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STATECRAFT ESSAY Willy Brandt and Ostpolitik
Eric A. Kunsman #381
Seminar GNational War College September 8, 1989
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Statecraft Essay. Willy Brandt and Ostpolitik
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Summary: West German Chancellor Willie Brandt was a leader of
vision and perseverance whose skills at statecraft engagedand began
to alterthe fundamental power alignments in postwar Central Europe.
His policy of Ostpolitik (the FRG's opening to the East) had its origins in
the deep recesses of German history and psyche. Ostpolitik's
immediate objective was to ameliorate the hardships caused by the
division of Germany and Berlin; Ostpolitik's long term goal was to carve
out maneuver room for FRG diplomacy in Central Europe. Brandt's
approach to statecraft was formed in the wake of the Berlin Wall crisis
and evolved through a process of trial and error in his various
incarnations as mayor of West Berlin, Foreign Minister and Chancellor.
Success eluded Brandt until he properly understood the
fundamental interest/power relationships among the key state actors
and based his diplomatic initiatives on a firm foundation in the Western
Alliance. Brandt realized his immediate objective only after Ostpolitik
was married to Kissinger's more subtle, expansive and powerful detente
statecraft. Ostpolitik's limited initial objective was achieved by
balancing asymmetrical power and interests, and by creating complex
linkages among key states' competing objectives. Brandt's lasting
legacy was to propel FRG statecraft onto center stage in the European
power balance and begin the long, continuing process of reconciliation,
renewal and peaceful change in Central Europe.
NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
LIBRARY SPECIAL COLLECTIONS
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Background: One cannot begin to appreciate either the rationale for or
modus operandi of Brandt's Ostpolitik without first understanding the
contemporary historical context of the German question. History weighs
heavily on the German soul, and no where more so than in Berlin. Bismark's
brilliant creation, the German nation statethat Central European col/bsus
which by the turn of the century had become the fulcrum of the European power
balancewas shattered by world War II. Unconditionally defeated, Germany's
fate was sealed at Yalta and Potsdam when the victorious powers agreed
temporarily to divide Germany into four administrative zones of occupation:
U.S., British, French and Soviet. Berlin was similarly divided for temporary post-war administration.
Dividing Germany proved easier by far than agreeing on its ultimate status.
Stalin's expansive designs for a Central European security glacis for the Soviet
Union coupled with his use of communist subversion to obtain his post-war
foreign policy goals ushered in the Cold War. The inner-German and inner-
Berlin demarcation lines separating the Soviet zones of occupation from the
combined Western zones became frozen in timeslowly turning into de facto,
although not de jure,
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borders between two German entitites, one democratic, free market and Western,
the other a communist rump state existing uneasily in the shadow of its larger
and more powerful sibling.
West Berlin (and its Western protectors) experienced a succession of major
and minor crises over a decade and a half either resulting directly from Soviet
attempts unilaterally to alter Berlin's status (the 1948 airlift and 1958 ultimatum)
or caused by instability in East Berlin (the 1952 riot and 1961 exodus resulting in
the Wall). During the 1960s as the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) gained instrength (domestic self-assurance, economic power in the EC and military power
through integration of the new Bundeswehr in NATO) and the German Democratic
Republic (GDR) became a functioning state (the most stable and economically
advanced member of the Warsaw Pact), the situation in and around Berlin
gradually calmed.
Objectively, therefore, by the late 1960s sufficient stability existed along the
inner-German and Berlin borders to permit diplomatic initiatives to clarify West
Berlin's anomalous Dwnpe an status. The issues, however, given Germany's
geographic location and latent power potential cut to the heart of the post-war
East-West confrontation in Europe and were infused with major symbolic and
emotional significance.
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Only statecraft of the highest order could achieve Brandt's goals,
Domestic Context; From its founding in 1949 until Brandt became Chancellor
twenty years later, the FRG's primary foreign policy objective was clear: anchor
the FRG firmly in the West. Adenauer, the FRG's first, and greatest, Chancellor
(leader of the Christian Democrats -CDU) established the FRG's foreign policy
priorities as : rapprochement with France (the key to establishing stability in
Western Europe and eventual formation of the EC) and participation in NATO
(critically important to ensure the U.S. security guarantee vis-a-vis the USSR).
Questions of possible eventual German reunification and clarification of Berlin's
status were secondary concerns for Adenauer, a Catholic Rhinelander, and couldonly be addressed in the context of a firm Western orientation for the FRG.
Indeed, Adenauer's unwaivering adherence to the fundamental objective of
reorienting the center of German political gravity to the West and establishing
the FRG's democratic and West European bona fides were major
accomplishments of statecraft. Adenauer and his immediate successors carried
out their policy in an emotionally charged domestic environment and only paid
symbolic lip service to calls for reunification. Their success, albeit at the cost of a
continuing harsh division of the German nation, delimited the policy options
eventually
Hanya tataurus perintah yang tertinggi boleh mencapai matlamat Brandt,
Konteks domestik; Dari penubuhannya pada tahun 1949 sehingga Brandt menjadi Canselor
dua puluh tahun kemudian, objektif dasar luar utama FRG adalah jelas: anchor FRG tegas diBarat. Adenauer, itu yang FRG pertama, dan yang paling besar, Canselor (pemimpin KristianDemokrat-CDU) yang ditubuhkan keutamaan dasar luar FRG sebagai: persesuaian dengan
Perancis (kunci untuk mewujudkan kestabilan di Eropah Barat dan pembentukan akhirnya
SPR) dan penyertaan dalam NATO (amat penting untuk memastikan jaminan keselamatanAS berbanding dengan negara-negara USSR). Soalan-soalan yang mungkin penyatuan
semula Jerman dan akhirnya penjelasan status Berlin kebimbangan menengah untukAdenauer, seorang Rhinelander Katolik, dan hanya boleh ditangani dalam konteks orientasi
Barat yang kukuh untuk FRG.
Malah, unwaivering pematuhan Adenauer untuk matlamat asas reorienting pusat gravitipolitik Jerman ke Barat dan mewujudkan demokrasi dan Barat bona fide Eropah FRG ini
adalah pencapaian utama tataurus negara. Adenauer dan pengganti terdekat dijalankan dasarmereka dalam persekitaran yang emosi dalam negeri dan hanya dibayar perkhidmatan bibir
simbolik panggilan untuk penyatuan semula. Kejayaan mereka, walaupun pada kos bahagianberterusan keras negara Jerman, dihalang pilihan dasar akhirnya
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available to Brandt in pursuing his policy of normalization with the East. By
the time Brandt became Chancellor, reunification of Germany (at the price
of a Soviet-dictated variant of neutrality) was no longer a realistic option for
consideration.
Brandt, a Social Democrat (SPD), entered government in 1966 as ForeignMinister in the CDU/SPD "Grand Coalition", before becoming Chancellor in 1969.
Brandt had previously been governing major of West Berlin, including during the
1961 Wall crisis. Brandt's temperment and socialist background we ire radically
diEfcEcnfc than Adenauer's conservative patrician manner.
Brandt's concept of Germany's position in Europe--and his need to
articulate German interests and expand the FRG's maneuver room in what for
him was an all-too-encompassing
bipolar worldinevitably pushed him in the direction of Ostpolitik. The
concepts behind Ostpolitik were the brainchild of Egon Bahr, Brandt's foreign
policy advisor. Bahr's schooling was a curious German blend of geo-politics and
19th century German Romanticism. Germany's historic position was "Middle
Europe", and Brandt/Bahr ultimately desired to re-establish as much of
Germany's "Middle Europe" identity as possible within the tight parameters
dictated by the Cold War
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\ Brandt kedudukan Jerman di Eropah - dan keperluan untukmenyuarakan kepentingan Jerman dan meluaskan ruang gerakan FRG
dalam apa yang bagi beliau adalah semua-terlalu-galanya
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Ministerial Conference was explicit in allowing use of GDR personnel at checkpoints
for access to West Berlin) . The very measured U.S. reaction in 1961 to the
building of the Wall and assumption of GDR control of East Berlin, while prudent
and consistent from our perspective, shattered Brandt's illusions and reduced his
perception of U.S. power and credibility. No longer would he automatically rely on
Western assistance in establishing the FRG's claim to West Berlin, much less
Western support for eventual reunification. Instead, Brandt determined the FRG
would have to safeguard its own interests through diplomatic initiatives with theEast.
International Context; Ostpolitik developed gradually through trial and error when
Brandt became Foreign Minister in 1966. In an effort to ease relations with the East, the
Grand Coalition offered to exchange renunciation-of-force declarations with the Soviet
Union, Poland and Czechoslovakia. However^ the FRG's efforts to ostracize the GDR
continued. (The fR.G's Hallstein Doctrine threatened to sever relations with any state
recognizing the GDR, a potent threat in the mid-60s for Third World states seeking FRG
economic assistance, but a policy of diminishing half-life since it could not practicably
be extended to Eastern Europe if Ostpolitik were to be successful.)
These early attempts at openings to the East met with limited success at best:
establishment of diplomatic relations
Persidangan Menteri-Menteri adalah jelas dalam membenarkan penggunaan kakitangan GDR dipusat pemeriksaan untuk kemasukan ke Berlin Barat). Yang diukur reaksi Amerika Syarikat pada
tahun 1961 untuk pembinaan Tembok dan andaian GDR kawalan Berlin Timur, manakala berhematdan konsisten dari perspektif kami, berkecai ilusi Brandt dan mengurangkan persepsi terhadap kuasa
Amerika Syarikat dan kredibiliti. Tiada lagi dia akan secara automatik bergantung kepada bantuan
Barat dalam mewujudkan tuntutan FRG untuk West Berlin, sokongan lebih kurang Barat untukpenyatuan semula akhirnya. Sebaliknya, Brandt menentukan FRG perlu melindungi kepentingan
sendiri melalui inisiatif diplomatik dengan Timur.International Konteks; Ostpolitik dibangunkan secara beransur-ansur melalui percubaan dan
kesilapan apabila Brandt menjadi Menteri Luar Negeri pada tahun 1966. Dalam usaha untuk
memudahkan hubungan dengan Timur, Gabungan Grand ditawarkan untuk menukar pengisytiharanpenolakan-of-kuasa dengan Kesatuan Soviet, Poland dan Czechoslovakia. Walau bagaimanapun ^
usaha FRG untuk memulaukan GDR diteruskan. (The fR.G 's Hallstein Doktrin mengancam untukmemutuskan hubungan dengan mana-mana negeri mengiktiraf GDR, ancaman yang kuat pada
pertengahan tahun 60-an bagi negara Dunia Ketiga yang meminta bantuan ekonomi FRG, tetapi
dasar mengurangkan separuh hayat kerana ia tidak boleh practicably dilanjutkan ke Eropah Timurjika Ostpolitik adalah untuk berjaya.)
Ini percubaan awal di lubang ke Timur bertemu dengan kejayaan yang terhad pada tahap terbaik:penubuhan hubungan diplomatik
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with Bucharest in 1967, Belgrade in 1968, and trade/consular relations with
Prague in 1967. Still, the breakthrough on Berlin that Brandt desired eluded
him for several reasons:
* the FRG underestimated the GDR's influence on Soviet policy vis-a-vis
the FRG;
* the FRG conceived its approach to the East as a "zero sum game" with
the GDR, rather than devising a "win-win" strategy of negotiations
seeking practical accomodations to improve West Berlin's tenuous
status.
* With the exception of the carrot of economic enticements (trade) for
East European countries, the FRG lacked power leverage with the Soviet
Unionleverage only obtainable through concert of policy initiatives with
the U.S.
.Fortunately,
/Brandt's Ostpolitik fit into the mosaic of Kissinger's
detente grand strategy and, consequently, received the infusion
of power, focused direction, and support Ostpolitik previously
had lacked. Kissinger simultaneously sought to strengthen
Brandt's negotiating hand with the Soviets and alsoimbed Ostpolitik in the larger matrix of East-West relations in order to discipline
the FRG's Berlin objectives to Allied ' concensus (both with regard to initiatives
taken and, equally important, the timing of those initiatives).
Kissinger^ means of asymmetrical leverage on the Soviets regarding Berlin
were both specific and general. He arranged to have the U.S., Britain and
France offer their own set of proposals to Moscow on Berlin access matters which
dovetailed with practical FRG objectives; and he held open the pospect of
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dengan Bucharest pada tahun 1967, Belgrade pada tahun 1968,
dan perdagangan / konsular hubungan dengan Prague pada tahun
1967. Namun, penemuan di Berlin bahawa Brandt dikehendaki
mengelak dia kerana beberapa sebab:
- Yang FRG dipandang ringan pengaruh GDR pada dasar Soviet
vis-a-vis FRG;
- Yang FRG mengandung pendekatan ke Timur sebagai "permainan
jumlah sifar" dengan GDR, bukannya merangka "menang-menang"Strategi rundingan mencari accomodations praktikal untuk
meningkatkan status lemah West Berlin.
- Dengan pengecualian daripada lobak enticements ekonomi
(perdagangan) bagi negara-negara Eropah Timur, FRG kekurangan
memanfaatkan kuasa dengan Soviet Union-memanfaatkan hanya
diperolehi melalui konsert inisiatif dasar dengan Amerika
Syarikat
. Mujurlah,/ Ostpolitik Brandt muat ke dalam mozek ini Kissinger
strategi besar ketegangan dan, akibatnya, menerima infusi
kuasa, arahan fokus, dan menyokong Ostpolitik sebelum
telah kekurangan. Kissinger pada masa yang sama berusaha untuk
mengukuhkan
Tangan Brandt berunding dengan Soviet dan juga
menanamkan Ostpolitik dalam matriks yang lebih besar daripada
hubungan Timur-Barat untuk mendisiplinkan objektif Berlin FRG
untuk concensus Bersekutu '(kedua-duanya dengan mengambil kira
inisiatif yang diambil dan yang sama penting, masa mereka
inisiatif).
Kissinger ^ cara memanfaatkan simetri di Soviet mengenai
Berlin kedua-duanya am dan tertentu. Beliau telah merancang
untuk mempunyai AS, Britain dan Perancis menawarkan set mereka
sendiri cadangan untuk Moscow mengenai perkara-perkara akses
Berlin yang dovetailed dengan praktikal objektif FRG dan
beliau memegang membuka pospect daripadaconvening a European
Security Conference which Moscow proposed and hoped to use to ratify theexisting borders in Eastern Europe. As an ultimate inducement to Moscow,implicit in the idea of a European Security Conference was the prospect of U.S.,
British and French diplomatic recognition of the GDR-a key Soviet objective.As both the Kissinger detente strategy and Brandt's Ostpolitik gained
momentum in late 1969 and 1970, and the Soviets began to engage, all parties
increasingly understood that their efforts were giving recognition to the post-war
status quo in Europe, preserving and codifying existing rights, lowering tension
and thereby opening the prospect over time for practical improvements in inner-
German relations. In short, Brandt's Ostpolitik, as focussed by Kissinger,
produced a "win-win" strategy in inner-German relations while postponing
tougher "theological" sovereignty and reunification issues.. The FRG gained in
self respect and ability to articulate and defend its own interests (key Brandt
goals) and found it could only do so from a basis of concensus positions in
alliance with the U.S. (key U.S. objective).
State Interests and power; Understanding the complex interplay in Central
Europe of multiple state interests and the power to safeguard those interests,
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particularly regarding Berlin (and by implication resolution of the German
question) was critical
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mengadakan Persidangan Keselamatan Eropah yang dicadangkan
Moscow dan berharap untuk menggunakan untuk mengesahkan
sempadan yang sedia ada di Eropah Timur. Sebagai dorongan utama
untuk Moscow, tersirat dalam idea Persidangan KeselamatanEropah adalah prospek AS, pengiktirafan diplomatik British dan
Perancis GDR-objektif Soviet utama.Seperti kedua-dua strategi detente Kissinger dan Ostpolitik
Brandt yang mendapat momentum pada akhir tahun 1969 dan 1970,
dan Soviet mula terlibat, semua pihak semakin difahami bahawa
usaha mereka telah memberi pengiktirafan kepada status quo
selepas perang di Eropah, memelihara dan mengkod hak yang ada,
mengurangkan ketegangan dan dengan itu membuka prospek dari
masa ke masa untuk penambahbaikan praktikal dalam hubungan
tengah Jerman. Pendek kata, Ostpolitik Brandt, kerana tertumpu
oleh Kissinger, menghasilkan "menang-menang" Strategi dalam
hubungan dalaman-Jerman manakala menangguhkan sukar "teologi"
kedaulatan dan isu-isu penyatuan .. The FRG mendapat berkenaandiri dan keupayaan untuk menyuarakan dan membela kepentingan
sendiri (matlamat Brandt utama) dan mendapati ia hanya boleh
berbuat demikian dari asas jawatan concensus dalam pakatan
dengan Amerika Syarikat (objektif utama AS).
Minat Negeri dan kuasa; Memahami interaksi kompleks di Eropah
Tengah kepentingan negeri dan pelbagai kuasa untuk melindungi
kepentingan mereka, khususnya mengenai Berlin (dan oleh
resolusi implikasi soalan Jerman) adalah kritikalto devising a
successful strategy for Ostpolitik. Until Brandt successfully perceived thediffering levels of interest and power among the various players he was unable todevise a workable strategy. State interests in 1970 regarding the Berlin anomalymay be listed as follows:
* FRG: Vital interest in obtaining greater legitimacy to FRG-West Berlin
ties, improving humanitarian issues, achieving greater autonomy over
inner-German affairs and over the FRG's relations with Central andEastern Europe, and preserving options for ultimate reunification of the
German nation
* GDR: Survival interest in establishing sovereignty over East Berlin and
obtaining international recognition of separate statehood; vital interest in
minimizing FRG claims to West Berlin and circumscribing Allied rights in
Berlin*
* USSR: Vital interest in preventing FRG ties to West Berlin, preventing
German reunification within a Western framework; vital interest in
establishing GDR legitimacy and obtaining recognition of East European
post-war boundaries*
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* U.S.: Vital interest in maintaining Allied access rights to Berlin (an issue of
symbolism and credibility vis-a-vis Bonn and Moscow}; vital interest in
being seen to support the FRG's ties to West Berlin (a key means by
which to keep the FRG firmly anchored in the West); peripheral interest inimproving access conditions for residents of West Berlin, but a vital
interest in seeking to establish a workable modus vivendi which would end
the cycle of periodic Berlin Crises, and a vital interest in engaging the
Soviet Union in seeking diplomatic solutions to other pressing problems
(Vietnam, Middle East, arms control) .
* Britain: Major interest in maintaining Allied access rights to Berlin (a
means of asserting British interests in Central Europe) .
* France: Major interest in maintaining Allied access rights to Berlin, and a
vital interest in preventing German reunification (this latter interest has
frequently found expression in juridical positions on Berlin status issues
contrary to FRG desiresthe Bonn Group frequently is an interesting case
study in inter-Alliance diplomacy).
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The elements of power available to each state actor to achieve primary
interests were radically different. The disparity in conventional military power on
the scene overwhelmingly favored the Soviet Union (as Eisenhower knew so well
during the 1958 crisis). The, U.S., Britain and France relied on indirect deterrent
capability (nuclear and the threat of horizontal escalation); the Allies' primary
tools were diplomatictrading recognition of the GDR for improved access
arrangements to West Berlin.
The GDR's power was negative (denial of access) but was offset by its
critical need for recognition and legitimacy. The FRG could provide economicincentives to Eastern Europe and hold open the prospect of recognition of the
post-war order in Eastern Europe, but lacked direct leverage.
Brandt miscalculated the interest/power equation in 1961 when mayor of
West Berlin and also to a lesser extent when
r
Foreign Minister in 1966. When he better appreciated these r relationships, a
natural strategy for Ostpolitik evolved which took advantage of the opening for
creative diplomacy provided by Kissinger's detente grand strategy.
Objectives and Strategy; As Brandt's thinking adapted to the realization that
politics is the art of the possible, the specific objectives for Ostpolitik crystalized
into an effort: First, to improve the quality of life for West Berliners and
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Unsur-unsur kuasa yang ada kepada setiap pelakon negeri
untuk mencapai kepentingan utama adalah berbeza.
Perbezaan dalam kuasa tentera konvensional di tempat
kejadian overwhelmingly digemari Kesatuan Soviet
(sebagai Eisenhower tahu begitu baik semasa krisis
1958). Ini, Amerika Syarikat, Britain dan Perancis
bergantung kepada keupayaan pencegahan tidak langsung
(nuklear dan ancaman peningkatan mendatar); alat utama
Berikat 'adalah pengiktirafan diplomatik-perdagangan GDRbagi urusan peningkatan akses kepada West Berlin.
Kuasa GDR adalah negatif (penafian akses) tetapi telah
diimbangi oleh keperluan kritikal untuk pengiktirafan
dan kesahihan. The FRG boleh menyediakan insentif
ekonomi ke Eropah Timur dan memegang terbuka prospek
pengiktirafan perintah selepas perang di Eropah Timur,
tetapi tidak mempunyai pengaruh langsung.Brandt salah mengira persamaan faedah / kuasa pada
tahun 1961 apabila Datuk Bandar Berlin Barat dan juga
sedikit sebanyak apabila
r
Menteri Luar Negeri pada tahun 1966. Apabila dia lebih
dihargai r hubungan ini, strategi semula jadi untuk
Ostpolitik Evolved yang mengambil kesempatan daripada
pembukaan untuk diplomasi kreatif yang disediakan oleh
ketegangan strategi besar Kissinger.Objektif dan Strategi; Sebagai pemikiran Brandt
disesuaikan dengan kesedaran bahawa politik adalah seni
yang mungkin, objektif khusus untuk Ostpolitik
crystalized ke dalam usaha: Pertama, untuk meningkatkan
kualiti hidup Berliners Barat dandivided German families;second, to secure greater legal ties between the FRG and WestBerlin; third, to make inner-German relations more stable andpredictable; and fourth, to keep open the idea of a German"cultural" nation, if not a reunified single German stateatleast for the foreseeable future.. In order to achieve theseobjectives Brandt jettisoned the FRG's diplomatic campaign toisolate the GDR and he combined his efforts with U.S. diplomacy(a force multiplier, if you will) to enhance the prospects forsuccess of both Ostpolitik and detente policy. The veryprocess of Ostpolitik provided the maneuver room for FRGdiplomacy which Brandt also desired.
The strategy adopted was complex and asymmetrical, and
involved orchestrating diplomatic moves on several levels to
the Soviet Union and the GDR; Kissinger's beloved linkages
became the watchword for Ostpolitik's success. Four Powertalks on Berlin opened in March 19 70. In August 1970, FRG-
Soviet talks began on the Moscow Treaty (bilateral relations).
Simultaneously,
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dibahagikan keluarga di Jerman, kedua, untuk mendapatkan
hubungan undang-undang yang lebih erat antara FRG dan Barat
Berlin; ketiga, untuk membuat hubungan dalaman-Jerman yang
lebih stabil dan boleh diramalkan, dan keempat, untuk
menjaga terbuka idea Jerman "budaya" negara, jika tidak
reunified tunggal German negeri sekurang-kurangnya untuk
masa akan datang .. Dalam usaha untuk mencapai objektif iniBrandt dibuang kempen diplomatik FRG untuk mengasingkan GDR
dan dia digabungkan dengan usaha diplomasi Amerika Syarikat
(pengganda kuasa, jika anda akan) untuk meningkatkan prospek
kejayaan kedua-dua Ostpolitik dan dasar ketegangan. Proses
ini pada Ostpolitik disediakan di dalam bilik gerakan untuk
diplomasi yang FRG Brandt juga dikehendaki.
Strategi yang diguna pakai adalah kompleks dan tidaksimetri, dan terlibat mendalangi bergerak diplomatik kepada
beberapa peringkat untuk Kesatuan Soviet dan GDR; hubungan
tercinta Kissinger menjadi semboyan untuk kejayaan
Ostpolitik ini. Empat ceramah Kuasa di Berlin dibuka pada 19
Mac 70. Pada bulan Ogos 1970, perbincangan FRG-Soviet
bermula pada Perjanjian Moscow (hubungan dua hala). Pada
masa yang sama,FRG-GDR talks opened on Berlin transit and trafficissues. The three levels of talks were linked, substantively andprocedurally. Sufficient incentives in this multi-tiered negotiationexisted for Moscow that when Ulbricht raised objections, Brezhnevarranged the doctrinaire GDR leader's replacement with Honecker (aspecial gift for BrandtUlbricht was responsible for the Wall; hisouster was sweet revenge for the former mayor of West Berlin). In1971 the Quadripartite Agreement was signed, but the final
implementing protocol was delayed for several months pendingcompletion of the inner-German agreements (1971) and the FRG-Soviet bilateral treaty (1972).
Importantly, the parties' differing legal positions regarding
Berlin's ultimate status were not affected by any of the agreements
the legal status quo remained. Practical accommodation was
possible in inner-German relations and Berlin access, at the cost of
recognizing political reality in Central and Eastern Europe. But even
in gaining its coveted European Security Conference, Moscow
unwittingly opened the way for Western penetration of its East
European glacis through CSCE Basket 3 human rights provisions.
The edifice of the post-war order remained intact, but Kissinger's
(and Kennan's) asymmetrical containment strategy began the slow
process
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Ceramah FRG-GDR dibuka pada Berlin transit dan isu-isu
lalu lintas. Tiga peringkat ceramah berkaitan, substan
keduanya dan procedurally. Insentif yang mencukupi dalam
rundingan pelbagai peringkat ini wujud untuk Moscow
bahawa apabila Ulbricht bantahan, Brezhnev diaturpenggantian pemimpin doktrin GDR dengan Honecker (hadiah
khas untuk Brandt-Ulbricht bertanggungjawab bagi Wall;
penyingkiran beliau membalas dendam manis untuk Datuk
Bandar bekas West Berlin). Pada tahun 1971 Perjanjian
Quadripartite telah ditandatangani, tetapi protokol
akhir melaksanakan ditangguhkan selama beberapa bulan
sementara menunggu penyelesaian perjanjian dalaman-
Jerman (1971) dan FRG-Soviet perjanjian dua hala (1972).
Yang penting, berbeza kedudukan pihak-pihak 'undang-
undang mengenai status muktamad Berlin tidak dipengaruhi
oleh mana-mana perjanjian - status quo undang-undangkekal. Penginapan praktikal adalah mustahil dalam
hubungan dalaman-Jerman dan akses Berlin, pada kos yang
mengiktiraf realiti politik di Tengah dan Eropah Timur.
Tetapi dalam mendapatkan Persidangan Keselamatan Eropah
didambakan, Moscow sengaja membuka jalan bagi penembusan
Barat glacis Eropah Timur melalui Bakul CSCE 3
peruntukan hak asasi manusia. The bangunan perintah
selepas perang tidak terjejas, tetapi ini Kissinger (dan
ini Kennan) strategi membendung simetri memulakan proses
yang perlahanof reforming the European political order from the
inside out.Oh, yes, the FRG also obtained Brandt's other goal of
greater maneuver room for FRG statecraft in inner-German and
Central European affairs. That process, so critical today for the
future of Europe, continues.
pembaharuan untuk politik Eropah dari luar dalam.
Oh, ya, FRG juga diperoleh matlamat lain Brandt bilik gerakan yang lebih besar
untuk FRG tataurus dalam hal ehwal Eropah tengah Jerman dan Central. Proses itu,begitu kritikal hari ini untuk masa depan Eropah, berterusan.
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SOURCES; I have relied on the assigned and supplemental readings for topic
14 in preparing this paper (Brandt's People and Politics, Kissinger's White House
Years, Brown's Faces of Power, plus Gaddis' Strategies of Containment and
Chaliand and Rageau's Strategic Atlas. In addition, the conclusions drawn
largely reflect perspectives I developed while Ambassador's Aide and Political
Officer at Embassy Bonn (1980-1982) . During that assignment, especially when I
was the U.S. Bonn Group representative, I had the opportunity to become familiar
both with the complex history of "Berlin theology" and the key personalities who
have shaped contemporary Germany.