agenda for this evening
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Agenda for this Evening
Review the week Examine Economic Data Tax & Deficit Cuts Outlook on Oil
A New Year of risks European Debt China Correction
Competition Winners
1st place: jnurre2nd Place: mvbutzy08
Last Weeks Performance: S&P 500
+2.97%
One Month Performance: S&P 500
+0.3%
A Week in ReviewAirtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 5:01 PM ET
What moved the markets Thursday?
Airtime: Thurs. Dec. 2 2010 | 12:02 PM ET
Housing Data
Pending Home Sales for October expected to remain unchanged ( Zero Percent) Actual Results +10.4%
Midwest & Northeast: Large Increases
South: Modest GainsWest: Little/NO change
HousingTrends
Existing home inventories are falling
The top 10 homebuilders have remarkably higher market share now than they did during peak of housing market
Significant increase in demand for smaller homes (2-3 bedrooms)
Goldman Sachs' Top Bank Picks
JPMorgan Citi Bank of America Principal Financial Group Blackstone Group Invesco Evercore TD Ameritrade Stifel State Street Simon Property Group Dr Horton
Tax & Deficit Cuts
Wednesday’s Proposed Plan Overhaul the tax brackets to 12%-22%-
28% Lower Corporate tax rate to 28% from
35% Raise Social Security retirement age to
69 in 2075
Needed 14 of 18 votes to pass Only received 11 votes on Friday A deal could still be made before
year end which could send the markets higher
Return of $100 Oil?Airtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 6:25 PM ET
Oil Prices: 1 Month
Video Summary
Crude Oil prices up 6.5% on the week
Dollar significantly weaker on the week
Price of Oil: $89/barrel
Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank all raise oil price forecasts for 2011 & 2012
National Average Gas Price per Gallon
One Month Ago: $2.80 Today:$2.90 Expected Year End: $3.00+
Drilling Ban March 3oth : Obama
announces permission of greater offshore oil exploration
April 20th: BP Oil Spill
December 1st : Ban on further offshore oil exploration for 7 years
China and Venezuela ramping up offshore drilling
Oil Plays
Halliburton (HAL)
Weatherford (WFT)
Schlumberger (SLB)
Baker Hughes (BHI)
British Petroleum (BP)
Things to keep an Eye on
Beginning of 2011
An Equity Correction in China?
Airtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 4:18 PM ET
Risks with China
Industrial growth will continue but stocks could hurt by measures to reduce inflation
Short (FXI) & (HOGS)
China may increase reserve requirements for banks
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-05/greater-china-daybook-bank-reserve-ratios-may-rise-in-new-year.html
The Week AheadAirtime: Fri. Dec. 3 2010 | 5:02 PM ET