aaron bush taser pitch
TRANSCRIPT
Aaron Bush
July 10, 2014
TASER International(NasdaqGS: TASR)
The Business• Police Departments
• Militaries
• Self Defense
• New Categories• Axon Cameras• Evidence.com
RB Sell Recommendation
“Recent court rulings have shown more favor for plaintiffs, and any case that draws a straight line between Taser and serious injury or death would cripple
sales -- and possibly the company.
But the central issue is money, and to make it, Taser is dependent on government buying. Growth investing pioneer Philip Fisher warned against
such situations, and this inconsistent stream of revenue isn't enough to compensate for the legal risk. We recommend selling Taser.”
The Breakdown:
68.1
28.2
3.72011
Weapons Cartidges Evidence.com & Video
66.4
28.6
52012
Weapons Cartidges
Evidence.com & Video
66.6
25.9
7.52013
Weapons Cartidges
Evidence.com & Video
By CategoryBy Location
80
20
2011
Domestic International
81
19
2012
Domestic International
84
16
2013
Domestic International
•Dominant market leader
• Innovative culture
• Strong patent protection
• Important connections
Competitive Advantages
Does more good than you think!
• Significant upgrade opportunity
• Largely untapped international markets
• AXON-Evidence.com• SaaS, recurring revenue
• Strong balance sheet
• Strong IP, brand, and customer relationships
• Share repurchases• 24% of shares outstanding bought back since 1/1/2011
Investment Drivers
Miscellaneous (Rapid Fire)
1 2 3 4 5
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Growth & Profi tability
Rev Net income Profit Margin
1 2 3 4 5
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ROE
1 2 3 4 5
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
FCF/Revenue
1 2 3 4 50
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
Inventory Turnover
1 2 3 4 50
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
CCC
• Technological disruption
•New products may underperform
•Upgrade rate may decelerate
• International attempts may flop
•Regulations may restrain growth
Risks
• Taser remains the dominant, innovative market leader
• The Taser of the future is not the Taser of yesterday
• New technologies are rapidly catching on
• There are still hurdles to overcome
• Valuation: $2.3 billion (+300% ± a lot)
In Conclusion