aip statistics on physics employment trends

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    Latest Trends in the Physics Workforce

    American Physical Society

    Baltimore, MarylandMarch 15, 2006

    Roman CzujkoDirector, Statistical Research Center

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    AcknowledgementsData SourcesSurveys by AIP, NSF

    AIP Staff

    Rachel IviePatrick Mulvey

    Starr Nicholson

    Casey Tesfaye

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    Rising Above the Gathering StormNational Academies, October 2005

    20 Recommendations in four areas:

    1. Add 10,000 science and math teachers in K-12

    2. Increase federal investment in science andengineering research

    3. Attract and retain best and brightest for study

    and research in science and engineering4. Encourage innovation through incentives

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    The number of jobs requiring technical skills is

    increasing and fewer Americans are entering degreeprograms in science, math and engineering.

    Craig Barrett, Chair of IntelBusiness Week, December 2005

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    Protect Americas Competitive Edge Act

    3-bill package in senate to implement all 20 NAS

    recommendations, January 2006

    American Competitiveness InitiativeState of Union address, President Bush, 2006

    National Innovation Initiative140 business, political and education leaders

    Wall Street Journal and Washington Post, Feb. 2006

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    Underlying Themes:Supply

    Demand

    International CompetitivenessInnovation

    Investment in Future

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    There is no shortage of claims of shortage.

    Michael Teitelbaum, Sloan Foundation

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    Supply

    Innovation

    International Competitiveness

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    Supply

    Employment

    Innovation

    International Competitiveness

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    55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 950

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    8000

    Physics BachelorsAll Bachelors

    1,400,000

    1,200,000

    800,000

    600,000

    400,000

    200,000

    0

    1,000,000

    All Bachelors*

    Physics Bachelors

    Physics bachelor's and total bachelor's produced in the US,1955 to 2004.

    04

    AIP Statistical Research Center, Enrollments and Degrees Report and* NCES Digest of Education Statistics

    00

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    Employment

    1100 Private Sector 250 High School 190 Government

    150 Active Military 230 Other

    Graduate School

    1160 Physics and Astronomy 320 Engineering 200 Other Science and Math

    120 Medicine and Law 130 Education and Other

    Four percent of the respondents indicated they were unemployed at the timeof the survey, which represents about 160 individuals.

    50% 50%

    4000 Bachelors Degrees

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    1999 & 2000 2002 & 2003 1999 & 2000 2002 & 20030

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    20

    41

    8 96 6

    3626

    30

    16

    Field of Employment:

    Computer or Info. SystemsEngineering

    Physics or AstronomyOther Science

    Changes in Field of Employment for Physics Bachelorsin the Private Sector.

    Note: 2% of the classes of 2002-2003 indicated that their employment field was education.

    AIP Statstical Research Center, Initial Employment Report

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    0 10 20 30 40 50 60

    S & E

    Not S & E

    Typical Range of Starting Salaries for Physics Bachelors

    in the Private Sector, Classes of 2002 & 2003

    Typical Salaries(in thousands of dollars)

    Typical salaries are the middle 50%, i.e. between the 25th and 75th percentiles.

    AIP Statistical Research Center, Initial Employment Report

    S & E refers to positions in science and engineering related employment

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    1931 41 51 61 71 81 910

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    Number of physics PhDs conferred in the United States,1931 to 2004.

    Number

    of

    degrees

    Sources: NAS (1931-1961), AIP (1962-2004)Statistical Research Center, Enrollments and Degrees Report.

    2004

    Class of

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    1st Year Students Entering Graduate Physics Programs

    Foreign U.S. citz.

    Academic Year N N

    Fall 2004 1292 1746Fall 2003 1481 1697

    Fall 2002 1339 1535

    Fall 2001 1434 1343

    Fall 2000 1485 1228

    Fall 1999 1328 1182Fall 1998 1251 1166

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    79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 '01 '03

    Academic Year

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Potentially Permanent

    Other Temporary

    Postdocs

    Initial employment of physics PhDs, 1979-2003.

    AIP Statistical Research Center, Initial Employment Report.

    Percent

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    1995 1997 1999 2001 2003

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    US Citizens & Permanent Residents

    Foreign Citizens

    Source: AIP Statistical Research Center, Initial Employment Survey

    New Physics PhDs Accepting Postdocs, By Citizenship

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    Concluding Remarks

    Millions more jobs in future - dont believe it

    Americans avoiding science and math - not accurate

    More people should earn S&E degrees - definitely

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    Employer Type by Year of PhD, 2001

    Govt,Non-Profit,

    PhD Industry Academe Hospital

    Year % % %1996-2000 46 40 13

    1991-1995 54 30 15

    1986-1990 41 36 211981-1985 47 34 18

    1976-1980 46 28 26

    1971-1975 45 31 231970 & earlier 37 44 18

    Source: NSF Survey of Doctoral Recipients

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    Thank you