acquisition of aleris care announcement presentation...2018/10/16 · egm, planned for h1 2019 to...
TRANSCRIPT
Acquisition of Aleris Care
Announcement presentation16 October 2018
Transaction summary
2
Transaction in brief
EV/EBITA
before synergies
14.0x
Enterprise value
SEK
2,600m
Bridge
financing in
place, rights
issue in 2019
The
acquisition
Ambea has entered into an
agreement to acquire Aleris Care at
an enterprise value of SEK 2.6bn,
corresponding to an equity value of
approx. SEK 3.0bn
Closing of the acquisition is expected
in Q1 2019, subject to customary
regulatory approvals
Financing
Ambea has secured bank financing for the acquisition, consisting of a SEK 1.4bn loan facility and a SEK 1.2bn bridge financing to be repaid by rights issue
Rights issue to be approved by the EGM, planned for H1 2019 to maintain financial strength and flexibility
Note: EBITA-multiples based on adjusted LTM September 2018 SEK 186m (Reported SEK 127m).
EV/EBITA
after direct cost
synergies and
operational
improvements
8.5x
3
The largest private care company in the Nordics,
with leading positions in Sweden, Norway and
Denmark
A robust platform in multiple countries with strong
organic growth pipeline
Significant synergies and margin improvement
opportunities
Cross-country learning opportunities and sharing of
best practice
The New Ambea Group
Strategic rationale
1,796
beds in the pipeline
SEK ~120m
annual direct cost synergies
and operational
improvement opportunitySignificant cross-country
learning and best practise
sharing
Note: Competitors include for-profit care service providers in segments where Ambea is present. Comparison based on LFY reported revenues,
adjusted for major acquisitions and divestments. Aleris Care pro forma group accounts K3. Attendo adjusted for divested healthcare operations and the
acquisition of Mikeva. Team Oliva Danish sales exclude sales related to Personal Assistance
Source: Company information, company filings
#1
#1
#1
#1 market
position in
the Nordics
Care
IoF (SWE)
EC (SWE)
Two complementary companies with strong own management businesses
4
Ambea at a glance
Note: Aleris Care pro forma group accounts K3. Sales adjusted for discontinued businesses, terminated contracts and units in the process of being closed
Source: Company information, company filings
Aleris Care at a glance
% sales
LTM H1
Sweden
Norway
% sales
LTM H1
Geography
Own vs. Contract
Segment
Own ManagementContract ManagementStaffing
% sales
LTM H1
Nytida
Vardaga
SEK 5,937m sales LTM H1
#3 in the Nordic market‒ #2 in Sweden
‒ #7 in Norway
‒ n.a. in Denmark
67% Own Management of sales
1,038 beds in pipeline
% sales
LTM H1
% sales
LTM H1
Geography
Own vs. Contract
Segment
Own Management
Contract Management
% sales
LTM H1
Norway
SEK 4,665m sales LTM H1
#6 in the Nordic market‒ #6 in Sweden
‒ #1 in Norway
‒ #1 in Denmark
77% Own Management of sales
758 beds in pipelineNorway
Klara Denmark
SwedenNorway
DenmarkCare
The new Ambea Group- the leading Nordic care provider
5
From #3 to #1 in the NordicsThe new Ambea Group
SEK 10,602m sales LTM H1
1,796 beds in pipeline
71% Own Management of sales
#1 in the Nordic market‒ #1 in Sweden
‒ #1 in Norway
‒ #1 in Denmark
Note: Competitors include for-profit care service providers in segments where Ambea is present. Comparison based on LFY reported revenues, adjusted
for major acquisitions and divestments. Aleris Care pro forma group accounts K3. Attendo adjusted for divested healthcare operations and the acquisition
of Mikeva. Team Oliva Danish sales exclude sales related to Personal Assistance
Source: Company information, company filings
#1
#1
#1
Indicative market position
pre transaction
Indicative market position
post transactionIndicative market
position
Care
Active in attractive markets
6Note: Share of private provision (incl. non-profit providers) of elderly care services in selected European countries. Indicative share of market
Source: Socialstyrelsen, SCB, Konkurrensverket, Dansk Erhverv, SSB, DST
Favorable demographic development in elderly care, with number of +80 year olds expected to increase
Low private penetration in the Nordics compared to rest of Europe indicates future potential
% private providers
522 096
807 890
2018 2030
55%223 291
353 667
2018 2030
256 694
433 062
2018 2030
Individuals +80 years old
E E E
880
1,79688
644
65
114
5
Ambeapipeline
Aleris Carepipeline
New Ambea Grouppipeline
Vardaga Nytida beds Nytida placements Norway
Significant number of beds in pipeline driving short term organic growth
7
1,796 beds in combined pipeline
18% 39% 23%
Beds in pipeline as % of current OM beds/placements in operations
Source: Company information, company filings
Operational excellence drives margin improvementSignificant cross-country learning opportunities
8
Ambea care model… …results in margin improvements
4,6%
5,5%
6,9%
7,7%
8,5%9,0%
8,6% 8,4%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Leader in education of
high competence
Industry-leading quality system
KPI-driven unit performance
management
1
2
Operational excellence and
digitalisation
4
3
Source: Company information, company filings
Adjusted EBITA-margin LTM
Attractive synergies to support further growth
9
Direct costs
Certain overlapping functions
High degree of control of implementation
Costs in connection to synergy realisation
and M&A-related costs
Overhead cost
synergies
Integration &
M&A costs
SEK 90m
SEK ~135m
~50% of synergies
achieved in 2019
100% of synergies
achieved in 2020
Majority of M&A
costs in 2018
Majority of
realisation costs in
2019
Annual financial impact
One-off effects
Ambea care model
Best practice and knowledge sharing
Procurement contracts
Operational
improvementsSEK 30m
100% of
improvements
achieved in 2020
Total
SEK 120m
Source: Company information
Ambea financial targets reconfirmed
10
Sales growth
Adjusted earnings per share accretive as of
Q2 2019 provided the proposed rights issue
Margin dilution short-term
Financial targets reconfirmed medium-term
Medium-term
further
potential
Reconfirmed
financial
targets
Targets reached
medium-term
Ambea financial targets
8-10%
Adjusted EBITA margin
Net debt / adjusted EBITDA
Annual growth ranging between 8-10% through a
combination of organic and acquisition driven
growth
An adjusted EBITA margin of 9.5% in the
medium-term
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA below 3.25x with
short-term deviations, e.g. in association with
acquisitions
9.5%
<3.25x
Earnings dividendGiven proposed rights issue in 2019, the Board
anticipates to recommend to the AGM to resume
dividend for fiscal year 2019, payable in 202030%
Note: Earning per share adjusted for M&A related amortisations and one-off costs
Source: Company information
Transaction terms
11
The
acquisition
Financing
Timetable
Ambea has secured SEK 2.6bn in bank financing in order to finance the acquisition
− Danske Bank, DNB and Nordea are the arrangers and lenders of the bank financing, which
comprises (i) a revolving credit facility of SEK 1.4bn with an original term of 3 years, plus two
optional extensions of 1 year each, and (ii) a bridge facility of up to SEK 1.2bn with an original term
of 9 months, plus two optional extensions of 3 months each. The intention is to repay the bridge
facility through the rights issue.
Rights issue supported by largest shareholders, to be approved by the EGM, planned for H1 2019 to maintain financial strength and flexibility
− ACTR Holding AB and ACTOR SCA, which are controlled by KKR and Triton – jointly holding 50.1% of the shares in Ambea intend to vote in favour of the rights issue at a general meeting and to subscribe for their respective pro-rata shares in the rights issue.
Transaction costs for the acquisition are estimated at SEK 35m
Closing of the acquisition expected in Q1 2019, subject to customary regulatory approvals
Rights issue is expected to be completed during H1 2019
Note: EBITA-multiples based on adjusted LTM September 2018 SEK 186m (Reported SEK 127m).
Source: Company information
Enterprise value
SEK
2,600m
EV/EBITA
before synergies
14.0x
EV/EBITA
after direct cost
synergies
9.4x
EV/EBITA
after cost synergies
and operational
improvements
8.5x
Deleveraging
to reach medium-
term financial target
Fully funded acquisition maintaining a strong financing structure
12
Rights issue
Shareholder
support
Loan and bridge facility available to finance the acquisition
Plan to raise approximatelySEK 1.2bn in a rights issue – to be approved by the EGM
Rights issue expected to be completed during H1 2019
The larger shareholders ACTR Holding AB and ACTOR SCA, controlled by KKR and Triton and representing approximately 50.1 per cent of the total number of shares and votes in Ambea, intend to vote in favour of the rights issue at a general meeting and to subscribe for their respective pro-rata shares in the rights issue. The rights issue is expected to be resolved and completed during the first half of 2019.
Illustrative Net debt / EBITDA development
New Ambea Group
Down to current level
after right issue,
trending towards
target end of 2019
4.0
5.4x
3,9x
3,25x
Leverage Q22018
Illustrativeleverage post
acquisition
Illustrativeleverage post
acquisition andrights issue
Long-termfinancial target
Source: Company information
Time table
13
Next steps
Announcement of acquisition
Expected approval from competition filing
Closing of acquisition
EGM
Rights issue
Today, 16 October 2018
Q1 2019
Q1 2019
H1 2019
H1 2019
Appendix
New structure of Ambea Group
15
New Ambea Group
Norway KlaraNytida DenmarkVardaga
New
segment
Source: Company information
New Ambea Group income statement
16Note: Aleris pro forma group accounts K3 adjusted for discontinued businesses, terminated contracts and units in the process of being closed.
OH attributable to Aleris Sweden has been allocated to Nytida and Vardaga based on the segments’ share of Aleris Sweden sales
Source: Company information, company filings
Aleris Care LTM H1 2018
SEKm Vardaga Nytida Norw ay Denmark Klara Group
Adjusted sales 1 034 636 2 595 400 n.a. 4 665
OPEX and depreciation (1 030) (594) (2 504) (390) n.a. (4 519)
Adjusted EBITA 3 42 91 9 n.a. 146
% adjusted EBITA margin 0,3% 6,6% 3,5% 2,3% n.a. 3,1%
Reported EBITA n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 96
Ambea LTM H1 2018
SEKm Vardaga Nytida Norw ay Denmark Klara Group
Sales 2 234 2 938 444 n.a. 321 5 937
OPEX and depreciation (2 087) (2 576) (427) n.a. (306) (5 439)
Adjusted EBITA* 147 362 17 n.a. 15 498
% adjusted EBITA margin* 6,6% 12,3% 3,8% n.a. 4,7% 8,4%
New Ambea LTM H1 2018
SEKm Vardaga Nytida Norw ay Denmark Klara Group
Sales 3 268 3 574 3 039 400 321 10 602
OPEX and depreciation (3 117) (3 170) (2 931) (390) (306) (9 958)
Adjusted EBITA* 150 404 108 9 15 644
% adjusted EBITA margin* 4,6% 11,3% 3,6% 2,3%n.a. 4,7% 6,1%
* EBITA for each Ambea sub-segment standalone. Group includes unallocated and group adjustments
17
Specification of costs related to the Transaction
Transaction costs
SEKm
M&A-related costs 35
Rights issue costs To be confirmed
Synergy realisation costs 100
Total transaction costs 135
Source: Company information