Qaeda’s Pakistani commanders as well as by mainstream Pakistani jihadist ideologues such as Zaid Hamid, Lashkar-e-Taiba founder Hafiz Muhammad Saeed and Jaish-e- Muhammad chief Maulana Masood Azhar. Now, India is seeing the emergence of this class of jihadists who ideologically connect with those in Iraq and Syria, Pakistan and Afghanistan, Yemen and Somalia.

THE JIHADIST THREAT TO INDIA IS REAL Al-Baghdadi is considered a terrorist by all good-intentioned people in the West and the East, including by a large number of Islamic clerics across the world—except by Indian cleric Maulana Salman Al-Husaini Nadwi. In early July, Nadwi, an Islamic scholar at the Nadwatul Ulama seminary of Lucknow, wrote an open letter greeting him on his assuming the role of Caliph. In the letter sent via messaging service WhatsApp and in later statements in Hindi and Urdu, Nadwi referred to Al-Baghdadi as Emir-ul-Momineen and prayed—‘May Allah protect you’, spoke of ‘good news of victories’ in Iraq, urged jihadist organisations in Syria to sink their differences and forge unity, and advocated that Muslims ‘abide by’ the Emir-ul- Momineen ‘if he follows Allah’s sharia’.Nadwi’s message is certain to motivate hundreds of Indian Muslim youths on the path of global jihad, especially because the cleric heads an organisation of Muslim youth called Jamiat- u-Shabab-il-Islam, which must now be placed on the watch of Indian intelligence agencies. An especially worrisome fact is that Nadwi wrote another letter to Saudi Arabia requesting the Saudis to train five lakh Sunni Muslim youth from India to fight against Shia militias in Iraq, according to the media reports emerging in July.Anjuman-e-Haideri, a Delhi-based organisation of Shia Muslims, placed advertisements in Urdu newspapers calling on volunteers to defend holy shrines in Iraq. Ali Mirza of Anjuman-e-Haideri said his group will register one million volunteers. One lakh Shias registered; of them, 6,000 volunteers have applied for Iraqi visas. The volunteers say their mission is humanitarian. Zeeshan Haider, a youth, described his trip as “a religious duty”. Haji Mirza Qasim Raza, a volunteer, said: “There is nothing that I will not do to protect Karbala... including laying down my life.” Jahan Ara, a widow with failing eyesight, said: “There’s no better way to spend one’s last days”. 25 per cent of the volunteers are women. Iran-backed Shia cleric Kalb-e-Jawwad supported women’s participation in battlefields, arguing: “There are misconceptions about Islam being very limiting for women”. The risk is that Indian Shias visiting Iraq could be recruited by Iran-backed Shia militias. For Shia nurses, doctors and others, the best deed is to help the sick in India; or, they should go as part of Red Cross, not led by sectarian group like Anjuman-e-Haideri.Social media reports and images indicate that some public demonstrations in favour of the Al-Baghdadi-led ISIS took place in the states of Tamil Nadu and Jammu & Kashmir. According to one report, nearly two dozen Muslim youths posed for a picture wearing ISIS T-shirts in front of the ‘Periya Pallivasal’ (Big Mosque) in Ramanathapuram district of Tamil Nadu, from where some youths have already gone to fight in Syria. Reports from Jammu & Kashmir reveal that masked Kashmiri youths held at least two public demonstrations carrying ISIS flags in Srinagar: the first was at the Jamia Masjid on 11 July and a second was on the day of Eid-ul-Fitr, 29 July. There were reports in the Indian media that Muslim youths from Kerala could be headed to join groups like ISIS.In recent years, Al-Qaeda has carried out a considerable media campaign to recruit youth from India. In June 2013, Al-Qaeda had released a video—titled “Why is there no storm in your river?”—in which militant cleric Maulana Asim Umar expressed exasperation that while Muslim youth from all over the world were fighting in Syria and elsewhere, Indian Muslims were not.Last June, Al-Qaeda released another video devoted to the Kashmir issue, in which Asim Umar exhorted: “Who took away Kalashnikovs from the hands of my Kashmiri Muslims and handed them

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stones and pieces of soil?”

September 5, 2014 The New Al Qaeda Group in South Asia Has Nothing to Do With ISISBy Arif Rafiq When Ayman al-Zawahiri, the Al Qaeda leader, announced in a video Wednesday that the terrorist organization had formed a new affiliate in South Asia—Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent, or AQIS—some observers described the group as India-centric or part of an attempt to stave off the emergent Islamic State (IS). But both the video’s content and Al Qaeda’s steady media outreach to South Asians over the past few years tell a much different story.In the fifty-five minute video, available in both Arabic and Urdu, al-Zawahiri says the new group was two years in the making. In other words, the preparations for AQIS began a year after Osama bin Laden was killed; after Al Qaeda’s Arab operatives in Pakistan have largely been eliminated in U.S. drone strikes and Pakistani intelligence operations; amid the strengthening of Al Qaeda affiliates in North Africa and Yemen; and well before the spread of IS and establishment of its caliphate.Al Qaeda wants to anchor its presence in all of South Asia, not just India, anticipating both a post-American Afghanistan and a post-Zawahiri Al Qaeda  As America ends its combat operations in Afghanistan, a primary motivating force for jihad in the region weakens and may disappear. And if al-Zawahiri dies or is killed, the next central Al Qaeda leader could come from one of its affiliate groups based outside the Afghanistan-Pakistan region. AQIS provides a framework for Al Qaeda to remain active in South Asia, where it has been based for almost three decades, even if its central command moves elsewhere. And, just as important, AQIS comes along with a narrative to underpin a long-term jihad in South Asia.That narrative is Ghazwa al-Hind or the Battle of India, referenced to in a hadith or Islamic prophetic tradition. This tradition, mentioned by al-Zawahiri in the video, foretells the Muslim conquest of all of historic India and states that those who participate in this battle will be awarded Paradise in the hereafter, just like those who will take part in the great End Times war in the Levant. The area of al-Hind encompasses the core portions of Pakistan not bordering Afghanistan, along with all of India, Bangladesh, and parts of Myanmar. Al-Zawahiri and the other two men in the video, Asim Umar, the AQIS amir or leader, and Osama Mahmood, the new group’s spokesman, state that their goal is to establish an Islamic state in this entire territory while also aiding the Afghan Taliban in retaking Afghanistan.Within the global jihadist community, there’s consternation that al-Zawahiri has yet to issue a statement on IS’s establishment of a caliphate, which threatens Al Qaeda's position as vanguard of the global jihad. And there are a number of subtle, apparent inferences to IS in the video. For example, AQIS spokesman Mahmood suggests that his group will offer a kindler, gentler caliphate, so to speak, that will protect the oppressed from the oppressor, “even if the oppressed is a disbeliever.” This is likely an indirect reference to ISIS’s wanton killing of non-Muslims as well as Muslims. But we should resist the urge to see the creation of AQIS as all about IS. For the past few years, Al Qaeda has stepped up its outreach to Pakistanis. Its Urdu-language service is among its most active. Al-Zawahiri has also made a handful of statements addressing the plight of Muslims in Burma and India, and Islamic activists targeted by the state in Bangladesh. It's been laying the groundwork for AQIS for some time. Indeed, more than beating out competition from IS, Al Qaeda is trying to fill a void in the South Asian jihadist community—the absence of a grand patron. While Pakistan’s intelligence services continue to support militant groups in the region, such as Lashkar-e Taiba, its support for militants in Indian-controlled Kashmir has remained low for much of the past decade. That’s why Umar, the AQIS chief, in another video released this summer, asked Kashmiri Muslims to join Al Qaeda’s ranks and accused Pakistan of selling them out. With the election of Hindu nationalist Narendra Modi as India’s prime minister, and the continued persecution of Muslim Rohingyas in Burma by the Buddhist majority, Al Qaeda aims at making inroads among aggrieved and persecuted Muslims. We can expect Al Qaeda to attempt to engage in attacks on India, to present itself as the defender of the region’s Muslims and

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push Islamabad and New Delhi to war. Despite their troubles at home, though, Indian Muslims have largely resisted the call of jihad.That leaves Pakistan. AQIS has left its role there strategically ambiguous—and for good reason. The Pakistani Taliban umbrella group created in 2007 has split into a number of factions, creating a messy jihadist landscape in Pakistan. But Umar says in the video that “the caravan of jihad” will begin in Pakistan and will reach India, Bangladesh, and Burma. That’s probably why Al Qaeda has chosen Umar, a cleric—not a military commander—as its AQIS chief. He’s well known among Pakistan’s Deobandis, the Sunni subsect where most of South Asia’s jihadist groups come from. Through Umar and AQIS, Al Qaeda is entrenching in Pakistan and gearing up for a long war in South Asia that will continue well after the U.S. has left the region.

The Rise of Ideological Jihadists, And why India should be really worriedAlmost all terror attacks in Jammu & Kashmir and elsewhere in India could be attributed to the Pakistani military’s Inter-Services Intelligence, or ISI, as well as to major Pakistan-based terror organisations such as Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Muhammad. Wait, that is no longer the case. India is now witnessing the rise of a new generation of jihadists, who identify themselves with groups based in the Middle East. They are motivated by the ideology of jihad— both through social media networks as well as by local recruiters—and are not sponsored by Pakistan. As per intelligence estimates that appeared in the media in July, up to 80 Indian Muslim youths are reportedly fighting alongside jihadists in Iraq and Syria. The argument that Indian Muslims are not part of Osama bin Laden’s global jihad now stands invalidated by the turn of events.In the summer of 2013, a new anti-India group began coming to the fore: Ansar ut-Tawheed Fi Bilad Al-Hind (Supporters of the Islamic Monotheism in India). It released a number of videos in which nearly a dozen youths from Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh were shown training somewhere in the Afghanistan-Pakistan region. On 18 July this year, the 20th of the fasting month of Ramadan, a jihadi account on Twitter released a photograph of Anwer Bhatkal, a relative of Indian Mujahideen co-founder Riyaz Bhatkal, announcing his death while fighting in Afghanistan.These Muslim men are being recruited both internally in India and from abroad. As reported by journalist Praveen Swami, four Muslim youths from the suburbs of Mumbai— Arif Majeed, Fahad Sheikh, Shaheen Tanki and Aman Tandel— flew on May 23 for Baghdad as part of a group of 22 Shia pilgrims and joined the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), the terror group headed by jihadist commander Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi. A few youths from Tamil Nadu who were based in Singapore were recruited by jihadists and are now fighting in Syria, notably Fakkurudeen, who took his wife and three children to the jihadist battlefield. In addition to the ideological jihadists who may or may not be recruited by Pakistan- based groups, the arrest in April—along with the Chennai train blasts in May—of Sri Lankan national Shakir aka Zakir Hussein by Chennai police revealed transnational terror links involving Sri Lanka, Maldives, Pakistan and Malaysia to target Israeli and US consulates in Bangalore and Chennai, hatched by Pakistan’s ISI and involving a Pakistani diplomat in Colombo.On 29 June, an audio statement was issued by Al-Baghdadi. He declared himself as the Caliph, or head of the Islamic State, and demanded bai’yah (an oath of fealty) from all Muslims. Among the jihadists, the position of Caliph, known formally as Emir- ul-Momineen (Leader of the Faithful Muslims), was until now held only by Mullah Mohammad Omar, the Taliban leader from Afghanistan. Al-Baghdadi’s ISIS has released a global map where it aims to enforce the Islamic sharia rule. The map includes the land of Khorasan, which covers Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and Sri Lanka.

July, General Joseph Dunford said key US strategic interests in Pakistan are preventing Al Qaeda's resurgence in Afghanistan and Pakistan, to limit its ability to attack America, preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons and technology, and promoting regional stability.PTI  Washington, July 10, 2015

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Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent: Almost Forgotten; Al Qaeda’s newest affiliate is still emerging, but may not develop into the regional force waging jihad in the Indian subcontinent Zawahiri envisioned. AQIS has faced setbacks due to U.S. airstrikes, resulting in the loss of several influential leaders.The group has yet to launch an offensive in India or Myanmar By Anurag Chandran September 3, 2015

INTRODUCTIONThe rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and al Sham (ISIS) to the forefront of the global jihadist movement challenges al Qaeda’s prominence and influence. The ISIS counter-state that does away with the Iraq-Syria border, as well as its growing presence in such places as Libya, the Sinai, and Afghanistan, are proof of the group’s power and the effectiveness of its strategy. The leader of ISIS, Abu Bakr al Baghdadi, described al Qaeda’s leadership as individuals who have become misguided and who have misled the global jihadist movement.[1] Baghdadi demands allegiance from all Muslims and claims the title, emir al mumineen, commander of the faithful, which was held for decades by Taliban leader Mullah Omar. ISIS’s growth has taken its toll on the al Qaeda network. Groups that had once been associated with al Qaeda have splintered, declaring their loyalty to Baghdadi. Al Qaeda’s name no longer carries the same recruitment power it once did.Yet, al Qaeda is not defeated. The core network remains and its leaders are committed to al Qaeda’s ideology. It continues to be active throughout the Muslim-majority world, and its affiliated groups in the Maghreb, Horn of Africa, Arabian Peninsula, and Syria continue to follow guidance from al Qaeda’s leader Ayman al Zawahiri. Zawahiri responded to Baghdadi’s challenge for leadership of the global jihadist movement, as competition between the groups escalated. On September 3, 2014, he announced the establishment of a new Pakistan-based affiliate that would oversee operations in the neighboring countries of India, Bangladesh and Myanmar: al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS).[2] The announcement came just two months after the Islamic State’s declaration of a caliphate under Abu Bakr al Baghdadi (“Caliph Ibrahim”) on June 29, 2014.[3] The establishment of AQIS was probably an attempt to unite the splintered jihadist movement in the Indian subcontinent, a region that is home to over 30 percent of the world’s Muslim population, where ISIS has yet to develop a significant presence.[4]Al Qaeda’s newest affiliate is still emerging, but may not develop into the regional force waging jihad in the Indian subcontinent Zawahiri envisioned. AQIS has faced setbacks due to U.S. airstrikes, resulting in the loss of several influential leaders.[5] The group has yet to launch an offensive in India or Myanmar and has also failed to carry out a significant attack in Pakistan since September 18, 2014, when it killed an Islamic Studies scholar.[6] AQIS has been nearly forgotten a year after its public debut and is not yet a major regional threat. THE SITUATION: ISLAMIST MILITANCY IN PAKISTAN AND THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENTThere are already well-established Islamist militant groups in Pakistan and the Indian subcontinent that broadly work toward a shared objective of overthrowing the local governments and replacing them with governments based on shari’a. Many of these militant groups share resources, such as training camps, and also coordinate or cooperate in operations. Pakistan has the most active theater of jihad in the Indian subcontinent and as such, plays an influential role in shaping the jihadi movements in its neighboring nations.The Pakistan Theater The Pakistan government and military historically maintained close ties with Islamists and served as a safe-haven for several militant groups. These groups established strongholds in Pakistan over the years and have interconnected networks of operation. There are three major sub-groups of Islamist militant organizations based in Pakistan and they can be grouped according to the primary regions where they carry out their attacks. It is to be noted that many of these groups have targeted Westerners within their given attack zones, even if sometimes such attacks are not the

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group’s primary focus. The three sub-groups include:• India attack zone• Afghanistan attack zone• Pakistan and Western world attack zonesIndia attack zone: The militant organizations that fall under this category wish to unite the disputed Kashmir region with Pakistan and see India as their main adversary. These groups are largely located in Azad Kashmir (Pakistan administered Kashmir) and Punjab, regions neighboring Indian-occupied states of the same names. Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) is perhaps, the most infamous of these groups. LeT is responsible for several high profile attacks on India, notably the 2008 Mumbai terror attacks, which killed over 160 people, including 6 Americans. Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has close ties with LeT and initially helped establish a safe-haven for the militants in Kashmir. LeT has never carried out an attack against the Pakistan state, further indicating its cordial relationship with ISI. LeT is also known to have served alongside the Taliban, Haqqani Network, and al Qaeda against U.S.-led coalition forces in Afghanistan.[7] Pakistan still refuses to outlaw LeT’s political front Jamaat-ud-Dawa (JuD), which the UN, U.S., and India, among others, have sanctioned as a terrorist organization.[8] LeT has strong links to al Qaeda, and JuD even offered funeral prayers for the late al Qaeda emir Osama bin Laden.[9] Other major groups located in Kashmir and focused on liberation from India include, Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM), Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HuM), and Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM). Most of these groups have close ties to the Afghan mujahideen, and have previously sent fighters to Afghanistan in support of the Afghan Taliban, al Qaeda, and the Haqqani network, although their primary focus is on Kashmir.Afghanistan attack zone: There are several militant groups in Pakistan, primarily based in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), that are exclusively involved in attacks within Afghanistan. Chief among these groups is the highly influential Haqqani Network. The Haqqani Network maintains a safe haven in North Waziristan and used to be supported by the ISI.[10] The Network, an integral component of the Afghan Taliban, is responsible for numerous spectacular attacks on U.S.-led coalition forces in Afghanistan.[11] It also maintains close ties with al Qaeda.[12] The Haqqani Network’s involvement with and support for al Qaeda sometimes goes unstated. A study from the Combatting Terrorism Center concluded that the Haqqani Network is the single most important entity that helped establish, develop, and sustain al Qaeda’s role in the global jihad by providing training and other resources.[13] The Pakistani military has historically been reluctant to launch direct attacks against the Haqqani Network as it pursues some of Pakistan’s interests in Afghanistan, such as the 2008 bombing of the Indian embassy in Kabul.[14]Pakistan and Western world attack zones: The Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) is perhaps one of the most prominent Pakistani militant groups, with close ties to the Afghan Taliban as well as al Qaeda. The TTP operates largely from North Waziristan, a tribal district in the semi-autonomous FATA, and is an amalgamation of several loose factions. These factions are spread out throughout Pakistan and are known to be operational in Karachi, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Punjab. Although the TTP’s primary goal is to overthrow the Pakistani government, it also attacks Western targets within the region and outside. The TTP displayed its ability to launch attacks outside Pakistan when it claimed credit for the failed 2010 car bombing in New York City.[15]  The TTP is a Sunni militant group and has launched several attacks against Shia Muslims.[16] Other notable sectarian militant groups involved in jihad within Pakistan include Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) and Sipah-e-Sahaba Pakistan.

The Indian Subcontinent TheaterIn India, the jihadi movement is closely associated with that of Pakistan. The major theater of jihad in India is the Jammu and Kashmir region, where Azad Kashmir-based militant groups fight to unite the disputed region with Pakistan. Separately, Pakistan-based militant groups such as Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM) have conducted multiple attacks within India. The Indian Mujahideen (IM) is perhaps the most well known India-based militant group, and is considered to be

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associated with LeT.[17] Top IM leaders have been trained in LeT camps in Pakistan.[18] The group has carried out attacks all around India and has aims of creating an Islamic caliphate across South Asia.[19]Bangladeshi militant groups are predominantly focused on establishing an Islamist regime in the country. Harkat-ul-Jihad-al Islami Bangladesh (HuJI-B) and Jamaat-ul-Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) are the prominent militant groups and have carried out several large-scale attacks in the country. HuJI-B is known to recruit from the persecuted Rohingya population of Myanmar, in addition to local Bangladeshi men. Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT) and Ansar al Islam Bangladesh are newly established militant groups that have been responsible for the killing of several secular bloggers. Both these groups have strong links to al Qaeda.

AQIS’s Role in JihadZawahiri claimed that AQIS had been established after two years of recruiting fighters and uniting them under the al Qaeda banner.[20] The group pledged allegiance to both Zawahiri and Mullah Omar, during the announcement of its establishment.[21] AQIS’s objectives follow those of al Qaeda: wage jihad against the United States for its promotion of disbelief in Islam, revive the Islamic Caliphate and support the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan under the Afghan Taliban, and establish a society based on shari’a in the Muslim-majority world.[22] AQIS would probably serve as the direct link for radical Islamist groups already existent in the Indian subcontinent to al Qaeda core, the part of the organization directly under Zawahiri’s leadership.There appears to be a strong regional component to AQIS’s leadership, which is also an indicator of groups possibly associated with it. AQIS emir Asim Umar and late shura council member Imran Ali Siddiqi have had close ties with Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HuM). Usama Mahmoud, the AQIS spokesman, praised the efforts of several deceased jihadi leaders for their contributions to the establishment of AQIS in the region.[23] The affiliations of these militants reveal that AQIS is perhaps associated with several regional Pakistani jihadi groups. It might also indicate that the formation of AQIS was in fact, an effort to organize and unite the Indian subcontinent jihad. These groups include, but are not limited to:[24]• Afghan Taliban (Afghanistan)• Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) (Pakistan)• Harkat ul Jihad al Islami (HuJI) (Bangladesh and Pakistan)• Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HuM) (disputed Kashmir region)• Harkat-ul-Mujahideen al Almi (HuMA) (Pakistan)• Brigade 313 (Pakistan)• Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM) (Pakistan)• Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) (Pakistan)• Jundullah (Pakistan)• Ansar ut-Tawhid wa al Jihad in Kashmir[25] (disputed Kashmir region)• Ansar al Islam Bangladesh (Bangladesh)• Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT) (Bangladesh)AQIS’s ties to al Qaeda core and the Afghan Taliban help to establish the group’s credentials in the Indian subcontinent. It is likely that the TTP will remain within the al Qaeda network – working with both al Qaeda core and AQIS-- but independently. AQIS would be the al Qaeda affiliate operating in Pakistan and providing critical support to like-minded groups in the Indian subcontinent. The group is unlikely to establish an operating base in India or Myanmar, but appears to have affiliates in Bangladesh. Ansar al Islam Bangladesh appears to be the official AQIS affiliate in the country, but this title is likely an acquired one. The group initially carried out attacks on secular bloggers and claimed them separately from AQIS.[26] On May 12, 2015, Ansar al Islam Bangladesh claimed the killing of blogger Ananta Bijoy Das on behalf of AQIS but on August 7, 2015, declared itself as the Bangladeshi branch of AQIS when it claimed the killing of blogger Niloy Chowdhury. The group may have become an official affiliate of AQIS over time. Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT), interestingly,

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also claimed some of these same attacks.[27][28] Global media reported that the arrested mastermind of the Niloy Chowdhury killing was a member of ABT, indicating that the group was perhaps another affiliate of AQIS.[29] ABT, however, refuted this claim and denounced any connection to the Chowdhury killing, Ansar al Islam Bangladesh, or even AQIS.[30] AQIS LEADERSHIPAQIS conceals the identities and past experiences of its leaders and operational members. The group only reveals information in eulogy statements when an important member, usually part of its leadership, is killed. The given nationalities of the militants truly represent the regional aspect of the group as they largely include Pakistanis, Indians and Bangladeshis. AQIS appears to communicate primarily in Urdu—an indication that the group is headquartered in Pakistan. The Bangladeshi affiliate of the group, however, communicates in Bangla. In addition, most of the AQIS leadership is highly experienced in the jihadi movement in Pakistan, having formerly held positions of leadership in affiliated groups.Asim Umar (emir): There is considerable conflict regarding the origins of Maulana Asim Umar, the reclusive radical Islamic scholar-turned-AQIS leader. Initial reports claimed that he is a Pakistani national and studied at Jamia Uloom-e-Islamia, a Pakistani seminary in Karachi, and at Darul Aloom Haqqania, an Islamist madrassa in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa known for its jihadi alumni.[31] Later reports, however, suggested that Umar may be an Indian citizen and studied at the famous Darul Uloom seminary in Deoband, Uttar Pradesh, India.[32] This report is more likely to be true, as Indian intelligence officers appear to believe that Umar is likely to be of Indian origin.[33]  He is rumored to have been an active member of Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HuM), a militant group with close ties to al Qaeda, located in Indian Kashmir. He is also said to have hosted former al Qaeda chief, Osama bin Laden,[34] gaining the trust of core leadership in the process. Al Sahab media foundation, al Qaeda’s media wing, identified Umar as the head of al Qaeda’s shari’a committee for Pakistan, prior to his appointment as AQIS emir.[35] He started appearing on al Sahab publications as early as February 2013, criticizing democratic rule and promoting shari’a in the Indian subcontinent.[36] Umar appears in all his videos with his face obscured but can be identified by his distinctly high-pitched voice and his fast paced, emphatic delivery style.Ahmad Farouq (former deputy-emir): A U.S. drone strike killed Farouq, the deputy leader of AQIS on January 15, 2015 in North Waziristan, Pakistan.[37] AQIS spokesman, Usama Mahmoud claimed that Farouq was from Islamabad, Pakistan, while White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest stated that Farouq was an American citizen.[38] Farouq apparently completed his education from the International Islamic Institute in Islamabad and joined the jihad in Pakistan shortly after. Farouq served as al Qaeda’s head of preaching and media in Pakistan, before being appointed as the Deputy Emir of AQIS.[39]Usama Mahmoud (spokesman): Very little information is available about the elusive AQIS spokesman.Imran Ali Siddiqi (former shura council member) : A U.S. drone strike killed Siddiqi, also known as Haji Sheikh Waliullah, on October 11, 2014 in Tirah Valley, Khyber Agency, Pakistan.[40] Siddiqi, a veteran al Qaeda operative, was a member of AQIS shura council. Usama Mahmoud, the spokesman of AQIS, stated that Siddiqi was involved in the jihad since the 1990s and also spent several years in prison for orchestrating an attack on the U.S. consulate in Karachi in 2002.[41] Prior to joining AQIS, Siddiqi was allegedly involved with Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HuM) and had also formed an offshoot, Harkat-ul-Mujahideen al Almi (HuMA), which was involved in several attacks against Western targets in Pakistan.[42]Qari Imran (former shura council member) : A U.S. drone strike killed Qari Imran, an AQIS shura council member, on 05 January 2015 in Datta Khel, North Waziristan, Pakistan.[43] In his eulogy, Maulana Asim Umar mentioned that Imran hailed from Multan, Pakistan, and was the head of the “Khorasan committee” of the AQIS shura council.[44] The “Khorasan” region historically contains

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Afghanistan, the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, and parts of Iran, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan. Imran also served the jihad in Afghanistan, Tajikistan and Kashmir.[45]Regional Leadership: The arrests of the heads of Karachi and Bangladesh affiliates suggest that AQIS is broken down into regional affiliates with their own leadership structures. Mainul Islam, chief coordinator for AQIS in Bangladesh, was arrested in Dhaka on 02 July 2015.[46] Shahid Usman, head of AQIS in Karachi, was arrested on 12 December 2014. He previously served in the militant group Harkat ul Jihad al Islami and was trained in Afghanistan.[47] AQIS’s affiliate in Bangladesh, Ansar al Islam Bangladesh’s, spokesman is Mufti Abdullah Ashraf. There is currently no information available about him. ATTACKS, TARGETS, AND TRENDS

AQIS Attacks: February 15, 2015 – September 3, 2015

Date Event Type Description Victim(s) Location

02/15/2013 Attack

AQIS militants killed Rajib Haider, an atheist Bangladeshi blogger

1 killed Mirpur, Dhaka, Bangladesh

09/02/2014 Attack

AQIS militants killed Brigadier Fazal Zahoor, a senior official in Pakistan army[51]

3 killed, 9 injured Sargodha, Punjab, Pakistan

09/06/2014 Hijacking

Failed attempt to attack U.S. warships after briefly hijacking PNS Zulfiqar[52]

1 killed Naval Dockyard, Karachi, Pakistan

09/18/2014 Attack

AQIS militants killed Dr. Mohammad Shakil Auj, a liberal scholar and dean of Islamic studies at University of Karachi[53]

1 killed Karachi, Pakistan

11/15/2014 Attack

AQIS militants killed Dr. A.K.M. Shafiul Islam, a professor at a Bangladeshi university

1 killed Bihashpalli, Bangladesh

02/26/2015 Attack

AQIS militants killed Avjit Roy, an atheist Bangladeshi-American blogger[54]

1 killed Dhaka, Bangladesh

03/30/2015 Attack

AQIS militants killed Washiqur Rahman, a secular Bangladeshi blogger

I killed Dhaka, Bangladesh

05/12/2015 Attack

Ansar al Islam Bangladesh militants killed Ananta Bijoy Das, a secular Bangladeshi blogger[55]

1 killed Sylhet, Bangladesh

08/07/ Attack Ansar al Islam Bangladesh 1 killed Goran, Bangladesh

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2015 militants killed Niloy Neel, a secular Bangladeshi blogger[56]

AQIS announced that it has been operating since early 2013, although the group was only formally established in September 2014.[48] The group has targeted secular bloggers, moderate professors, and the Pakistani security forces. Usama Mahmoud clarified the scope of AQIS’s targets, following the 16 December 2014 Peshawar school massacre in which Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants killed over 130 schoolchildren. Mahmoud condemned the attack and clarified that AQIS finds it against the teachings of shari’a to target children, women and innocent Muslims.[49] He further explained that AQIS routinely consults its religious scholars before conducting an offensive.[50] AQIS issued a report claiming 18 different assaults on the Pakistani police between November 2013 and October 2014, in addition to the attacks listed in the table.[57] These attacks occurred almost exclusively in the Karachi area.

AQIS also appears to be involved in kidnapping and extortion. Ali Haider Gillani, the son of former Pakistani Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gillani, is in AQIS custody, according to The News International.[58] The report suggested that AQIS is demanding approximately $19 million for the release of Haider, who was abducted on 9 May 2013 during an election campaign in Multan, Pakistan.[59] Initial reports claimed that TTP was responsible for the kidnapping and had demanded the release of some of its arrested leaders for freeing Haider Gillani.[60] It is likely that TTP transferred the custody of Gillani to AQIS, indicating that the group still functions in coordination with the al Qaeda network. There is a large degree of cooperation between militant groups in Pakistan, and TTP’s close links to al Qaeda core and AQIS is evidenced in this case. AQIS held two prominent Western hostages until their deaths due to a U.S. airstrike in January 2015. Al Qaeda militants abducted American hostage Warren Weinstein, an aid worker, from his home in Lahore, Pakistan, in 2011, while Giovanni Lo Porto, an Italian aid worker, was kidnapped from Multan, Pakistan, in January 2012. Usama Mahmoud later released a statement announcing that the two hostages had converted to Islam before their deaths and that they were “loved and respected” by the mujahideen.[61] CONCLUSION AQIS was initially projected to become a major player in the Indian subcontinent’s jihad. The group, however, appears to be deeply fractured and its inability to carry out or even attempt an attack in Pakistan since October 2014 implies that the group is under pressure from operations carried out by the Pakistani military. Operation Zarb-e-Azb, for instance, which is an offensive to combat militancy in Pakistan’s troubled tribal regions, reduced AQIS’s activity and eliminated over 50 of its members, including several of its senior leaders, as of April 2015.[62] The group has yet to attempt a large-scale attack since the failed hijacking of PNS Zulfiqar in September 2014, indicating that the group is perhaps lacking in funds and/or manpower. AQIS’s only active affiliate, Ansar al Islam Bangladesh, appears to be incapable of conducting large-scale attacks and has specialized in the targeted killings of secular bloggers in Bangladesh. AQIS has suffered losses in Bangladesh too. Bangladeshi security forces have taken strict measures to curb militancy in the region, leading to the arrests of several of AQIS’s influential members, including top leadership.[63] These attacks and arrests have been a major blow for the group, which is yet to launch an offensive in India, considered as its chief target.AQIS appears to be distant from al Qaeda core and its other major affiliates. AQIS leader Asim Umar and spokesman Usama Mahmoud both pledged allegiance to Mullah Omar, the former leader of the Afghan Taliban, during the establishment of the group.[64][65] The group, however, is yet to eulogize Mullah Omar, following the recent confirmation of his death.[66] All other al Qaeda affiliates have eulogized the former Taliban leader, who was seen as emir al mumineen, commander of the faithful, by al Qaeda. AQIS has also not eulogized important al Qaeda officials, notably Nasser al Wahayshi,

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who was killed in June 2015. Wahayshi served as general commander of al Qaeda core and was also the leader of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP).The announcement of Mullah Omar’s death presents ISIS with an opportunity to expand its growth in Afghanistan, and then possibly, Pakistan. ISIS’s Wilayat Khorasan will look to capitalize on the power vacuum in Afghanistan to absorb groups unhappy about the appointment of the new Taliban leader Mullah Akhtar Mansour.[67] AQIS’s ineffectiveness has led to the defection of the prominent Pakistan-based militant group, Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU). IMU, formerly closely associated with al Qaeda, pledged allegiance to the Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi in August, 2015.[68] The Islamic State also recently established a base in Pakistan, adding to AQIS’s woes.[69] This would mean that in addition to resisting Pakistani military attacks on its bases, AQIS would also have to be prepared for an Islamic State assault. Al Qaeda’s arrival to the Indian subcontinent was initially expected to be a major step to counter Islamic State’s domination of the global jihadist movement. AQIS has failed to live up to this lofty expectation, and its inability to prevent ISIS from spreading its jihad to the Indian subcontinent jihad is testament to its ineffectiveness. The group might still strengthen its efforts and establish its regional presence, but looking back at its first year of official existence, AQIS appears to have failed to develop into the regional force it was expected to become. 

[1] Thomas Joscelyn, “Islamic State of Iraq leader defies Zawahiri in alleged audio message,” The Long War Journal, June 15, 2013, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2013/06/islamic_state_of_ira_3.php[2] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Multimedia/aqis-leader-incites-for-jihad-expresses-determination-to-extend-fighting-from-pakistan-to-bangladesh-burma-and-india.html[3]  Mark Tran and Matthew Weaver, “Isis announces Islamic caliphate in area straddling Iraq and Syria,” The Guardian, June, 30, 2014,http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/30/isis-announces-islamic-caliphate-iraq-syria[4]“Mapping the global Muslim population,” Pew Research Center, October 7, 2009, http://www.pewforum.org/2009/10/07/mapping-the-global-muslim-population/  [5] Bill Roggio, “AQIS announces death of 2 senior leaders in U.S. operation,” The Long War Journal, November 21, 2014, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/11/aqis_announces_death.php; Thomas Joscelyn, “US drone strike kills veteran jihadist turned senior AQIS official,” The Long War Journal, October 15, 2014, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/10/us_drone_strike_kill_32.php; Greg Botelho and Jim Sciutto, “Ahmad Farouq: Leader of al Qaeda’s Indian branch killed by U.S.,” CNN, April 23, 2015, http://www.cnn.com/2015/04/23/world/ahmed-farouq-al-qaeda/[6] Zia ur-Rahman, “A Pakistani Scholar Accused of blasphemy is Shot Dead,” New York Times, September 18, 2014, http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/09/19/world/asia/pakistan-shakil-auj-assassinated-blasphemy-karachi.html?referrer=&_r=0[7] Jonah Blank, “Lashkar-e Taiba and the Threat to the United States of a Mumbai-Style Attack,” RAND Corporation, June 12, 2013, http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/testimonies/CT300/CT390/RAND_CT390.pdf[8] Omer Khan, “No evidence of Jamaat-ud-Dawa’s links with LeT,” Times of India, July 8, 2015, http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/No-evidence-of-Jamaat-ud-Dawas-links-with-LeT/articleshow/47986872.cms[9]Steven Myers and Jane Perlez, “Tensions rise as U.S. officials press Pakistan for answers,” New York Times, May 3, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/04/world/asia/04binladen.html[10]Jeffrey Dressler, “ Afghanistan Report 6: The Haqqani Network,” Institute for the Study of War, October, 2010, http://www.understandingwar.org/haqqani-network[11]Jeffrey Dressler, “Afghanistan Report 9: The Haqqani Network,” Institute for the Study of War, March, 2012, http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Haqqani_StrategicThreatweb_29MAR_0.pdf[12]Don Rassler and Vahid Brown, “The Haqqani Network and the Evolution of al-Qa’ida,” Combating Terrorism Center at West Point, July 14, 2011, https://www.ctc.usma.edu/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/CTC-Haqqani-Report_Rassler-Brown-Final_Web.pdf[13]Ibid.[14] Mark Mazzetti and Eric Schmitt, “Pakistanis Aided Attack in Kabul, U.S. Officials Say,” New York Times, August 1, 2008, http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/01/world/asia/01pstan.html   [15]Bill Roggio, “Pakistani Taliban claim credit for failed NYC car bombing,” Long War Journal, May 2, 2010,

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http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2010/05/pakistani_taliban_cl.php[16] Bill Roggio, “Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan suicide assault team attacks Peshawar mosque” The Long War Journal, February 13, 2015, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2015/02/movement_of_the_tali.php[17]“Indian Mujahideen declared terror outfit,” Times Now, June 4, 2010, http://www.timesnow.tv/Indian-Mujahideen-declared-terror-outfit/articleshow/4346684.cms[18] Bibhu Routray and Shanthie D’Souza, “THE INDIAN MUJAHIDEEN: THE NEW FACE OF JIHADIST CONSOLIDATION,” Global ECCO, May, 2014, https://globalecco.org/the-indian-mujahideen-the-new-face-of-jihadist-consolidation[19] “U.S. places Indian Mujahideen on terror list,” The Express Tribune, September 15, 2011, http://tribune.com.pk/story/253036/%C2%B5s-places-indian-mujahideen-on-terror-list/[20] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Multimedia/al-qaeda-announces-establishment-of-qaedat-al-jihad-in-the-indian-subcontinent.html[21] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Multimedia/al-qaeda-announces-establishment-of-qaedat-al-jihad-in-the-indian-subcontinent.html[22] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/aqis-spokesman-identifies-jihad-against-america-among-primary-goals.html[23] Bill Roggio, “Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent incorporates regional jihadist groups,” Long War Journal, September 5, 2014, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/09/analysis_al_qaeda_in.php[24] Ibid.[25] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Jihadist-News/ansar-ut-tawhid-wal-jihad-in-kashmir-expresses-support-for-aqis.html[26] “BLOGGERS ON HIT-LIST POSTED BY SUPPOSED ISLAMIST GROUP IN BANGLADESH,” Reporters Without Borders, November 19, 2014, http://en.rsf.org/bangladesh-bloggers-on-hit-list-posted-by-19-11-2014,47250.htm[27] Syed Al-Mahmood, “Fourth blogger Hacked to Death in Bangladesh,” The Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2015, http://www.wsj.com/articles/fourth-blogger-hacked-to-death-in-bangladesh-1438963397[28] Chris Pleasance, “Third blogger hacked to death in Bangladesh by Muslim extremists for speaking out against Islam,” Daily Mail, May 12, 2015, http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3077903/Third-blogger-hacked-death-Bangladesh-Muslim-extremists-speaking-against-Islam.html[29] “Blogger Killings: Mastermind held in Dhaka,” The Daily Star, August 18, 2015, http://www.thedailystar.net/city/blogger-killings%E2%80%99-mastermind-held-rab-128698[30] Aaron Zelin, “The Global Islamic Media Front presents a new statement from Anṣār Allah Bangla Team: ” Refuting News About the Role of Anṣār Allah Bangla Team In the Assassination of the Blasphemer Blogger Niloy Chowdhury Neel in Bangladesh,” Jihadology, August 19, 2015, http://jihadology.net/2015/08/19/the-global-islamic-media-front-presents-a-new-statement-from-an%E1%B9%A3ar-allah-bangla-team-refuting-news-about-the-role-of-an%E1%B9%A3ar-allah-bangla-team-in-the-assassination-of-the-blasphemer/[31] Asim Tanveer and Maria Golovnina, “Insight - Al Qaeda's shadowy new emir in South Asia handed tough job,” Reuters, September 10, 2014, http://in.reuters.com/assets/print?aid=INKBN0H42DJ20140909[32]Praveen Swami, “Al-Qaeda chief in region may be of Indian origin: Intel agencies,” The Indian Express, October 3, 2014, http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/al-qaeda-chief-in-region-may-be-of-indian-origin-intel-agencies/[33] Ibid[34] Tahir Khan, “al Qaeda’s India chief highly respected,” The Express Tribune, September 11, 2014, http://tribune.com.pk/story/760812/al-qaedas-india-chief-highly-respected/[35] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Jihadist-News/al-qaeda-announces-open-interview-with-pakistani-shariah-official.html[36] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Multimedia/as-sahab-series-promotes-shariah-on-indian-subcontinent-episode-1.html[37] Greg Botelho and Jim Sciutto, “Ahmad Farouq: Leader of al Qaeda’s Indian branch killed by U.S.,” CNN, April 23, 2015, http://www.cnn.com/2015/04/23/world/ahmed-farouq-al-qaeda/[38] Josh Earnest, “Statement by the Press Secretary,” Office of the Press Secretary, April 23, 2015, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/04/23/statement-press-secretary[39] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Statements/aqis-spokesman-gives-biography-of-deputy-leader-ahmed-

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farouq.html[40] Thomas Joscelyn, “US drone strike kills veteran jihadist turned senior AQIS official,” The Long War Journal, October 15, 2014, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/10/us_drone_strike_kill_32.php[41] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Statements/aqis-leader-mourns-killing-of-shura-council-member-in-u-s-drone-strike.html[42] Thomas Joscelyn, “US drone strike kills veteran jihadist turned senior AQIS official,” Long War Journal, October 15, 2014, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/10/us_drone_strike_kill_32.php[43] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Jihadist-News/aqis-spokesman-announces-killing-of-two-officials-in-u-s-drone-strikes.html[44] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttps://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Multimedia/aqis-leader-gives-eulogy-for-slain-officials-ahmed-farouq-and-qari-imran.html[45] Ibid.[46] Julfikar Manik and Nida Najar, “Bangladesh Police Arrest 12 Men Suspected of al Qaeda Ties,” New York Times, July 2, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/03/world/asia/bangladesh-arrests-al-qaeda-jihad-indian-subcontinent.html?_r=0[47] Syed Hassan, “Pakistan Arrests Suspected South Asian al Qaeda Commander,” Reuters, Dec 12, 2014, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/12/us-pakistan-militants-idUSKBN0JQ11W20141212[48] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Statements/aqis-reports-on-attacks-in-karachi-from-nov-2013-oct-2014-targets-police-a-blogger-and-a-professor.html[49] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Statements/aqis-condemns-peshawar-school-attack-clarifies-purpose-and-legitimate-targets-of-jihad.html[50] Ibid.[51] “Brig Fazal Zahoor laid to rest,” The Nation, September 8, 2014, http://nation.com.pk/national/08-Sep-2014/brig-fazal-zahoor-laid-to-rest[52] Syed Hassan and Katherine Houreld, “In attack by al Qaeda, lines blur between Pakistan's military, militants,” Reuters, October 1, 2014, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/01/us-pakistan-militants-attacks-insight-idUSKCN0HP2MM20141001[53] Zia ur-Rahman, “A Pakistani Scholar Accused of blasphemy is Shot Dead,” New York Times, September 18, 2014, http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/09/19/world/asia/pakistan-shakil-auj-assassinated-blasphemy-karachi.html?referrer=&_r=0[54] Ellen Barry, “Al Qaeda Branch Claims Responsibility for Bangladeshi Blogger’s Killing,” New York Times, May 3, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/04/world/asia/bangladesh-al-qaeda-indian-subcontinent-attack-on-bloggers.html[55] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Jihadist-News/ansar-al-islam-bangladesh-says-aqis-claims-murder-of-blogger-ananta-bijoy-das.html[56] http://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Jihadist-News/bangladesh-branch-of-aqis-claims-murder-of-blogger-niloy-neel.html[57] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Statements/aqis-reports-on-attacks-in-karachi-from-nov-2013-oct-2014-targets-police-a-blogger-and-a-professor.html[58] Azaz Syed, “Haider Gilani in custody of Indian al-Qaeda,” The News International, May 28, 2015, http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-2-320611-Haider-Gilani-in-custody-of-Indian-al-Qaeda[59] Ibid.[60] “Taliban demand release of prisoners for freeing ex-Pakistan PM Yousuf Raza Gilani's son,” NDTV, October 24, 2013, http://www.ndtv.com/world-news/taliban-demand-release-of-prisoners-for-freeing-ex-pakistan-pm-yousuf-raza-gilanis-son-538831[61] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Statements/aqis-claims-american-and-italian-hostages-converted-to-islam-before-killing-in-u-s-drone-strike.html[62] Bill Roggio, “U.S. drone strike kills four in Taliban, al Qaeda haven,” Long War Journal, April 13, 2015, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2015/04/us-drone-strike-kills-four-in-taliban-al-qaeda-haven.php[63] Ruma Paul, “Bangladesh arrests 12 suspected al Qaeda militants, weapons found,” Reuters, July 2, 2015, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/02/us-bangladesh-islamists-idUSKCN0PC0PR20150702[64] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.com

13The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see. –Winston ChurchillCees de Waart: Intel to Rent Page 13 of 14

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Intel to Rent C de Waart [email protected] In Confidence

http://ent.siteintelgroup.com/aqis-spokesman-identifies-jihad-against-america-among-primary-goals.html[65] Available by subscription through http://www.siteintelgroup.comhttp://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Multimedia/aqis-leader-incites-for-jihad-expresses-determination-to-extend-fighting-from-pakistan-to-bangladesh-burma-and-india.html[66] Masoud Popalzai, Laura Smith-Spark and Eliott McLaughlin, “Taliban confirm Mullah Omar’s death, name new leader,” CNN,  July 31, 2015, http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/30/asia/afghanistan-mullah-omar/[67] Hannah Byrne, John Kryzaniak and Qasim Khan, “The Death of Mullah Omar and the rise of ISIS in Afghanistan,” Institute for the Study of War, August 17, 2015, http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/death-mullah-omar-and-rise-isis-afghanistan[68] Bill Roggio and Thomas Joscelyn, “Central Asian groups split over leadership of global jihad,” The Long War Journal, August 24, 2015, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2015/08/central-asian-groups-split-over-leadership-of-global-jihad.php[69] Bill Roggio and Caleb Weiss, “Islamic State claims camp in Pakistan’s tribal areas,” Long War Journal, August 3, 2015, http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2015/08/islamic-state-claims-camp-in-pakistans-tribal-areas.php

14The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see. –Winston ChurchillCees de Waart: Intel to Rent Page 14 of 14

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