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Active management without the headwinds Vanguard Quantitative Equity Group

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Page 1: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

Active management without the headwindsVanguard Quantitative Equity Group

Page 2: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

A tradition of active management When you think of Vanguard, you might first think

of indexing. However, The Vanguard Group, Inc.—

parent of Vanguard Investments Canada Inc.—began

operations in 1975 as an active investment manager.

Today Vanguard is one of the world’s largest active

managers, with more than $1.5 trillion managed

through both in-house and external advisors.1

As the firm’s in-house active equity manager,

the Quantitative Equity Group (QEG) developed

proprietary investing models that we first applied in

1991. Today we’re Vanguard’s fourth-largest active

equity manager with more than $45 billion under

management across 39 mandates.1 We apply

our investment processes to multiple strategies,

including traditional alpha, factors, liquid alternatives

and managed payout.

While our approach is active, we embrace the same

investing principles that Vanguard applies across all

of its products: clear goals, broad diversification, low

costs and long-term discipline. We also benefit from

the deep expertise of Vanguard’s global trading desk.

This is a distinguishing feature of our process,

because it enables us to implement our strategies

on a global scale at low cost.

1 As of March 31, 2017. All monetary amounts in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.2

Page 3: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

How we think about investing Like all active managers, we don’t think markets are

fully efficient. We believe we can provide investors

with long-term value by systematically exploiting

market inefficiencies and anomalies arising from

investors’ behavioural biases.

While our approach is quantitative, we don’t rely on

high-frequency trading or pure technical analysis.

Our traditional alpha strategy, for example, evaluates

the economic prospects of firms through a bottom-

up, fundamental approach to security selection.

Our approach is also defined by what it seeks

to remove: the headwinds that can keep even

the most talented active fund managers from

succeeding. These include high costs that erode

returns, undisciplined portfolio construction that

can add unrewarded risk, and reliance on star

managers, which carries the risk of shifts in

strategy after they leave the funds.

Through rigorous risk management, discipline,

a team approach and an unyielding focus on

low costs, QEG reduces these headwinds.

Lower costs can boost performance

The potential benefits of low-cost active

management were substantiated in a recent

Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The study

examined how a fund’s expense ratio and five

other fund metrics—turnover, tracking error, past

alpha, fund concentration and fund size—relate to

future risk-adjusted returns (or alpha).

The bars in the chart represent the difference in

alpha between funds in the lowest and highest

quartile of each metric. Of the six metrics, cost

was clearly the most significant indicator of

future alpha, with lower costs leading to higher

returns, on average.

Although cost isn’t the only determinant of future

alpha, it can be an effective filter to use when

you’re evaluating actively managed funds.

3

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Notes: The bars represent the difference, measured in percentage points, in the median annual alpha from January 1, 2006, through December 31, 2015, of mutual funds in the lowest and highest quartiles based on the above metric measurements from January 1, 2001, through December 31, 2005. Fund concentration is measured as the percent of assets in the top ten holdings. The expense ratio and turnover were the only variables significant at the 99% confidence level. For more about the analysis, see Daniel W. Wallick, Brian R.Wimmer, and James Balsamo, Vanguard 2015. You get what you don’t pay for.Sources: Vanguard calculations, using data from Morningstar Inc.

Costs have been the dominant ex-ante signal

Page 4: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

Why Vanguard hires usQEG operates as an in-house Vanguard manager,

but we vie for fund mandates alongside external

manager candidates. We’re vetted by Vanguard’s

Portfolio Review Department (PRD), which

oversees existing managers and recommends

prospective managers to a senior management

investment committee that includes

Vanguard’s CEO.

PRD hires us if it believes our capabilities offer

the best fit for a given mandate. Regardless

of the mandate we’re hired to manage, certain

hallmarks define our approach.

Rigorous research

Effective quantitative investing requires ongoing

research. While our core philosophy hasn’t

changed through the years, our dedicated team

of analysts continually tests and refines our

proprietary models to ensure they stay effective.

Our research efforts aren’t simply aimed at

producing higher returns. We also look to add

value in other ways, for example, by reducing

volatility or lowering transaction costs. We’ll

consider adding a new idea to our process if it

adds value and an economic justification exists

for why it adds value. An idea must also work in

different market environments, segments and

regions before we’ll adopt it.

Vigilant risk management

We keep a constant eye on risk in all of our

strategies. Our goal is to take only the proper

amount of risk to achieve an objective. For

example, in our global minimum volatility strategy

we don’t just look at volatility, we look at all

factors that can add risk. Then we add prudent

constraints around certain factors like industry

and country in an attempt to consistently provide

lower volatility than the market.

Idea generation

Is it: A philosophical �t? Economically rational? Sustainable?

Does it: Add value? Reduce risk? Lower transaction costs? Work in different market environments, regions and segments?

Proof of concept

Validation testingAttributionRisk monitoring

Implementation

Source: Vanguard.

New investment ideas undergo a rigorous vetting process

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Page 5: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

In our traditional alpha strategy, we add constraints

in order to provide our investors with a measure

of performance consistency relative to the

benchmark. For example, since we rank stocks

among industry peers but don’t have a view on

industry, we choose to tightly control our industry

exposure. To help ensure we consistently capture

the premiums we seek, all of our strategies apply

additional constraints to preserve diversification,

maintain liquidity and limit issuer exposure.

We’re also subject to independent monitoring

by Vanguard’s Risk Management Group (RMG).

RMG monitors portfolio positions against limits,

undertakes attribution analysis, and works with

our portfolio managers to make sure risks are

identified and managed.

RMG’s reporting structure distinguishes our

approach to risk management. RMG’s head

reports directly to The Vanguard Group, Inc.’s

chief investment officer (CIO). This structure

keeps RMG close to our investment process and

ensures we’re aware of rapid changes to markets

and portfolios, along with their related risks and

potential effects on strategies.

Low costs

Vanguard’s enduring low-cost investment

philosophy is at the centre of every strategy

we manage. We keep costs low, in part, by

harnessing economies of scale from Vanguard’s

$5.7 trillion2 global asset management business.

For example, Vanguard uses its large global trading

volume to negotiate favourable pricing from brokers,

which helps keep our transaction costs low. And by

leveraging Vanguard’s regional trading hubs in the

U.K., Australia and the U.S., we can trade during

local hours when markets are most liquid, which

reduces market impact costs.

Consistent with Vanguard’s philosophy, we aim

to pass these savings on to investors. It’s a

simple, yet powerful idea: Investors earn more

when they pay less.

Tenured team with deep expertise

Our team is efficiently staffed with a deep

bench of credentialed professionals. Among our

26 strategists, analysts and portfolio managers,

12 hold the CFA designation and six have PhDs.

The team’s average Vanguard tenure is more

than 11 years. Our smaller size promotes close

collaboration among team members. Meanwhile,

we’re supported by the larger Vanguard organization

and leverage the best practices, low-cost execution

and expertise of equity traders in multiple markets

around the globe.

Our collaborative approach sets us apart from many

competitors. We seek to add value through low

costs, diversification and predictability relative to an

index, so we don’t have to rely on a star manager or

key individual. Since no single person is responsible

for all portfolio management decisions, investors can

be assured of continuity in our approach.

Discipline

We build disciplined portfolios with risk profiles

similar to an index, making bets only where we

think we can add value. We’re also disciplined

traders. Our proprietary investing models limit the

number of securities we need to trade, which

reduces transaction costs and helps preserve the

alpha we generate.

Discipline is present at every step of our process.

It defines how we hire our team, vet new ideas,

manage risk, trade securities and build portfolios.

2 As of March 31, 2017. 5

Page 6: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

QEG puts its investing models to work across

several distinct strategies. The hallmarks of

our approach—rigorous research and risk

management, low costs, deep expertise

and discipline—are present in each strategy.

Traditional alpha

Our traditional alpha strategy seeks to achieve

long-term outperformance by finding stocks with

strong growth potential at a reasonable price.

Like many traditional managers, we select stocks

using fundamental, bottom-up criteria. The

difference is we apply our process quantitatively,

which allows us to execute at scale. Each night,

we pull in data on thousands of stocks from around

the globe. Our models use this data to calculate

the characteristics by which we evaluate stocks.

For us, attractive stocks exhibit four key themes:

• High quality. Companies should have healthy

balance sheets and consistent cash flow.

• Effective use of capital. Companies should

have sound investment policies. We prefer

internal to external funding.

• Strong sentiment. We should see market

and analyst confirmation of our view.

• Reasonable valuations. We avoid

overpriced stocks.

We generate an opinion on all stocks each day

based on the presence—and interaction—of the

four themes. Then we group stocks into industry

peer groups and rank them. We build our portfolios

by overweighting the most attractive stocks and

underweighting the least attractive.

1991

US large-cap value

US large-cap growth

US mid-cap growth

US small-cap growth

Total AUM xx billion

US large-cap value/incomeUS large-cap blend

Global energy sector

Global equityMarket neutral

US large-cap blend

Global minimum volatility

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Liquid alternativesGlobal liquidity

Global momentumGlobal value

2015

US all-cap blend

US small-cap blend

Managed payoutUS large-cap value

Traditional alpha Managed payout Factors Liquid alternatives

$45 billion

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Traditional alpha Managed payout Factors Liquid alternatives

U.S. large-cap blend

Global minimumvolatility

Liquid alternatives

Global liquidity

Global momentum

Global value

Global equity

Market neutral

U.S. small-cap blend

Managed payout

U.S. large-cap value

U.S. mid-cap growth

U.S. large-cap value/income

U.S. large-cap blendU.S. large-cap growth

U.S. small-cap growth

U.S. all-cap blend

Global energysector

U.S. large-cap value

Our quantitative strategies

QEG strategies and assets under management

6 Source: Vanguard, as of March 31, 2017.

Page 7: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

Our process is designed to take advantage of

small mispricings. We spread our active risk among

many stocks, avoiding concentrated exposures to

individual stocks. Our process is also designed to

avoid unintended active risk versus the benchmark.

For example, while we take a position on stocks,

we remain neutral on industry.

Factor investing

QEG’s factor strategies aim to capture the return

premiums associated with factors including value,

momentum, liquidity and minimum volatility. We

target these factors globally because our research

shows they have historically produced positive

excess returns or other premiums (such as lower

volatility) across regions.

Although factor investing is inherently active,

many factor funds are managed to track an index.

Our approach is purely active, so we don’t have

to rely on a benchmark’s rebalancing schedule or

a benchmark provider’s definition and construction

of a factor. That means we can adapt portfolios to

maintain continuous exposure to factors, even as

markets and stocks change through time.

Our factor strategies are not only adaptable,

they are transparent. Our aim is to offer investors

the best of both worlds: flexible and efficient

targeting of the desired factors and a clear

understanding of how we construct factors

and assemble portfolios.

1991

US large-cap value

US large-cap growth

US mid-cap growth

US small-cap growth

Total AUM xx billion

US large-cap value/incomeUS large-cap blend

Global energy sector

Global equityMarket neutral

US large-cap blend

Global minimum volatility

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Liquid alternativesGlobal liquidity

Global momentumGlobal value

2015

US all-cap blend

US small-cap blend

Managed payoutUS large-cap value

Traditional alpha Managed payout Factors Liquid alternatives

$45 billion

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Traditional alpha Managed payout Factors Liquid alternatives

U.S. large-cap blend

Global minimumvolatility

Liquid alternatives

Global liquidity

Global momentum

Global value

Global equity

Market neutral

U.S. small-cap blend

Managed payout

U.S. large-cap value

U.S. mid-cap growth

U.S. large-cap value/income

U.S. large-cap blendU.S. large-cap growth

U.S. small-cap growth

U.S. all-cap blend

Global energysector

U.S. large-cap value

7

Page 8: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

Liquid alternatives

Our liquid alternatives strategy offers transparent

and low-cost access to non-traditional investments

and investing techniques. We aim to generate

returns that have low correlation with the returns

of the stock and bond markets, with less volatility

than the stock market. We use leverage and

long/short positions to implement five equally

weighted strategies:

• Event driven. We seek to capitalize on

price discrepancies and returns generated

by corporate activity such as mergers

and acquisitions.

• Long/short equity. We buy equities we

expect to increase in value and short-sell

equities expected to decrease in value.

• Currencies. We use forward foreign currency

contracts to benefit from currency movements

across countries.

• Fixed income relative value. We seek

to capitalize on perceived mispricing of

various liquid fixed income or interest-rate-

sensitive securities.

• Commodity-linked investments. We gain

long and short exposure to exchange-traded

commodity futures contracts, swaps and

other commodity-linked investments.

Unlike private hedge funds, we only use liquid

instruments that trade in well-established markets.

And since our strategy is offered as a mutual fund,

daily pricing allows investors to move in and out

with relative ease.

Managed payout

Our managed payout strategy is designed to

generate income in perpetuity, while preserving

capital over the long-term. The fund targets a

payout rate of 4% per year, paid out monthly.

To smooth out distributions, the payout percentage

is reset each year, based on the fund’s rolling

three-year average net asset value.

The fund employs a strategy similar to those

used by large endowments and foundations—

at a fraction of the cost. We actively manage

allocations across traditional and alternative

investments with the long-term goal of

preserving and growing capital.

This is a sophisticated endowment-style

strategy in mutual fund form. It can work equally

well for retirees seeking steady income or for

institutions seeking a regular source of funding

for operational needs.

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Page 9: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

How we build a portfolio, trade, and monitor risk

Each day we evaluate our portfolios to determine

what trading may be necessary from a risk

and strategy perspective. For example, in our

traditional alpha strategy, we’d look for ways

to improve risk characteristics and add alpha.

Our preference is to trade with cash flow because

it reduces turnover, which minimizes transaction

costs. If cash flow isn’t available, we’ll buy and sell

within our portfolios, but only if we determine that

the investment benefit of a trade more than offsets

transaction costs.

Next we generate a trade list. Upon a successful

compliance review, we release the approved trade

list to Vanguard’s globally integrated trading desk.

They then work to execute the trades at the lowest

possible cost.

Risk monitoring is also built into our daily process.

We monitor risk within our own group, and

Vanguard Global Risk Management Group

independently monitors risk within our portfolios.

Optimizer generatestrade list

Risk monitoring

Daily monitoring alongside our enterprise-wide risk management team

Trading desk

Ensure trading ef�ciency

Execute trades

Evaluate

Evaluate

Trade list

Improve risk characteristics

Add alpha

Minimize cost

Optimiser generatestrade list

Risk monitoring

Daily monitoring alongside our enterprise-wide risk management team

Trading desk

Ensure trading ef�ciency

Execute trades

Evaluate

Evaluate

Trade list

Improve risk characteristics

Add alpha

Minimize cost

Our daily process

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QEG offers a disciplined, systematic and risk-controlled approach to active management.

When combined with Vanguard’s enduring low-cost approach, we believe we can reduce

the headwinds of active investing and deliver long-term value for investors.

To learn more about our strategies and products, visit vanguardcanada.ca.

Learn more about us

Page 11: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

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Page 12: Active management without the headwinds - Vanguard CanadaThe potential benefits of low-cost active management were substantiated in a recent Vanguard study on U.S. mutual funds. The

© 2017 Vanguard Investments Canada Inc. All rights reserved.

QEG_CA 062017

Connect with Vanguard®

vanguardcanada.ca

Date of publication: June 2017

Commissions, management fees, and expenses all may be associated with investments in a Vanguard ETF®. Investment objectives, risks, fees, expenses, and other important information are contained in the prospectus; please read it before investing. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Vanguard ETFs® are managed by Vanguard Investments Canada Inc., an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of The Vanguard Group, Inc. and are available across Canada through registered dealers.

This material is for informational purposes only. This material is not intended to be relied upon as research, investment, or tax advice and is not an implied or express recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security or to adopt any particular investment or portfolio strategy. Any views and opinions expressed do not take into account the particular investment objectives, needs, restrictions and circumstances of a specific investor and, thus, should not be used as the basis of any specific investment recommendation.

Investors should consult a financial and/or tax advisor for financial and/or tax information applicable to their specific situation.

This material does not constitute an offer or solicitation and may not be treated as an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation is against the law, or to anyone to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation, or if the person making the offer or solicitation is not qualified to do so.

In this material, references to “Vanguard” are provided for convenience only and may refer to, where applicable, only The Vanguard Group, Inc., and/or may include its affiliates, including Vanguard Investments Canada Inc.

All investments, including those that seek to track indexes, are subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market.

CFA® is a registered trademark owned by CFA Institute.