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TRANSCRIPT
Accelerating the Integration of Renewables
Lorenzo Stocchino
August 31, 2010
GE Power & Water
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Agenda
1. Introduction- GE Energy
2. GE’s Renewable Portfolio
3. Developing Renewables- (Wind example)
4. GE GDSI
5. GDSI Case Study
• South Africa
• Best practice
6. Q&A
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• Power & Water• Energy Services• Oil & Gas
• Aviation• Enterprise Solutions• Healthcare• Transportation
• Aviation Financial Services• Commercial Finance• Energy Financial Services• GE Money• Treasury
• Cable • Film• International• Network• Sports & Olympics
• 4 businesses operating in more than 100 countries … 130+ years • Over 320,000 employees worldwide • 2009 revenue $157B, earnings $11,2B
• 4 businesses operating in more than 100 countries … 130+ years • Over 320,000 employees worldwide • 2009 revenue $157B, earnings $11,2B
GE’s portfolio
EnergyInfrastructure
Technology Infrastructure
GECapital
NBCUniversal
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GE Power & Water portfolio
Diverse technologies totaling $21 billion revenue in ‘09
Biogas
Water
Gas Turbines Steam
Nuclear Cleaner Coal
Wind
SolarRenewable Energy
Renewables – building on power generation technology & expertise
© 2010 General Electric Company.
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Renewable Energy Portfolio
1.5MW Series 2.5MW Series Solar
• Capacity factor leadership
• 98% availability
• Thin film technology
• Inverters & utility scale systems
Services
• Performance upgrades
• Asset life management
Grid Integration Leadership
$1.5B invested in technology
Offshore
• Reliable direct-drive
• Increased output & rotor dimension
© 2009 General Electric Company.
Plant Optimization System Wide Monitoring and Control
• Expanding MMW reach
• Advanced load controls
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Wind
GE’s renewable portfolio
GE Company Proprietary
• Leading N. American wind turbine supplier
• World’s most reliable …98% availability
• 13,500+ 1.5MW installed globally
Biogas
• Power range: 0.25 MW-4 MW
• Fuel flexibility: Biogas or a variety of renewable alternative gases
Solar
• Thin film technology• Grid friendly Inverters• Utility scale solutions
Opportunity for diversification
Geothermal
• Power Range 5-70MW
• >8000MW in 22 Countries
Renewable Energyin
Africa
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A snap shot…
Ø Legislation (FITs & REN targets)
Ø Partnerships
Ø Access to financing
Ø Streamlined permitting
Ø Grid Access
Ø Large & diverse resource
Ø Powering Off Grid
Ø Cleaner environment
Ø Alternative land use
Ø Improved market access
Ø Infrastructure
Ø Capital
Ø Development experience
Challenges…
Opportunities... Enablers…
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How do we get from here;
TO
To here ?
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a project that is sustainable• environmentally & socially
• technically
• economically – for energy buyer (COE)– for investor (ROE / IRR)
• financially– lenders (DSCR)
Sustainability = risk management
By developing;
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Developers need to bring together:
IPP Wind Plant
Utility
Lenders
Land owner
Planners
Loanagmt
O&Magmt
PPA
EPC
Landagmt
Bldprmt
Developer/Investor
Invstagmt
Operator
WTG, BOPvendors Key party
Keyagmt
Carbon developer
ERPA
ERPA – Emission reduction purchase Agreement
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Wind power project life time risk profile
High
turbine risk
wind risk
PPA risk
Customer
GE
Shared
Development Construction Debt Period 12 years
construction risk
development risk
Ris
k P
rofi
le (
p)
Mo
ney
at
risk
(U
S$)
Declining
Low
WTG warranty
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Development risk can sometimes be shared
Medium high
turbine risk
wind risk
PPA risk
Customer
GE
Shared
Development Construction Debt Period 12 years
construction risk
development risk
Ris
k P
rofi
le (
p)
Mo
ney
at
risk
(U
S$)
Declining
Low
WTG warranty
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Risk management
What can GE offer?• In selected cases, GE participates in the development consortium with;
– financial support– technical expertise
– grid studies– wind resource assessment
– carbon monetisation
• GE can structure a deal to best fit the needs of the customer/partner
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Global Development & Strategic Initiatives
StrategicAnalysis &
Support
JointVenturing
New ProductLaunches
ProjectFinancing
DealStructuring
ProjectDevelopment
SiteAcquisition
GDSI
CMC Sales
EHSMarketing
GDSI are part of a wider team
Finance Legal
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ü Technical Expertise- Access to world class technical support group and research center
üGE Relationship- Leveraging GE capabilities for the benefit of our customers –enhanced relationship with GE
ü People- 40 people globally with expertise in development, deal structuring, and finance
ü Access to partners- Strongrelationships with project developers and utilities
ü Knowledge- Project development expertise to support key projects
ü Products- Diverse energy solutions: thermal, wind, solar PV, Jenbacher engines
GDSI Value
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GDSI roles
Specific examples include:
• Project feasibility studies• Economic modeling • Permitting• Regulatory initiatives • Community relations• Transmission studies • Land resources • Financial start-up support • Facilitating/arranging debt & equity placement• Carbon monetization• Project sell down
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Development Construction Operation
2-5 years
Greenfield development
• Project definition
• Feasibility studies (technical, economic, financial)
• Site selection & acquisition
• Permitting & licensing
Core development
• Commercial structuring
• Contract negotiation§ Grid connect§ Fuel supply§ Power off-take§ EPC
• Financial structuring & credit evaluation
Financial structuring
• Financial engineering
• Debt & equity arrangement
• Develop or co-develop opportunistically
• Development financing
• MIP and GIP Funds
• Minority investment in international developers with a strong deal pipeline
Post COD
• Ownership & asset management
Finance1-2 years 20+ years
GDSI
GE Energy Financial Services
Project Development Timeline
GE Capital Markets
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Typical GDSI Model
ERPA – Emission reduction purchase Agreement
ProjectInitiation
FinancialClose
ConstructionStart
Fully developedProject
COD
Development Phase Construction Phase O&M Phase
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Typical GDSI Model
ERPA – Emission reduction purchase Agreement
ProjectInitiation
FinancialClose
ConstructionStart
Fully developedProject
COD
Development Phase Construction Phase O&M Phase
GDSI
GDSIExit/GDSIExit
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Typical GDSI Model
ERPA – Emission reduction purchase Agreement
ProjectInitiation
FinancialClose
ConstructionStart
Fully developedProject
COD
Development Phase Construction Phase O&M Phase
GDSI
GDSIPartiallyExit
GDSIExit
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• Sale Agreement– Assigning asset (Land, PPA, Grid) in
exchange for a lump sum payment
• Developer Option Agreement– Limited development support– Success fee upon exercise of option
• Joint Development Agreement (JDA)– Detailed contract outlining roles
& responsibilities, decision making, etc– GE equity stake
Complex
Simple
GE can structure a deal to best fit the needs of the customer/partner:
Structure flexibility to meet customer needs
Potential Deal Structures
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South Africa … A case study
June 08GDSI Africa PoleLeader appointed
2010REN Policy improvementsdebate with stakeholders … target 4Q 10
3Q 20111y wind data
Market Overview Drivers for GE participation
• SA is new market identified as GDSI target
• SA generates 2/3 of Africa’s electricity
• Installed capacity of 45GW, mostly coal
• Increasing gap between supply and demand … 2GW/y for next 20y
1. High CO2 footprint2. High energy demand growth3. Short term risk of supply interruption … 2011 -
20134. GE halo effect / Skin in the game5. Technical knowledge and Funding
March 2009FIT approved
2008REN Policy debate
June 091st partner on-board
May 09GTZ workshopCape Town
Nov 09GE Dev DayAdd’l JDAs in negotiation Aug 2010
Strong GDSI pipelineunder development
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GDSI
When a piece is missing…
• Finance
• Expertise§ development§ technical § project finance§ carbon monetization
• Name credibility
• Project site
• Global perspective network
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Project Development Experience
Selective examples
ofGDSI
projects
Project Country Plant Type MWsArklow Ireland 7x3.6MW Offshore wind 25Gunfleet Sands UK 30x3.6MW Offshore wind 108Cefn Croes UK 39x1.5MW Onshore wind 59Tappaghan UK 13x1.5MW Onshore wind 20Griffin UK 61x2.5, 8x1.5MW Onshore wind 165Ally France 26x1.5MW Onshore wind 39Cham de Cham Longe France 12x1.5MW Onshore wind 18La Navica & Dehesica Spain 29 x 1.5MW Onshore wind 59Baglan Bay UK 109H Gas CC 500 Atlantic US 107FA Gas CC 250Westbrook US 207FA Gas CC 520Dell US 207FA Gas CC 520McAdams US 207FA Gas CC 520Towantic US 207FA Gas CC 520Samalayuca Mexico 3x107FA Gas CC 700Uch Pakistan 309E Gas CC 560Paiton Indonesia 2x660 ST Pulverized Coal 1320
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Investment & partnership:
GE to Government (PPP):
üNew project development with GDSI
üStrategic partnerships: EPC s, Developers,
Distributors, VARs, Installers
üEmployment: training and skills transfer
üDirect business with power utilities: Wind, Solar,
Waste 2 Power, Geothermal
ü Advisor role on technology and funding
üSupply Chain: promote local content
üAfter sales Service: Repairs and Maintenance
Thank You
George [email protected]
Tel +254 20 2726222
Johannes [email protected]
Lorenzo [email protected]