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aaii sentiment index a/o 02192009

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-5.0% 5.0% 15.0% 25.0% 35.0% 45.0% 55.0% 65.0% Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Bearish Sentiment -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% S&P 24 mo. fws performance AAII Bearish Sentiment Bearish Sentiment + 2 StdDev S&P performance 24 mos. fwd 100 per. Mov. Avg. (AAII Bearish Sentiment)

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Page 1: AAII Sentiment Index a/o 02192009

-5.0%

5.0%

15.0%

25.0%

35.0%

45.0%

55.0%

65.0%

Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08

Bea

rish

Sent

imen

t

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

S&P

24 m

o. fw

s pe

rfor

man

ce

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