agenda for this evening

21
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

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Page 1: Agenda for this Evening

THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

Page 2: Agenda for this Evening

Agenda for this Evening

Review the week Examine Economic Data Tax & Deficit Cuts Outlook on Oil

A New Year of risks European Debt China Correction

Page 3: Agenda for this Evening

Competition Winners

1st place: jnurre2nd Place: mvbutzy08

Page 4: Agenda for this Evening

Last Weeks Performance: S&P 500

+2.97%

Page 5: Agenda for this Evening

One Month Performance: S&P 500

+0.3%

Page 6: Agenda for this Evening

A Week in ReviewAirtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 5:01 PM ET

Page 7: Agenda for this Evening

What moved the markets Thursday?

Airtime: Thurs. Dec. 2 2010 | 12:02 PM ET

Page 8: Agenda for this Evening

Housing Data

Pending Home Sales for October expected to remain unchanged ( Zero Percent) Actual Results +10.4%

Midwest & Northeast: Large Increases

South: Modest GainsWest: Little/NO change

Page 9: Agenda for this Evening

HousingTrends

Existing home inventories are falling

The top 10 homebuilders have remarkably higher market share now than they did during peak of housing market

Significant increase in demand for smaller homes (2-3 bedrooms)

Page 10: Agenda for this Evening

Goldman Sachs' Top Bank Picks

JPMorgan Citi Bank of America Principal Financial Group Blackstone Group Invesco Evercore TD Ameritrade Stifel State Street Simon Property Group Dr Horton

Page 11: Agenda for this Evening

Tax & Deficit Cuts

Wednesday’s Proposed Plan Overhaul the tax brackets to 12%-22%-

28% Lower Corporate tax rate to 28% from

35% Raise Social Security retirement age to

69 in 2075

Needed 14 of 18 votes to pass Only received 11 votes on Friday A deal could still be made before

year end which could send the markets higher

Page 12: Agenda for this Evening

Return of $100 Oil?Airtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 6:25 PM ET

Page 13: Agenda for this Evening

Oil Prices: 1 Month

Page 14: Agenda for this Evening

Video Summary

Crude Oil prices up 6.5% on the week

Dollar significantly weaker on the week

Price of Oil: $89/barrel

Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank all raise oil price forecasts for 2011 & 2012

Page 15: Agenda for this Evening

National Average Gas Price per Gallon

One Month Ago: $2.80 Today:$2.90 Expected Year End: $3.00+

Page 16: Agenda for this Evening

Drilling Ban March 3oth : Obama

announces permission of greater offshore oil exploration

April 20th: BP Oil Spill

December 1st : Ban on further offshore oil exploration for 7 years

China and Venezuela ramping up offshore drilling

Page 17: Agenda for this Evening

Oil Plays

Halliburton (HAL)

Weatherford (WFT)

Schlumberger (SLB)

Baker Hughes (BHI)

British Petroleum (BP)

Page 18: Agenda for this Evening

Things to keep an Eye on

Beginning of 2011

Page 19: Agenda for this Evening

An Equity Correction in China?

Airtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 4:18 PM ET

Page 20: Agenda for this Evening

Risks with China

Industrial growth will continue but stocks could hurt by measures to reduce inflation

Short (FXI) & (HOGS)

China may increase reserve requirements for banks

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-05/greater-china-daybook-bank-reserve-ratios-may-rise-in-new-year.html

Page 21: Agenda for this Evening

The Week AheadAirtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 5:02 PM ET