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Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences Getaw Tadesse (PhD) Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Addis Ababa

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Page 1: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia

Emerging issues and recent evidences

Getaw Tadesse (PhD)Research Fellow, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI),

Addis Ababa

Page 2: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Introduction

• Informal collective action in rural Ethiopia is as old as the society itself

• Formal agricultural cooperatives emerged in 1960s as a result of comprehensive agricultural development programs

• While many of the current cooperatives have passed through several historical turmoil, some are newly emerged cooperatives with renewed missions and objectives

Page 3: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Types of agricultural cooperatives

• Single-purpose cooperatives • Commodity specific marketing cooperatives ( dairy,

vegetables, sesame, sugar cane)

• User cooperatives ( irrigation, mineral extraction, hillside lands)

• Farmers marketing Organizations (FMOs)

• Multi-purpose cooperatives (MPCs)

Page 4: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Emerging opportunities for AgCoops

• Increased urbanization

• Increased demand for processed and fresh foods

• Growth supply chain with which cooperatives can make contract

• Increased income/economic growth

• High value products such as milk, meat, chicken etc, which increases demand for grains /animal feeds

• Infrastructural development

• Rural roads, which allows farmers to transport their outputs with trucks

• Per unit transportation cost for cooperatives than for individuals

• Rural electrification

• ICT, Mobile subscription, 4G service, growing apps, cheaper phones

Page 5: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Issues affecting the competitiveness of coops

• The boundary of the coops

• Rigid pricing system

• External interventions

• Governance

• Membership and benefits

• Members trust and commitment

Page 6: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Research on Ethiopian Cooperatives

• Many studies have been conducted to measure producers participation and impact of coops on producers:

• IFPRI (Bernard, et al 2008 ; Bernard and Spielman 2009; Tadesse, 2010)• Addis Ababa University ( Francesconi, G. N., & Heerink, N., 2010, • Ethiopian Economics Association: (Abebaw and /Haile, 2013) etc.

• The result indicated that cooperatives are indeed • Facilitated adoption of improved technologies ( fertilizer and seeds) • Allow farmers to receive better price

• However, their impact on commercialization is very limited and heterogeneous • Only 10% of the marketable surplus pass through cooperatives • Poor rural households are excluded (not benefited) from MPC services

• Their competiveness is not yet significant

Page 7: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Research on Ethiopian cooperatives

• Many studies focus on impact and participation• Strategic issues are not yet adequately studied • Even the impact/ participation studies have problems of

measurement and coverage

We studied • The impact of market-oriented cooperatives on

production and marketing • To improve measurement problems

• Trust and commitment of members using choice experiment to measure their implicit trust to cooperative and other members and see how this is important in performance

Page 8: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Impact of coops on smallholders’ production and marketing

Benefits of Cooperatives

Input use (𝑖) Crop choice

/specialization

Farm income (𝑌)

Lo

wer m

ark

eting

cost

Production/ productivity (𝑄𝑝)

Marketed surplus

Hig

her P

rice

Risk,

Asset

Reduction in

Transaction cost

Ownership

benefits

Competition to

the local market

Source: Tadesse and Luz

Page 9: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Measuring impact

• Data• Collected in 2012 and 2014• 960 longitudinal samples • We measured production, input use, sales, etc..

• Treatment and controls• Those who have access to cooperative and those who have no access to coops (

villages with coop and village without coop) • Members and non-members from villages with coop• Those who sold their output to coop and those who did sale output to the coop

• Outcome variables • Area share to major crop and tradable crops • Productivity of major crop and tradable crops • Marketed surplus for major crop

• Analysis method • Propensity score matching • Difference-in-difference (double difference)

Page 10: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Percentage of samples in each treatment group

Extent of famers

participation in cooperatives

Percentage out of the total sample (N=960)

2012 2014 Change

Farmers have access to the

Cooperative 74.2 74.2 0

Farmers who are member to

the cooperative 52.9 55.5 2.6

Farmers used to sell crops to

the cooperative 23.8 28.1 4.3

Page 11: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Impact of presence of a cooperative in the village/Kebele

Outcome variable Baseline Follow up

Diff-in-DiffWithout

coop

With

coop Diff

Without

coop

With

coop Diff

Area share of the

major crop

0.577

(0.021)

0.606

(0.012)

0.029

(0.024)

0.467

(0.021)

0.566

(0.021)

0.1***

(0.024)

0.07**

(0.034)

Area share of

tradable crops

0.889

(0.012)

0.884

(0.007)

-0.006

(0.013)

0.886

(0.012)

0.935

(0.007)

0.05***

(0.013)

0.055***

(0.019)

Productivity of

major crop

34.303

(3.489)

22.904

(2.085)

-11.4***

(4.064)

16.329

(3.403)

14.352

(1.97)

-1.977

(3.932)

9.422*

(5.655)

Productivity of

tradable crops

28.039

(2.899)

22.026

(1.736)

-6.013*

(3.379)

14.293

(2.869)

12.476

(1.726)

-1.817

(3.348)

4.196

(4.757)

Share of marketed

surplus of major

crop

0.385

(0.033)

0.431

(0.019)

0.046

(0.038)

0.534

(0.032)

0.538

(0.018)

0.004

(0.036)

-0.042

(0.053)

Page 12: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Impact of membership Outcome

variables

Baseline Follow up Diff-in-

DiffNon-

members

Membe

rsDiff

Non-

membersMembers Diff

Area share of

major crop

0.635

(0.022)

0.594

(0.014)

-0.041

(0.026)

0.59

(0.024)

0.56

(0.014)

-0.03

(0.028)

0.011

(0.038)

Area share of

tradable crops

0.877

(0.012)

0.885

(0.008)

0.008

(0.014)

0.943

(0.013)

0.933

(0.008)

-0.01

(0.015)

-0.017

(0.021)

Productivity of

major crop

24.564

(2.669)

21.179

(1.752)

-3.385

(3.193)

12.913

(2.749)

14.496

(1.602)

1.584

(3.182)

4.969

(4.508)

Productivity of

tradable crops

28.994

(2.966)

18.516

(1.883)

-10.48***

(3.513)

11.442

(3.13)

12.631

(1.826)

1.189

(3.624)

11.666**

(5.047)

Share of marketed

surplus major

crop

0.416

(0.032)

0.441

(0.021)

0.025

(0.038)

0.487

(0.033)

0.554

(0.019)

0.066*

(0.038)

0.041

(0.054)

Page 13: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Impact of selling to the cooperative Outcome variables Baseline Follow up Diff-in-Diff

Non-

client to

coops

Client to

coops

Diff Non-

client to

coops

Client to

coops

Diff

Area share of

major crop

0.592

(0.015)

0.634

(0.021)

0.042

(0.026)

0.559

(0.015)

0.579

(0.019)

0.021

(0.025)

-0.021

(0.036)

Area share of

tradable crops

0.88

(0.008)

0.886

(0.012)

0.006

(0.014)

0.95

(0.008)

0.911

(0.011)

-0.039***

(0.013)

-0.045**

(0.019)

Productivity of

major crop

23.236

(1.799)

20.189

(2.537)

-3.048

(3.11)

14.311

(1.773)

13.42

(2.229)

-0.891

(2.848)

2.157

(4.217)

Productivity of

tradable crops

20.405

(1.942)

24.138

(2.823)

3.733

(3.427)

12.545

(2.013)

11.756

(2.571)

-0.79

(3.265)

-4.523

(4.733)

Share of marketed

surplus of the

major crop

0.457

(0.021)

0.387

(0.030)

-0.07*

(0.037)

0.525

(0.022)

0.555

(0.026)

0.029

(0.034)

0.099**

(0.050)

Page 14: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Trust and commitment in cooperatives

• Trust in cooperatives • Makes members commit themselves to the organization(Borgen, 2001), • Be loyal to their cooperatives (James & Sykuta, 2006) • Become involved in the governance of the cooperatives (Barraud-Didier,

Henninger, & Akremi, 2012).

• However, trust cannot be easily created and maintained (Lyon, 2000).

• We measured different types of trust using choice experiment • Trust among members• Trust to the cooperative

• Absolute trust • Relative trust

• Neutral trust• Incentivized trust • Costly trust

• Commitment to the cooperative

Page 15: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Choice experiment

• A hypothetical measure to measure trust and commitment using financial transfer and product trading

• For example; to measure trust to the cooperative we have asked farmers to choose between • Receiving 100 ETB directly from us and 150 ETB through the

coop• Selling product to cooperative on credit and selling to traders

on credit • Selling product to cooperative on credit and selling to traders

on credit, but the trader offers better price • Selling outputs to cooperative on credit and selling to the

trader on cash but the cooperative offers better price

Page 16: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Extent of trust and commitment in cooperatives

Trust indicators

Percentage of

members

indicated trust

Variability across

cooperatives(1)

Min

Percentage

Max

Percentage

Trust in other members

(TOM)63 41 91

Absolute trust in cooperative

(ATC)63 45 87

Relative trust in cooperative

(RTC)87 74 100

Incentivized trust in

cooperative (ITC)91 75 100

Costly trust in cooperative

(CTC) 74 45 92

Stated self-commitment in

the cooperative (COM)62 33 89

Page 17: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Results of further analysis

• We observed significant association between • members trust to the cooperative and their

commitments • members' trust to the cooperative and selling to the

cooperative • trust among members and investment on cooperatives

• The following factors are important determinants of trust and commitment to the cooperative• Distance from the cooperative • Role in the management of the coops• Age of the cooperative • History of bad events

Page 18: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Messages to policy makers

• No question about the role of cooperatives in an economy where there are millions of smallholder producers and markets are yet very thin

• Let cooperatives grow naturally • Artificial comparative advantages do not make cooperatives

sustainable or efficient

Page 19: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

• Government has to consider different options for making local markets competitive

• Linking SACCOs with AgCoops

Page 20: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Message to cooperative leaders and promoters

• Cooperatives should follow basic principles of markets and collective actions • Establish cooperatives for commodities/services where

there is significant market failure

• Cooperatives have to create exclusive benefits for members to invest on them

• Let members' own, freely act and commit to their organizations

• Revisit strategies of promotion …members promoters

Page 21: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Messages to Researchers

• Improve our coverage

• Improve methodology

• Improve delivering research outputs

Page 22: Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia - AgriProFocus ·  · 2015-05-10Agricultural cooperatives in Ethiopia Emerging issues and recent evidences ... •Growth supply chain with which

Thank you!!