agricultural best management practices in corn-soybean … a/thursd… · co-benefits (synergies)...

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1 Department of Biology/Institute of the Environment uOttawa.ca/environment Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean Systems: Tradeoffs and Synergies between Crop Yield and Ecosystem Services Andrew Kadykalo, Kris Johnson, C. Scott Findlay @andykadykalo

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Page 1: Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean … A/Thursd… · co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits

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uOttawa.caDepartment of Biology/Institute of the EnvironmentuOttawa.ca/environment

Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean Systems: Tradeoffs and Synergies between Crop Yield and Ecosystem ServicesAndrew Kadykalo, Kris Johnson, C. Scott Findlay

@andykadykalo

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Genesis• Research Papers: often take the form of

“knowledge” syntheses – e.g. reviews of the current state of knowledge on some scientific, economic, legal or public policy sustainable issue

• students are encouraged to undertake projects in collaboration with external institutions

Page 3: Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean … A/Thursd… · co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits

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Page 4: Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean … A/Thursd… · co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits

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Page 5: Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean … A/Thursd… · co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits

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Page 6: Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean … A/Thursd… · co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits

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Page 7: Agricultural Best Management Practices in Corn-Soybean … A/Thursd… · co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits

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Agricultural Best Management Practices

Cover Crops Crop Rotations Nutrient Management

Tillage Practices Perennial Vegetative Buffers

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BMPs on Ecosystem Services

?

$ ?

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Objective• BMP implementation: need not exclusively result in tradeoffs; there may be

potential synergies

Objective: (a) document the prevalence of agricultural yield and ecosystem service co-benefits (synergies) and tradeoffs; and (b) develop empirical models that predict the likelihood of co-benefits relative to tradeoffs

ES Leakage: does de-intensification of certain plots (via BMPs) reduce yields, prompting further intensification or land clearing elsewhere (which has implications for delivery of ES on a landscape scale)?

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Methods

• Literature searches were conducted by The Nature Conservancy from 2013-2016– Upper Mississippi River Basin-Midwestern United States in corn and soy agroecosystems

• 503 peer-reviewed and ‘grey literature’ references were screened• Screening Criteria:

&

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Tradeoff Summary

• Tradeoff Summary: the relationship between one or more indices/measures of agricultural productivity (yield) and one or more measures/indices of ecosystem service

Tradeoff Summary Category

Tradeoff Summary Definition Combination Characterization

-/- Yield reduced; ES reduced Co-costs (negative synergy)

-/+ Yield reduced; ES increased Agricultural Yield Tradeoff

+/- Yield increased; ES reduced Ecosystem Service Tradeoff

+/+ Yield increased; ES increased Co-benefits (positive synergy)

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Ecosystem Services; Predictor VariablesEcosystem Service Category

Ecosystem Service

Provisioning Food Production (reference tradeoff outcome)

Regulating Air Quality RegulationClimate Regulation and Carbon SequestrationErosion RegulationWater Purification and Waste TreatmentWater Regulation and Soil Moisture RetentionPest Regulation

Supporting Biodiversity ConservationBiomass Production/Primary ProductivityHabitat ProvisioningNutrient Cycling/Supply Soil Formation (Soil Fertility/Quality)

Predictor variablesTemporal Scale (Short; Medium; Long; Very Long)Spatial Scale (Local; Regional; National; International)Precipitation (Average Annual Rainfall (mm))Temperature (Average Annual Temperature (°C))Study Type (Empirical; Empirical-Modelled) Study Design (Control-Impact; Correlative Design) BMP Category (Edge of Field; In-Field)BMP Intervention (Single BMP; Multiple BMPs)Perennial Vegetated Buffers (Buffer and Filter Strips/Hedgerows/Riparian Buffers)Cover CropsCrop RotationsNutrient ManagementTillage PracticesEcosystem Service CategoryEcosystem ServiceCornSoybeanWheatCereal Grain

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Major Results• 141 tradeoff summaries from 36 individual studies

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Crop Rotations

Perrenial Vegetative Buffers

Nutrient Management

Tillage Practices

Cover Crops

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Habitat Provisioning

Air Quality Regulation

Biomass Production/Primary Productivity

Erosion Regulation

Soil Formation (Soil Fertility/Quality)

Biodiversity

Nutrient Cycling/Supply

Pest Regulation

Water Regulation and Soil Moisture Retention

Climate Regulation and Carbon Sequestration

Water Purification and Waste Treatment

Tradeoff Summaries

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Co-costs (negative synergy) [-/-] Agricultural Yield Tradeoff [-/+] Ecosystem Service Tradeoff [+/-] Co-benefits (positive synergy) [+/+]

Trad

eoff

Sum

mar

ies

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Predictive Modelling• Multinomial Logistic Regression? (Order not important)

• Ordinal Logistic Regression? (Order important)

• Weighted tradeoffs: 5 different weights to Agricultural Yield • P(+/+) = 1; P(-/-) = -1; P(-/+) & P(+/-) fall between 1 and -1

Co-costs (negative synergy) [-/-]

Co-benefits(positive synergy) [+/+]

Co-costs (negative synergy) [-/-]

Co-benefits (positive synergy) [+/+]

Ecosystem ServiceTradeoff [+/-]

Agricultural Yield Tradeoff [-/+]

Co-costs (negative synergy) [-/-]

Co-benefits (positive synergy) [+/+]

Ecosystem ServiceTradeoff [+/-]

Agricultural Yield Tradeoff [-/+]

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Predictive Modelling

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• Co-benefits of BMP implementation was more prevalent than tradeoffs • BMPs are scalable, since they are beneficial (or at least not harmful) –

demonstrate low risk of ecosystem services leakage• A step towards identifying co-benefits and the impact of specific practices on

specific ecosystem services

Conclusion

Outreach & Partnership• ”Statistically rigorous quantification of the expected performance of various

agricultural BMPs on ecosystem services” advocate for more implementation of improved agricultural management and more public and private investment in BMPs– Farmers, Producer Organizations, Agribusiness Companies, Government Partners

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Acknowledgements

C. Scott Findlay

Kris JohnsonShamitha Keerthi

[email protected]@andykadykalo

Gretchen DailyBecky Chaplin-Kramer Kate Brauman Perrine Hamel Leah Bremer Bonnie KeelerBenjamin Bryant Adrian Vogl