agricultural indicators system (ais) report no. 2012-04 · import dependency ratio import...

FOOD SUFFICIENCY AND SECURITY

BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS

Department of Agriculture

BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 1184 Ben-Lor Bldg., Quezon Avenue, Quezon City

Tel. No.: +63(2) 372-3820 Fax. No.: +63(2) 372-3820

[email protected]

URL: http://bas.gov.ph

ISSN-2012-0435

Agricultural Indicators System (AIS) REPORT No. 2012-04



TERMS OF USE Agricultural Indicators System (AIS) Report is a publication of the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS), Department of Agriculture. The BAS reserves exclusive right to reproduce this publication in whatever form. Should any portion of this publication be included in a report/article, the title of the publication and the BAS should be cited as the source of data. The BAS will not be responsible for any information derived from the processing of data contained in this publication.

ISSN-2012-0435

Please direct technical inquiries to the Office of the Director BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS Ben-Lor Building, 1184 Quezon Avenue, Quezon City, Philippines 1100 Email : [email protected] Website : www.bas.gov.ph



FOREWORD

The Agricultural Indicators System (AIS) is one of the statistical frameworks maintained by the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS). It has twelve (12) modules and these are being updated and released annually. This is the fourth module entitled Food Sufficiency and Security. It provides information on self-sufficiency ratio, and import dependency ratio of selected major agricultural commodities and data on rice and corn stocks. The reference years are 2007 to 2011.

The AIS hopes to cover more agricultural development indicators to support the information needs of BAS clientele and stakeholders. Hence, the readers are encouraged to give their comments and suggestions on the improvement of the AIS, in general, and the report, in particular.

The BAS would like to acknowledge the National Statistics Office

(NSO) and National Food Authority (NFA) for providing the basic data on this module. ROMEO S. RECIDE Director

Quezon City. Philippines September 2012

i



TABLE OF CONTENTS

iii

FOREWORD i

LIST OF TABLES i i i


Table 1. Self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) of selectedagricultural commodities, Philippines,2007-2011 4

Table 2. Import dependency ratio (IDR) of selectedagricultural commodities, Philippines, 2007-2011 5

Table 3a. Stocks of rice: highest and lowest levels andpercentage shares of households, commercial 6warehouses and NFA, Philippines, 2007-2011

Table 3b. Stocks of corn: highest and lowest levels andpercentage shares of households, commercialwarehouses and NFA, Philippines, 2007-2011 7



6


Table 3a.

Stocks of rice: Highest and lowest levels and percentage shares of

households, commercial warehouses and NFA, Philippines, 2007-2011

ITEM 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Month December December November December January

Quantity ('000 MT) 2,291.5 2,954.1 2,958.6 3,908.0 3,424.3

Percent share

Households 64.6 50.2 45.6 36.7 33.3

Commercial 19.9 17.4 15.7 17.9 16.1

NFA 15.5 32.4 38.7 45.4 50.6

Month September March March March September

Quantity ('000 MT) 1,135.8 1,688.7 2,167.7 2,251.9 2,415.2

Percent share

Households 52.3 58.8 45.9 39.9 22.5

Commercial 20.6 24.3 16.5 17.1 20.0

NFA 27.2 16.9 37.6 43.0 57.5Sources of basic data: Bureau of Agricultural Statistics

and National Food Authority

HIGHEST STOCKS

LOWEST STOCKS



1 4

Self-Sufficiency Ratio Self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) measures the extent to which a country relies on its own production to meet the domestic requirements of the populace. The increase in the domestic production of rice in 2011 pushed up the country’s self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) to 93.91 percent. This was higher by 12.64 percentage points from its year ago’s record. Self-sufficiency was nearly registered for corn with SSR going up to 99.06 percent in 2011 or by 0.42 percentage point from the 2010 level. Adequacy in production was continuously reported for sugarcane and coconut. Production of coffee remained low and SSR in 2011 was estimated at 54.90 percent.

Continued self-sufficiency was noted for calamansi, papaya and pomelo. This was likewise observed for cabbage, eggplant and sweet potato. Tomato production became inadequate in 2011 and SSR dropped to 99.54 percent. In this year, self-sufficiency was attained for onion. SSR of garlic went up by 18.25 percentage points to 53.65 percent in 2011. Production levels of peanut and mongo were still at deficit levels and these recorded SSRs at 32.94 percent and 57.96 percent, respectively. Adequacy in production was nearing to be achieved for cassava with SSR at 99.48 percent.

For livestock and poultry products, self-sufficiency was sustained for chevon and chicken egg. Moreover, self-sufficiency was nearly attained by duck at 99.48 percent. SSRs for beef and carabeef increased to 80.12 percent and 72.71 percent, respectively. Chicken exhibited a slight drop in its SSR to 90 percent

In 2011, self-sufficiency was achieved for the fishery products except tuna. Production of tuna was lower in 2011 which pulled down SSR to 97.45 percent. Higher but declining SSR was recorded for shrimps and prawns at 108.91 percent. Meanwhile, SSR of crab was continuously going up and in 2011 it came up with 109.99 percent (Table 1).

Table 1.

Self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) of selected agricultural commodities,

Philippines, 2007-2011(in percent)

COMMODITY 2007 2008 2009 2010R 2011P

Rice 85.47 81.90 85.83 81.27 93.91

Corn 97.79 99.70 95.88 98.64 99.06

Coconut 100.01 100.01 100.01 100.02 100.05

Sugarcane 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Coffee 55.18 60.07 52.50 54.74 54.90

Calamansi 100.00 100.01 100.02 100.02 100.02

Papaya 102.53 101.60 101.32 100.85 101.90

Pomelo 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Tomato 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 99.54

Garlic 18.23 17.11 23.89 35.40 53.65

Onion 106.36 68.45 97.43 97.90 107.70

Cabbage 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Eggplant 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Peanut 62.15 65.48 30.17 30.10 32.94

Mongo 46.78 43.98 47.55 47.10 57.96

Cassava 100.05 100.04 100.05 98.89 99.48

Sweet potato 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Potato 95.75 95.69 98.55 95.21 93.65

Beef 79.91 78.72 82.04 79.55 80.12

Carabeef 63.95 61.56 68.33 68.24 72.71

Chevon 100.00 100.00 99.97 100.00 100.00

Chicken (dressed) 95.55 95.25 93.56 90.38 90.00

Duck (dressed) 99.88 99.43 99.44 99.28 99.48

Chicken egg 99.93 100.00 99.91 100.00 100.00

Milkfish 100.43 100.47 100.81 100.83 100.88

Roundscad 100.26 100.07 100.11 100.25 100.51

Tilapia 100.01 100.09 100.00 100.00 100.00

Tuna 98.69 99.16 92.92 101.26 97.45

Shrimps & Prawns 120.73 114.01 113.22 111.19 108.91

Crabs 104.19 103.72 107.16 107.94 109.99

Oysters 100.02 99.94 99.93 99.99 100.09



situation of the staple grains to ensure supply and demand equilibrium, access and price stability. Information on monthly stockholdings can guide policy makers on how much and whether to export or import rice or corn in the future. In 2011, the peak month of rice stocking was recorded in January with 3.42 million metric tons of rice. Of these total stocks, half were held by NFA. Household and commercial warehouses accounted for 33.3 percent and 16.1 percent of the total rice stocks, respectively. In contrast, September had the lowest volume of rice stock at 2.42 million metric tons. NFA had the biggest share of 57.5 percent, followed by households at 22.5 percent and commercial warehouses at 20.0 percent (Table 3a). For corn, the biggest volume of stocks in 2011 was noted in September at 0.28 million metric tons. About 63.3 percent were shared by the households and 36.7 percent by commercial warehouses. Meanwhile, corn stock was lowest in March at 0.15 million metric tons. Households accounted for 53.4 percent of the total stocks while commercial warehouses had 46.4 percent. The remaining 0.2 percent came from NFA (Table 3b).

SSR to 97.45 percent. Higher but declining SSR was recorded for shrimps and prawns at 108.91 percent. Meanwhile, SSR of crab was continuously going up and in 2011, it came up with 109.99 percent (Table 1).

Import Dependency Ratio Import dependency ratio (IDR) indicates the extent of the country’s dependency on importation in relation to domestic consumption. A high ratio implies greater dependency on importation. In 2011, import dependency ratio (IDR) of rice declined to 6.09 percent or 12.64 percentage points lower than the 2010 record. Corn also exhibited a drop in IDR to 0.94 percent by 0.42 percentage point. Coffee was heavily imported with its IDR at 45.10 percent. Higher but declining dependency on importation was noted for garlic, peanut and mongo. In 2011, there was a significant reduction for garlic and mongo. IDR of garlic dropped by 18.25 percentage points to 46.35 percent and that of mongo by 11.12 percentage points to 42.52 percent. IDR of peanut slightly dropped to 67.26 percent. Low IDRs were recorded for tomato, cassava and potato. Importation was still observed in livestock and poultry products such as beef, carabeef and chicken with IDRs of 19.88 percent, 27.29 percent and 10.97 percent, respectively in 2011. There was minimal importation of duck with IDR at 0.52 percent in 2011. Except for tilapia, the reference fishery products exhibited dependency on importation. IDRs of tuna and shrimps and prawns were the highest corresponding to 6.19 percent and 3.66 percent (Table 2).

Cereals Stocks Information on supply condition is vital to be able to maintain food balance. The occurrence of typhoons and other calamities as well as volatile grains market structures necessitate the need to monitor stocks situation of the staple grains to ensure supply and demand equilibrium, access and price stability. Information on monthly stockholdings can guide policy makers on how much and whether to export or import rice or corn in the future. In 2011, the peak month of rice stocking was recorded in January with

3 2



1 4

Self-Sufficiency Ratio Self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) measures the extent to which a country relies on its own production to meet the domestic requirements of the populace. The increase in the domestic production of rice in 2011 pushed up the country’s self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) to 93.91 percent. This was higher by 12.64 percentage points from its year ago’s record. Self-sufficiency was nearly registered for corn with SSR going up to 99.06 percent in 2011 or by 0.42 percentage point from the 2010 level. Adequacy in production was continuously reported for sugarcane and coconut. Production of coffee remained low and SSR in 2011 was estimated at 54.90 percent.

Continued self-sufficiency was noted for calamansi, papaya and pomelo. This was likewise observed for cabbage, eggplant and sweet potato. Tomato production became inadequate in 2011 and SSR dropped to 99.54 percent. In this year, self-sufficiency was attained for onion. SSR of garlic went up by 18.25 percentage points to 53.65 percent in 2011. Production levels of peanut and mongo were still at deficit levels and these recorded SSRs at 32.94 percent and 57.96 percent, respectively. Adequacy in production was nearing to be achieved for cassava with SSR at 99.48 percent.

For livestock and poultry products, self-sufficiency was sustained for chevon and chicken egg. Moreover, self-sufficiency was nearly attained by duck at 99.48 percent. SSRs for beef and carabeef increased to 80.12 percent and 72.71 percent, respectively. Chicken exhibited a slight drop in its SSR to 90 percent

In 2011, self-sufficiency was achieved for the fishery products except tuna. Production of tuna was lower in 2011 which pulled down SSR to 97.45 percent. Higher but declining SSR was recorded for shrimps and prawns at 108.91 percent. Meanwhile, SSR of crab was continuously going up and in 2011 it came up with 109.99 percent (Table 1).

Table 1.

Self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) of selected agricultural commodities,

Philippines, 2007-2011(in percent)

COMMODITY 2007 2008 2009 2010R 2011P

Rice 85.47 81.90 85.83 81.27 93.91

Corn 97.79 99.70 95.88 98.64 99.06

Coconut 100.01 100.01 100.01 100.02 100.05

Sugarcane 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Coffee 55.18 60.07 52.50 54.74 54.90

Calamansi 100.00 100.01 100.02 100.02 100.02

Papaya 102.53 101.60 101.32 100.85 101.90

Pomelo 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Tomato 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 99.54

Garlic 18.23 17.11 23.89 35.40 53.65

Onion 106.36 68.45 97.43 97.90 107.70

Cabbage 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Eggplant 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Peanut 62.15 65.48 30.17 30.10 32.94

Mongo 46.78 43.98 47.55 47.10 57.96

Cassava 100.05 100.04 100.05 98.89 99.48

Sweet potato 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

Potato 95.75 95.69 98.55 95.21 93.65

Beef 79.91 78.72 82.04 79.55 80.12

Carabeef 63.95 61.56 68.33 68.24 72.71

Chevon 100.00 100.00 99.97 100.00 100.00

Chicken (dressed) 95.55 95.25 93.56 90.38 90.00

Duck (dressed) 99.88 99.43 99.44 99.28 99.48

Chicken egg 99.93 100.00 99.91 100.00 100.00

Milkfish 100.43 100.47 100.81 100.83 100.88

Roundscad 100.26 100.07 100.11 100.25 100.51

Tilapia 100.01 100.09 100.00 100.00 100.00

Tuna 98.69 99.16 92.92 101.26 97.45

Shrimps & Prawns 120.73 114.01 113.22 111.19 108.91

Crabs 104.19 103.72 107.16 107.94 109.99

Oysters 100.02 99.94 99.93 99.99 100.09



5

Table 2.

Import dependency ratio (IDR) of selected agricultural commodities,

Philippines, 2007-2011

COMMODITY 2007 2008 2009 2010R 2011P

Rice 14.53 18.11 14.17 18.73 6.09

Corn 2.21 0.33 4.13 1.36 0.94

Coconut - - - - -

Sugarcane - - - - -

Coffee 44.86 39.97 47.50 45.30 45.10

Calamansi - - - - -

Papaya - - - - -

Pomelo - - - - -

Tomato - - - - 0.46

Garlic 81.78 82.93 76.11 64.60 46.35

Onion 2.20 35.18 7.62 7.79 4.05

Cabbage - - - - -

Eggplant - - - - -

Peanut 38.30 35.10 69.83 69.90 67.26

Mongo 53.43 56.04 52.48 53.64 42.52

Cassava - - - 1.15 0.57

Sweet potato - - - - -

Potato 4.25 4.31 1.45 4.79 6.35

Beef 20.12 21.28 17.96 20.45 19.88

Carabeef 36.05 38.44 31.77 31.76 27.29

Chevon - - 0.03 - -

Chicken (dressed) 4.91 5.13 6.95 10.20 10.97

Duck (dressed) 0.12 0.57 0.56 0.72 0.52

Chicken egg 0.07 - 0.09 - -

Milkfish 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04

Roundscad - 0.22 0.22 0.09 0.02

Tilapia 0.01 0.01 0.00 - -

Tuna 5.21 5.40 9.66 3.96 6.19

Shrimps & Prawns 3.81 3.09 2.57 3.30 3.66

Crabs 0.11 0.06 0.03 0.09 0.12

Oysters - 0.06 0.07 0.01 0.05 Source of basic data: Bureau of Agricultural Statistics



6


Table 3a.

Stocks of rice: Highest and lowest levels and percentage shares of


ITEM 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Month December December November December January

Quantity ('000 MT) 2,291.5 2,954.1 2,958.6 3,908.0 3,424.3

Percent share

Households 64.6 50.2 45.6 36.7 33.3

Commercial 19.9 17.4 15.7 17.9 16.1

NFA 15.5 32.4 38.7 45.4 50.6

Month September March March March September

Quantity ('000 MT) 1,135.8 1,688.7 2,167.7 2,251.9 2,415.2

Percent share

Households 52.3 58.8 45.9 39.9 22.5

Commercial 20.6 24.3 16.5 17.1 20.0

NFA 27.2 16.9 37.6 43.0 57.5Sources of basic data: Bureau of Agricultural Statistics


HIGHEST STOCKS

LOWEST STOCKS



7

Table 3b.

Stocks of corn: Highest and lowest levels and percentage shares of


ITEM 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Month October October September October September

Quantity ('000 MT) 330.4 345.2 390.8 354.0 279.6

Percent share

Households 68.4 55.7 39.8 67.1 63.3

Commercial 31.6 44.1 44.4 31.5 36.7

NFA 0.0 0.2 15.8 1.4 a/

Month July August March July March

Quantity ('000 MT) 96.2 171.6 139.2 109.1 145.3

Percent share

Households 54.5 40.7 46.2 34.1 53.4

Commercial 45.5 58.9 53.8 53.6 46.4

NFA 0.0 0.4 0.0 12.3 0.2a/ 0.01

Sources of basic data: Bureau of Agricultural Statistics


HIGHEST STOCKS

LOWEST STOCKS


BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 9 23

MODULES OF THE AGRICULTURAL INDICATORS SYSTEM

1. Agricultural Structures and Resources

2. Agricultural Credit

3. Output and Productivity

4. Food Self-sufficiency and Security

5. Food Consumption and Nutrition

6. Agricultural Exports and Imports

7. Population and Labor Force

8. Gender-based Indicators of Labor and Employment in Agriculture 9. Redistribution of Land

10. Economic Growth

11. Inputs

12. Prices and Marketing of Agricultural Commodities



Department of Agriculture

BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 1184 Ben-Lor Bldg., Quezon Avenue, Quezon City

Tel. No.: +63(2) 372-3820 Fax. No.: +63(2) 372-3820

[email protected]

URL: http://bas.gov.ph

ISSN-2012-0435

Agricultural Indicators System (AIS) REPORT No. 2012-04

agricultural indicators system (ais) report no. 2012-04 · import dependency ratio import...

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