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AGE OF REAL-TIMEFuture Trends in a Digital World
September 2009
Teemu Arinatar1natarina.blogging.fi
We are in the midst of a historic “upload”,
a frenetic rush to transfer the vast wealth of analog culture to the digital domain.
It is still barely understood how the media of the past ought to be preserved, presented and interconnected for the future.
– The Institute for the Future of the Book (2007)
35%of book sales at
Amazon when Kindle editions are available
Source: Amazon
6,44m6,39m
3,50m
7,06m
2003 2007 Source: tilastot.kirjastot.fi
PHYSICAL VISITS VIRTUAL VISITS
HELSINKI CITY LIBRARY
LIBRARIES ONLINE?
SCHOOLS ONLINE?
e-Learning 1.0
NETWORK
Photo: Christopher Chan
WEB 2.0: Architecturesof Participation
Ref: Scott Leslie
e-Learning 2.0
WHICH SHELF?
Digitalization frees information architecture from the constraints ofphysical location.
15 YEARS WATCHING TV
AVG 80 YEAR OLD
TV > MOBILE HEAD
Image: Judy Breck
1 TRILLIONhours of TV / YEAR
100 Wikipedia projects
=1%
Source: Clay Shirky
WIKIPEDIAALEXANDRIA
10 times larger than Library of Alexandria
Source: Wikipedia
500100501510
RadioCinemaRecordings
Television
Internet
Mobile
Years old
7th MASSMEDIA
Ref: Tomi T. Ahonen
A LOOK AT THE HISTORY...
PRE-GUTENBERG ERA
PALIMPSESTS“Scraped again”
MANUSCRIPTSManuscripts as visual communication
3D INTERFACESChurch as a medium for visual communication
LEARNING AS LOOKING
LEARNING AS READING
MOVABLE TYPEJohannes Gutenberg, 1439
“Only a fraction of the history of literacy has been typographic.”
Marshall McLuhan (1962)
PRE-HELVETICA
LEARNING AS READINGDecorate the margins as you go
MASS-EDUCATIONCopy/paste text into brain
CONTEXTUALITY
MAN-MACHINE SYMBIOSIS– J. C. R. Licklider, 1960
Technology as an extension of man.Man as an extension of technology.
ONE MACHINE
SOCIAL MEDIA“We are the genitals of our technology.” – McLuhan
CONTEXTUALITYNonlinearity and probing
FRAMING SOCIAL
OBJECTS
“Information overload is an opportunity for pattern recognition” – Marshall McLuhan
Image: jbum
Pattern Recognition
Look Read Perceive patterns
Pre-Gutenberg Era Gutenberg Era Post-Gutenberg Era
< Mechanic Age of Speed > Digital Age of Real-time
The web is transitioning from mere interactivity to a more dynamic, real-time web where read-write functions are heading towards balanced synchronicity.
The real-time web is the next logical step inthe Internet’s evolution.
– OM Malik, Giga OM (2009)
FROM COLLECTING
TO PERCEIVINGPATTERNS
FROM SEQUENTIALMODELS
TO SIMULTANEOUSHAPPENING
camera
projector
coloredcaps
mirrorphone
THE SIXTH SENSE
Ref: MIT Media Lab
Ref: MIT Media Lab
Magic Wands
What do you call a handheld interface for real, actual objects? "A wand."– Bruce Sterling
"It is the framework which changes with each new technology and not just the picture within the frame."
Marshall McLuhan
Thanks!
mail blogweb
Teemu Arinaceo - dicole ltd.
“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
– Albert Einstein
tar1na