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A Strategic Outlook to theGlobal Ferrous Scrap Industryout to 2021
l In-depth study of country trends in obsolete, industrial and revert (home) scrap marketsl The future impact China will have on global scrap pricesl Fully dynamic MS Excel market model l Scrap recovery rates analysis and its impact on the BOF/EAF charge mix
Newfor 2013
l What fundamentallydrives the globalmarket scrap price?
l What will be the price of scrap between nowand 2021?
l How will China evolveto impact the globalscrap market?
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Newfor 2013
A Strategic Outlook to theGlobal Ferrous Scrap Industry out to 2021Metal Bulletin Research has published a timely study called A Strategic Outlook to theGlobal Ferrous Scrap Industry out to 2021, providing valuable global information,expert analysis and forecasting for this important industry.
For each of the countries examined in the study, the study provides insights andanswers to the following key and topical questions facing steelmakers and scrapsuppliers alike:
l How much scrap is consumed?
l How much scrap is recovered?
l How much scrap is imported and exported?
l How large is the scrap reservoir?
lWhat drives price in each of the markets?
l How and why will all this change out to 2021?
The analysis centers on answering these, and many other, questions for obsolete,prompt industrial and revert (home) scrap types.
This study offers expert analysis, forecasting and guidance including:l Historic and forecasted consumption of scrap on a country and global basis
l The analytical approach used to understand the dynamics for the global ferrous scrap market
l The global price of scrap and its relation to the size of imports and exports
l Historic and forecasted recovery of scrap from 1985 to 2021 – reaching and sustaining a substantial growthin the recovery of scrap and the issues that face this growth
lObsolete scrap – will there be enough exports to continue at the current rates in individual countries obsoletescrap reservoirs?
lMedium term forecast for the global price of scrap out to 2021 and the drivers that influence the global price
l The balance of supply and demand of scrap on a country and global basis
“I would recommend Metal Bulletin Research as a unique provider ofsteel and its raw materials market analysis and forecasts” Michael Amez, Manager, A.T.Kearney, USA
China Scrap Recovery
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Source: Metal Bulletin Research
Revert Scrap
Prompt Industrial Scrap
Obsolete Scrap
To order please call the hotline +44 (0) 20 7779 7999 or email [email protected]
Independent research and analysis:
l Unparalleled industry knowledge High level of expertise from our authors with combined experience in econometrics and metallurgy from consultantspreviously employed at Mckinsey, Arthur D.Little and Accenture.
l Scrap Price forecastsOutlook of scrap prices across the world and key regions
l Supply and demand balances by country (1985-2021)Comprehensive detailed statistics and forecasts on the supply and demand of each of the 28 countries in this report to include:
l Australial Brazill Canadal Chilel Chinal Czech Republicl Egyptl Finlandl France
l Germanyl Indial Indonesial Iranl Italyl Japanl Libyal Malaysial Mexico
l Netherlandsl Polandl Qatarl Rep. of Koreal Romanial Saudi Arabial Slovakial South Africal Spain
l Swedenl Taiwanl Thailandl Turkeyl Ukrainel United Kingdoml USAl Venezuelal Vietnam
l Total crude steell BOF, EAF, OH, finished steell Scrap in BFl Scrap consumption
l Scrap importsl Scrap exports l Scrap recovery rates l Obsolete scrap
l Prompt scrap l Revert (home) scrap l Scrap reservoir
l Unique coverage of the global foundry sector as a consumer of scrap
l Comprehensive data by country available in MS excel Demand, supply in detail for each of the following countries:
l Dynamic scrap supply/demand model enabling you to run your own scenariosby country with the following parameters: total crude steel, BOF, EAF, OH, finished steel, scrap in BF, scrap consumption, scrap import, scrap exports, scraprecovery rates, obsolete scrap, prompt scrap, revert (home) scrap, scrap reservoir
Please call the hotline +44 (0) 20 7779 7999 or email [email protected] request complimentary sample pages
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Table of ContentsExecutive Summary
Approach, Methodology and Executive Summary
Global Scrap 1985-2021l Production of crude steel
l Production of foundry iron
l Charge enrichment in blast furnaces
l Total demand for Fe
Metallics Supplyl Pig iron
l Direct reduced iron (DRI)
l Scrap
l Forecasts to 2021 – back down the rabbit hole
l Obsolete scrap reservoir approach
Scrap Prices and Forecastsl Scrap prices – historic and forecast out to 2021
l Prices drivers
Country Profiles
By country statistics and analysis on the following: Table 1 Crude steel production (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 2 Steelmaking process percentages 1985-2021
Table 3 Oxygen steel production (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 4 Demand for iron in oxygen steelmaking (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 5 Electric arc steel production (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 6 Demand for iron in EAF steelmaking (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 7 Open hearth steel production (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 8 Demand for iron in open hearth steelmaking (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 9 Production of foundry iron (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 10 Demand for iron in foundry iron production (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 11 Tonnes of iron ore per tonne of pig iron
Table 12 Consumption of “charge enrichment” in blast furnace production(kg/tonne pig iron) 1985-2021
Table 13 Consumption of “charge enrichment” in blast furnace production(000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 14 Total Fe Demand 1985-2021
Table 15 Production of pig iron (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 16 Pig iron imports (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 17 Pig iron exports (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 18 Pig iron ADC (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 19 DRI production (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 20 DRI imports (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 21 DRI Exports (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 22 DRI ADC (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 23 Scrap ADC (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 24 Scrap imports (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 25 Scrap exports (000 tonnes) 1985-2011
Table 26 Scrap recovery (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 27 Revert scrap recovery (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 28 Prompt industrial scrap recovery (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 29 Obsolete scrap recovery (000 tonnes) 1985-2021
Table 30 Scrap Reservoir 1985-2021
Table 31 Top 10 scrap importers 2000 to 2012 ($/tonne)
Table 32 Top 10 scrap exporters 2000 to 2012 ($/tonne)
Newfor 2013
l Australia
l Brazil
l Canada
l Chile
l China
l Czech Republic
l Egypt
l Finland
l France
l Germany
l India
l Indonesia
l Iran
l Italy
l Japan
l Libya
l Malaysia
l Mexico
l Netherlands
l Poland
l Qatar
l Rep. of Korea
l Romania
l Saudi Arabia
l Slovakia
l South Africa
l Spain
l Sweden
l Taiwan
l Thailand
l Turkey
l Ukraine
l United Kingdom
l USA
l Venezuela
l Vietnam
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A Strategic Outlook to the Global Ferrous Scrap Industry out to 2021
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YOUR COMPANY TYPERaw Material Supply (0003)Metal/Steel Production/Processing (0027)Fabrication/Manufacturing(0055)Distribution (0095)Services/Products for theIndustry (0111)End-User Sector (0167)
Finance Companies (0271)Production (0275)Processing & Equipment (0279)Trading (0287)Transport – Ports (0291)Non-Ferrous Foundry (0303)Extruding (0311)Other Primary Metal Products(0315)
Ferrous Traders (0319)Non-Ferrous Traders (0323)Resource/Asset Recovery(0327)Library/Research (0321)Trade Association (0525)Legal/Regulations (0155)Government (0253)
YOUR METALS INTERESTBase Metals (11001)Aluminium (11002)Downstream Aluminium (11157)Precious Metals (11160)Minor Metal (11267)Light Metals (11360)Steel (12001)
Steel Tube & Pipe – Seamless(12042)Steel Tube & Pipe – Welded(12043)Stainless Steel (12159)Steel Wire (12230)Galvanising & Coated Coil(12226)
Ferro Alloys (13000)Scrap & Secondary Metals(14000)Steelmaking Raw Materials(12231)Iron Ore (12232)
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NEWOther relevant Metal Bulletin Research publications include:• Steel Raw Materials: Weekly Market Tracker
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