aerospace & defense m&a trends: spring 2020 · jun-19 acra aerospace novaria group,...
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1
Aerospace & Defense | SPRING 2020Market Update
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2Meridian Capital’s Aerospace & Defense Practice
AARON FRANZHEIM
SENIOR ASSOCIATE
BRIAN MURPHY
PRESIDENT & MANAGING DIRECTOR
L e a d i n g t h e N o r t h w e s t i n M & A
Areas of Expertise
2019 By the Numbers:
3 Closed Transactions
2 Engagements under LOI
6 Active Engagements Committed to tracking current industry valuation trends, M&A rationale, and
investor criteria
• Actively tracking 150+ aerospace and defense focused PE firms
• Ongoing correspondence with acquisitive strategic investors Conference, Panel, and Interview Participation
Ground Support Equipment
Interior Components
Tooling and Automation
Precision Machining and Assembly Aerospace Components
Defense
A&D Leadership Team
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3Capital Markets Update – Impacts of COVID-19
• 50 – 75% of in-market transactions have been put on hold
• Select late stage deals with committed financing were completed – particularly those with limited commercial aerospace exposure
• Defense, security solutions, and UAV sectors showing resiliency
• Opportunities remaining in market likely to have extended timeline and diligence processes
Deal Activity
• Strategics are primarily focused on internal operations, expense reduction, and liquidity
o Mantra of most companies is now ‘cash is king’
• Active stress testing of near and mid-term demand scenarios
• Proactive management teams with strong balance sheets looking likely to evaluate consolidation and M&A opportunities
Strategic Buyers
In process transactions and the M&A deal pipeline have been adversely impacted by uncertainty caused by COVID-19 challenges
Lenders
• Non-bank cash flow lenders have halted lending and narrowed the credit window for new opportunitieso Focused on existing clientso Lending standards to tighten and cost of debt likely to increaseo Underwriting of more conservative cash flow scenarios, stringent covenants, etc.
• Alternative lenders have indicated that appetite for new credit opportunities may reemerge in May / June
Private Equity
• Combination of earnings declines, financing challenges, and mid-term demand uncertainty create challenging environment
• Private equity firms pulling out of active processes, causing sellers to reevaluate transaction strategies
• Experienced A&D investors are seeking minority investment opportunities to back platforms to pursue consolidation strategies
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4Impact by Subsegment
Commercial Aerostructures
Declining Air Traffic Trends
Reduced OEM Build Rates
Risk of New Entrants / Low Cost
Competitors
Very High Very High Very High
MRO Medium
Commercial Subsystems
High Very High
Defense Low Low Medium
Market Trend (negative impact if present)
Declining Commercial
Order Volume
Low
Very High
Low
High
Margin Compression
Low
Medium
Medium
High
Low
MediumVery High
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5Significant Challenges From Current Environment…
Supply Chain Risks• Unknown financial viability of smaller suppliers especially for any sole-source exposure• Furloughs and temporary shutdowns at suppliers extending lead times• Potential increased use of prepayment or shorter A/P terms
OEM Uncertainty• Reduction in build rates• Temporary manufacturing facility closures impacting shipment and order schedules• Ongoing 737 MAX certification challenges and uncertainty
Workforce Management• Implementation of remote employment, staggered shifts, and social distancing processes • Labor uncertainty given employee health concerns• Pairing key talent retention with potential workforce reductions
Near Term Cash Flow and Strategic Planning• Revenue reduction and A/R collection delays leading to cash flow challenges• Need to balance near-term liquidity issues with forecasted build rate increases in 2021+• Management required to analyze post COVID-19 market positioning and growth opportunities
Customer Order Volumes and Payments• Inconsistent demand as customers respond to market conditions• Extended A/R as customers manage their cash flow
A&D suppliers, particularly those with meaningful exposure to the commercial market, are facing multiple hurdles
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6…Requiring Shareholders to Consider Mitigation and Response Strategies
zh
Cash Flow and Expense Management
• Draw on revolver, if possible, and focus on improving working capital by accelerating receivables and offering incentives for cash up front payment
• Evaluate variable costs to identify opportunities for cost reduction measures
• Reevaluate capital expenditures timing and need
Strategy Commentary
Traditional Lenders, Stimulus Debt, and
Government Programs
• Discuss payment and amortizations schedule options with existing lenders
• Take advantage of government and stimulus programs offered under the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (“CARES”) Act including the Paycheck Protection Program (“PPP”) and Economic Injury Disaster Loans
• SBA Program Details
Temporary Workforce Reductions
• Consider workforce furloughs to retain skilled labor and be able to scale operations quickly to capitalize on recovery
• Explore government programs including Washington State’s Workshare program to pursue flexible labor levels and keep workforce intact
Minority Investment and Alternative Debt
Options
• Proactive companies and management teams will look to capitalize on dislocation in market
• Capital opportunities available for companies looking for support beyond operating cash flow and loans under the CARES Act
• Opportunity for companies to partner with capital providers to pursue organic and inorganic investments to gain market share
Key:Immediate and
DefensiveNear-term and
Offensive
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7Notable Recent Transactions – Aerospace
* Represents transaction announced / in-progress
Represents transaction advised by Meridian
Date Target Buyer Segment EV ($M)EV /
RevenueEV /
EBITDAApr-20 Raytheon (Airborne Tactical Radios) BAE Systems Avionics and Controls $275.0 -
Apr-20 Ellison Surface Technologies Bodycote MRO $199.5 3.3x
Mar-20 Impcross Gardner Group Components and Subsystems - - -
Mar-20 Prime Turbines PTB Group MRO $21.0 - -
Feb-20 ZIM Flugsitz Aurelius Equity Opportunities Aircraft Interiors - - -
Feb-20 FreeFlight Systems ACR Electronics Avionics and Controls - - -
Feb-20 Bombarier (C Series Jets) Airbus Aircraft Manufacturer - - -
Feb-20 *L3Harris (Airport Security and Automation Business) Leidos Avionics and Controls $1,000.0 - -
Jan-20 *Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing Stanley Black & Decker Components and Subsystems $1,500.0 4.0x
Jan-20 Excelitas Technologies (A&D Power Business) TT Electronics Components and Subsystems $17.7 1.9x 10.4x
Jan-20 Aero Parts Mart Jet Parts Engineering (Vance Street Capital) Machined Parts - - -
Dec-19 MTM Robotics Airbus Automation / Tooling - - -
Nov-19 Ontic Engineering & Manufacturing CVC Capital Partners Components and Subsystems $1,365.0 - -
Nov-19 SureFly Moog Avionics and Controls $4.0 - -
Sep-19 Exotic Metals Forming Company Parker Hannifin Machined Parts $1,706.0 3.8x
Sep-19 Pacific Design Technologies AMETEK Avionics and Controls $125.0 - -
Aug-19 Esterline Interface Technologies Division KPS Capital Avionics and Controls $190.0 - -
Jul-19 Ontic Engineering & Manufacturing CVC Partners MRO - - -
Jul-19 Matrix Composites (United States) ITT Components and Subsystems $29.0 - -
Jul-19 Valence Surface Technologies ATL Partners, British Columbia Investment Mgmt. Metal Processing - - -
Jun-19 ACRA Aerospace Novaria Group, Rosewood Private Investments Machined Parts - - -
Jun-19 AIM Aerospace Sekisui Chemical Components and Subsystems $510.0 2.9x -
Jun-19 EnCore Group (Seat and Galley Manufacturer) Boeing Components and Subsystems - - -
Jun-19 EDAC Technologies Hanwha Aerospace Components and Subsystems $297.0 2.0x -
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8Notable Recent Transactions – Aerospace
TRANSACTION MULTIPLE BY SEGMENT* TRANSACTION VOLUME BY EV
Source: PitchBook Data*Transactions completed since 2010 with an EV/EBITDA multiple reported
Date Target Buyer Segment EV ($M)EV /
RevenueEV /
EBITDAJun-19 Advanced Polymer Technologies (Stockton) Mitsubishi Chemical Advanced Materials Machined Parts - - -
May-19 Zircon Precision Products CLM Equity Partners Machined Parts - - -
Mar-19 Esterline Technologies TransDigm Group Avionics and Controls $3,608.8 1.8x 11.6x
Jan-19 GECO Avionics Mercury Systems Avionics and Controls $36.5 - -
Jan-19 Carmel Forge Bet Shemesh Engines Components and Subsystems $58.5 - -
Jan-19 Momeni Engineering Essex Industries Machined Parts - - -
Nov-18 Magellan Distribution (A&D Division) Electronic Connector Company MRO - - -
Nov-18 Voyager Jet Center Lynx FBO Network MRO - - -
Oct-18 Aries Alliance Astorg Partners Machined Parts - - -
Oct-18 Aspect Aircraft Maintenance Textron Aviation MRO - - -
Oct-18 PenAir Ravn Alaska Airline $12.3 - -
Oct-18 PDQ Airspares Aircraft Fasteners International MRO - - -
Oct-18 KLX Aerospace Solutions Boeing Components and Subsystems $3,922.3 2.0x 12.6x
265
94
<$200M >$200M
13.3x 13.6x12.2x 11.8x 11.0x 10.3x
8.5x6.9x
Aircraft Interiors Components andSubsystems
ElectronicsManufacturing
Aerostructures Machined Parts MRO Controls Engines
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9Notable Recent Transactions – Defense
Date Target Buyer Segment EV ($M)EV /
RevenueEV /
EBITDAApr-20 Raytheon United Technologies Defense Contractor $52,783.0 - -
Mar-20 *L3 Communications EOTech American Holoptics Military Devices and Products - - -
Mar-20 Mast Technology Ultra Defense Military Devices and Products - - -
Mar-20 *Sinclair Interplanetary Rocket Lab Defense Technology - - -
Feb-20 Galactic Sky Lockheed Martin Defense Technology $4.3 - -
Feb-20 Black Diamond Advanced Technology Sagamore Capital Defense Technology - - -
Jan-20 Cobham Advent International Defense Technology $5,230.0 - -
Jan-20 3M (Ballistic Protection Business) Avon Rubber Tactical Equipment $116.0 - -
Jan-20 Critical Solutions International AirBoss of America Military Devices and Products $132.7 - -
Nov-19 Nutronics nLIGHT Defense Technology $33.3 - -
Oct-19 Manufacturing Techniques QinetiQ Defense Technology $125.0 0.8x 11.0x
Oct-19 Revision Military (Eyewear Business) Merit Capital Partners, ASGARD Partners Tactical Equipment - - -
Sep-19 Berg Companies HDT Global (Charlesbank Capital Partners) Shelters - - -
Sep-19 McNally Industries Susquehanna Private Capital Military Devices and Products - - -
Aug-19 H2M Group ManTech International Defense Technology $38.8 - -
Aug-19 Alion Science & Technology (Naval Systems Business) Serco Engineering Services $225.0 - -
Aug-19 Columbia Helicopters AE Industrial Partners Aerial Vehicles - - -
Jul-19 Integrated Polymer Solutions Arcline Investment Management Elastomeric Components - - -
Jul-19 Black Sage Technologies Acorn Growth Companies Defense Technology - - -
Jul-19 Globe Composite Solutions ESCO Technologies Materials - - -
Jul-19 L3 Technologies Harris Defense Technology $35,892.0 3.4x 26.9x
Jun-19 Riptide Autonomous Solutions BAE Systems Aerial Vehicles - - -
Mar-19 Endeavor Robotics FLIR Systems Vehicles $385.0 - -
Mar-19 LGS Innovations CACI International Cybersecurity $759.5 1.6x 9.3x
Feb-19 Florida Turbine Technologies Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Defense Systems $74.9 - -
Feb-19 Aeronautics Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Aerial Vehicles $235.0 - -
Jan-19 DHA Group ASGN Consulting $48.5 1.0x 11.4x
* Represents announced transaction
Represents transaction advised by Meridian
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10Select Public Companies
As of 04/15/20
$ in M
Market LTM EV/LTM LTM Margin 52-Week
Company Name Cap EV Rev EBITDA Rev EBITDA EBITDA Change
Aerospace
Airbus SE (ENXTPA:AIR) 51,253 48,598 78,896 4,592 0.6x 10.6x 5.8% (52.8%)
Ducommun Incorporated (NYSE:DCO) 276 565 721 84 0.8x 6.7x 11.7% (39.3%)
HEICO Corporation (NYSE:HEI) 9,812 10,544 2,096 558 5.0x 18.9x 26.6% (21.3%)
Hexcel Corporation (NYSE:HXL) 2,583 3,579 2,356 567 1.5x 6.3x 24.1% (54.6%)
Kaman Corporation (NYSE:KAMN) 1,105 837 762 84 1.1x 10.0x 11.0% (34.3%)
MTU Aero Engines AG (XTRA:MTX) 7,206 7,939 5,317 933 1.5x 8.5x 17.5% (43.4%)
Safran SA (ENXTPA:SAF) 36,413 41,886 28,096 5,763 1.5x 7.3x 20.5% (39.2%)
Senior plc (LSE:SNR) 341 642 1,417 138 0.5x 4.7x 9.7% (73.8%)
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SPR) 2,095 2,828 7,863 990 0.4x 2.9x 12.6% (76.7%)
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) 6,249 8,702 13,630 1,529 0.6x 5.7x 11.2% (49.4%)
The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA) 79,556 97,145 76,559 734 1.3x 132.3x 1.0% (62.7%)
TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) 17,081 31,273 3,538 2,302 5.5x 13.6x 65.1% (30.3%)
Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) 348 1,703 3,076 (273) 0.6x - (8.9%) (71.4%)
Median 6,249 7,939 3,538 734 1.1x 7.9x 11.7% (49.4%)
Mean 16,486 19,711 17,256 1,385 1.6x 19.0x 16.0% (49.9%)
Defense
BAE Systems plc (LSE:BA.) 21,250 24,224 23,354 3,264 1.0x 7.4x 14.0% (4.6%)
Elbit Systems Ltd. (TASE:ESLT) 5,317 6,347 4,508 410 1.4x 15.5x 9.1% (15.8%)
General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) 40,194 52,725 39,350 5,491 1.3x 9.6x 14.0% (20.6%)
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NasdaqGS:KTOS) 1,549 1,734 718 72 2.4x 23.9x 10.1% (1.5%)
L3 Harris Technologies (NYSE:LHX) 42,729 45,721 6,801 2,268 6.7x 29.7x 33.3% 18.6%
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) 107,118 118,302 59,812 9,083 2.0x 13.0x 15.2% 22.4%
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) 58,350 70,183 33,841 4,094 2.1x 17.1x 12.1% 25.1%
Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTN) 98,664 140,174 77,046 13,637 1.8x 10.3x 17.7% (52.1%)
Thales S.A. (ENXTPA:HO) 16,837 20,843 20,599 2,914 1.0x 7.2x 14.1% (36.0%)
Median 40,194 45,721 23,354 3,264 1.8x 13.0x 14.0% (4.6%)
Mean 43,556 53,361 29,559 4,581 2.2x 14.9x 15.5% (7.2%)
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11Meridian’s Aerospace and Defense Team
AARON FRANZHEIM
Senior Analyst
TY KJELLESVIK
Senior Associate
• 5 years – Investment
Banking
• 2 years – Investment
Banking
• Washington (BBA) • Washington (BBA)
GABRIEL CABALLERO
Analyst
• 1 year – Investment
Banking
• Portland State (BS)
• Tullius Partners
KRISTIN BRANDTNERBRIAN MURPHY
Senior Vice PresidentManaging Director & President
YEARS EXPERIENCE
BACKGROUND
PRIOR EXPERIENCE
• 14 years – M&A and
corporate finance
• 11 years – Investment
Banking and Corporate
Banking
• Redlands (BS, BS) • Notre Dame (BBA)
• Accenture • J.P. Morgan • Financial Technology
Partners
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12International Aerospace and Defense Connections
USANorth American Sector
Team Lead
BRIAN MURPHY
FranceManaging Partner,
Aerospace & Defense
PHILIPPE DORE
United KingdomSenior / Operations Advisor
Chairman – ShimtechChairman – MAA
CLIVE SNOWDEN
Nordic RegionManaging Partner,
Aerospace
ULF HOYEN
GM&A PARTNERS AEROSPACE LEADERSHIP TEAM GLOBAL M&A
A&D COVERAGE TEAM HIGHLIGHTS
Meridian Capital is a founding member of Global M&APartners, a global partnership of independent, middle-market investment banking firms. Established in 1999,the partnership includes 34 investment banks with morethan 200 M&A professionals transacting in over 50countries. Combined the partnership has successfullycompleted over 1,500 transactions with combined valuein excess of $50 billion over the past five years. Meridianis a leading member of the partnership’s AerospaceCoverage Team.
• Significant aerospace operational and transaction experience
• Global coverage across key geographic markets (50+ countries)
• Unmatched strategic relationships and investor access across aerospace industry
• Leading research and thought leadership
FranceSector Team Lead
Former Chairman & CEO -Airbus
NOEL FORGEARD
GermanyDirector,
Aerospace & Defense
PHILIPP ELSEN
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13Meridian Aerospace and Defense Transaction Experience
AVIC International
Manufacturer and installer of
production and assembly lines
- By-side Advisory Services -
Procesos Termicos
Mexico-based provider of machining
and special processing services
- Acquired by -
Mobile Tool Management
Manufacturer of robotics for the
aerospace industry
- Growth Capital Provided by -
Imaginetics, Inc.
Tier I manufacturer of precision
aerospace components
- Acquired by -
Blast Deflectors
Global leader in jet blast deflection
and engine noise mitigation
technology
- Acquired by -
HR Givon
Manufacturer precision machined
parts for the aerospace industry
- Acquired by -
VIOX Corporation
Manufacturer of glass/ceramic
compositions for electronic, industrial,
and healthcare markets
- Acquired by -
J&M Machine
Manufacturer of precision machined
aerospace parts
- Acquired by -
Loxin
Design and manufacture of large machine
tools for the aerospace and railway
sectors in Spain
- Acquired by -
Airline Services Holdings
Maintenance, repair and overhaul
services to airlines and aviation
businesses in the U.K.
- Management Buyout Backed by -
JL Manufacturing
Manufacturer of precision machined
components for the aerospace
industry
- Acquired by -
Dynamic Ceramic
Leading UK manufacturer of
advanced ceramics
- Acquired by -
Hutchinson SA
Manufacturer of thermal and acoustics
insulation materials
- By-side Advisory Services -
Procesos Termicos
Mold Rite
Injection moldings for aerospace,
medical, and consumer products
- Acquired by -
Sound Rite
Plastics, Ltd.
Pacific Aerospace & Electronics
Manufacturer of precision electronic
aerospace, medical, and industrial
products
- Financial and Buy-side Advisory Services -
Apollo Video Technology
Manufacturer of mobile video, fleet &
information management systems
- Acquired by -
Berg Companies
Manufacturer of remote camp
solutions for military and commercial
applications
- Acquired by -
MTM Robotics
Leading provider of high-quality,
automated portable tools, robotics,
and software systems
- Acquired by -
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14
The Meridian DifferenceE x c e p t i o n a l R e s u l t s D e l i v e r e d
Brian MurphyPresident & Managing DirectorDirect: (206) [email protected]
Kristin BrandtnerSenior Vice PresidentDirect: (206) [email protected]
Ty KjellesvikSenior AnalystDirect: (206) [email protected]
Aaron FranzheimSenior AssociateDirect: (206) [email protected]
Gabriel CaballeroAnalystDirect: (206) [email protected]