aas – presentation for discussion with donors and partners – june 2013
TRANSCRIPT
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AAS: Making a difference
Montpellier 24 June 2013
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Today
• What is AAS
• Our focus
• Our impact – IDOs
• How we’ll get
there (ToCs + IPs)
• Some questions
www.aas.cgiar.org
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“The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results” Albert Einstein
• Gender
• ME&IA
• Scaling
• Partnerships
• Capacity dep’t
• Integration
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aquatic
agricultural
systems
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Aquatic Agricultural Systems
Systems and livelihoods – not commodities
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Aquatic Agricultural Systems
NOT ABOUT FISH! only
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Rural poverty
Number of rural poor (millions) (<US$1.25 per day)
“… there are serious and
growing threats to the
productivity and resilience of the
Green Revolution lands.
Equitability has also been low.
The larger landowners have
reaped most of the benefits,
while the poor and landless have
missed out.” (Conway 2012)
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Integrated Agricultural Systems
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Our focus
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Mekong The Coral Triangle GBM*
Zambezi
Population living on <$1.25/day, per grid cell (resolution : 9 km at the equator)
Niger Lakes
Victoria
-Kyoga
Source of poverty map: CGIAR SRF Domain Analysis Spatial Team (2009)
*GBM: Ganges-Brahmaputra-Megna delta
(where learning from Coral
Triangle will be scaled out)
South Pacific Community
African Inland Asia mega deltas
• High numbers of poor and/or
High % of total population dependent on AAS
• High vulnerability to change (climate/sea level/water)
• Potential to scale out
Geographical Focus
African Coastal
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Rural poverty and AAS
Ca. 80m people dependent on AAS
66% living in
poverty
Source: Bené & Teoh, in prep.
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People using AAS
System Area (km²) People <US$1.25/day
Africa – f’water 800,000 70m 43m
Africa - coastal 300,000 12m 7m
Asian Deltas 50,000 100m 40m
Islands SEA + Pfc 650,000 54m 22m
236m 112m
Source: Bené & Teoh, in prep.
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Our impact
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AAS IDOs
Income
Productivity Control of
assets Capacity to
innovate
Greater resilience
Capacity to adapt
Policies
Minimized effects
Carbon sequestration
Material Outcomes
Instrumental Outcomes
Environmental Outcomes
Access to food
Consumption
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People benefitting from AAS by 2023
System Direct Scaling
Hubs National Regional
African freshwater 3.8m 4m 6m
African coastal 2.5m 1m 2m
Asian Mega Deltas 13.2m 5m 4m
Islands Asia-Pacific 1.9m 3m 2m
Totals 21m 13m 14m
Combined total 48m
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Our numbers
Direct
• Communities and households in each hub
• Community-community learning
• Scaling via partners working in the hubs
Scaling
• 25% of poor dependent on four focal systems
• to be refined with development partners
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Example targets for AAS IDOs
AAS IDO Indicator Targets
2017 2020 2023
Income Income in # poor households increased by at least 30% and with 40% of that income earned by women
270,000 1.2m 2.7m
Consumption & nutrition
50% increase in consumption of nutrient rich small fish and vegetables by women and children in # poor rural households
135,000 600,000 1.35m
Control of assets and decision making
# of women, youth and marginalized people in focal communities pursuing new and beneficial choices …..
135,000 600,000 1.35m
Capacity to innovate
Community and hub level innovation platforms established in a) # hubs (#platforms) with (b) # hubs fully performing (# platforms)
a) 15 hubs (75 p’fms) b) 5 hubs (50 p’fms)
a) 24 hubs (130 p’fms) b) 10 hubs (100 p’fms)
a) 24 hubs (180 p’fms) b) 15 hubs (150 p’fms)
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Value Proposition
W1/W2 Bilateral Total Beneficiaries Cost/person
US$m Millions US$/person
Africa Inland
141 130 272 13.8m 20
Africa Coastal
101 93 194 5.5m 35
Asian Mega Deltas
141 130 272 22.2m 12
Asia-Pacific islands
121 112 233 6.9m 34
i. AAS + partners ii. High density areas ≠
more important iii. Wider benefits from aas iv. Synergies other CRPs
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How we’ll get
there
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Generic Theory of Change
Science and
outreach
Technology improved
Means to enhance
gender equality understood
Policies informed
Knowledge co-created &
shared
Markets understood
Adaptive capacity informed
IDOs SLOs SDGs
Stak
eho
lde
rs +
Dev
elo
pm
ent
par
tner
s
Multiple scales: Household Community
Hub/landscape National
Basin/Coastal Regional Global
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AAS Theories of change and Impact Pathways
Research Outputs
Research Outcomes
CRP IDOs System
IDOs SLOs SDGs
AAS Approach AAS Impact Pathways
Research Initiatives
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The AAS Approach: Programmatic Theory of Change
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Countries and hubs
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Africa In 1 1 2 4 6 7
Africa Co 0 0 1 2 3 5
Asia MDs 1 2 3 5 5 7
Asia-Pcf 1 2 2 3 5 5
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Integrated themes:
Gender
Health & Nutrition
Learning/Sharing/Communication
Engagement & Empowerment
Effective Partnerships
High potential
NRM value chains
Fish
Aquatic Plants
Farm productivity &
diversification
Diversified farming systems
Dietary diversification
Baseline studies
Ecosystem services
Agrobiodiversity
Agric. Knowledge + info
systems
Governance
High potential agric.
value chains
Cattle
Rice
HUB strategic initiatives
Flood risk management
Gender transformative
approach
Awareness +
communication in schools
Canal management
Program
operations
Governance
Management
Communications
Capacity building for
implementation
Community
level
initiatives
Barotse Hub, Zambia
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How we’ll measure
achievements
• Indicators and
metrics
• AAS impact
evaluation
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Indicators and metrics
AAS IDO Indicator Metrics / method
Income Income of poor households AAS multi-purpose HH survey; Use of, and participation in, existing livelihood surveys (e.g. FtF Bangladesh)
Consumption & nutrition
Consumption of selected nutrient rich food in poor HHs Dietary diversity of poor HHs
Nutrient intact from consumption of target foods/total intake from all foods consumed Individual dietary diversity score (A4HN)
Control of assets and decision making
# of women, youth and marginalized people with greater control over assets and decision making
Women’s empowerment in agriculture index (WEAI) Others ….
Capacity to innovate
# innovation platforms established Rate of community-level innovation
# of hubs and countries (idea of measuring performance) TBD
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Foundation stones of AAS impact evaluation
1. Theory of change
2. Staged approach
3. Understanding
causality
4. Design framework
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Foundation 1: Build and test nested theories
of change
• With stakeholders
• From the beginning
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Foundation 2: Staged evaluations
• Pathways unclear
to begin with
• Staged approach • Ex-ante
• Mid-term
• Ex-post
• In support of
learning and
accountability
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Foundation 3: Demonstrating and
understanding causality
• Across a wider set of
expected change
• Accountable to a wider
set of stakeholders
• Acknowledge
contribution
• Parsimonious and
practical
• Innovation required
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Foundation 4: Framework for selecting
impact evaluation designs
From: Stern et al, 2012
• Theory based
• Case based
• Participatory
• Experimental
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Gender Equality Outcomes
AAS IDO Indicators and Targets
Household income 40% of increased income earned and controlled by women
Consumption and nutrition 50% increase in consumption of nutrient rich small fish and vegetables by women and children
Policies Evidence of positive contributions to shifts in gender equitable policies, policy implementation or institutional context
Control of assets and decision making
Number of women, youth and marginalized groups -pursuing new and beneficial livelihood choices -accessing services and inputs -building personal and household assets -controlling decisions regarding production, assets, income, expenditure -% taking up leadership roles in communities Process indicators: -Number of functional GTA reflection and learning groups embedded in innovation platforms -Number of program staff, partners and service providers whose skills have been built to facilitate GTA -Coalitions at different levels formed to facilitate uptake of gender transformative approaches -Number of partner programs embedding GTA
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AAS Impact Pathway for gender equality
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Gender and development
analysis, methods and tools focused
on AAS development
challenges
Analysis, tools and methods
used to design and implement
gender transformative RinD strategies
and interventions in
AAS
Changes in gender roles and norms
Increased access to assets, resources, knowledge, skills, social networks,
markets and services
Equity enabling policies and institutions
Improved range and quality of life
choices
Control of decision-making
Enhanced engagement in
markets
Enhanced benefits from use of assets,
resources
Gender equitable systems and
structures
Higher participation and leadership in
community initiatives
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Gender Capacity 2013
AAS Science Theme Leaders
Five program countries: Bangladesh, Cambodia, Philippines, Solomons, Zambia
Hub gender research analysts
Hub development partners
Hub implementing team
Hub gender research partners
Global gender team
Strategic gender research partners
(UEA, Johns Hopkins, Promundo, ICRW)
Consultants
Gender Working Group
(Country program leaders)
6 5
Gender Advisory Group
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Achieving outcomes at scale
Pathway 1
Pathway 2
Pathway 3
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AAS – pathways to impact at scale
Pathway 3
Focus on national, regional and global scaling
Pathway 2
Focus on hubs: transforming enabling conditions
Pathway 1
Focus on hubs: direct engagement with communities
and partners
•Ensuring highest quality research
•Demonstrating significant outcomes
•Communicating effectively
•Working through high quality development partnerships
•Enabling new alliances and collaborations
•Transforming power relations and gender norms
•Creating opportunities to experiment
•Improving knowledge, information and technology systems
•Building capacity
•Informing policy reform
•Fostering community led innovation
•Developing and disseminating technologies
•Supporting improved governance
•Engaging with power relations and gender norms
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AAS – Partners and pathways to scale
Pathway 3
Pathway 2
Pathway 1
•Global Development Institutions
•Regional development institutions
•Global Science networks
•Regional science networks
•International NGOs
• National and local Governments • NARS • NGOs (national and international) • Other research partners • Private sector • Local Government • NARS • Community Organizations + NGOs • Other research partners • Private sector
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Key Partnerships - Zambia
Types of partners
Who we’re working with Role in scaling
Core institutions
Provincial and National Policy
Key implementing partners
Provincial and National Capacity (research and development) Integration of learning into development programs – landscape and national
BRE
UNZA
With bilateral and multilateral agencies supporting locally and scaling nationally
Senanga Farmers Assoc.
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Key partnerships - Bangladesh
Types of partners
Who we’re working with Role in scaling
Core Institutions
National Policy
Key implementing partners (research)
Foster more responsive research by national level researchers and connectivity between farm communities and researchers
Bangladesh
planning
commission BARC Department
of Fisheries
Department of
Agriculture and
extension
BARI BRRI Bangladesh
Agriculture
University
Khulna
University
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Key partnerships – Bangladesh
Types of partners
Who we’re working with Role in scaling
Key implementing partners (development)
Integration of farmer and researcher research and capacities into large scale development programs
With bilateral and multilateral agencies supporting locally and scaling nationally
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Collaboration with Other CRP’s
Aquatic
Humidtropics
Drylands
WLE/CCAFS
Commodities Nutrition Sensitive
Landcapes Climate Change Gender
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Some
questions
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What keeps us awake at night?
• Approach?
• IDOs?
• Numbers?
• Scaling – pathways 2 & 3?
• Partnerships?
• Capacity?
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Thank You